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Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1
 
Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy)
NII 465 360 29.1 240 93.5
Pre-prov. profit 326 239 36.5 161 101.7
PAT 161 139 15.7 125 28.9
Source: Company, Angel Research
For 2QFY2011, Dena Bank reported healthy net profit growth of 28.9% yoy,
ahead of our estimates, on account of better-than-expected operating
performance. Healthy CASA accretion and consequent NIM expansion were the
key positives of the results. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock.
Better-than-expected NII growth: On a sequential basis, advances de-grew 4.4%
and deposits recorded a marginal growth of 0.4% compared to industry growth
of advances (2.0% qoq) and deposits (3.4% qoq). CASA deposits registered a
strong 29.9% yoy and 10.0% qoq growth leading to a substantial ~340bp qoq
improvement in CASA ratio to 39.1% from 35.7% as of 1QFY2011. Reported
NIM improved by a substantial 70bp qoq to 3.52%. Consequently, NII grew by a
robust 93.5% yoy and 29.1% qoq to `465cr despite a ~230bp sequential
decline in the CD ratio. Core fee income and recoveries from written-off
accounts grew at healthy rates of 34.9% yoy and 40.9% yoy, respectively.
Absolute gross NPAs increased by 3.1% qoq to `826cr. Slippages came down
considerably with a slippage rate of 1.6% in 2QFY2011 compared to 2.7% in
1QFY2011 and 2.2% in FY2010.
Outlook and Valuation: Dena Bank, with a strong CASA ratio of 39.1%, is better
placed than peers to protect its NIM in a rising interest rate environment. After
the proposed capital infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by
end-FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010, and enable it to maintain its CAR well above
12% levels until FY2012. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 6.5x FY2012E EPS of
`21.3 and 1.2x FY2012E ABV of `115.1. We maintain an Accumulate on the
stock with a Target Price of `150. We have assigned a target multiple of 1.3x
FY2012E ABV, translating into 8.7% upside from current levels.
Key Financials
Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E
NII 1,064 1,100 1,686 1,745
% chg 23.9 3.3 53.3 3.5
Net Profit 423 511 598 610
% chg 17.5 21.0 16.9 2.1
NIM (%) 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.5
EPS (`) 14.7 17.8 20.8 21.3
P/E (x) 9.3 7.7 6.6 6.5
P/ABV (x) 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2
RoA (%) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8
RoE (%) 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
ACCUMULATE
CMP `138
Target Price `150
Investment Period 12 Months
Stock Info
Sector Banking
Market Cap (` cr) 3,950
Beta 1.5
52 Week High / Low 140/55
Avg. Daily Volume 10,93,043
Face Value (`) 10
BSE Sensex 20,221
Nifty 6,082
Reuters Code DENA.BO
Bloomberg Code DBNK@IN
Shareholding Pattern (%)
Promoters 51.2
MF / Banks / Indian Fls 9.9
FII / NRIs / OCBs 18.1
Indian Public / Others 20.8
Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr
Sensex 12.2 20.8 5.1
Dena Bank 38.7 100.3 132.2
Vaibhav Agrawal
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 333
vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com
Amit Rane
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 326
amitn.rane@angelbroking.com
Shrinivas Bhutda
022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 316
shrinivas.bhutda@angelbroking.com
2QFY2011 Result Update | Banking
October 26, 2010
Dena Bank
Performance Highlights
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 2
Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 performance
Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy)
Interest earned 1,221 1,115 9.6 963 26.9
Interest expenses 756 754 0.3 722 4.7
NII 465 360 29.1 240 93.5
Non-interest income 119 107 11.0 125 (5.1)
Operating income 584 468 24.9 366 59.7
Operating expenses 259 229 12.9 204 26.6
Pre-prov. profit 326 239 36.5 161 101.7
Provisions & cont. 73 43 70.1 1 4,889.7
PBT 253 196 29.1 160 58.0
Prov. for taxes 92 57 61.7 35 160.7
PAT 161 139 15.7 125 28.9
EPS (`) 5.6 4.8 15.7 4.3 28.9
Cost-to-income ratio (%) 44.3 49.0 55.9
Effective tax rate (%) 36.5 29.1 22.1
Net NPA (%) 1.5 1.5 1.2
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 actual v/s Angel estimates
Particulars (` cr) Actual Estimates Var. (%)
NII 465 377 23.5
Non-interest income 119 90 32.1
Operating income 584 467 25.2
Operating expenses 259 224 15.3
Pre-prov. profit 326 242 34.3
Provisions & cont. 73 46 58.5
PBT 253 196 28.7
Prov. for taxes 92 59 56.4
PAT 161 138 16.8
Source: Company, Angel Research
Advances and deposits growth sluggish on a sequential basis
In 2QFY2011, on a sequential basis advances de-grew by 4.4% and deposits
recorded a marginal growth of 0.4% compared to industry growth of advances
(2.0% qoq) and deposits growth (3.4% qoq). On a yoy basis, advances growth
(21.0%) and deposits growth (18.2%) was in line with industry growth. On account
of growth in deposits compared to de-growth in advances on a sequential basis,
credit-to-deposit (CD) ratio fell to 67.7% in 2QFY2011 from 71.1% in 1QFY2011.
Growth in advances was driven by agricultural loans (25.5% yoy) and retail loans
(18.0% yoy).
On the deposits side, CASA deposits registered a strong 29.9% yoy and 10.0%
qoq growth leading to a substantial ~340bp qoq improvement in CASA ratio to
39.1% from 35.7% as of 1QFY2011.
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 3
Exhibit 3: Advances and deposits growth sluggish qoq
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 4: Strong traction in CASA deposits
Source: Company, Angel Research
On the back of improvement in CASA ratio, re-pricing of bulk deposits and higher
focus on retail and SME lending, reported NIM improved by a substantial 70bp
qoq to 3.52% in 2QFY2011 from 2.82% in 1QFY2011. Consequently, the bank’s
NII grew by a robust 93.5% yoy and 29.1% qoq to `465cr despite a ~230bp
sequential decline in CD ratio.
Management expects to sustain NIM above 3%+ levels for FY2011 on the back of
higher focus on CASA deposits accretion and retail and SME lending.
Exhibit 5: NIMs surprise on the upside
Source: Company, Angel Research
Lower treasury, but healthy core fee and recoveries
Core fee income and recoveries from written-off accounts grew at healthy rates of
34.9% yoy and 40.9% yoy, respectively. However, total non-interest income
declined by 5.1% yoy to `119cr because of minor losses in treasury compared to
profit of `38cr in 2QFY2010.
Management is expecting recoveries from written-off accounts to the tune of
`100cr+ in FY2011 out of which `45cr has been achieved during 1HFY2011.
Also, the bank is planning to extend depository services in 57 additional branches
compared to a total of 49 branches offering the facility as of now. The bank also
has plans to launch on-line trading facility shortly. These initiatives are likely to
help the bank in sustaining the traction in non-interest income.
29,925
30,924
35,462
37,884
36,210
45,251
47,844
51,344
53,311
53,498
66.1
64.6
69.1
71.1
67.7
60.0
63.0
66.0
69.0
72.0
-
15,000
30,000
45,000
60,000
2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11
Advances (` cr) Deposits (` cr) CD ratio (%, RHS)
35.2
35.6 35.5
36.0 35.7
39.1
32.0
34.0
36.0
38.0
40.0
1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11
2.3
2.5
2.8 2.8
3.5
-
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 4
Exhibit 6: Strong traction in other income despite minor loss in treasury
Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy)
CEB 92 79 15.8 68 34.9
Treasury (0) 10 NA 38 NA
Recoveries 27 18 51.5 19 40.9
Total 119 107 11.0 125 (5.1)
Source: Company, Angel Research
Slippages come down
The bank’s absolute gross NPAs increased marginally by 3.1% sequentially to
`826cr in 2QFY2011. The annualised gross slippage ratio came down to 1.6%
during the quarter from 2.7% in 1QFY2011 and from 2.2% in FY2010. Fresh
slippages amounted to `143cr out of which majority belonged to the corporate
advances. Recoveries were up from `37cr in 1QFY2011 to `53cr in
2QFY2011.Consequently, gross NPA ratio deteriorated to 2.3% (from 2.1% in
1QFY2011).
On account of aggressive provisioning charges, net NPAs reduced by 4.2%
sequentially to `538cr. Net NPA ratio was stable sequentially at 1.5%. The NPA
provision coverage ratio including technical write-offs improved to 75.4% (from
74.1% as of 1QFY2011). The bank’s cumulative restructured advances stood at
`1,306cr and formed 3.6% of advances and 45.1% of net worth. During the
quarter, there were slippages of `67cr from restructured accounts, taking the total
slippages from restructured accounts to 7.7% of restructured advances.
Exhibit 7: Trend in asset quality
Source: Company, Angel Research Note: Coverage ratio for excluding write-offs till 3QFY2010
Improved productivity
During the quarter, total operating expenses increased by 12.9% qoq and 26.6%
yoy to `259cr, driven by 34.2% increase in employee costs and 15.4% rise in other
operating expenses. However, the cost-to-income ratio improved substantially both
on a yoy and qoq basis to 44.3% in 2QFY2011 (from 49.0% in 1QFY2011 and
55.9% in 2QFY2010). The bank added 20 more branches increasing its branch
network to 1,257 during the quarter. Currently, the bank has 46 branch licenses
pending and aims to utilise all of them during 3QFY2011. The bank also opened
20 new ATMs during the quarter taking its ATM network to 441.
568
585
621
629
598
586
642
801
826
248
266
313
353
372
365
428
561
53856.3 54.6
49.5
43.9
37.8 37.7
78.6
74.1 75.4
10.0
30.0
50.0
70.0
90.0
-
300
600
900
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
Gross NPAs (` cr) Net NPAs (` cr) Provision coverage (%, RHS)
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 5
Exhibit 8: Trend in productivity
Source: Company, Angel Research
Capital infusion expected in 3QFY2011
During the quarter, Dena Bank’s CAR stood at 12.3%, with tier-I capital of 8.0%
(forming 65% of the total CAR). The bank’s CAR is expected to increase with the
likely capital infusion of `600cr in the form of preference capital by the
government in FY2011. Over FY2012–13, management expects to receive further
`700cr from the government by way of preference capital. The cost of this capital
is expected to be linked to the repo rate as per management indications.
Accordingly, we have assumed the cost of preference capital to be 7%. After the
proposed capital infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by
end-FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010.
91
116
144
117
130
121
132
128
145
163
70
75
81
75
74
83
87
92
84
96
56.6 56.0
45.9
50.5 50.4
55.9
52.5
44.1 49.0
44.3
36.0
44.0
52.0
60.0
-
50
100
150
200
250
300
1QFY09
2QFY09
3QFY09
4QFY09
1QFY10
2QFY10
3QFY10
4QFY10
1QFY11
2QFY11
Staff expenses (` cr) Other opex (` cr) Cost-to-income ratio (%, RHS)
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 6
Investment Arguments
Structurally strong CASA
Dena Bank has maintained its CASA ratio at healthy 35%+ levels (FY2010) on
account of having higher concentration of its branches in rural and semi-urban
areas (mainly in Gujarat and Maharashtra), where the prosperity levels are
relatively high. Further, during 2QFY2011, the bank was able to increase the
CASA ratio to 39.1%. In the last two years, the bank has maintained a CASA
market share of 1.1% despite intense competition from the private banks. This
structural advantage is reflected in the bank's cost of funds at 5.9% in FY2010,
which is one of the lowest amongst its peers.
Capital infusion to enable further growth
Dena Bank's CAR at 12.3% comprising only 8.0% of tier-I capital is below optimum
levels (reflected in 22x leverage of the bank for FY2010). Moreover, the
government’s holding at 51% had prevented the bank from further diluting the
government stake. This constraint on raising equity for growth was an overhang on
the stock. However, the government has been reiterating its intention to infuse
capital in PSU banks. Consequently, Dena Bank is expected to receive `600cr over
the next three months. Post the capital infusion, the bank's tier-I will improve to
9.1% in FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010, enabling it to grow its advances more-or-
less in line with peers in the medium term.
Lower provisioning to aid bottom-line growth
Dena Bank's gross and net NPAs stood at 2.3% and 1.5% respectively, in
2QFY2011, with cumulative restructured advances at `1,306cr (3.6% of loans). As
per a recent RBI circular, the bank's effective provision coverage, including
technically written-off portfolio, is 75.4% as against the mandatory 70%, due to
which an adjustment to book value for NPAs is not required. Further, this portfolio
is expected to yield outsized income from recoveries relative to peers. Given the
improving economic outlook, we believe lower incremental provisioning costs will
aid the bank in maintaining its profitability levels.
Outlook and Valuation
Dena Bank, with a strong CASA ratio of 39.1%, is better placed than peers to
protect its NIM in a rising interest rate environment. After the proposed capital
infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by end-FY2011 from 8.2% in
FY2010, and enable it to maintain its CAR well above 12% levels until FY2012. At
the CMP, the stock is trading at 6.5x FY2012E EPS of `21.3 and 1.2x FY2012E
ABV of `115.1. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock with a Target Price of
`150. We have assigned a target multiple of 1.3x FY2012E ABV, translating into
8.7% upside from current levels.
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 7
Exhibit 9: Key assumptions
Particulars (%)
Earlier estimates Revised estimates
FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E
Credit growth 18.0 18.0 15.0 18.0
Deposit growth 16.0 16.0 15.0 16.0
CASA ratio 35.3 34.7 35.6 35.0
NIMs 2.4 2.2 2.8 2.5
Other income growth (15.0) 14.9 (14.9) 15.0
Growth in staff expenses 15.0 15.0 25.0 15.0
Growth in other expenses 15.0 15.0 18.0 15.0
Slippages 2.0 1.6 2.0 1.6
Coverage ratio 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0
Treasury gain/(loss) (% of investments) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 10: Change in estimates
Particulars (` cr)
FY2011 FY2012
Earlier
estimates
Revised
estimates
%
chg
Earlier
estimates
Revised
estimates
%
chg
NII 1,452 1,686 16.1 1,564 1,745 11.6
Non-interest income 500 501 0.1 575 576 0.3
Operating income 1,953 2,187 12.0 2,138 2,321 8.6
Operating expenses 975 1,037 6.3 1,122 1,192 6.3
Pre-prov. profit 977 1,150 17.7 1,017 1,129 11.1
Provisions & cont. 158 191 20.4 115 127 10.0
PBT 819 959 17.2 901 1,002 11.2
Prov. for taxes 246 307 25.0 304 338 11.2
Preference dividend 55 55 - 55 55 -
PAT 518 598 15.3 543 610 12.3
Source: Company, Angel Research
Exhibit 11: P/ABV
Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
Apr-02
Nov-02
Jun-03
Jan-04
Aug-04
Mar-05
Oct-05
May-06
Dec-06
Jul-07
Feb-08
Sep-08
Apr-09
Nov-09
Jun-10
Jan-11Price (`) 0.4x 0.7x 1x 1.3x 1.6x
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 8
Exhibit 12: Recommendation summary
Company Reco.
CMP
(`)
Tgt.
price (`)
Upside
(%)
FY2012E
P/ABV (x)
FY2012E
Tgt
P/ABV (x)
FY2012E
P/E (x)
FY10-12E
EPS CAGR (%)
FY2012E
RoA (%)
FY2012E
RoE (%)
AxisBk Buy 1,460 1,705 16.8 2.7 3.2 14.0 29.6 1.6 21.1
FedBk Accumulate 465 512 10.1 1.4 1.5 9.7 32.6 1.4 14.8
HDFCBk Accumulate 2,301 2,510 9.1 3.7 4.0 19.4 35.7 1.7 20.4
ICICIBk* Buy 1,131 1,350 19.3 2.3 2.6 18.3 31.0 1.4 15.5
SIB Neutral 29 - - 1.7 - 10.0 18.0 1.0 17.8
YesBk Accumulate 378 415 9.7 2.9 3.2 17.4 24.4 1.2 18.2
BOI Neutral 524 - - 1.6 - 8.6 35.2 0.9 19.8
CorpBk Neutral 788 - - 1.4 - 7.6 12.5 1.0 20.1
DenaBk Accumulate 138 150 8.6 1.2 1.3 6.5 9.2 0.8 19.8
IndBk Accumulate 306 324 6.0 1.4 1.5 7.4 8.4 1.3 21.1
IOB Accumulate 168 187 11.2 1.2 1.3 8.3 24.5 0.7 14.8
OBC Neutral 501 - - 1.3 - 7.5 21.6 0.9 18.1
PNB Neutral 1,345 - - 1.8 - 8.9 10.6 1.2 22.3
SBI* Accumulate 3,180 3,556 11.8 2.4 2.6 14.0 24.0 1.1 19.2
UcoBk Neutral 137 - - 1.3 - 5.9 12.0 0.8 24.9
UnionBk Neutral 417 - - 1.7 - 7.4 17.2 1.1 23.9
Source: Company, Angel Research
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 9
Income statement
Y/E March (` cr) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
NII 723 855 859 1,064 1,100 1,686 1,745
- YoY Growth (%) 5.3 18.4 0.4 23.9 3.3 53.3 3.5
Other Income 459 422 478 430 589 501 576
- YoY Growth (%) 47.5 (8.0) 13.2 (10.0) 36.9 (14.9) 15.0
Operating Income 1,182 1,278 1,337 1,495 1,689 2,187 2,321
- YoY Growth (%) 18.4 8.1 4.6 11.8 13.0 29.5 6.2
Operating Expenses 561 612 650 768 848 1,037 1,192
- YoY Growth (%) (10.3) 8.9 6.4 18.1 10.4 22.2 15.0
Pre - Provision Profit 620 666 686 726 841 1,150 1,129
- YoY Growth (%) 66.9 7.4 3.1 5.8 15.7 36.8 (1.8)
Prov. & Cont. 569 433 369 185 154 191 127
- YoY Growth (%) 51.1 (23.9) (14.8) (49.9) (16.8) 24.1 (33.5)
Profit Before Tax 52 233 318 541 687 959 1,002
- YoY Growth (%) NA 352.5 36.3 70.5 26.8 39.7 4.5
Prov. for Taxation (21) 31 (42) 119 176 307 338
- as a % of PBT (41.7) 13.5 (13.3) 21.9 25.6 32.0 33.7
PAT 73 202 360 423 511 652 665
- YoY Growth (%) 19.7 176.1 78.5 17.5 21.0 27.6 1.9
Preference dividend - - - - - 55 55
PAT for Eq. shareholders 73 202 360 423 511 598 610
- YoY Growth (%) 19.7 176.1 78.5 17.5 21.0 16.9 2.1
Balance Sheet
Y/E March (` cr) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E
Share Capital 287 287 287 287 287 887 887
- Equity 287 287 287 287 287 287 287
- Preference - - - - - 600 600
Reserve & Surplus 1,052 1,210 1,514 1,884 2,368 2,857 3,378
Deposits 23,623 27,690 33,943 43,051 51,344 59,559 69,089
Growth (%) 13.0 17.2 22.6 26.8 19.3 16.0 16.0
Borrowings 1 451 395 52 1,562 1,640 1,722
Tier 2 Capital 607 535 1,066 1,391 1,523 1,723 1,923
Other Liab. & Prov. 975 1,278 1,437 1,796 556 668 826
Total Liabilities 26,545 31,451 38,642 48,460 57,640 67,334 77,825
Cash balances 1,686 1,776 3,533 4,982 4,355 5,003 6,287
Bank balances 817 1,039 443 875 813 1,844 700
Investments 8,571 9,235 10,335 12,473 15,694 17,272 20,036
Advances 14,231 18,303 23,033 28,878 35,462 41,846 49,378
Growth (%) 25.8 28.6 25.8 25.4 22.8 18.0 18.0
Fixed Assets 461 435 406 405 407 415 424
Other Assets 779 663 891 847 908 954 1,001
Total Assets 26,545 31,451 38,642 48,460 57,640 67,334 77,825
Growth (%) 10.5 18.5 22.9 25.4 18.9 16.8 15.6
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 10
Ratio Analysis
Y/E March FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E
Profitability ratios (%)
NIMs 3.0 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.5
Cost to Income Ratio 47.5 47.9 48.7 51.4 50.2 47.4 51.4
RoA 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8
RoE 7.1 17.5 25.6 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8
B/S ratios (%)
CASA Ratio 43.6 44.5 39.2 34.8 36.0 35.6 35.0
Credit/Deposit Ratio 60.2 66.1 67.8 67.1 69.1 69.1 70.3
CAR 10.6 11.5 11.1 12.1 12.8 15.3 14.7
- Tier I 6.0 6.1 6.8 6.8 8.2 9.1 8.8
Asset Quality (%)
Gross NPAs 6.4 4.0 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.6 2.6
Net NPAs 3.0 2.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.3
Slippages 2.8 3.6 2.2 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.6
Loan Loss Prov./Avg. Assets 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1
Provision Coverage 52.8 50.0 60.7 48.3 80.0 75.0 75.0
Per Share Data (`)
EPS 2.5 7.0 12.5 14.7 17.8 20.8 21.3
ABVPS 29.7 36.8 51.8 62.2 73.8 99.3 115.1
DPS - 0.8 1.0 1.2 2.0 2.5 2.5
Valuation Ratios
PER (x) 54.1 19.6 11.0 9.3 7.7 6.6 6.5
P/ABVPS (x) 4.6 3.7 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2
Dividend Yield - 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.8
DuPont Analysis (%)
NII 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.7 2.4
(-) Prov. Exp. 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2
Adj. NII 0.6 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.3
Treasury 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Int. Sens. Inc. 1.1 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.3
Other Inc. 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7
Op. Inc. 2.4 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.1
Opex 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7
PBT 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4
Taxes (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5
RoA 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8
Leverage (x) 24.6 25.2 25.0 24.8 24.4 23.7 23.4
RoE 7.1 17.5 25.6 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8
Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update
October 26, 2010 11
Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com
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Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way
responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report.
Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify,
nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory,
compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.
Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in
the past.
Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in
connection with the use of this information.
Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please
refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and
its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report.
Disclosure of Interest Statement Dena Bank
1. Analyst ownership of the stock No
2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes
3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No
4. Broking relationship with company covered No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors.
Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)

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Dena bank ru2 qfy2011

  • 1. Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report 1   Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) NII 465 360 29.1 240 93.5 Pre-prov. profit 326 239 36.5 161 101.7 PAT 161 139 15.7 125 28.9 Source: Company, Angel Research For 2QFY2011, Dena Bank reported healthy net profit growth of 28.9% yoy, ahead of our estimates, on account of better-than-expected operating performance. Healthy CASA accretion and consequent NIM expansion were the key positives of the results. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock. Better-than-expected NII growth: On a sequential basis, advances de-grew 4.4% and deposits recorded a marginal growth of 0.4% compared to industry growth of advances (2.0% qoq) and deposits (3.4% qoq). CASA deposits registered a strong 29.9% yoy and 10.0% qoq growth leading to a substantial ~340bp qoq improvement in CASA ratio to 39.1% from 35.7% as of 1QFY2011. Reported NIM improved by a substantial 70bp qoq to 3.52%. Consequently, NII grew by a robust 93.5% yoy and 29.1% qoq to `465cr despite a ~230bp sequential decline in the CD ratio. Core fee income and recoveries from written-off accounts grew at healthy rates of 34.9% yoy and 40.9% yoy, respectively. Absolute gross NPAs increased by 3.1% qoq to `826cr. Slippages came down considerably with a slippage rate of 1.6% in 2QFY2011 compared to 2.7% in 1QFY2011 and 2.2% in FY2010. Outlook and Valuation: Dena Bank, with a strong CASA ratio of 39.1%, is better placed than peers to protect its NIM in a rising interest rate environment. After the proposed capital infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by end-FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010, and enable it to maintain its CAR well above 12% levels until FY2012. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 6.5x FY2012E EPS of `21.3 and 1.2x FY2012E ABV of `115.1. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock with a Target Price of `150. We have assigned a target multiple of 1.3x FY2012E ABV, translating into 8.7% upside from current levels. Key Financials Y/E March (` cr) FY2009 FY2010 FY2011E FY2012E NII 1,064 1,100 1,686 1,745 % chg 23.9 3.3 53.3 3.5 Net Profit 423 511 598 610 % chg 17.5 21.0 16.9 2.1 NIM (%) 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.5 EPS (`) 14.7 17.8 20.8 21.3 P/E (x) 9.3 7.7 6.6 6.5 P/ABV (x) 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2 RoA (%) 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 RoE (%) 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8 Source: Company, Angel Research ACCUMULATE CMP `138 Target Price `150 Investment Period 12 Months Stock Info Sector Banking Market Cap (` cr) 3,950 Beta 1.5 52 Week High / Low 140/55 Avg. Daily Volume 10,93,043 Face Value (`) 10 BSE Sensex 20,221 Nifty 6,082 Reuters Code DENA.BO Bloomberg Code DBNK@IN Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters 51.2 MF / Banks / Indian Fls 9.9 FII / NRIs / OCBs 18.1 Indian Public / Others 20.8 Abs. (%) 3m 1yr 3yr Sensex 12.2 20.8 5.1 Dena Bank 38.7 100.3 132.2 Vaibhav Agrawal 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 333 vaibhav.agrawal@angelbroking.com Amit Rane 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 326 amitn.rane@angelbroking.com Shrinivas Bhutda 022 – 4040 3800 Ext: 316 shrinivas.bhutda@angelbroking.com 2QFY2011 Result Update | Banking October 26, 2010 Dena Bank Performance Highlights
  • 2. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 2 Exhibit 1: 2QFY2011 performance Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) Interest earned 1,221 1,115 9.6 963 26.9 Interest expenses 756 754 0.3 722 4.7 NII 465 360 29.1 240 93.5 Non-interest income 119 107 11.0 125 (5.1) Operating income 584 468 24.9 366 59.7 Operating expenses 259 229 12.9 204 26.6 Pre-prov. profit 326 239 36.5 161 101.7 Provisions & cont. 73 43 70.1 1 4,889.7 PBT 253 196 29.1 160 58.0 Prov. for taxes 92 57 61.7 35 160.7 PAT 161 139 15.7 125 28.9 EPS (`) 5.6 4.8 15.7 4.3 28.9 Cost-to-income ratio (%) 44.3 49.0 55.9 Effective tax rate (%) 36.5 29.1 22.1 Net NPA (%) 1.5 1.5 1.2 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 2: 2QFY2011 actual v/s Angel estimates Particulars (` cr) Actual Estimates Var. (%) NII 465 377 23.5 Non-interest income 119 90 32.1 Operating income 584 467 25.2 Operating expenses 259 224 15.3 Pre-prov. profit 326 242 34.3 Provisions & cont. 73 46 58.5 PBT 253 196 28.7 Prov. for taxes 92 59 56.4 PAT 161 138 16.8 Source: Company, Angel Research Advances and deposits growth sluggish on a sequential basis In 2QFY2011, on a sequential basis advances de-grew by 4.4% and deposits recorded a marginal growth of 0.4% compared to industry growth of advances (2.0% qoq) and deposits growth (3.4% qoq). On a yoy basis, advances growth (21.0%) and deposits growth (18.2%) was in line with industry growth. On account of growth in deposits compared to de-growth in advances on a sequential basis, credit-to-deposit (CD) ratio fell to 67.7% in 2QFY2011 from 71.1% in 1QFY2011. Growth in advances was driven by agricultural loans (25.5% yoy) and retail loans (18.0% yoy). On the deposits side, CASA deposits registered a strong 29.9% yoy and 10.0% qoq growth leading to a substantial ~340bp qoq improvement in CASA ratio to 39.1% from 35.7% as of 1QFY2011.
  • 3. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 3 Exhibit 3: Advances and deposits growth sluggish qoq Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 4: Strong traction in CASA deposits Source: Company, Angel Research On the back of improvement in CASA ratio, re-pricing of bulk deposits and higher focus on retail and SME lending, reported NIM improved by a substantial 70bp qoq to 3.52% in 2QFY2011 from 2.82% in 1QFY2011. Consequently, the bank’s NII grew by a robust 93.5% yoy and 29.1% qoq to `465cr despite a ~230bp sequential decline in CD ratio. Management expects to sustain NIM above 3%+ levels for FY2011 on the back of higher focus on CASA deposits accretion and retail and SME lending. Exhibit 5: NIMs surprise on the upside Source: Company, Angel Research Lower treasury, but healthy core fee and recoveries Core fee income and recoveries from written-off accounts grew at healthy rates of 34.9% yoy and 40.9% yoy, respectively. However, total non-interest income declined by 5.1% yoy to `119cr because of minor losses in treasury compared to profit of `38cr in 2QFY2010. Management is expecting recoveries from written-off accounts to the tune of `100cr+ in FY2011 out of which `45cr has been achieved during 1HFY2011. Also, the bank is planning to extend depository services in 57 additional branches compared to a total of 49 branches offering the facility as of now. The bank also has plans to launch on-line trading facility shortly. These initiatives are likely to help the bank in sustaining the traction in non-interest income. 29,925 30,924 35,462 37,884 36,210 45,251 47,844 51,344 53,311 53,498 66.1 64.6 69.1 71.1 67.7 60.0 63.0 66.0 69.0 72.0 - 15,000 30,000 45,000 60,000 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Advances (` cr) Deposits (` cr) CD ratio (%, RHS) 35.2 35.6 35.5 36.0 35.7 39.1 32.0 34.0 36.0 38.0 40.0 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 2.3 2.5 2.8 2.8 3.5 - 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11
  • 4. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 4 Exhibit 6: Strong traction in other income despite minor loss in treasury Particulars (` cr) 2QFY11 1QFY11 % chg (qoq) 2QFY10 % chg (yoy) CEB 92 79 15.8 68 34.9 Treasury (0) 10 NA 38 NA Recoveries 27 18 51.5 19 40.9 Total 119 107 11.0 125 (5.1) Source: Company, Angel Research Slippages come down The bank’s absolute gross NPAs increased marginally by 3.1% sequentially to `826cr in 2QFY2011. The annualised gross slippage ratio came down to 1.6% during the quarter from 2.7% in 1QFY2011 and from 2.2% in FY2010. Fresh slippages amounted to `143cr out of which majority belonged to the corporate advances. Recoveries were up from `37cr in 1QFY2011 to `53cr in 2QFY2011.Consequently, gross NPA ratio deteriorated to 2.3% (from 2.1% in 1QFY2011). On account of aggressive provisioning charges, net NPAs reduced by 4.2% sequentially to `538cr. Net NPA ratio was stable sequentially at 1.5%. The NPA provision coverage ratio including technical write-offs improved to 75.4% (from 74.1% as of 1QFY2011). The bank’s cumulative restructured advances stood at `1,306cr and formed 3.6% of advances and 45.1% of net worth. During the quarter, there were slippages of `67cr from restructured accounts, taking the total slippages from restructured accounts to 7.7% of restructured advances. Exhibit 7: Trend in asset quality Source: Company, Angel Research Note: Coverage ratio for excluding write-offs till 3QFY2010 Improved productivity During the quarter, total operating expenses increased by 12.9% qoq and 26.6% yoy to `259cr, driven by 34.2% increase in employee costs and 15.4% rise in other operating expenses. However, the cost-to-income ratio improved substantially both on a yoy and qoq basis to 44.3% in 2QFY2011 (from 49.0% in 1QFY2011 and 55.9% in 2QFY2010). The bank added 20 more branches increasing its branch network to 1,257 during the quarter. Currently, the bank has 46 branch licenses pending and aims to utilise all of them during 3QFY2011. The bank also opened 20 new ATMs during the quarter taking its ATM network to 441. 568 585 621 629 598 586 642 801 826 248 266 313 353 372 365 428 561 53856.3 54.6 49.5 43.9 37.8 37.7 78.6 74.1 75.4 10.0 30.0 50.0 70.0 90.0 - 300 600 900 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Gross NPAs (` cr) Net NPAs (` cr) Provision coverage (%, RHS)
  • 5. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 5 Exhibit 8: Trend in productivity Source: Company, Angel Research Capital infusion expected in 3QFY2011 During the quarter, Dena Bank’s CAR stood at 12.3%, with tier-I capital of 8.0% (forming 65% of the total CAR). The bank’s CAR is expected to increase with the likely capital infusion of `600cr in the form of preference capital by the government in FY2011. Over FY2012–13, management expects to receive further `700cr from the government by way of preference capital. The cost of this capital is expected to be linked to the repo rate as per management indications. Accordingly, we have assumed the cost of preference capital to be 7%. After the proposed capital infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by end-FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010. 91 116 144 117 130 121 132 128 145 163 70 75 81 75 74 83 87 92 84 96 56.6 56.0 45.9 50.5 50.4 55.9 52.5 44.1 49.0 44.3 36.0 44.0 52.0 60.0 - 50 100 150 200 250 300 1QFY09 2QFY09 3QFY09 4QFY09 1QFY10 2QFY10 3QFY10 4QFY10 1QFY11 2QFY11 Staff expenses (` cr) Other opex (` cr) Cost-to-income ratio (%, RHS)
  • 6. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 6 Investment Arguments Structurally strong CASA Dena Bank has maintained its CASA ratio at healthy 35%+ levels (FY2010) on account of having higher concentration of its branches in rural and semi-urban areas (mainly in Gujarat and Maharashtra), where the prosperity levels are relatively high. Further, during 2QFY2011, the bank was able to increase the CASA ratio to 39.1%. In the last two years, the bank has maintained a CASA market share of 1.1% despite intense competition from the private banks. This structural advantage is reflected in the bank's cost of funds at 5.9% in FY2010, which is one of the lowest amongst its peers. Capital infusion to enable further growth Dena Bank's CAR at 12.3% comprising only 8.0% of tier-I capital is below optimum levels (reflected in 22x leverage of the bank for FY2010). Moreover, the government’s holding at 51% had prevented the bank from further diluting the government stake. This constraint on raising equity for growth was an overhang on the stock. However, the government has been reiterating its intention to infuse capital in PSU banks. Consequently, Dena Bank is expected to receive `600cr over the next three months. Post the capital infusion, the bank's tier-I will improve to 9.1% in FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010, enabling it to grow its advances more-or- less in line with peers in the medium term. Lower provisioning to aid bottom-line growth Dena Bank's gross and net NPAs stood at 2.3% and 1.5% respectively, in 2QFY2011, with cumulative restructured advances at `1,306cr (3.6% of loans). As per a recent RBI circular, the bank's effective provision coverage, including technically written-off portfolio, is 75.4% as against the mandatory 70%, due to which an adjustment to book value for NPAs is not required. Further, this portfolio is expected to yield outsized income from recoveries relative to peers. Given the improving economic outlook, we believe lower incremental provisioning costs will aid the bank in maintaining its profitability levels. Outlook and Valuation Dena Bank, with a strong CASA ratio of 39.1%, is better placed than peers to protect its NIM in a rising interest rate environment. After the proposed capital infusion, the bank's tier-I ratio will improve to 9.1% by end-FY2011 from 8.2% in FY2010, and enable it to maintain its CAR well above 12% levels until FY2012. At the CMP, the stock is trading at 6.5x FY2012E EPS of `21.3 and 1.2x FY2012E ABV of `115.1. We maintain an Accumulate on the stock with a Target Price of `150. We have assigned a target multiple of 1.3x FY2012E ABV, translating into 8.7% upside from current levels.
  • 7. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 7 Exhibit 9: Key assumptions Particulars (%) Earlier estimates Revised estimates FY2011E FY2012E FY2011E FY2012E Credit growth 18.0 18.0 15.0 18.0 Deposit growth 16.0 16.0 15.0 16.0 CASA ratio 35.3 34.7 35.6 35.0 NIMs 2.4 2.2 2.8 2.5 Other income growth (15.0) 14.9 (14.9) 15.0 Growth in staff expenses 15.0 15.0 25.0 15.0 Growth in other expenses 15.0 15.0 18.0 15.0 Slippages 2.0 1.6 2.0 1.6 Coverage ratio 75.0 75.0 75.0 75.0 Treasury gain/(loss) (% of investments) 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 10: Change in estimates Particulars (` cr) FY2011 FY2012 Earlier estimates Revised estimates % chg Earlier estimates Revised estimates % chg NII 1,452 1,686 16.1 1,564 1,745 11.6 Non-interest income 500 501 0.1 575 576 0.3 Operating income 1,953 2,187 12.0 2,138 2,321 8.6 Operating expenses 975 1,037 6.3 1,122 1,192 6.3 Pre-prov. profit 977 1,150 17.7 1,017 1,129 11.1 Provisions & cont. 158 191 20.4 115 127 10.0 PBT 819 959 17.2 901 1,002 11.2 Prov. for taxes 246 307 25.0 304 338 11.2 Preference dividend 55 55 - 55 55 - PAT 518 598 15.3 543 610 12.3 Source: Company, Angel Research Exhibit 11: P/ABV Source: Company, Bloomberg, Angel Research 0 40 80 120 160 200 240 Apr-02 Nov-02 Jun-03 Jan-04 Aug-04 Mar-05 Oct-05 May-06 Dec-06 Jul-07 Feb-08 Sep-08 Apr-09 Nov-09 Jun-10 Jan-11Price (`) 0.4x 0.7x 1x 1.3x 1.6x
  • 8. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 8 Exhibit 12: Recommendation summary Company Reco. CMP (`) Tgt. price (`) Upside (%) FY2012E P/ABV (x) FY2012E Tgt P/ABV (x) FY2012E P/E (x) FY10-12E EPS CAGR (%) FY2012E RoA (%) FY2012E RoE (%) AxisBk Buy 1,460 1,705 16.8 2.7 3.2 14.0 29.6 1.6 21.1 FedBk Accumulate 465 512 10.1 1.4 1.5 9.7 32.6 1.4 14.8 HDFCBk Accumulate 2,301 2,510 9.1 3.7 4.0 19.4 35.7 1.7 20.4 ICICIBk* Buy 1,131 1,350 19.3 2.3 2.6 18.3 31.0 1.4 15.5 SIB Neutral 29 - - 1.7 - 10.0 18.0 1.0 17.8 YesBk Accumulate 378 415 9.7 2.9 3.2 17.4 24.4 1.2 18.2 BOI Neutral 524 - - 1.6 - 8.6 35.2 0.9 19.8 CorpBk Neutral 788 - - 1.4 - 7.6 12.5 1.0 20.1 DenaBk Accumulate 138 150 8.6 1.2 1.3 6.5 9.2 0.8 19.8 IndBk Accumulate 306 324 6.0 1.4 1.5 7.4 8.4 1.3 21.1 IOB Accumulate 168 187 11.2 1.2 1.3 8.3 24.5 0.7 14.8 OBC Neutral 501 - - 1.3 - 7.5 21.6 0.9 18.1 PNB Neutral 1,345 - - 1.8 - 8.9 10.6 1.2 22.3 SBI* Accumulate 3,180 3,556 11.8 2.4 2.6 14.0 24.0 1.1 19.2 UcoBk Neutral 137 - - 1.3 - 5.9 12.0 0.8 24.9 UnionBk Neutral 417 - - 1.7 - 7.4 17.2 1.1 23.9 Source: Company, Angel Research
  • 9. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 9 Income statement Y/E March (` cr) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E NII 723 855 859 1,064 1,100 1,686 1,745 - YoY Growth (%) 5.3 18.4 0.4 23.9 3.3 53.3 3.5 Other Income 459 422 478 430 589 501 576 - YoY Growth (%) 47.5 (8.0) 13.2 (10.0) 36.9 (14.9) 15.0 Operating Income 1,182 1,278 1,337 1,495 1,689 2,187 2,321 - YoY Growth (%) 18.4 8.1 4.6 11.8 13.0 29.5 6.2 Operating Expenses 561 612 650 768 848 1,037 1,192 - YoY Growth (%) (10.3) 8.9 6.4 18.1 10.4 22.2 15.0 Pre - Provision Profit 620 666 686 726 841 1,150 1,129 - YoY Growth (%) 66.9 7.4 3.1 5.8 15.7 36.8 (1.8) Prov. & Cont. 569 433 369 185 154 191 127 - YoY Growth (%) 51.1 (23.9) (14.8) (49.9) (16.8) 24.1 (33.5) Profit Before Tax 52 233 318 541 687 959 1,002 - YoY Growth (%) NA 352.5 36.3 70.5 26.8 39.7 4.5 Prov. for Taxation (21) 31 (42) 119 176 307 338 - as a % of PBT (41.7) 13.5 (13.3) 21.9 25.6 32.0 33.7 PAT 73 202 360 423 511 652 665 - YoY Growth (%) 19.7 176.1 78.5 17.5 21.0 27.6 1.9 Preference dividend - - - - - 55 55 PAT for Eq. shareholders 73 202 360 423 511 598 610 - YoY Growth (%) 19.7 176.1 78.5 17.5 21.0 16.9 2.1 Balance Sheet Y/E March (` cr) FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10E FY11E FY12E Share Capital 287 287 287 287 287 887 887 - Equity 287 287 287 287 287 287 287 - Preference - - - - - 600 600 Reserve & Surplus 1,052 1,210 1,514 1,884 2,368 2,857 3,378 Deposits 23,623 27,690 33,943 43,051 51,344 59,559 69,089 Growth (%) 13.0 17.2 22.6 26.8 19.3 16.0 16.0 Borrowings 1 451 395 52 1,562 1,640 1,722 Tier 2 Capital 607 535 1,066 1,391 1,523 1,723 1,923 Other Liab. & Prov. 975 1,278 1,437 1,796 556 668 826 Total Liabilities 26,545 31,451 38,642 48,460 57,640 67,334 77,825 Cash balances 1,686 1,776 3,533 4,982 4,355 5,003 6,287 Bank balances 817 1,039 443 875 813 1,844 700 Investments 8,571 9,235 10,335 12,473 15,694 17,272 20,036 Advances 14,231 18,303 23,033 28,878 35,462 41,846 49,378 Growth (%) 25.8 28.6 25.8 25.4 22.8 18.0 18.0 Fixed Assets 461 435 406 405 407 415 424 Other Assets 779 663 891 847 908 954 1,001 Total Assets 26,545 31,451 38,642 48,460 57,640 67,334 77,825 Growth (%) 10.5 18.5 22.9 25.4 18.9 16.8 15.6
  • 10. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 10 Ratio Analysis Y/E March FY06 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11E FY12E Profitability ratios (%) NIMs 3.0 3.1 2.5 2.5 2.1 2.8 2.5 Cost to Income Ratio 47.5 47.9 48.7 51.4 50.2 47.4 51.4 RoA 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 RoE 7.1 17.5 25.6 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8 B/S ratios (%) CASA Ratio 43.6 44.5 39.2 34.8 36.0 35.6 35.0 Credit/Deposit Ratio 60.2 66.1 67.8 67.1 69.1 69.1 70.3 CAR 10.6 11.5 11.1 12.1 12.8 15.3 14.7 - Tier I 6.0 6.1 6.8 6.8 8.2 9.1 8.8 Asset Quality (%) Gross NPAs 6.4 4.0 2.4 2.1 1.8 2.6 2.6 Net NPAs 3.0 2.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.3 Slippages 2.8 3.6 2.2 2.9 2.2 2.0 1.6 Loan Loss Prov./Avg. Assets 0.9 1.0 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 Provision Coverage 52.8 50.0 60.7 48.3 80.0 75.0 75.0 Per Share Data (`) EPS 2.5 7.0 12.5 14.7 17.8 20.8 21.3 ABVPS 29.7 36.8 51.8 62.2 73.8 99.3 115.1 DPS - 0.8 1.0 1.2 2.0 2.5 2.5 Valuation Ratios PER (x) 54.1 19.6 11.0 9.3 7.7 6.6 6.5 P/ABVPS (x) 4.6 3.7 2.7 2.2 1.9 1.4 1.2 Dividend Yield - 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.8 1.8 DuPont Analysis (%) NII 2.9 2.9 2.5 2.4 2.1 2.7 2.4 (-) Prov. Exp. 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 Adj. NII 0.6 1.5 1.4 2.0 1.8 2.4 2.3 Treasury 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 Int. Sens. Inc. 1.1 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.1 2.5 2.3 Other Inc. 1.3 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 Op. Inc. 2.4 2.9 2.8 3.0 2.9 3.2 3.1 Opex 2.2 2.1 1.9 1.8 1.6 1.7 1.7 PBT 0.2 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 Taxes (0.1) 0.1 (0.1) 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 RoA 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.8 Leverage (x) 24.6 25.2 25.0 24.8 24.4 23.7 23.4 RoE 7.1 17.5 25.6 24.0 23.5 22.8 19.8
  • 11. Dena Bank | 2QFY2011 Result Update October 26, 2010 11 Research Team Tel: 022 - 4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking Limited or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Also, please refer to the latest update on respective stocks for the disclosure status in respect of those stocks. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may have investment positions in the stocks recommended in this report. Disclosure of Interest Statement Dena Bank 1. Analyst ownership of the stock No 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock Yes 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock No 4. Broking relationship with company covered No Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors. Ratings (Returns): Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%) Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)