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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           31st January 2012

                                                                  MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 28030. It moved
                       Gold         Silver          Crude
                      (4 Feb-12)   (5 Mar-12)     (20 Feb-12)
                                                                  higher to touch an intra-day high of 28094. However, it failed to
                                                                  sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27845
 Open                    28,030        57,090          4,939      on back of selling pressure. But gold managed a bounce back
 High                    28,094        57,145          4,968      towards the evening of the trading session and closed near the
                                                                  highs for the day. It ended the day with modest gains to close at
 Low                     27,845        56,425          4,916      28059.
 Close                   28,059        56,992          4,945
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
 Prev. Close             27,990        57,229          4,942      averages, which would result in buying support. However, the
                                                                  Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would
 % Change                 0.25%       -0.41%           0.06%
                                                                  lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and
Source – MCX                                                      +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
                                                                  GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the
                       Volume (In 000's)                          supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels.
                       30/1/2012    28/1/2012         % Chg.      MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 57090. It moved
                                                                  higher to touch an intra-day high of 57145. However, it failed to
 Gold (gms)             28,403.0      2,051.0      1284.84%
                                                                  sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56425
 Silver (kgs)            1,797.5           68.9    2508.40%       on back of selling pressure. But silver managed a bounce back
 Crude (bbl)            12,770.7        295.7      4218.80%
                                                                  towards the evening session but failed to sustain higher. It ended
                                                                  the day with modest losses to close at 56992.
Source – MCX
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                          averages. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone,
                                                                  which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling
                       30/1/2012    28/1/2012         % Chg.      pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is
                                                                  placed at 37.83 level, indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX
Gold                   795,001.6     57,405.6      1284.89%
                                                                  Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while
Silver               1,020,454.8     39,458.3      2486.16%       the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.
Crude                  631,229.8     14,610.8      4220.29%       MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4939 level. It
Source – MCX
                                                                  moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4968. However, it failed
                                                                  to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4916
                                                                  on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close the day at
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                  4945.
                       31/1/2012    30/1/2012         % Chg.
                                                                  The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
Gold (oz)               1,736.60     1,731.00          0.32%      averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling
                                                                  pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over sold
Silver (oz)                33.60        33.50          0.31%
                                                                  zone, while RSI is also approaching the over sold zone. These
Crude (bbl)                99.40        98.78          0.63%      conditions would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and
Dollar Index               78.87        79.13         -0.32%      buying support at lower levels. The -DI line and +DI line are moving
                                                                  sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and
Source – www.cmegroup.com
                                                                  5200, while the supports are placed at 4903, 4877 and 4493 levels.
                                                                                    Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close            Pivot Point             R1            R2          R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4945                     4943         4970          4995       5047          4918         4891        4839

 GOLD FEB 12                         28059                  27999          28154          28248      28497        27905         27750       27501

 SILVER MAR 12                       56992                  56854          57283          57574      58294        56563         56134       55414


                                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                                www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Tuesday                   Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday                       Monday
       Jan. 31                   Feb. 01                        Feb. 02                       Feb. 03                      Feb. 05
Consumer Confidence       ISM Manufacturing             Jobless Claims Data          Employment Situation          Factory Orders
                          Index                                                      Data
Employment Cost           Motor Vehicle Sales           Bloomberg Consumer           Factory Orders                ISM Non-Mfg Index
Index                                                   Comfort Index
ICSC-Goldman Store        ADP Employment                Productivity and Costs       ISM Non-Mfg Index             4-Week Bill
Sales                     Report                        Data                                                       Announcement




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
         th
        4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
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redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price
movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a
company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable
basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 310112

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 31st January 2012 MCX GOLD (FEB 12) - Gold opened higher at 28030. It moved Gold Silver Crude (4 Feb-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28094. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 27845 Open 28,030 57,090 4,939 on back of selling pressure. But gold managed a bounce back High 28,094 57,145 4,968 towards the evening of the trading session and closed near the highs for the day. It ended the day with modest gains to close at Low 27,845 56,425 4,916 28059. Close 28,059 56,992 4,945 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Prev. Close 27,990 57,229 4,942 averages, which would result in buying support. However, the Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone, which would % Change 0.25% -0.41% 0.06% lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, -DI line and Source – MCX +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28152, 28960 and 29212, while the Volume (In 000's) supports are placed at 27954, 26347, 25500 and 24992 levels. 30/1/2012 28/1/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 57090. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57145. However, it failed to Gold (gms) 28,403.0 2,051.0 1284.84% sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56425 Silver (kgs) 1,797.5 68.9 2508.40% on back of selling pressure. But silver managed a bounce back Crude (bbl) 12,770.7 295.7 4218.80% towards the evening session but failed to sustain higher. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 56992. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective Turnover (In Lacs) averages. However, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which would lead to intermediate bouts of profit taking and selling 30/1/2012 28/1/2012 % Chg. pressure. The ADX line, -DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is placed at 37.83 level, indicating buyers are gaining strength. MCX Gold 795,001.6 57,405.6 1284.89% Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while Silver 1,020,454.8 39,458.3 2486.16% the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Crude 631,229.8 14,610.8 4220.29% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened lower at 4939 level. It Source – MCX moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4968. However, it failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 4916 on back of selling pressure. It ended the day flat to close the day at Global Market (Nymex - $) 4945. 31/1/2012 30/1/2012 % Chg. The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective Gold (oz) 1,736.60 1,731.00 0.32% averages, which would result in intermediate bouts of selling pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed in the over sold Silver (oz) 33.60 33.50 0.31% zone, while RSI is also approaching the over sold zone. These Crude (bbl) 99.40 98.78 0.63% conditions would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering and Dollar Index 78.87 79.13 -0.32% buying support at lower levels. The -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways. It faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and Source – www.cmegroup.com 5200, while the supports are placed at 4903, 4877 and 4493 levels. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4945 4943 4970 4995 5047 4918 4891 4839 GOLD FEB 12 28059 27999 28154 28248 28497 27905 27750 27501 SILVER MAR 12 56992 56854 57283 57574 58294 56563 56134 55414 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Monday Jan. 31 Feb. 01 Feb. 02 Feb. 03 Feb. 05 Consumer Confidence ISM Manufacturing Jobless Claims Data Employment Situation Factory Orders Index Data Employment Cost Motor Vehicle Sales Bloomberg Consumer Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Index Comfort Index ICSC-Goldman Store ADP Employment Productivity and Costs ISM Non-Mfg Index 4-Week Bill Sales Report Data Announcement Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com