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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                 8th February 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) –
 07-Feb-13
 Expiry            05-Apr-13       05-Mar-13           19-Feb-13   Gold opened higher at 30721 but moved further lower to touch an
 Open                 30,721             58,369            5,144   intra-day low of 30610. However, it managed to bounce back and
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 30890. It ended the day
 High                 30,890             58,645            5,185
                                                                   with modest gains to close at 30796.
 Low                  30,610             57,762            5,121
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Close                30,796             58,041            5,133   averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, –DI
 Prev. Close          30,711             58,376            5,139   line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound
                                                                   trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916 and 31535 while the
 % Change              0.28%             -0.57%          -0.12%
                                                                   support levels are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000, 29500 and
Source – MCX                                                       29142.

                    Volume (In 000's)                              MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                    7-Feb-13            6-Feb-13         % Chg.    Silver opened lower at 58369 and moved further lower to touch an
 Gold (gms)          46,327.0           30,898.0         49.94%    intra-day low of 57762. However, it managed to bounce back and
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 58645. It ended the day
 Silver (kgs)         2,362.7            1,255.2         88.24%    with moderate losses to close at 58041.
 Crude (bbl)         24,725.8           24,039.1          2.86%
                                                                   The Stochastic and RSI are placed below their respective
Source – MCX                                                       averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, –DI
                                                                   line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484, 62164 and
                                                                   63224 while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952
                    7-Feb-13            6-Feb-13         % Chg.
                                                                   levels.
Gold              1,425,016.4       947,261.9            50.44%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) –
Silver            1,376,348.4       731,455.9            88.17%

Crude             1,274,136.6     1,229,339.2             3.64%    Crude opened higher at 5144 and moved further higher to touch an
                                                                   intra-day high of 5185. However, it failed to sustain higher and
Source – MCX
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5121. It ended the day
                                                                   with marginal losses to close the day at 5133.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)

                        08/02/2013        07/02/2013     % Chg.    The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling
                                                                   pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average,
Gold (oz)                   1,672.50        1,671.30      0.07%    which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The -DI line is
Silver (oz)                     31.50          31.41      0.29%    placed above the +DI line but has come off its recent highs,
                                                                   indicating sellers are covering shorts at lower levels.. It faces
WTI Crude (bbl)                 96.17          95.83      0.35%
                                                                   resistance at 5157, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports are
Brent Crude (bbl)            117.82           117.26      0.48%    placed at 5122, 5085 and 4961
Dollar Index                    80.15          80.23     -0.10%
                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                          Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices moots cap on wheat buy to avert storage crisis
Ahead of the fresh harvest season, the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) has asked the
government to cap wheat procurement in states which levy taxes higher than 5% and offer a bonus over and above
the minimum support price (MSP) to farmers. "The government should defer open-ended procurement in such states.
Cabinet okays Copra minimum support price hike
The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) on Thursday approved an increase in the minimum support price
(MSP) of milling copra and ball copra by Rs 150 per quintal. The revised MSP for the 2013 season will be Rs 5,350
per quintal for milling copra and Rs5,500 a quintal for ball copra..
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

    Countries /                 Friday                          Monday                           Tuesday

     Regions                    08/13                             11/13                            12/13

       India         Bank Loan Growth (Jan 21)                                           Industrial Output (Dec)

                                                                                          Manufacturing Output
                     FX Reserves, USD (Feb 10)
                                                                                                 (Dec)




        US              Trade Balance (Dec)




                       China Consumer Price               Japan Consumer                UK Consumer Price Index
      Global
                         Index (YoY) (Jan)              Confidence Index (Jan)                (YoY) (Jan)
                                                       Germany Wholesale Price          UK Producer Price Index -
                      China Trade Balance (Jan)
                                                          Index (YoY) (Jan)              Output (YoY) n.s.a (Jan)
                      Germany Trade Balance               Japan Money Supply              Japan Tertiary Industry
                           s.a. (Dec)                      M2+CD (YoY) (Jan)                   Index (MoM)




                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 080213

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 8th February 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) – 07-Feb-13 Expiry 05-Apr-13 05-Mar-13 19-Feb-13 Gold opened higher at 30721 but moved further lower to touch an Open 30,721 58,369 5,144 intra-day low of 30610. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 30890. It ended the day High 30,890 58,645 5,185 with modest gains to close at 30796. Low 30,610 57,762 5,121 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Close 30,796 58,041 5,133 averages, which would lead to buying support. The ADX line, –DI Prev. Close 30,711 58,376 5,139 line and +DI line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916 and 31535 while the % Change 0.28% -0.57% -0.12% support levels are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000, 29500 and Source – MCX 29142. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – 7-Feb-13 6-Feb-13 % Chg. Silver opened lower at 58369 and moved further lower to touch an Gold (gms) 46,327.0 30,898.0 49.94% intra-day low of 57762. However, it managed to bounce back and moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 58645. It ended the day Silver (kgs) 2,362.7 1,255.2 88.24% with moderate losses to close at 58041. Crude (bbl) 24,725.8 24,039.1 2.86% The Stochastic and RSI are placed below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line, –DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Turnover (In Lacs) trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484, 62164 and 63224 while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 7-Feb-13 6-Feb-13 % Chg. levels. Gold 1,425,016.4 947,261.9 50.44% MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) – Silver 1,376,348.4 731,455.9 88.17% Crude 1,274,136.6 1,229,339.2 3.64% Crude opened higher at 5144 and moved further higher to touch an intra-day high of 5185. However, it failed to sustain higher and Source – MCX moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5121. It ended the day with marginal losses to close the day at 5133. Global Market (Nymex - $) 08/02/2013 07/02/2013 % Chg. The RSI is placed below its average, which would lead to selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is placed above its average, Gold (oz) 1,672.50 1,671.30 0.07% which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The -DI line is Silver (oz) 31.50 31.41 0.29% placed above the +DI line but has come off its recent highs, indicating sellers are covering shorts at lower levels.. It faces WTI Crude (bbl) 96.17 95.83 0.35% resistance at 5157, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports are Brent Crude (bbl) 117.82 117.26 0.48% placed at 5122, 5085 and 4961 Dollar Index 80.15 80.23 -0.10% Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Source – www.cmegroup.com Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices moots cap on wheat buy to avert storage crisis Ahead of the fresh harvest season, the Commission for Agricultural Costs and Prices (CACP) has asked the government to cap wheat procurement in states which levy taxes higher than 5% and offer a bonus over and above the minimum support price (MSP) to farmers. "The government should defer open-ended procurement in such states. Cabinet okays Copra minimum support price hike The Cabinet Committee on Economic Affairs (CCEA) on Thursday approved an increase in the minimum support price (MSP) of milling copra and ball copra by Rs 150 per quintal. The revised MSP for the 2013 season will be Rs 5,350 per quintal for milling copra and Rs5,500 a quintal for ball copra.. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 08/13 11/13 12/13 India Bank Loan Growth (Jan 21) Industrial Output (Dec) Manufacturing Output FX Reserves, USD (Feb 10) (Dec) US Trade Balance (Dec) China Consumer Price Japan Consumer UK Consumer Price Index Global Index (YoY) (Jan) Confidence Index (Jan) (YoY) (Jan) Germany Wholesale Price UK Producer Price Index - China Trade Balance (Jan) Index (YoY) (Jan) Output (YoY) n.s.a (Jan) Germany Trade Balance Japan Money Supply Japan Tertiary Industry s.a. (Dec) M2+CD (YoY) (Jan) Index (MoM) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com