SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 8
Download to read offline
IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE)
e-ISSN: 2278-1684,p-ISSN: 2320-334X, Volume 8, Issue 1 (Jul. - Aug. 2013), PP 89-96
www.iosrjournals.org
www.iosrjournals.org 89 | Page
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal
Polders by the Extreme Value Analysis Method
Md. Saiful Islam 1
, Md. Zahirul Haque Khan 2
, Rubayat Alam 3
,
Md. Nasim Al Azad Khan 4
, Ismat Nur-A-Jahan5
1,4,5
Junior Engineer, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh
2
Director, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh
3
Senior Specialist, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh
Abstract: The coastal embankment system has been gradually built during the last 40 years. The embankments
were originally designed to increase agricultural production by preventing salt water intrusion not to protect
against cyclonic storms. The alignment of the embankments did not consider the changing conditions in
bathymetry of the sea and thalweg migration of the rivers and therefore many embankments are located under
tidal water level and have severe toe and slope erosion problems during the monsoon season. The crest level
and embankment cross sections have not optimized the protection of hinterland and the embankment itself and
therefore the embankments typically only provide protection for the cyclones with 5-12 year return periods and
the designed crest level of the sea facing coastal polder equal to the sum of normal maximum recorded water
stage plus 1.50m. In this study to estimate the design crest level and side slope for sea facing embankment have
been established based on maximum storm surge level, wave run-up for cyclonic wave, freeboard allowing 5
l/m/s overtopping ,potential climate change impact and land subsidence. Statistical analysis of surge level and
wave run-up is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero.
Keywords: Cyclonic wave, Overtopping Storm surge, Tidal surge, Wave Run-up
I. INTRODUCTION
In recent years cyclones Aila and Sidr hit the south western coastal zone only reminding that the whole
coastal zone is vulnerable to cyclones and storm surges. During the period 1960-2009, 19 severe cyclones have
hit the coast of Bangladesh. Most of the cyclones hit the coasts of Bangladesh with north-eastward approaching
angle. Surge wave generated at the deeper sea is driven towards the coast by the wind and propagates over land
being amplified near the coast. The coastal areas around the Meghna estuary are one of the most vulnerable
areas that experience very high surge attack. Very high surge height is caused by the shoaling effect in shallower
zone, funneling effect of the land geometry and sometimes coinciding with tidal motion. As a result, the surge
level at the north of Sandwip Island, which is the tip of the converging land geometry, attains the highest
elevation in most of the cases. The Bay of Bengal is one of the favourable areas for the generation of tropical
cyclones. About one-tenth of the global total cyclones forming in different regions of the tropics occur in the
Bay of Bengal (Gray, 1968; Ali, 1980). Not all of the tropical cyclones formed in the Bay of Bengal move
towards the coast of Bangladesh. About one-sixth of tropical storms generated in the Bay of Bengal usually hit
the Bangladesh coast.
Embankments in the coastal region are exposed to cyclone surge and related waves. Such
embankments are ideally constructed as ā€œretiredā€ embankments at some distance from the high-tide coastline.
The performance of such embankments during cyclones is determined by the crest elevation and the S/S and C/S
slopes compared to the elevation of the surge level and wave height during cyclones. The water level during
cyclones is determined by the cyclone surge, but also by seasonal variation, tide and water level setup by
breaking short waves. In the following we will refer to water levels taking into account seasonal variation, tide
and cyclone surge as the surge level. The system of coastal embankments was initially constructed during the
Sixties. The design used for the construction was ā€œinstitutionalisedā€ in a study by Leedshill DeLeuw Engineers
(LDL) completed in 1968.
The purpose of the embankments was to enable cultivation of land in areas otherwise exposed to tidal
flooding of saline water. The embankments were designed with no regard to cyclone surges, and very little
regard to waves. Crest height of the embankments was determined as ā€œthe maximum normal high tideā€ (as
recorded during 1960-1968) plus a freeboard of 5 feet. In this study storm surge model and wave model has
been simulated considering the following climate change conditions based on IPCC projections from 2007
(Synthesis Report, 2009)
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 90 | Page
ļ‚· Sea level rise of 0.50 m and
ļ‚· 10% increase in maximum wind speed of cyclone
II. DEVELOPMENT OF MODEL
2.1 Storm surge modelling
Storm surge model comprises of Cyclone model and Hydrodynamic model. The existing Bay of
Bengal Model has been applied in this study for storm surge modelling. The storm surge model is the
combination of Cyclone and Hydrodynamic models. For simulating the storm surge and associated flooding,
Bay of Bengal model based on MIKE21 hydrodynamic modelling system has been adopted. In the
hydrodynamic model simulations meteorological forcing due to the cyclone has been given by applying wind
and pressure fields derived from the analytical cyclone model. The MIKE 21 modelling system includes
dynamic simulation of flooding and drying processes, which are very important for a realistic simulation of
flooding in the coastal area and inundation.
2.1.1 Hydrodynamic model
The model is two-way nested and includes four different resolution levels in different areas. The
coastal region of Bangladesh and the Meghna estuary are resolved on a 200 m grid. The model has two open
boundaries; one is in the Lower Meghna River near Chandpur and another one is in the open sea located along
the line extending from Vishakhapatnam of India to Gwa Bay of Myanmar. In the river boundary measured
water level has been prescribed and in the sea boundary has been generated from Global Tide Model.
2.1.2 Cyclone model
The description of a cyclone is based on few parameters related to the pressure field, which is imposed
to the water surface and a wind field which is acting as a drag force on the water body through a wind shear
stress description. The pressure field creates a local level setup close to the eye up to one metre only. Whereas
the wind shear contributes more to the surge giving a level setup on the right side of the eye and a level set down
on the left side. To generate the wind field, Holland Single Vortex theory has been applied. The cyclone model
needs following data/information for the description of wind field and pressure field:
(1)Radius of maximum winds, Rm, (2) Maximum wind speed, Vm (3) Cyclone track forward speed Vf and
direction. (4) Central pressure, Pc, (5) Neutral pressure, Pn (6) Holland Parameter, B= 2.0-(Pc-90)/160
2.2 Development of Wave Model
Flexible mesh used for the Bay of Bengal model has been further updated for wave simulation. The
model domain has been extended further. Finer resolution has been used in deep sea. Cyclonic wave generated
from cyclonic wind and cyclonic wind originated far away from the Bangladesh coast. Considering generation
locations of nineteen severe cyclones, the model domain for cyclonic wave simulation extended up to 4 degree
latitude.
III. MODEL RESULT ANALYSIS
3.1 Frequency Analysis of Storm Surge levels for Different Return Period
Frequency analysis is carried out to find the storm surge level for different return periods along the
sea facing embankment to investigate the performance of existing coastal embankment. The present crest level
of the embankments of coastal polder is based on extreme tide level with some free board added. Storm surge
usually exceeds this embankment level. Under the present study, time series storm surge levels in the sea facing
coastal polders at different locations have been generated from simulation results. There are 19 (nineteen) severe
cyclones that hit the coastal area from 1960 to 2009. These cyclones made landfall at different tidal phases i.e.
either at low tide or at high tidal phase. All these 19 cyclones were simulated at original tidal phase and then
opposite tidal conditions, i.e. if a cyclone made landfall on low tide then both low tide and high tidal conditions
of each cyclones were simulated. Total 38 cyclone tracks for the whole costal area have been considered based
on 19 observed cyclones. In order to generate time series storm surge level, 38 cyclones have been considered
under baseline condition and climate change scenario. Maximum surge levels for every cyclone have been
extracted at the locations of interest in Fig III.1.
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 91 | Page
Fig III.1: Locations of storm surge level for 25 year return period Storm surge height
These surge level values are analysed to determine the 25-yr return period for all the locations.
Statistical analysis of surge level is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero. For
evaluating the risk of extreme events a parametric frequency analysis approach is adopted. This implies that an
extreme value model is formulated based on fitting a theoretical probability distribution to the observed extreme
value series.
Fig III.2: Statistical analysis of Strom Surge Level by Exponential Distribution for the Point No. 2.
Two different extreme value models are provided in EVA, the annual maximum series (AMS) method and the
partial duration series (PDS) method, also known as the peak over threshold (POT) method. For this study PDS
method has been applied. For estimations of the parameters of the probability distribution, method of
momentum has been used. In this study exponential distribution function has been used shown in Fig III.1.
3.2 Statistical analysis of wave and determination of design wave height
The wave heights generated by the cyclonic wind speeds are quite considerable along the sea-facing
dykes in the south. To know the wave characteristic during cyclone, 19 wave simulations were carried out using
the cyclonic wind and pressure field for 19 naturally occurred cyclones. The domain of wave model for
cyclonic wave up to 4 degree latitude to cover the whole area including these areas where cyclonic wind was
first generated. The maximum significant wave height was obtained from the pre-selected locations in the model
domain, for each cyclone of the 19 wave simulations. The 19 values obtained for each location were then
analysed to obtain the 25 years return period significant wave height. Statistical analysis of significant wave
height is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero. Same procedure are applied to
determine extreme value for wave as applied in determining for surge level but here Weibel distribution
function has been used shown in Fig III.3.
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 92 | Page
Fig III.3: Statistical analysis of Significant Wave Height by Weibel distribution function for the Point No.2
IV. EMBANKMENT CREST LEVEL CALCULATION
4.1 Wave run-up and freeboard for embankment crest level
Wave generated during nineteen severe cyclones is significant and causes considerable wave run-up
and overtopping during cyclone which are important for designing embankment crest level and slope. The wave
run-up height is z number of incoming waves at the toe of the structure. The idea behind this was that if only 2%
of the waves reach the crest of a dike or embankment during design conditions, the crest and inner slope do not
need specific protection measures other than clay with grass. It is for this reason that much research in the past
has been focused on the 2%-wave run-up height.
Wave overtopping is the mean discharge per linear meter of width, q, for example in m3/s/m or in
l/s/m. In reality, there is no constant discharge over the crest of a structure during overtopping. The process of
wave overtopping is very random in time and volume. The highest waves will push a large amount of water over
the crest in a short period of time, less than a wave period. Lower waves will not produce any overtopping.
Significant wave height for different return period during 19 severe cyclones was determined. For
designing embankment crest level, wave run-up caused by 25-yr return period significant wave height, was
predicted. Wave run-up was computed using the methodology given in the Eurotop Manual (2007). Free board
for embankment crest level was determined allowing 5 l/m/s overtopping.
Example of Wave run-up and freeboard calculation:
Point No. 2, Located at Polder-48
Table IV.1: Wave run-up and wave overtopping calculation
Wave run-up height and wave overtopping
Based on EurOtop Manual, chap 5, August 2007
Parameter Value Unit Description Notes
Input
Run-up Hm0 3.48 [m] Significant wave height Hm0 in front of the structure
Tp 6.26 [s] Peak wave period Associated Tp
n 7.00
1/n: Slope of front of
structure
B 0.00 [m] Berm width Berm width - Set to 0 if no berm.
Lberm 1.00 [m] Berm Length
Berm length - see figure 5.27 (b). Set to arbitrary
number > 0 if no berm.
db 0.00 [m] Depth at berm
>0 if berm lying below still water level, <0 if
berm lying above still water level
Ru2%
estimate
4.20 [m] Estimate of Ru2%
Used for calculation of berm influence factor for
db<0 (use iteratively)
Ī³f 0.80 Slope roughness factor =1.0 for grass (ref table 5.2)
Ī² 45.0 [deg] Angle of attack =0 for perpendicular waves. No effect if <20.
Overtop
ping
RC 1.78 [m] Freeboard
Vertical difference between still water level and
crest height
extras Ī³v 1.00 Vertical wall factor
Ranges from 0.65 for a vertical wall to 1.0 for a
1:1 slope (see page 94)
Calcula
tions
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 93 | Page
Wave run-up height and wave overtopping
Based on EurOtop Manual, chap 5, August 2007
Parameter Value Unit Description Notes
Run-up tan(Ī±) 0.14 Slope of front of structure tan(Ī±) = 1/n
Tm-1,0 5.69 [s] Spectral wave period Tm-1,0 = Tp / 1.1
g 9.81 [m/s**2] Gravitational acceleration Constant
Lm-1,0 50.6 [m] Deep water wave length Lm-1,0=g*Tm-1,0^2/(2*PI)
sm-1,0 0.07 Wave steepness Hm0/Lm-1,0
Ī¾m-1,0 0.55 Breaker parameter, Xi
Ī¾m-1,0 = tan(Ī±)/(sm-1,0)**0.5. Surf similarity or
Iribarren number. Xi<2-3 for breaking waves
rB 0.00 Berm reduction, first part =B/Lberm
rdb 0.60 Berm reduction, second part
db>0: 0.5-0.5*cos(pi*db/Ru2%) db<0: 0.5-
0.5*cos(pi*db(/2*hm0)). Always >=0.6
Ī³b 1.00 Berm influence factor Between 0.6 and 1.0
Ī³Ī² 0.90 Oblique wave attack factor
=1-0.0022*abs(Ī²). =1 for 0<Ī²<20deg. =0.824 for
abs()>80deg
Rel Ru2% 0.69 General wave run-up height Relative wave run-up height, equation 1
Max Rel
Ru2%
1.54 Max wave run-up height
Relative maximum wave run-up height, equation
2
Rel Ru2% 0.69 Relative wave run-up height
Wave run-up relative to Hm0 (minimum of
equation 1 and equation 2)
Overtop
ping
Ī³Ī² 0.85 Oblique wave attack factor
=1-0.0033*abs(Ī²). =1 for 0<Ī²<20deg. =0.736 for
abs()>80deg
extras Rel q 0.0003 General wave overtopping Relative wave overtopping height, equation 3
Max Rel q 0.035 Max wave overtopping
Relative maximum wave overtopping height,
equation 4
Rel q 0.0003 Relative wave overtopping
Wave overtopping relative to sqrt(g*Hm0^3)
(minimum of equation 3and equation 4)
Results
Run-up Ru2% 1.8 [m] Wave run-up height Final result = Hm0 * Rel Ru2%
Overtop
ping
q 5 [l/s/m] Overtopping volume per m Final result = q*sqrt(g*Hm0^3)
(Freeboard is calculated by Trial and Error method for overtopping 5l/s/m)
Governing Equation of wave run-up height and wave overtopping:
The governing equation (1) and (2) is used to calculate the Wave run-up relative to Hm0.
General wave run-up height (Rel Ru2%):
Relative wave run-up height
=0.69 --------- (1)
Max wave run-up height (Max Rel Ru2%):
Relative maximum wave run-up height
=1.54 --------- (2)
Wave run-up relative to Hm0=0.69 (minimum of equation (1) and equation (2)
The governing equation (3) and (4) is used to calculate the Wave overtopping height.
General wave overtopping (Rel q):
Relative wave overtopping height
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 94 | Page
=0.0003 ---- (3)
Max wave overtopping (Max Rel q):
Relative maximum wave overtopping height: with a maximum of
=0.035 --------- (4)
Wave overtopping relative to sqrt(g*Hm0^3) =0.0003(minimum of equation (3) and equation( 4).
The value of wave run-up height and wave overtopping height is used to calculate the free board which is
important parameter for the calculation of polder crest level.
4.2 Design Embankment crest level
The design crest level and side slope for embankment have been established based on maximum storm
surge level, maximum monsoon water level freeboard allowing 5 l/m/s overtopping , potential climate change
impact and land subsidence. Considering the sea facing polders have been designed based on maximum storm
surge level and wave run-up for cyclonic wave. After considering the results of the storm surge and the project
life, it was decided that the design return period should be 25 years. The crest levels of the sea facing polder are
design based on the modelling outcomes described in the preceding sections:
1. The 25 years return period storm surge level
2. Alternatives for freeboard depending on overtopping limit of 5l/m/s for several possible embankment
slopes and roughness.
3. Allowance for subsidence
The table shows how the crest levels were computed for eleven locations (Sea facing polders).
Because of the high wave action we have also considered 1:7 slope in the wave run up computations. Column 3
shows the original LDL design level) in Old PWD. These levels are not directly convertible to the present New
PWD values. All other levels shown in the table are for New PWD datum. In this context it should be noted that
there are other safety factors built into this methodology. The 25 year return period is applicable to the
environment with climate change effects in year 2050. In earlier years the design would have a higher degree of
protection. In this research it is assumed that the highest wind driven waves will occur exactly when the
maximum surge occurs ā€“ this also introduces a further factor of safety. Wave overtopping is intermittent with
only the larger waves running over the embankment crest.
The 25 years return period storm surge level has been calculated from the statistical analysis.
In this study exponential distribution function has been selected. Wave run-up and freeboard
calculation have been shown in
Table IV.1.The existing and design crest level of sea facing polders have been compared to SIDR
(2007) which was devastating for the coastal region of Bangladesh. New methodology for the crest level design
of sea facing coastal polders has been shown in Table IV.2.
Table IV.2: New methodology for the crest level design of sea facing coastal polders
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 95 | Page
Point_No.
Location
DesignLevels(LDL)
ExistingAve.CrestLevel(mPWD)
ModelledStormSurgelevel(mPWD)
StandardDeviation(m)
SidrSimulated
RecommendedSlope
FreeboardforGrassorSmoothpavedRoughness1.0
FreeboardforSlopeRoughness0.8
AllowanceforSubsidence
RqdcrestLevelw/oroughnessnostd
RqdcrestLevelw/oroughness+std
RqdcrestLevelwroughness&nostd
RqdcrestLevelwroughness+std
1 P-45 4.57 5.8 4.088 0.358 5.27 1:7 2.25 1.78 0.3 6.64 7.00 6.17 6.53
2 P-48 4.23(SRP) 6.1 4.353 0.405 5.05 1:7 2.3 1.8 0.3 6.95 7.36 6.45 6.86
3 P-46 4.57 5.18 4.695 0.475 6.31 1:7 2.4 1.9 0.3 7.40 7.87 6.90 7.37
4 P-52/53 4.57 5.18 4.974 0.516 5.46 1:7 2.9 2.3 0.3 8.17 8.69 7.57 8.09
5 P-55/4 4.87 4.92 3.86 0.329 5.01 1:7 1.25 1 0.3 5.41 5.74 5.16 5.49
6 P-56/57 5.80 5.8 5.827 0.697 5.34 1:7 2.35 1.85 0.3 8.48 9.17 7.98 8.67
7 P-58/1 4.87 5.2 4.921 0.493 5.07 1:7 2.8 2.25 0.3 8.02 8.51 7.47 7.96
8 P-58/2 4.87 5.5 4.771 0.491 5.04 1:7 2.95 2.35 0.3 8.02 8.51 7.42 7.91
9 P-73/2 6.00 6.3 5.042 0.498 5.49 1:7 2.3 1.8 0.3 7.64 8.14 7.14 7.64
10 P-73/1 5.50 6.3 5.574 0.503 5.10 1:7 4 3.25 0.3 9.87 10.38 9.12 9.63
11 P-72 6.70 7.0 6.783 0.617 5.76 1:7 2.15 1.7 0.3 9.23 9.85 8.78 9.40
Source: Technical Feasibility Studies & detailed Design for Coastal Embankment Improvement Project, 2012[5]
Where,
LDL Coastal Embankment Project, Engineering and Economic Evaluation, Volume 2, Polder Maps, Leedshill-
De Leuw Engineers, December 1968.
SRP Systems Rehabilitation Project, Halcrow, 1994.
The methodology has been developed according to the ā€œTechnical Feasibility Studies & detailed
Design for Coastal Embankment Improvement Project (CEIP)ā€, 2012 conducted by Institute of Water Modeling
(IWM).
There are other sea facing polders which crest levels are not calculated here. It is seen that the existing
crest level of all sea facing polders is not adequate to face natural hazards: cyclones and tidal surges, salinity
intrusion, riverbank erosion, shoreline recession, tsunami etc. So Government should take necessary steps to
rehabilitation of the sea facing polders to face some natural hazards. The Comparison of crest level of sea facing
coastal polders between new and previous methodologies has been shown in
Table IV.3.
Table IV.3: Comparison of crest level of sea facing coastal polders between new and previous methodologies
PointNo.
Location
ExistingSlope(SeaSide)
DesignSlope(SeaSide)
ExistingAve.CrestLevel(mPWD)
DesignCrestLevel
TotalLength(km)
SeaSideLength(km)
EstablishedYear
AreaProtectedduringEstablished
Year(acres)
Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value
www.iosrjournals.org 96 | Page
1 P-45 1:3 1:7 5.8 6.75 27 10.56 1966-67 10,100
2 P-48 1:7 1:7 6.1 7.00 38 19.99 1964-66 11,600
3 P-46 1:3 1:7 5.18 7.50 40 5.20 1966-69 13,300
4 P-52/53 1:7 1:7 5.18 8.15 59 17.59 1970-73 20,100
5 P-55/4 1:7 1:7 4.92 5.50 33 32.53 1972-74 12,800
6 P-56/57 1:5 1:7 5.8 8.75 250 123.00 1966-70 180,800
7 P-58/1 1:7 1:7 5.2 8.00 32 27.00 1971-73 8,900
8 P-58/2 1:7 1:7 5.5 8.00 28 27.73 1973-74 82,000
9 P-73/2 1:2 1:7 6.3 7.75 48 34.62 1968-69 27,500
10 P-73/1 1:2 1:7 6.3 9.75 80.24 10.31 1964-68 52,800
11 P-72 1:3 1:7 7 9.50 56.93 45.12 1968-69 56,000
Source: Coastal Embankment Rehabilitation Project. Hydraulic Modeling study, Prepared by IWM/DHI, 2001[3]
V. CONCLUSION
Historical records show that more than 19 severe cyclones are generated in the Bay of Bengal in every
ten years in average. Several of them strike the coast of Bangladesh. Extremely strong storm surges with more
than 10m of water elevation hit the coast of Bangladesh at least once in a century. Very strong surge attack
results in emotional, physical and economical catastrophe of the country. Considering the complexities of the
Bangladeshi coastline with numerous inlets, large estuary, offshore islands and chars, use of sufficiently high-
resolution model is necessary to generate the surge dynamics realistically in the shallower region. Sensitivity of
shallowness of coastal water to surge height underlines the importance for using adequately resolved bathymetry
in surge calculation for the sea facing coastal polders of Bangladesh. Considering the vulnerabilities in the
coastal polders, it is likely that the physical interventions under the study would include some combination of
(a) rehabilitating and raising the height of the earthen embankments considering the above procedure; (b)
afforestation of embankments on the crest and slopes to maintain the coastal polders properly.
Acknowledgements
This work is funded by World Bank in collaboration with Institute of Water Modelling (IWM) and
Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB). The authors are thankful to all professionals of Coast Port and
Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling.
REFERENCES
[1] IWM, Multipurpose Cyclone Shelter Programme. Planning and Implementation issues, Part 4 Volume IV, prepared for Planning
Commission, Government of Bangladesh and United Nations Development Programme/ World Bank, July 1993
[2] IWM, Cyclone Shelter Preparatory Study. Stage 1: Feasibility Phase, Final Report, Prepared for European Commission, Directorate
General External Economic Relations and Technical Unit for Asia, ALA-91-16 Bangladesh, May 1998
[3] IWM/DHI, 2nd Coastal Embankment Rehabilitation Project. Hydraulic Modelling Study, August 2001
[4] IWM, Islamic Development Bank, Storm Surge Modelling Study for Construction of Cyclone Shelters in the Coastal Region of
Bangladesh under Fael Khair Program, Draft Final Report, August 2011
[5] IWM, Hydraulic and Morphological Modelling Study to Aid ā€œTechnical Feasibility Studies & detailed Design for Coastal
Embankment Improvement Project (CEIP), Final Report, 2013

More Related Content

What's hot

Annals of Limnology and Oceanography
Annals of Limnology and OceanographyAnnals of Limnology and Oceanography
Annals of Limnology and Oceanographypeertechzpublication
Ā 
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale Ecotist
Ā 
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEdits
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEditsHughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEdits
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEditsKristin Hughes
Ā 
TU2.T10.3.pptx
TU2.T10.3.pptxTU2.T10.3.pptx
TU2.T10.3.pptxgrssieee
Ā 
Presentation_DUET-AH
Presentation_DUET-AHPresentation_DUET-AH
Presentation_DUET-AHMd Wasif E Elahi
Ā 
Crz goals purpose & act
Crz goals  purpose & actCrz goals  purpose & act
Crz goals purpose & actPuspendu Samanta
Ā 
Research proposal
Research proposalResearch proposal
Research proposalNeeraj Ramola
Ā 
Dam safety & Safety Devices
Dam safety & Safety DevicesDam safety & Safety Devices
Dam safety & Safety DevicesTushar Dholakia
Ā 
Fv2410561067
Fv2410561067Fv2410561067
Fv2410561067IJERA Editor
Ā 
Crz notification 2018
Crz notification 2018Crz notification 2018
Crz notification 2018ChetanSikarwar1
Ā 
student research
student researchstudent research
student researchramy yaseen
Ā 
Azharuddin et al., 2016
Azharuddin et al., 2016Azharuddin et al., 2016
Azharuddin et al., 2016Syed Azharuddin
Ā 
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...Shanmugasundaram N
Ā 
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway Authority
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway AuthorityPositive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway Authority
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway AuthorityMarcellus Drilling News
Ā 
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016RI_FMA
Ā 
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource management
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource managementSantharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource management
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource managementTarachand Veeragattapu
Ā 

What's hot (20)

Annals of Limnology and Oceanography
Annals of Limnology and OceanographyAnnals of Limnology and Oceanography
Annals of Limnology and Oceanography
Ā 
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale
Current Status of CRZ Itā€™s implementation. by-Vasudev P. Mahale
Ā 
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEdits
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEditsHughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEdits
Hughes-Ktona_CapeRomain_DraftPoster-DocEdits
Ā 
TU2.T10.3.pptx
TU2.T10.3.pptxTU2.T10.3.pptx
TU2.T10.3.pptx
Ā 
Presentation_DUET-AH
Presentation_DUET-AHPresentation_DUET-AH
Presentation_DUET-AH
Ā 
Gopalakrishnanmonograph
GopalakrishnanmonographGopalakrishnanmonograph
Gopalakrishnanmonograph
Ā 
Crz goals purpose & act
Crz goals  purpose & actCrz goals  purpose & act
Crz goals purpose & act
Ā 
Variations in Groundwater Flow Potential in Parts of Imo State, Niger Delta ...
Variations in Groundwater Flow Potential in Parts of Imo State,  Niger Delta ...Variations in Groundwater Flow Potential in Parts of Imo State,  Niger Delta ...
Variations in Groundwater Flow Potential in Parts of Imo State, Niger Delta ...
Ā 
Research proposal
Research proposalResearch proposal
Research proposal
Ā 
Dam safety & Safety Devices
Dam safety & Safety DevicesDam safety & Safety Devices
Dam safety & Safety Devices
Ā 
Fv2410561067
Fv2410561067Fv2410561067
Fv2410561067
Ā 
Crz
CrzCrz
Crz
Ā 
Crz notification 2018
Crz notification 2018Crz notification 2018
Crz notification 2018
Ā 
student research
student researchstudent research
student research
Ā 
Azharuddin et al., 2016
Azharuddin et al., 2016Azharuddin et al., 2016
Azharuddin et al., 2016
Ā 
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...
Lessons learned from past earthquake - Structural dynamics and Earthquake Eng...
Ā 
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway Authority
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway AuthorityPositive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway Authority
Positive Declaration for Pilgrim Pipeline from NY DEC & Thruway Authority
Ā 
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016
Coastal Erosion Control_RIFMA2016
Ā 
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource management
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource managementSantharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource management
Santharam & tarachand mining of beach sand-water resource management
Ā 
hurricanes-math
hurricanes-mathhurricanes-math
hurricanes-math
Ā 

Viewers also liked

Security in a Virtualised Computing
Security in a Virtualised ComputingSecurity in a Virtualised Computing
Security in a Virtualised ComputingIOSR Journals
Ā 
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky Model
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky ModelSecurity Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky Model
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky ModelIOSR Journals
Ā 
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...IOSR Journals
Ā 
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utility
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utilityPenetrating Windows 8 with syringe utility
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utilityIOSR Journals
Ā 
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...IOSR Journals
Ā 
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using Biometrics
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using BiometricsCredit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using Biometrics
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using BiometricsIOSR Journals
Ā 

Viewers also liked (8)

H0144757
H0144757H0144757
H0144757
Ā 
Security in a Virtualised Computing
Security in a Virtualised ComputingSecurity in a Virtualised Computing
Security in a Virtualised Computing
Ā 
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky Model
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky ModelSecurity Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky Model
Security Threat Solution over Single Cloud To Multi-Cloud Using DepSky Model
Ā 
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...
Microscopic Image Analysis of Nanoparticles by Edge Detection Using Ant Colon...
Ā 
B0220609
B0220609B0220609
B0220609
Ā 
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utility
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utilityPenetrating Windows 8 with syringe utility
Penetrating Windows 8 with syringe utility
Ā 
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...
Designing the Workflow of a Language Interpretation Device Using Artificial I...
Ā 
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using Biometrics
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using BiometricsCredit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using Biometrics
Credit Card Duplication and Crime Prevention Using Biometrics
Ā 

Similar to Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value Analysis Method

Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam barker &amp; hol...
Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam   barker &amp; hol...Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam   barker &amp; hol...
Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam barker &amp; hol...Joseph Ng'ang'a Thuo
Ā 
G04633950
G04633950G04633950
G04633950IOSR-JEN
Ā 
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in theNumerical simulation of tidal circulation in the
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in theeSAT Publishing House
Ā 
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...eSAT Journals
Ā 
Coastal engineering introduction
Coastal engineering introductionCoastal engineering introduction
Coastal engineering introductionJorge C. Palma
Ā 
Coastal engineering
Coastal engineeringCoastal engineering
Coastal engineeringR VIJAYAKUMAR
Ā 
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...Deltares
Ā 
Harvesting wave power - Wave farming
Harvesting wave power - Wave farmingHarvesting wave power - Wave farming
Harvesting wave power - Wave farmingAngshuman Pal
Ā 
cyclone
cyclonecyclone
cyclonectlachu
Ā 
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...Stephen Flood
Ā 
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and se
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and seEnumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and se
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and seIAEME Publication
Ā 
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technology
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technologyRegular and irregular waves and bulge wave technology
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technologyPort Said University
Ā 
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecture
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecturerising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecture
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatectureAr. Prerna Chouhan
Ā 
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...Satyajit Behera
Ā 
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdf
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdfTidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdf
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdfkanizsuburna10
Ā 
AIP-Procceding-Article
AIP-Procceding-ArticleAIP-Procceding-Article
AIP-Procceding-ArticleMehdi Karimi
Ā 

Similar to Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value Analysis Method (20)

Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam barker &amp; hol...
Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam   barker &amp; hol...Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam   barker &amp; hol...
Risk and standards based riprap design for grahamstown dam barker &amp; hol...
Ā 
G04633950
G04633950G04633950
G04633950
Ā 
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in theNumerical simulation of tidal circulation in the
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the
Ā 
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...
Numerical simulation of tidal circulation in the pichavaram mangrove estuary ...
Ā 
Coastal engineering introduction
Coastal engineering introductionCoastal engineering introduction
Coastal engineering introduction
Ā 
Coastal engineering
Coastal engineeringCoastal engineering
Coastal engineering
Ā 
Ijmet 10 01_182
Ijmet 10 01_182Ijmet 10 01_182
Ijmet 10 01_182
Ā 
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...
DSD-INT 2014 - Symposium Next Generation Hydro Software (NGHS) - 2D hydrodyna...
Ā 
20320140503012
2032014050301220320140503012
20320140503012
Ā 
Harvesting wave power - Wave farming
Harvesting wave power - Wave farmingHarvesting wave power - Wave farming
Harvesting wave power - Wave farming
Ā 
cyclone
cyclonecyclone
cyclone
Ā 
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...
Effects of time-series data resolution on modelling shoreline change. Avidesh...
Ā 
Mercator Ocean newsletter 32
Mercator Ocean newsletter 32Mercator Ocean newsletter 32
Mercator Ocean newsletter 32
Ā 
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and se
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and seEnumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and se
Enumeration and validation of hydrodynamic characteristics over plane and se
Ā 
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technology
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technologyRegular and irregular waves and bulge wave technology
Regular and irregular waves and bulge wave technology
Ā 
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecture
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecturerising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecture
rising sea levels - disaster and risk management - aquatecture
Ā 
Climate change and Coastal India
Climate change and Coastal IndiaClimate change and Coastal India
Climate change and Coastal India
Ā 
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...
Raising, widening & strengthening with protection to scoured bank of Bedpur-K...
Ā 
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdf
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdfTidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdf
Tidal energy, Wave Energy, Biofuel.pdf
Ā 
AIP-Procceding-Article
AIP-Procceding-ArticleAIP-Procceding-Article
AIP-Procceding-Article
Ā 

More from IOSR Journals (20)

A011140104
A011140104A011140104
A011140104
Ā 
M0111397100
M0111397100M0111397100
M0111397100
Ā 
L011138596
L011138596L011138596
L011138596
Ā 
K011138084
K011138084K011138084
K011138084
Ā 
J011137479
J011137479J011137479
J011137479
Ā 
I011136673
I011136673I011136673
I011136673
Ā 
G011134454
G011134454G011134454
G011134454
Ā 
H011135565
H011135565H011135565
H011135565
Ā 
F011134043
F011134043F011134043
F011134043
Ā 
E011133639
E011133639E011133639
E011133639
Ā 
D011132635
D011132635D011132635
D011132635
Ā 
C011131925
C011131925C011131925
C011131925
Ā 
B011130918
B011130918B011130918
B011130918
Ā 
A011130108
A011130108A011130108
A011130108
Ā 
I011125160
I011125160I011125160
I011125160
Ā 
H011124050
H011124050H011124050
H011124050
Ā 
G011123539
G011123539G011123539
G011123539
Ā 
F011123134
F011123134F011123134
F011123134
Ā 
E011122530
E011122530E011122530
E011122530
Ā 
D011121524
D011121524D011121524
D011121524
Ā 

Recently uploaded

CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdfAsst.prof M.Gokilavani
Ā 
Internship report on mechanical engineering
Internship report on mechanical engineeringInternship report on mechanical engineering
Internship report on mechanical engineeringmalavadedarshan25
Ā 
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024hassan khalil
Ā 
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...Soham Mondal
Ā 
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.eptoze12
Ā 
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girls
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call GirlsCall Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girls
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girlsssuser7cb4ff
Ā 
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICSAPPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICSKurinjimalarL3
Ā 
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...9953056974 Low Rate Call Girls In Saket, Delhi NCR
Ā 
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdf
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdfElectronically Controlled suspensions system .pdf
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdfme23b1001
Ā 
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
Ā 
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ
Ā 
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxWhat are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxwendy cai
Ā 
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting .
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting  .Churning of Butter, Factors affecting  .
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting .Satyam Kumar
Ā 
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSCAESB
Ā 
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxConcrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxKartikeyaDwivedi3
Ā 
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCL
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCLCurrent Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCL
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCLDeelipZope
Ā 

Recently uploaded (20)

CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdfCCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdf
CCS355 Neural Network & Deep Learning UNIT III notes and Question bank .pdf
Ā 
Internship report on mechanical engineering
Internship report on mechanical engineeringInternship report on mechanical engineering
Internship report on mechanical engineering
Ā 
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Architect Hassan Khalil Portfolio for 2024
Ā 
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...
OSVC_Meta-Data based Simulation Automation to overcome Verification Challenge...
Ā 
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.
Oxy acetylene welding presentation note.
Ā 
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girls
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call GirlsCall Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girls
Call Girls Narol 7397865700 Independent Call Girls
Ā 
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICSAPPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS
APPLICATIONS-AC/DC DRIVES-OPERATING CHARACTERISTICS
Ā 
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
šŸ”9953056974šŸ”!!-YOUNG call girls in Rajendra Nagar Escort rvice Shot 2000 nigh...
Ā 
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptxExploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
Exploring_Network_Security_with_JA3_by_Rakesh Seal.pptx
Ā 
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdf
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdfElectronically Controlled suspensions system .pdf
Electronically Controlled suspensions system .pdf
Ā 
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Software and Systems Engineering Standards: Verification and Validation of Sy...
Ā 
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
VICTOR MAESTRE RAMIREZ - Planetary Defender on NASA's Double Asteroid Redirec...
Ā 
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
9953056974 Call Girls In South Ex, Escorts (Delhi) NCR.pdf
Ā 
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptxWhat are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
What are the advantages and disadvantages of membrane structures.pptx
Ā 
ā˜… CALL US 9953330565 ( HOT Young Call Girls In Badarpur delhi NCR
ā˜… CALL US 9953330565 ( HOT Young Call Girls In Badarpur delhi NCRā˜… CALL US 9953330565 ( HOT Young Call Girls In Badarpur delhi NCR
ā˜… CALL US 9953330565 ( HOT Young Call Girls In Badarpur delhi NCR
Ā 
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting .
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting  .Churning of Butter, Factors affecting  .
Churning of Butter, Factors affecting .
Ā 
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentationGDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
GDSC ASEB Gen AI study jams presentation
Ā 
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptxConcrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Concrete Mix Design - IS 10262-2019 - .pptx
Ā 
young call girls in Green ParkšŸ” 9953056974 šŸ” escort Service
young call girls in Green ParkšŸ” 9953056974 šŸ” escort Serviceyoung call girls in Green ParkšŸ” 9953056974 šŸ” escort Service
young call girls in Green ParkšŸ” 9953056974 šŸ” escort Service
Ā 
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCL
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCLCurrent Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCL
Current Transformer Drawing and GTP for MSETCL
Ā 

Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value Analysis Method

  • 1. IOSR Journal of Mechanical and Civil Engineering (IOSR-JMCE) e-ISSN: 2278-1684,p-ISSN: 2320-334X, Volume 8, Issue 1 (Jul. - Aug. 2013), PP 89-96 www.iosrjournals.org www.iosrjournals.org 89 | Page Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value Analysis Method Md. Saiful Islam 1 , Md. Zahirul Haque Khan 2 , Rubayat Alam 3 , Md. Nasim Al Azad Khan 4 , Ismat Nur-A-Jahan5 1,4,5 Junior Engineer, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh 2 Director, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh 3 Senior Specialist, Coast, Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling, Bangladesh Abstract: The coastal embankment system has been gradually built during the last 40 years. The embankments were originally designed to increase agricultural production by preventing salt water intrusion not to protect against cyclonic storms. The alignment of the embankments did not consider the changing conditions in bathymetry of the sea and thalweg migration of the rivers and therefore many embankments are located under tidal water level and have severe toe and slope erosion problems during the monsoon season. The crest level and embankment cross sections have not optimized the protection of hinterland and the embankment itself and therefore the embankments typically only provide protection for the cyclones with 5-12 year return periods and the designed crest level of the sea facing coastal polder equal to the sum of normal maximum recorded water stage plus 1.50m. In this study to estimate the design crest level and side slope for sea facing embankment have been established based on maximum storm surge level, wave run-up for cyclonic wave, freeboard allowing 5 l/m/s overtopping ,potential climate change impact and land subsidence. Statistical analysis of surge level and wave run-up is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero. Keywords: Cyclonic wave, Overtopping Storm surge, Tidal surge, Wave Run-up I. INTRODUCTION In recent years cyclones Aila and Sidr hit the south western coastal zone only reminding that the whole coastal zone is vulnerable to cyclones and storm surges. During the period 1960-2009, 19 severe cyclones have hit the coast of Bangladesh. Most of the cyclones hit the coasts of Bangladesh with north-eastward approaching angle. Surge wave generated at the deeper sea is driven towards the coast by the wind and propagates over land being amplified near the coast. The coastal areas around the Meghna estuary are one of the most vulnerable areas that experience very high surge attack. Very high surge height is caused by the shoaling effect in shallower zone, funneling effect of the land geometry and sometimes coinciding with tidal motion. As a result, the surge level at the north of Sandwip Island, which is the tip of the converging land geometry, attains the highest elevation in most of the cases. The Bay of Bengal is one of the favourable areas for the generation of tropical cyclones. About one-tenth of the global total cyclones forming in different regions of the tropics occur in the Bay of Bengal (Gray, 1968; Ali, 1980). Not all of the tropical cyclones formed in the Bay of Bengal move towards the coast of Bangladesh. About one-sixth of tropical storms generated in the Bay of Bengal usually hit the Bangladesh coast. Embankments in the coastal region are exposed to cyclone surge and related waves. Such embankments are ideally constructed as ā€œretiredā€ embankments at some distance from the high-tide coastline. The performance of such embankments during cyclones is determined by the crest elevation and the S/S and C/S slopes compared to the elevation of the surge level and wave height during cyclones. The water level during cyclones is determined by the cyclone surge, but also by seasonal variation, tide and water level setup by breaking short waves. In the following we will refer to water levels taking into account seasonal variation, tide and cyclone surge as the surge level. The system of coastal embankments was initially constructed during the Sixties. The design used for the construction was ā€œinstitutionalisedā€ in a study by Leedshill DeLeuw Engineers (LDL) completed in 1968. The purpose of the embankments was to enable cultivation of land in areas otherwise exposed to tidal flooding of saline water. The embankments were designed with no regard to cyclone surges, and very little regard to waves. Crest height of the embankments was determined as ā€œthe maximum normal high tideā€ (as recorded during 1960-1968) plus a freeboard of 5 feet. In this study storm surge model and wave model has been simulated considering the following climate change conditions based on IPCC projections from 2007 (Synthesis Report, 2009)
  • 2. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 90 | Page ļ‚· Sea level rise of 0.50 m and ļ‚· 10% increase in maximum wind speed of cyclone II. DEVELOPMENT OF MODEL 2.1 Storm surge modelling Storm surge model comprises of Cyclone model and Hydrodynamic model. The existing Bay of Bengal Model has been applied in this study for storm surge modelling. The storm surge model is the combination of Cyclone and Hydrodynamic models. For simulating the storm surge and associated flooding, Bay of Bengal model based on MIKE21 hydrodynamic modelling system has been adopted. In the hydrodynamic model simulations meteorological forcing due to the cyclone has been given by applying wind and pressure fields derived from the analytical cyclone model. The MIKE 21 modelling system includes dynamic simulation of flooding and drying processes, which are very important for a realistic simulation of flooding in the coastal area and inundation. 2.1.1 Hydrodynamic model The model is two-way nested and includes four different resolution levels in different areas. The coastal region of Bangladesh and the Meghna estuary are resolved on a 200 m grid. The model has two open boundaries; one is in the Lower Meghna River near Chandpur and another one is in the open sea located along the line extending from Vishakhapatnam of India to Gwa Bay of Myanmar. In the river boundary measured water level has been prescribed and in the sea boundary has been generated from Global Tide Model. 2.1.2 Cyclone model The description of a cyclone is based on few parameters related to the pressure field, which is imposed to the water surface and a wind field which is acting as a drag force on the water body through a wind shear stress description. The pressure field creates a local level setup close to the eye up to one metre only. Whereas the wind shear contributes more to the surge giving a level setup on the right side of the eye and a level set down on the left side. To generate the wind field, Holland Single Vortex theory has been applied. The cyclone model needs following data/information for the description of wind field and pressure field: (1)Radius of maximum winds, Rm, (2) Maximum wind speed, Vm (3) Cyclone track forward speed Vf and direction. (4) Central pressure, Pc, (5) Neutral pressure, Pn (6) Holland Parameter, B= 2.0-(Pc-90)/160 2.2 Development of Wave Model Flexible mesh used for the Bay of Bengal model has been further updated for wave simulation. The model domain has been extended further. Finer resolution has been used in deep sea. Cyclonic wave generated from cyclonic wind and cyclonic wind originated far away from the Bangladesh coast. Considering generation locations of nineteen severe cyclones, the model domain for cyclonic wave simulation extended up to 4 degree latitude. III. MODEL RESULT ANALYSIS 3.1 Frequency Analysis of Storm Surge levels for Different Return Period Frequency analysis is carried out to find the storm surge level for different return periods along the sea facing embankment to investigate the performance of existing coastal embankment. The present crest level of the embankments of coastal polder is based on extreme tide level with some free board added. Storm surge usually exceeds this embankment level. Under the present study, time series storm surge levels in the sea facing coastal polders at different locations have been generated from simulation results. There are 19 (nineteen) severe cyclones that hit the coastal area from 1960 to 2009. These cyclones made landfall at different tidal phases i.e. either at low tide or at high tidal phase. All these 19 cyclones were simulated at original tidal phase and then opposite tidal conditions, i.e. if a cyclone made landfall on low tide then both low tide and high tidal conditions of each cyclones were simulated. Total 38 cyclone tracks for the whole costal area have been considered based on 19 observed cyclones. In order to generate time series storm surge level, 38 cyclones have been considered under baseline condition and climate change scenario. Maximum surge levels for every cyclone have been extracted at the locations of interest in Fig III.1.
  • 3. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 91 | Page Fig III.1: Locations of storm surge level for 25 year return period Storm surge height These surge level values are analysed to determine the 25-yr return period for all the locations. Statistical analysis of surge level is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero. For evaluating the risk of extreme events a parametric frequency analysis approach is adopted. This implies that an extreme value model is formulated based on fitting a theoretical probability distribution to the observed extreme value series. Fig III.2: Statistical analysis of Strom Surge Level by Exponential Distribution for the Point No. 2. Two different extreme value models are provided in EVA, the annual maximum series (AMS) method and the partial duration series (PDS) method, also known as the peak over threshold (POT) method. For this study PDS method has been applied. For estimations of the parameters of the probability distribution, method of momentum has been used. In this study exponential distribution function has been used shown in Fig III.1. 3.2 Statistical analysis of wave and determination of design wave height The wave heights generated by the cyclonic wind speeds are quite considerable along the sea-facing dykes in the south. To know the wave characteristic during cyclone, 19 wave simulations were carried out using the cyclonic wind and pressure field for 19 naturally occurred cyclones. The domain of wave model for cyclonic wave up to 4 degree latitude to cover the whole area including these areas where cyclonic wind was first generated. The maximum significant wave height was obtained from the pre-selected locations in the model domain, for each cyclone of the 19 wave simulations. The 19 values obtained for each location were then analysed to obtain the 25 years return period significant wave height. Statistical analysis of significant wave height is carried out using Extreme Value Analysis (EVA) in MIKE Zero. Same procedure are applied to determine extreme value for wave as applied in determining for surge level but here Weibel distribution function has been used shown in Fig III.3.
  • 4. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 92 | Page Fig III.3: Statistical analysis of Significant Wave Height by Weibel distribution function for the Point No.2 IV. EMBANKMENT CREST LEVEL CALCULATION 4.1 Wave run-up and freeboard for embankment crest level Wave generated during nineteen severe cyclones is significant and causes considerable wave run-up and overtopping during cyclone which are important for designing embankment crest level and slope. The wave run-up height is z number of incoming waves at the toe of the structure. The idea behind this was that if only 2% of the waves reach the crest of a dike or embankment during design conditions, the crest and inner slope do not need specific protection measures other than clay with grass. It is for this reason that much research in the past has been focused on the 2%-wave run-up height. Wave overtopping is the mean discharge per linear meter of width, q, for example in m3/s/m or in l/s/m. In reality, there is no constant discharge over the crest of a structure during overtopping. The process of wave overtopping is very random in time and volume. The highest waves will push a large amount of water over the crest in a short period of time, less than a wave period. Lower waves will not produce any overtopping. Significant wave height for different return period during 19 severe cyclones was determined. For designing embankment crest level, wave run-up caused by 25-yr return period significant wave height, was predicted. Wave run-up was computed using the methodology given in the Eurotop Manual (2007). Free board for embankment crest level was determined allowing 5 l/m/s overtopping. Example of Wave run-up and freeboard calculation: Point No. 2, Located at Polder-48 Table IV.1: Wave run-up and wave overtopping calculation Wave run-up height and wave overtopping Based on EurOtop Manual, chap 5, August 2007 Parameter Value Unit Description Notes Input Run-up Hm0 3.48 [m] Significant wave height Hm0 in front of the structure Tp 6.26 [s] Peak wave period Associated Tp n 7.00 1/n: Slope of front of structure B 0.00 [m] Berm width Berm width - Set to 0 if no berm. Lberm 1.00 [m] Berm Length Berm length - see figure 5.27 (b). Set to arbitrary number > 0 if no berm. db 0.00 [m] Depth at berm >0 if berm lying below still water level, <0 if berm lying above still water level Ru2% estimate 4.20 [m] Estimate of Ru2% Used for calculation of berm influence factor for db<0 (use iteratively) Ī³f 0.80 Slope roughness factor =1.0 for grass (ref table 5.2) Ī² 45.0 [deg] Angle of attack =0 for perpendicular waves. No effect if <20. Overtop ping RC 1.78 [m] Freeboard Vertical difference between still water level and crest height extras Ī³v 1.00 Vertical wall factor Ranges from 0.65 for a vertical wall to 1.0 for a 1:1 slope (see page 94) Calcula tions
  • 5. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 93 | Page Wave run-up height and wave overtopping Based on EurOtop Manual, chap 5, August 2007 Parameter Value Unit Description Notes Run-up tan(Ī±) 0.14 Slope of front of structure tan(Ī±) = 1/n Tm-1,0 5.69 [s] Spectral wave period Tm-1,0 = Tp / 1.1 g 9.81 [m/s**2] Gravitational acceleration Constant Lm-1,0 50.6 [m] Deep water wave length Lm-1,0=g*Tm-1,0^2/(2*PI) sm-1,0 0.07 Wave steepness Hm0/Lm-1,0 Ī¾m-1,0 0.55 Breaker parameter, Xi Ī¾m-1,0 = tan(Ī±)/(sm-1,0)**0.5. Surf similarity or Iribarren number. Xi<2-3 for breaking waves rB 0.00 Berm reduction, first part =B/Lberm rdb 0.60 Berm reduction, second part db>0: 0.5-0.5*cos(pi*db/Ru2%) db<0: 0.5- 0.5*cos(pi*db(/2*hm0)). Always >=0.6 Ī³b 1.00 Berm influence factor Between 0.6 and 1.0 Ī³Ī² 0.90 Oblique wave attack factor =1-0.0022*abs(Ī²). =1 for 0<Ī²<20deg. =0.824 for abs()>80deg Rel Ru2% 0.69 General wave run-up height Relative wave run-up height, equation 1 Max Rel Ru2% 1.54 Max wave run-up height Relative maximum wave run-up height, equation 2 Rel Ru2% 0.69 Relative wave run-up height Wave run-up relative to Hm0 (minimum of equation 1 and equation 2) Overtop ping Ī³Ī² 0.85 Oblique wave attack factor =1-0.0033*abs(Ī²). =1 for 0<Ī²<20deg. =0.736 for abs()>80deg extras Rel q 0.0003 General wave overtopping Relative wave overtopping height, equation 3 Max Rel q 0.035 Max wave overtopping Relative maximum wave overtopping height, equation 4 Rel q 0.0003 Relative wave overtopping Wave overtopping relative to sqrt(g*Hm0^3) (minimum of equation 3and equation 4) Results Run-up Ru2% 1.8 [m] Wave run-up height Final result = Hm0 * Rel Ru2% Overtop ping q 5 [l/s/m] Overtopping volume per m Final result = q*sqrt(g*Hm0^3) (Freeboard is calculated by Trial and Error method for overtopping 5l/s/m) Governing Equation of wave run-up height and wave overtopping: The governing equation (1) and (2) is used to calculate the Wave run-up relative to Hm0. General wave run-up height (Rel Ru2%): Relative wave run-up height =0.69 --------- (1) Max wave run-up height (Max Rel Ru2%): Relative maximum wave run-up height =1.54 --------- (2) Wave run-up relative to Hm0=0.69 (minimum of equation (1) and equation (2) The governing equation (3) and (4) is used to calculate the Wave overtopping height. General wave overtopping (Rel q): Relative wave overtopping height
  • 6. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 94 | Page =0.0003 ---- (3) Max wave overtopping (Max Rel q): Relative maximum wave overtopping height: with a maximum of =0.035 --------- (4) Wave overtopping relative to sqrt(g*Hm0^3) =0.0003(minimum of equation (3) and equation( 4). The value of wave run-up height and wave overtopping height is used to calculate the free board which is important parameter for the calculation of polder crest level. 4.2 Design Embankment crest level The design crest level and side slope for embankment have been established based on maximum storm surge level, maximum monsoon water level freeboard allowing 5 l/m/s overtopping , potential climate change impact and land subsidence. Considering the sea facing polders have been designed based on maximum storm surge level and wave run-up for cyclonic wave. After considering the results of the storm surge and the project life, it was decided that the design return period should be 25 years. The crest levels of the sea facing polder are design based on the modelling outcomes described in the preceding sections: 1. The 25 years return period storm surge level 2. Alternatives for freeboard depending on overtopping limit of 5l/m/s for several possible embankment slopes and roughness. 3. Allowance for subsidence The table shows how the crest levels were computed for eleven locations (Sea facing polders). Because of the high wave action we have also considered 1:7 slope in the wave run up computations. Column 3 shows the original LDL design level) in Old PWD. These levels are not directly convertible to the present New PWD values. All other levels shown in the table are for New PWD datum. In this context it should be noted that there are other safety factors built into this methodology. The 25 year return period is applicable to the environment with climate change effects in year 2050. In earlier years the design would have a higher degree of protection. In this research it is assumed that the highest wind driven waves will occur exactly when the maximum surge occurs ā€“ this also introduces a further factor of safety. Wave overtopping is intermittent with only the larger waves running over the embankment crest. The 25 years return period storm surge level has been calculated from the statistical analysis. In this study exponential distribution function has been selected. Wave run-up and freeboard calculation have been shown in Table IV.1.The existing and design crest level of sea facing polders have been compared to SIDR (2007) which was devastating for the coastal region of Bangladesh. New methodology for the crest level design of sea facing coastal polders has been shown in Table IV.2. Table IV.2: New methodology for the crest level design of sea facing coastal polders
  • 7. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 95 | Page Point_No. Location DesignLevels(LDL) ExistingAve.CrestLevel(mPWD) ModelledStormSurgelevel(mPWD) StandardDeviation(m) SidrSimulated RecommendedSlope FreeboardforGrassorSmoothpavedRoughness1.0 FreeboardforSlopeRoughness0.8 AllowanceforSubsidence RqdcrestLevelw/oroughnessnostd RqdcrestLevelw/oroughness+std RqdcrestLevelwroughness&nostd RqdcrestLevelwroughness+std 1 P-45 4.57 5.8 4.088 0.358 5.27 1:7 2.25 1.78 0.3 6.64 7.00 6.17 6.53 2 P-48 4.23(SRP) 6.1 4.353 0.405 5.05 1:7 2.3 1.8 0.3 6.95 7.36 6.45 6.86 3 P-46 4.57 5.18 4.695 0.475 6.31 1:7 2.4 1.9 0.3 7.40 7.87 6.90 7.37 4 P-52/53 4.57 5.18 4.974 0.516 5.46 1:7 2.9 2.3 0.3 8.17 8.69 7.57 8.09 5 P-55/4 4.87 4.92 3.86 0.329 5.01 1:7 1.25 1 0.3 5.41 5.74 5.16 5.49 6 P-56/57 5.80 5.8 5.827 0.697 5.34 1:7 2.35 1.85 0.3 8.48 9.17 7.98 8.67 7 P-58/1 4.87 5.2 4.921 0.493 5.07 1:7 2.8 2.25 0.3 8.02 8.51 7.47 7.96 8 P-58/2 4.87 5.5 4.771 0.491 5.04 1:7 2.95 2.35 0.3 8.02 8.51 7.42 7.91 9 P-73/2 6.00 6.3 5.042 0.498 5.49 1:7 2.3 1.8 0.3 7.64 8.14 7.14 7.64 10 P-73/1 5.50 6.3 5.574 0.503 5.10 1:7 4 3.25 0.3 9.87 10.38 9.12 9.63 11 P-72 6.70 7.0 6.783 0.617 5.76 1:7 2.15 1.7 0.3 9.23 9.85 8.78 9.40 Source: Technical Feasibility Studies & detailed Design for Coastal Embankment Improvement Project, 2012[5] Where, LDL Coastal Embankment Project, Engineering and Economic Evaluation, Volume 2, Polder Maps, Leedshill- De Leuw Engineers, December 1968. SRP Systems Rehabilitation Project, Halcrow, 1994. The methodology has been developed according to the ā€œTechnical Feasibility Studies & detailed Design for Coastal Embankment Improvement Project (CEIP)ā€, 2012 conducted by Institute of Water Modeling (IWM). There are other sea facing polders which crest levels are not calculated here. It is seen that the existing crest level of all sea facing polders is not adequate to face natural hazards: cyclones and tidal surges, salinity intrusion, riverbank erosion, shoreline recession, tsunami etc. So Government should take necessary steps to rehabilitation of the sea facing polders to face some natural hazards. The Comparison of crest level of sea facing coastal polders between new and previous methodologies has been shown in Table IV.3. Table IV.3: Comparison of crest level of sea facing coastal polders between new and previous methodologies PointNo. Location ExistingSlope(SeaSide) DesignSlope(SeaSide) ExistingAve.CrestLevel(mPWD) DesignCrestLevel TotalLength(km) SeaSideLength(km) EstablishedYear AreaProtectedduringEstablished Year(acres)
  • 8. Adequacy Check of Existing Crest Level of Sea Facing Coastal Polders by the Extreme Value www.iosrjournals.org 96 | Page 1 P-45 1:3 1:7 5.8 6.75 27 10.56 1966-67 10,100 2 P-48 1:7 1:7 6.1 7.00 38 19.99 1964-66 11,600 3 P-46 1:3 1:7 5.18 7.50 40 5.20 1966-69 13,300 4 P-52/53 1:7 1:7 5.18 8.15 59 17.59 1970-73 20,100 5 P-55/4 1:7 1:7 4.92 5.50 33 32.53 1972-74 12,800 6 P-56/57 1:5 1:7 5.8 8.75 250 123.00 1966-70 180,800 7 P-58/1 1:7 1:7 5.2 8.00 32 27.00 1971-73 8,900 8 P-58/2 1:7 1:7 5.5 8.00 28 27.73 1973-74 82,000 9 P-73/2 1:2 1:7 6.3 7.75 48 34.62 1968-69 27,500 10 P-73/1 1:2 1:7 6.3 9.75 80.24 10.31 1964-68 52,800 11 P-72 1:3 1:7 7 9.50 56.93 45.12 1968-69 56,000 Source: Coastal Embankment Rehabilitation Project. Hydraulic Modeling study, Prepared by IWM/DHI, 2001[3] V. CONCLUSION Historical records show that more than 19 severe cyclones are generated in the Bay of Bengal in every ten years in average. Several of them strike the coast of Bangladesh. Extremely strong storm surges with more than 10m of water elevation hit the coast of Bangladesh at least once in a century. Very strong surge attack results in emotional, physical and economical catastrophe of the country. Considering the complexities of the Bangladeshi coastline with numerous inlets, large estuary, offshore islands and chars, use of sufficiently high- resolution model is necessary to generate the surge dynamics realistically in the shallower region. Sensitivity of shallowness of coastal water to surge height underlines the importance for using adequately resolved bathymetry in surge calculation for the sea facing coastal polders of Bangladesh. Considering the vulnerabilities in the coastal polders, it is likely that the physical interventions under the study would include some combination of (a) rehabilitating and raising the height of the earthen embankments considering the above procedure; (b) afforestation of embankments on the crest and slopes to maintain the coastal polders properly. Acknowledgements This work is funded by World Bank in collaboration with Institute of Water Modelling (IWM) and Bangladesh Water Development Board (BWDB). The authors are thankful to all professionals of Coast Port and Estuary Management Division, Institute of Water Modelling. REFERENCES [1] IWM, Multipurpose Cyclone Shelter Programme. Planning and Implementation issues, Part 4 Volume IV, prepared for Planning Commission, Government of Bangladesh and United Nations Development Programme/ World Bank, July 1993 [2] IWM, Cyclone Shelter Preparatory Study. Stage 1: Feasibility Phase, Final Report, Prepared for European Commission, Directorate General External Economic Relations and Technical Unit for Asia, ALA-91-16 Bangladesh, May 1998 [3] IWM/DHI, 2nd Coastal Embankment Rehabilitation Project. Hydraulic Modelling Study, August 2001 [4] IWM, Islamic Development Bank, Storm Surge Modelling Study for Construction of Cyclone Shelters in the Coastal Region of Bangladesh under Fael Khair Program, Draft Final Report, August 2011 [5] IWM, Hydraulic and Morphological Modelling Study to Aid ā€œTechnical Feasibility Studies & detailed Design for Coastal Embankment Improvement Project (CEIP), Final Report, 2013