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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                 15th January 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) –
 14-Jan-13
                                                                   Gold opened higher at 30800 and moved further higher to touch an
 Expiry             5-Feb-13        5-Mar-13           21-Jan-13   intra-day high of 30840. However, it failed to sustain higher and
 Open                 30,800             58,300            5,140   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30716. It ended the day
                                                                   with marginal losses to close at 30740.
 High                 30,840             58,964            5,164

 Low                  30,716             58,300            5,077   The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead selling pressure. The +DI line, the -DI
 Close                30,740             58,743            5,101   line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
 Prev. Close          30,790             58,199            5,136   trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916, 31535, 31702 and
                                                                   31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30366, 30150
 % Change             -0.16%              0.93%          -0.68%
                                                                   and 29607.
Source – MCX
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                    Volume (In 000's)                              Silver opened higher at 58300. Incidentally, this was the lowest
                                                                   price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day
                   14-Jan-13       12-Jan-13             % Chg.    high of 58964. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at
 Gold (gms)          24,432.0            1,465.0       1567.71%    58743.

 Silver (kgs)         1,665.5               49.1       3289.19%    The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to
 Crude (bbl)         19,228.1             660.5        2811.14%
                                                                   selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average,
                                                                   which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The +DI line,
Source – MCX                                                       the -DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range
                                                                   bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              63224 while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952
                                                                   levels.
                   14-Jan-13       12-Jan-13             % Chg.

Gold                751,935.8           45,106.0       1567.04%    MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) –
                                                                   Crude opened higher at 5140 and moved further higher to touch an
Silver              976,373.5           28,597.5       3314.19%    intra-day high of 5164. However, it failed to sustain higher and
Crude               983,757.0           33,928.5       2799.50%    moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5077. It ended the day
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 5101.
Source – MCX
                                                                   The Stochastic and the RSI have slipped below their respective
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                          averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line and
                        15/01/2013        14/01/2013     % Chg.    +DI line have slipped below the 30 level, indicating buyers are
                                                                   booking profits at higher levels. It faces resistance at 5126, 5157,
Gold (oz)                   1,670.30        1,668.90      0.08%    5300 and 5476, while the supports are placed at 5085, 4989, 4788
Silver (oz)                     31.11          31.12     -0.03%    and 4755.
WTI Crude (bbl)                 93.96          94.14     -0.19%
                                                                   Positional Call – SELL MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13)             below
Brent Crude (bbl)            111.74           111.88     -0.13%    5106, Stop Loss 5169 Target of 4975
Dollar Index                    79.38          79.55     -0.21%
                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
Source – www.cmegroup.com                                          Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Gold gains after Evans comments on steps for economy
Gold today rose after Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said the US central bank should
keep steps to boost economic growth, boosting demand for the metal as an alternative to currencies. Gold climbed 0.4
per cent to USD 1,668.59 an ounce and silver by 0.9 per cent to USD 30.74 an ounce. Too much austerity too soon
could be damaging to near- and medium-term growth, Evans said in Hong Kong today.
Surging platinum poised to hit parity with gold
Rallying platinum prices are on the brink of hitting parity with gold, as concerns over supply outages in South Africa
reignite, and stabilising economic conditions in China and the US boost the appeal of industrial metals over safe
havens. Even though platinum is still vulnerable to hiccups in the tentative global economic recovery, the white metal's
discount to bullion has shrunk to its tightest in nine months, a signal commonly associated with cyclical upswings.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

  Countries /                 Tuesday                         Wednesday                         Thursday

    Regions                    15/13                             16/13                            17/13

     India




                    Producer Price Index (YoY)       Consumer Price Index (YoY)          Initial and Continuing
      US
                              (Dec)                           (Dec)                      Jobless Claims (Jan 6)
                                                     Industrial Production (MoM)
                     Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec)                                         Housing Starts (MoM) (Dec)
                                                                 (Dec)




                      UK RICS Housing Price          Euro Consumer Price Index
    Global                                                                             Euro ECB Monthly Report
                          Balance (Dec)                  - Core (YoY) (Dec)
                     Germany Gross Domestic                                           China Producer and Import
                        Product n.s.a (YoY)                                               Prices (MoM) (Dec)
                     UK Consumer Price Index
                           (YoY) (Dec)




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 150113

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 15th January 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) – 14-Jan-13 Gold opened higher at 30800 and moved further higher to touch an Expiry 5-Feb-13 5-Mar-13 21-Jan-13 intra-day high of 30840. However, it failed to sustain higher and Open 30,800 58,300 5,140 moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30716. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 30740. High 30,840 58,964 5,164 Low 30,716 58,300 5,077 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages, which would lead selling pressure. The +DI line, the -DI Close 30,740 58,743 5,101 line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Prev. Close 30,790 58,199 5,136 trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916, 31535, 31702 and 31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30366, 30150 % Change -0.16% 0.93% -0.68% and 29607. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – Volume (In 000's) Silver opened higher at 58300. Incidentally, this was the lowest price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day 14-Jan-13 12-Jan-13 % Chg. high of 58964. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at Gold (gms) 24,432.0 1,465.0 1567.71% 58743. Silver (kgs) 1,665.5 49.1 3289.19% The Stochastic is placed below its average, which would lead to Crude (bbl) 19,228.1 660.5 2811.14% selling pressure. However, the RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support at lower levels. The +DI line, Source – MCX the -DI line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and Turnover (In Lacs) 63224 while the supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels. 14-Jan-13 12-Jan-13 % Chg. Gold 751,935.8 45,106.0 1567.04% MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) – Crude opened higher at 5140 and moved further higher to touch an Silver 976,373.5 28,597.5 3314.19% intra-day high of 5164. However, it failed to sustain higher and Crude 983,757.0 33,928.5 2799.50% moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5077. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 5101. Source – MCX The Stochastic and the RSI have slipped below their respective Global Market (Nymex - $) averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The ADX line and 15/01/2013 14/01/2013 % Chg. +DI line have slipped below the 30 level, indicating buyers are booking profits at higher levels. It faces resistance at 5126, 5157, Gold (oz) 1,670.30 1,668.90 0.08% 5300 and 5476, while the supports are placed at 5085, 4989, 4788 Silver (oz) 31.11 31.12 -0.03% and 4755. WTI Crude (bbl) 93.96 94.14 -0.19% Positional Call – SELL MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) below Brent Crude (bbl) 111.74 111.88 -0.13% 5106, Stop Loss 5169 Target of 4975 Dollar Index 79.38 79.55 -0.21% Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Source – www.cmegroup.com Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Gold gains after Evans comments on steps for economy Gold today rose after Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago President Charles Evans said the US central bank should keep steps to boost economic growth, boosting demand for the metal as an alternative to currencies. Gold climbed 0.4 per cent to USD 1,668.59 an ounce and silver by 0.9 per cent to USD 30.74 an ounce. Too much austerity too soon could be damaging to near- and medium-term growth, Evans said in Hong Kong today. Surging platinum poised to hit parity with gold Rallying platinum prices are on the brink of hitting parity with gold, as concerns over supply outages in South Africa reignite, and stabilising economic conditions in China and the US boost the appeal of industrial metals over safe havens. Even though platinum is still vulnerable to hiccups in the tentative global economic recovery, the white metal's discount to bullion has shrunk to its tightest in nine months, a signal commonly associated with cyclical upswings. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Regions 15/13 16/13 17/13 India Producer Price Index (YoY) Consumer Price Index (YoY) Initial and Continuing US (Dec) (Dec) Jobless Claims (Jan 6) Industrial Production (MoM) Retail Sales (MoM) (Dec) Housing Starts (MoM) (Dec) (Dec) UK RICS Housing Price Euro Consumer Price Index Global Euro ECB Monthly Report Balance (Dec) - Core (YoY) (Dec) Germany Gross Domestic China Producer and Import Product n.s.a (YoY) Prices (MoM) (Dec) UK Consumer Price Index (YoY) (Dec) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com