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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                 16th January 2013

                     Gold           Silver             Crude       MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) –
 15-Jan-13
                                                                   Gold opened higher at 30769 but moved marginally lower to touch
 Expiry             5-Feb-13        5-Mar-13           21-Jan-13   an intra-day low of 30737. However, it managed to bounce back
 Open                 30,769             58,853            5,105   from lower levels to move. It touched an intra-day high of 30887. It
                                                                   ended the day with modest gains to close at 30869.
 High                 30,887             59,580            5,148

 Low                  30,737             58,765            5,105   The RSI and the Stochastic have moved above their respective
                                                                   averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI
 Close                30,869             59,459            5,131   line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound
 Prev. Close          30,740             58,743            5,101   trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916, 31535, 31702 and
                                                                   31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30366, 30150
 % Change              0.42%              1.22%           0.59%
                                                                   and 29607.
Source – MCX
                                                                   MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) –
                    Volume (In 000's)                              Silver opened higher at 58853 but moved marginally lower to touch
                                                                   an intra-day low of 30737. However, it managed to bounce back
                   15-Jan-13       14-Jan-13             % Chg.    from lower levels to move. It touched an intra-day high of 59580. It
 Gold (gms)          30,463.0           24,432.0         24.68%    ended the day with moderate gains to close at 59459.

 Silver (kgs)         1,729.9            1,665.5          3.87%    The Stochastic has moved above its average. Moreover, the RSI is
 Crude (bbl)         15,155.7           19,228.1        -21.18%
                                                                   placed above its average. These positive technical conditions
                                                                   would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI line and ADX
Source – MCX                                                       line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX
                                                                   Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and 63224 while the
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                              supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels.
                   15-Jan-13       14-Jan-13             % Chg.
                                                                   MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) –
Gold                939,311.2       751,935.8            24.92%    Crude opened higher at 5105. Incidentally, this was the lowest
                                                                   price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day
Silver            1,023,343.3       976,373.5             4.81%    high of 5148. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at
Crude               777,285.4       983,757.0           -20.99%    5131.
Source – MCX                                                       The Stochastic has moved above its average, which would lead to
                                                                   buying support. However, the RSI is still placed below its averages,
                Global Market (Nymex - $)                          which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, the -DI line and
                        16/01/2013        15/01/2013     % Chg.    ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It
                                                                   faces resistance at 5157, 5300 and 5476, while the supports are
Gold (oz)                   1,681.70        1,683.90     -0.13%
                                                                   placed at 5126, 5085, 4989, 4788 and 4755.
Silver (oz)                     31.40          31.53     -0.41%
                                                                   Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research)
WTI Crude (bbl)                 93.58          93.28      0.32%
                                                                   Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
Brent Crude (bbl)            110.69           110.30      0.35%
                                                                   NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing
Dollar Index                    79.72          79.77     -0.06%
                                                                   Basis
Source – www.cmegroup.com




                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                  www.keynotecapitals.com
Commodity News:
Oil steadies below $112 on US growth, debt hopes
Brent crude oil steadied under $112 per barrel on Tuesday on optimism that the euro zone economy may finally be
stabilising and that U.S. consumers are beginning to spend again after several years of belt tightening. Brent futures
are near the top of an $8 range seen over the last three months with investors encouraged by world economic trends,
despite some negative data suggesting downward risks for global oil demand and prices.
Gold, silver surge on firm demand
Gold prices recovered smartly at the domestic bullion market today on renewed off-take by stockists and investors on
the back of higher global cues. Silver also jumped on heavy speculative demand and higher industrial buying.
Standard gold of 99.5 per cent purity rose by Rs 140 to finish at Rs 30,540 per 10 gm from Monday's closing level of
Rs 30,400.
Rice basmati declines on sluggish demand
Prices of basmati rice fell up to Rs 200 per quintal in wholesale grain's market today owing to slackened demand
against adequate stocks position. However, bajra and barley found fresh buying support from consuming industries
and ended higher.
Source: ET


Economic Calendar:


  Countries /               Wednesday                          Thursday                           Friday

    Regions                    16/13                             17/13                            18/13

     India




                                                                                           Reuters/Michigan
                   Consumer Price Index (YoY)           Initial and Continuing
      US                                                                              Consumer Sentiment Index
                            (Dec)                       Jobless Claims (Jan 6)
                                                                                             (Jan)Preliminar
                    Industrial Production (MoM)                                          American Petroleum
                                                     Housing Starts (MoM) (Dec)
                                (Dec)                                                  Institute Monthly Report




                    Euro Consumer Price Index                                            China Gross Domestic
    Global                                            Euro ECB Monthly Report
                        - Core (YoY) (Dec)                                                Product (QoQ) (Q4)
                                                     China Producer and Import           UK Retail Sales ex-Fuel
                                                         Prices (MoM) (Dec)                   (YoY) (Dec)




                                                  Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com
Disclaimer
This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or
redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not
to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve
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Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
           The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                 www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report for 160113

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 16th January 2013 Gold Silver Crude MCX GOLD (5 FEBRUARY 13) – 15-Jan-13 Gold opened higher at 30769 but moved marginally lower to touch Expiry 5-Feb-13 5-Mar-13 21-Jan-13 an intra-day low of 30737. However, it managed to bounce back Open 30,769 58,853 5,105 from lower levels to move. It touched an intra-day high of 30887. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 30869. High 30,887 59,580 5,148 Low 30,737 58,765 5,105 The RSI and the Stochastic have moved above their respective averages, which would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI Close 30,869 59,459 5,131 line and ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound Prev. Close 30,740 58,743 5,101 trend. MCX Gold faces resistance at 30916, 31535, 31702 and 31790 while the support levels are placed at 30475, 30366, 30150 % Change 0.42% 1.22% 0.59% and 29607. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (5 MARCH 13) – Volume (In 000's) Silver opened higher at 58853 but moved marginally lower to touch an intra-day low of 30737. However, it managed to bounce back 15-Jan-13 14-Jan-13 % Chg. from lower levels to move. It touched an intra-day high of 59580. It Gold (gms) 30,463.0 24,432.0 24.68% ended the day with moderate gains to close at 59459. Silver (kgs) 1,729.9 1,665.5 3.87% The Stochastic has moved above its average. Moreover, the RSI is Crude (bbl) 15,155.7 19,228.1 -21.18% placed above its average. These positive technical conditions would lead to buying support. The +DI line, the -DI line and ADX Source – MCX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. MCX Silver faces resistance at 59483, 61484 and 63224 while the Turnover (In Lacs) supports are placed at 57049, 56372 and 55952 levels. 15-Jan-13 14-Jan-13 % Chg. MCX CRUDE (21 JANUARY 13) – Gold 939,311.2 751,935.8 24.92% Crude opened higher at 5105. Incidentally, this was the lowest price recorded for the day. It moved higher to touch an intra-day Silver 1,023,343.3 976,373.5 4.81% high of 5148. It ended the day with moderate gains to close at Crude 777,285.4 983,757.0 -20.99% 5131. Source – MCX The Stochastic has moved above its average, which would lead to buying support. However, the RSI is still placed below its averages, Global Market (Nymex - $) which would lead to selling pressure. The +DI line, the -DI line and 16/01/2013 15/01/2013 % Chg. ADX line are moving sideways, indicating a range bound trend. It faces resistance at 5157, 5300 and 5476, while the supports are Gold (oz) 1,681.70 1,683.90 -0.13% placed at 5126, 5085, 4989, 4788 and 4755. Silver (oz) 31.40 31.53 -0.41% Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research) WTI Crude (bbl) 93.58 93.28 0.32% Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Brent Crude (bbl) 110.69 110.30 0.35% NOTE – Stop Losses should be considered strictly on Closing Dollar Index 79.72 79.77 -0.06% Basis Source – www.cmegroup.com Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Commodity News: Oil steadies below $112 on US growth, debt hopes Brent crude oil steadied under $112 per barrel on Tuesday on optimism that the euro zone economy may finally be stabilising and that U.S. consumers are beginning to spend again after several years of belt tightening. Brent futures are near the top of an $8 range seen over the last three months with investors encouraged by world economic trends, despite some negative data suggesting downward risks for global oil demand and prices. Gold, silver surge on firm demand Gold prices recovered smartly at the domestic bullion market today on renewed off-take by stockists and investors on the back of higher global cues. Silver also jumped on heavy speculative demand and higher industrial buying. Standard gold of 99.5 per cent purity rose by Rs 140 to finish at Rs 30,540 per 10 gm from Monday's closing level of Rs 30,400. Rice basmati declines on sluggish demand Prices of basmati rice fell up to Rs 200 per quintal in wholesale grain's market today owing to slackened demand against adequate stocks position. However, bajra and barley found fresh buying support from consuming industries and ended higher. Source: ET Economic Calendar: Countries / Wednesday Thursday Friday Regions 16/13 17/13 18/13 India Reuters/Michigan Consumer Price Index (YoY) Initial and Continuing US Consumer Sentiment Index (Dec) Jobless Claims (Jan 6) (Jan)Preliminar Industrial Production (MoM) American Petroleum Housing Starts (MoM) (Dec) (Dec) Institute Monthly Report Euro Consumer Price Index China Gross Domestic Global Euro ECB Monthly Report - Core (YoY) (Dec) Product (QoQ) (Q4) China Producer and Import UK Retail Sales ex-Fuel Prices (MoM) (Dec) (YoY) (Dec) Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com