10. Climate change impacts on hydrological
cycle
Changes in run-off mainly depend on changes in rainfall
●As rainfall changes are uncertain run-off changes
are also uncertain
Run-off and discharge will increase – especially during
the wet season
●River discharge increases – up to 60% - could cause
increased flooding
Difference between wet and dry season will become
larger
Especially in the northern and southern parts of the
region lower low flows and more drought are projected
for the future
12. Climate change impacts on hydropower
production
More average run-off increases the potential for
energy production from hydropower
●But due to the uncertainties in future run-off this is
not certain
The run-off however will become more variable
this will make dam management more
complicated and energy availability less reliable
Increased peak flow can also affect hydropower
facilities
●For example dam levels have to lowered to cover for
peak flow
●Extreme flows could damage dams and facilities
14. Climate change impacts on agriculture
Higher CO2 concentrations potentially increases production and
reduce agricultural water use
Higher temperatures reduces plant growth, cause heat stress
and increase evaporation
Water stress will increase in the drier parts of the regions
High temperatures and high humidity make crops sensitive to
diseases
In the northern and southern plant production will be affected
by more frequent droughts and dry spells
Locally, agriculture will be affected by high intensive rainfall
events and floods
15. Agriculture - conclusion
In the region, water will not become a limiting factor for
agricultural production – with the acceptance of northern
edge of the region (mainly Chad)
In terms of climate change, temperature increases will
be of more importance than changes in
evapotranspiration and rainfall
16. Need for adaptation
improve preparedness for extreme weather events
such as droughts and floods
in the agricultural and energy sector there is a need for
risk spreading by diversification
●grow different crops and also different varieties to reduce
impact of climate variability
●Countries should be careful not to become fully dependent on
hydropower because this makes them too vulnerable to
droughts
To prevent forest degeneration and erosion there should be
more attention on reforestation and agroforestry
Programs on food and water security should develop strategies
to manage climate variability so they are prepared for both
dry and wet periods