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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                12th February 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) –
 11-Feb-13
 Expiry            05-Apr-13       05-Mar-13           19-Feb-13   Gold opened higher at 30829 and moved further higher to touch an
 Open                 30,829             58,309            5,147   intra-day high of 30835. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30583. It ended the day
 High                 30,835             58,360            5,234
                                                                   with moderate losses to close at 30640.
 Low                  30,583             57,542            5,129
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
 Close                30,640             57,661            5,229   averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line has
 Prev. Close          30,815             58,246            5,152   moved above the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level, sellers
                                                                   are gaining strength.. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916 and
 % Change             -0.57%             -1.00%           1.49%
                                                                   31535 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000,
Source – MCX                                                       29500 and 29142.

                    Volume (In 000's)                              MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                   11-Feb-13            9-Feb-13         % Chg.    Silver opened higher at 58309 and moved further higher to touch
 Gold (gms)          35,680.0              943.0       3683.67%    an intra-day high of 58360. However, it failed to sustain higher and
                                                                   moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57542. It ended the day
 Silver (kgs)         1,702.1               29.3       5713.01%    with moderate losses to close at 57661.
 Crude (bbl)         22,772.8              287.8       7812.72%
                                                                   The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
Source – MCX                                                       averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line has
                                                                   moved above the +DI line and is placed above the 26 level, sellers
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483,
                                                                   61484, 62164 and 63224 while the supports are placed at 57049,
                   11-Feb-13            9-Feb-13         % Chg.
                                                                   56372 and 55952 levels.
Gold              1,095,225.9           29,049.5       3670.21%
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) –
Silver              985,114.3           17,044.3       5679.75%

Crude             1,177,674.0           14,821.9       7845.48%    Crude opened lower at 5147 and moved further lower to touch an
                                                                   intra-day low of 5129. However, it managed to bounce back and
Source – MCX
                                                                   moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5234. It ended the day
                                                                   with handsome gains to close the day at 5229.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)

                        12/02/2013        11/02/2013     % Chg.    The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is
                                                                   already placed above its average. These positive conditions would
Gold (oz)                   1,644.90        1,649.20     -0.26%    lead to buying support. The ADX line, the –DI line and the +DI line
Silver (oz)                     30.81          30.91     -0.32%    are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces
                                                                   resistance at 5248, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports are
WTI Crude (bbl)                 96.87          97.03     -0.16%
                                                                   placed at 5157, 5122, 5085 and 4961
Brent Crude (bbl)            118.19           118.13      0.05%

Dollar Index                    80.40          80.38      0.02%    Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
                                                                   Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
                                                                   Basis




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Pepper exports turn unviable on higher prices
Indian pepper prices have topped Rs 400 per kg again making the spice uncompetitive in the global market. Supplies
have come down although harvest is on. A delay in decision on the 6,800 tonne of pepper sealed in NCDEX
warehouses on complaints of contamination too is keeping supplies tight.
Growth spurs funds to turn bullish on copper
Hedge funds increased bullish commodity bets for the fourth straight week and became the most bullish on copper
since December on signs of faster growth in the United States and China.
Brent crude trades near 9-month high
Brent crude oil, which touched its highest in nine months on last Friday, was unchanged just below $119 a barrel. Oil
futures dipped slightly in Asia in thin trading due to the Chinese New Year holiday, but data showing stronger than
expected demand growth in China limited losses. The front-month March light, sweet crude contract on the New York
Mercantile Exchange was trading 10 cents lower at $95.62 a barrel.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:

    Countries /                Tuesday                        Wednesday                          Thursday

     Regions                    12/13                             13/13                            14/13

       India           Industrial Output (Dec)                                                  WPI Inflation (Jan)

                       Manufacturing Output
                              (Dec)




        US                                              Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan)

                                                         10-Year Note Auction




                                                                                        European Monetory Union
                      UK Consumer Price Index            UK Bank of England
      Global                                                                             Gross Domestic Product
                            (YoY) (Jan)                Quarterly Inflation Report
                                                                                         s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar
                                                         Japan Gross Domestic           Japan BoJ Monetary Policy
                      UK Producer Price Index -
                                                             Product (QoQ)                 Statement and press
                       Output (YoY) n.s.a (Jan)
                                                            (Q4)Preliminar                      conference
                       Japan Tertiary Industry                                            Japan BoJ Interest Rate
                            Index (MoM)                                                      Decision (Feb 14)




                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
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Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report.
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 120213

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 12th February 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 APRIL 13) – 11-Feb-13 Expiry 05-Apr-13 05-Mar-13 19-Feb-13 Gold opened higher at 30829 and moved further higher to touch an Open 30,829 58,309 5,147 intra-day high of 30835. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 30583. It ended the day High 30,835 58,360 5,234 with moderate losses to close at 30640. Low 30,583 57,542 5,129 The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective Close 30,640 57,661 5,229 averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line has Prev. Close 30,815 58,246 5,152 moved above the +DI line and is placed above the 25 level, sellers are gaining strength.. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916 and % Change -0.57% -1.00% 1.49% 31535 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30150, 30000, Source – MCX 29500 and 29142. Volume (In 000's) MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – 11-Feb-13 9-Feb-13 % Chg. Silver opened higher at 58309 and moved further higher to touch Gold (gms) 35,680.0 943.0 3683.67% an intra-day high of 58360. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 57542. It ended the day Silver (kgs) 1,702.1 29.3 5713.01% with moderate losses to close at 57661. Crude (bbl) 22,772.8 287.8 7812.72% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to selling pressure. The –DI line has moved above the +DI line and is placed above the 26 level, sellers Turnover (In Lacs) are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484, 62164 and 63224 while the supports are placed at 57049, 11-Feb-13 9-Feb-13 % Chg. 56372 and 55952 levels. Gold 1,095,225.9 29,049.5 3670.21% MCX CRUDE (19 FEBRUARY 13) – Silver 985,114.3 17,044.3 5679.75% Crude 1,177,674.0 14,821.9 7845.48% Crude opened lower at 5147 and moved further lower to touch an intra-day low of 5129. However, it managed to bounce back and Source – MCX moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5234. It ended the day with handsome gains to close the day at 5229. Global Market (Nymex - $) 12/02/2013 11/02/2013 % Chg. The RSI has moved above its average. Moreover, the Stochastic is already placed above its average. These positive conditions would Gold (oz) 1,644.90 1,649.20 -0.26% lead to buying support. The ADX line, the –DI line and the +DI line Silver (oz) 30.81 30.91 -0.32% are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5248, 5300, 5401 and 5476, while the supports are WTI Crude (bbl) 96.87 97.03 -0.16% placed at 5157, 5122, 5085 and 4961 Brent Crude (bbl) 118.19 118.13 0.05% Dollar Index 80.40 80.38 0.02% Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Source – www.cmegroup.com NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Basis Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Pepper exports turn unviable on higher prices Indian pepper prices have topped Rs 400 per kg again making the spice uncompetitive in the global market. Supplies have come down although harvest is on. A delay in decision on the 6,800 tonne of pepper sealed in NCDEX warehouses on complaints of contamination too is keeping supplies tight. Growth spurs funds to turn bullish on copper Hedge funds increased bullish commodity bets for the fourth straight week and became the most bullish on copper since December on signs of faster growth in the United States and China. Brent crude trades near 9-month high Brent crude oil, which touched its highest in nine months on last Friday, was unchanged just below $119 a barrel. Oil futures dipped slightly in Asia in thin trading due to the Chinese New Year holiday, but data showing stronger than expected demand growth in China limited losses. The front-month March light, sweet crude contract on the New York Mercantile Exchange was trading 10 cents lower at $95.62 a barrel. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Regions 12/13 13/13 14/13 India Industrial Output (Dec) WPI Inflation (Jan) Manufacturing Output (Dec) US Retail Sales (MoM) (Jan) 10-Year Note Auction European Monetory Union UK Consumer Price Index UK Bank of England Global Gross Domestic Product (YoY) (Jan) Quarterly Inflation Report s.a. (YoY) (Q4)Preliminar Japan Gross Domestic Japan BoJ Monetary Policy UK Producer Price Index - Product (QoQ) Statement and press Output (YoY) n.s.a (Jan) (Q4)Preliminar conference Japan Tertiary Industry Japan BoJ Interest Rate Index (MoM) Decision (Feb 14) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com