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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           13th February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28249. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)     lower to touch an intra-day low of 28222. However, it managed a
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Open                    28,249        56,890         4,911
                                                                 28285. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 28259.
 High                    28,285        56,951         4,930

 Low                     28,222        56,794         4,911      The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to
 Close                   28,259        56,875         4,926      intermediate bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has
                                                                 slipped below its average but is still placed in the over bought zone
 Prev. Close             28,274        56,915         4,905
                                                                 and would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, -
 % Change                -0.05%        -0.07%         0.43%      DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
Source – MCX                                                     trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433,
                                                                 while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels.
                       Volume (In 000's)

                       11/2/2012    10/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56890. It moved
                                                                 lower to touch an intra-day low of 56794. However, it managed a
 Gold (gms)              1,362.0     41,854.0       -96.75%
                                                                 bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of
 Silver (kgs)               59.1       2,022.5      -97.08%      56951. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56875.
 Crude (bbl)               581.7     14,458.7       -95.98%
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective
Source – MCX
                                                                 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling
                      Turnover (In Lacs)
                                                                 pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are
                                                                 moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces
                       11/2/2012    10/2/2012        % Chg.      resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports
Gold                    38,488.4   1,180,855.8      -96.74%      are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels.

Silver                  33,622.7   1,150,344.2      -97.08%
                                                                 MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4911 level.
Crude                   28,649.7    709,242.5       -95.96%      Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to
Source – MCX                                                     touch an intra-day high of 4930. It ended the day with modest gains
                                                                 to close at 4926.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                       13/2/2012    11/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
Gold (oz)               1,726.00     1,723.30         0.16%      However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone and
Silver (oz)                33.63        33.58         0.16%      would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line
                                                                 and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It
Crude (bbl)                99.57        98.67         0.91%
                                                                 faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports
Dollar Index               78.78        79.00        -0.28%      are placed at 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4926                    4922         4934          4941        4960          4915         4903        4884

 GOLD APR 12                          28259                 28255         28289          28318       28381        28226         28192       28129

 SILVER MAR 12                        56875                 56873         56953          57030       57187        56796         56716       56559


                                                                 Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

       Monday                      Tuesday                     Wednesday                      Thursday                       Friday
       Feb. 13                     Feb. 14                      Feb. 15                        Feb. 16                       Feb. 17
4-Week Bill                Retail Sales Data             Industrial Production        Jobless Claims                Consumer Price Index
Announcement
3-Month Bill Auction       Import and Export             FOMC Meeting                 Housing Starts                Leading Indicators
                           Prices                        Minutes
6-Month Bill Auction       Business Inventories          Housing Market Index         Producer Price Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
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use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
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                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 130212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 13th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened lower at 28249. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) lower to touch an intra-day low of 28222. However, it managed a bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Open 28,249 56,890 4,911 28285. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 28259. High 28,285 56,951 4,930 Low 28,222 56,794 4,911 The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to Close 28,259 56,875 4,926 intermediate bouts of buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average but is still placed in the over bought zone Prev. Close 28,274 56,915 4,905 and would lead to profit taking and selling pressure. The ADX line, - % Change -0.05% -0.07% 0.43% DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Source – MCX trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and 25500 levels. Volume (In 000's) 11/2/2012 10/2/2012 % Chg. MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened lower at 56890. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 56794. However, it managed a Gold (gms) 1,362.0 41,854.0 -96.75% bounce back from lower levels. It touched an intra-day high of Silver (kgs) 59.1 2,022.5 -97.08% 56951. It ended the day with marginal losses to close at 56875. Crude (bbl) 581.7 14,458.7 -95.98% The RSI and the Stochastic have slipped below their respective Source – MCX averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of selling Turnover (In Lacs) pressure and profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and -DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. MCX Silver faces 11/2/2012 10/2/2012 % Chg. resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports Gold 38,488.4 1,180,855.8 -96.74% are placed at 54671, 53170 and 51366 levels. Silver 33,622.7 1,150,344.2 -97.08% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4911 level. Crude 28,649.7 709,242.5 -95.96% Incidentally, this was the lowest price for the day. It moved higher to Source – MCX touch an intra-day high of 4930. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 4926. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 13/2/2012 11/2/2012 % Chg. averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. Gold (oz) 1,726.00 1,723.30 0.16% However, the Stochastic is placed in the over bought zone and Silver (oz) 33.63 33.58 0.16% would lead to regular bouts of profit taking. The ADX line, +DI line and –DI line are moving sideways, indicating range bound trend. It Crude (bbl) 99.57 98.67 0.91% faces resistance at 4950, 5003, 5065 and 5115, while the supports Dollar Index 78.78 79.00 -0.28% are placed at 4903, 4877, 4670 and 4493 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4926 4922 4934 4941 4960 4915 4903 4884 GOLD APR 12 28259 28255 28289 28318 28381 28226 28192 28129 SILVER MAR 12 56875 56873 56953 57030 57187 56796 56716 56559 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Feb. 13 Feb. 14 Feb. 15 Feb. 16 Feb. 17 4-Week Bill Retail Sales Data Industrial Production Jobless Claims Consumer Price Index Announcement 3-Month Bill Auction Import and Export FOMC Meeting Housing Starts Leading Indicators Prices Minutes 6-Month Bill Auction Business Inventories Housing Market Index Producer Price Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com