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THE SCIENCE
BEHIND DISCOUNTING
Differentiation
Why it’s still an important factor in today’s ecosystem
The Science Behind Discounting
Why it’s important plus global examples of campaigns with science underpinning them.
WHAT WE’RE COVERING
INDUSTRY
DIFFERENTIATION
CONTINUED COUPON DEMAND
“The next time you’re making a change in your company, launching a new product, or even re-defining
your brand, stop asking yourself where you can fit in your current space, and ask yourself what you can
do to stand out, instead.”
Steve Harvey, Fabrik
Differentiation and value-add is becoming more of
a challenge.
To be innovative and successful, we have to:
● Do something that makes life easier or more innovative
● Find a way to stand out from the crowd. Think differently.
VALUE-ADD IN COUPONS
Ad: Burger King
with Google
Home
Product:
Whopper Burger
https://youtu.be/OUj8SUoJ-ZM
THE SCIENCE BEHIND
DISCOUNTING
Rory Sutherland
Chairman @ Ogilvy
Richard Shotton
The Choice Factory
The masters of behavioral economics
● Scarcity Principle
● Complementarity
● Value Perception
● Relevancy
● Social Bias
● Price Anchoring
Heuristics
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS & COUPONING
Heuristics
Are simple, efficient rules which people often use to form judgments and
make decisions.
Also referred to as your brain’s mental reflexes and rapid insights.
BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS & COUPONING
Pakistan against England for the
2017 ICC Champions Trophy
Yasiel Puig (LA Dodgers) catch vs.
NY Mets, 2014. MLB; YouTube.
HEURISTICS
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
HEURISTICS
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
HEURISTICS
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
HEURISTICS
90 meter distance
Peak height
Travelling at 92mph
48.7 degree angle of trajectory
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
SCARCITY
PRINCIPLE
Scarcity. FOMO. Exclusivity.
We know it by many names, but it’s all fundamentally about the same thing:
if it’s hard to get, it must be worth something.
The Scarcity Principle
People attach more value to things that are few in quantity.
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
Lock in this great
price while you still
can
Booking.com is a master at scarcity
marketing. Take a look at how they
imply that this deal on a hotel won’t
be available for very long
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
3 People are
looking right now
You may also notice in the screenshot
above that Booking.com share how
many other users are currently
viewing the same hotel you are
viewing. Better book now before those
4 other people get the room you want!
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
COMPLEMENTARITY
Complementarity
A relationship or situation in which two or more different things
improve or emphasize each other's qualities.
COMPLEMENTARITY
Greg has just bought flights
from Delta.
The next day he’s sent a
complimentary email offering 10% off
bookings and a deal on Travel
insurance.
He books a hotel & orders travel
insurance.
Cross-selling to
increase sales
Hotels.com Exclusive
10% off bookings + a great rate
on Travel Insurance
!
Elly has shopped twice at Crew
Clothing in the last six months but
never before at Joules.
She’s sent an email with a Joules
exclusive for new customers.
She makes a purchase.
Targeting new customers
Joules Exclusive
10% off at Joules for new
customers
!
COMPLEMENTARITY
Maximising revenue automatically through
complementary offer creation and promotion
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
Buy a bike from Evans Cycles and get free
entry to any National Trust location
Evans Cycles + National Trust = +
Free $50 Amazon, M&S or John Lewis Gift
Card with all car insurance at Direct Line
DIrect Line + Retail = +
Book your train ticket with the Trainline
and have a Starbucks coffee on us
Trainline + Starbucks = +
Spend $200 at Game and get a takeaway
on us with a $20 JustEat credit
Game + JustEat = +$
COMPLEMENTARITY
VALUE
PERCEPTION
Value Perception
Lies at the heart of marketing and deals solely with the
customer's perception of a product.
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
Ad: Diamond
Shreddies
By: Ogilvy
https://youtu.be/ZV6xrmm2mII
Ad: Diamond Shreddies By: Ogilvy
18% Increase in Sales
Ad: Diamond
Shreddies
By: Ogilvy
Perception manipulation
If you change the way someone looks at something,
you change their value of it.
VALUE PERCEPTION
VALUE PERCEPTION
Spend $80 and get a
$5 same brand reward
ACTION BENCHMARK OUTCOME
Spend $80 (ORDER 1) Programme AOV = $50 + $30
Get a $5 M&S Reward $5 offset from additional ORDER
1 revenue
+ $25
Spend $5 M&S Reward
(ORDER 2)
On average, shopper spends 30%
more with use of a reward
+ $65
Results? 2 Orders ($75 + $65)
AOV = $70
ATF doubled
AOV Gain = $20
IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
RELEVANCY
Relevancy
the quality or state of being closely connected or
appropriate to someone.
SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
Eurovision Song Contest, Vienna,
BBC 1; 2015
180,000,000
Viewers Annually
6,900,000
UK viewers
Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
Target Customer
Annie. Age: 28
Vouchercloud Food-to-Go consumer
High volume vc user
Never ordered from JUSTEAT
8AM
Browses emails on waking. Sees vouchercloud
email containing JUSTEAT voucher
3:30PM
Browsing on Facebook - served branded
JUSTEAT advert by vouchercloud
Colour Psychology – the JUSTEAT ‘red’ was consistently
used throughout messaging, subtly reminding users of
the brand
Scarcity & Urgency – invoking a sense of urgency with
our last-minute push notification, 30 minutes prior to
Eurovision’s ‘showtime’
The “foot-in-the-door” technique – users who showed
any interaction with our communications were then
given tailored follow-up messaging that played on their
previous interactions – i.e – “Still looking for that
takeaway? Up to 20% off local eateries with JUSTEAT
tonight!
7:30PM
Push sent to mobile as TV show starts
resulting in order
JUST EAT your way through Eurovision
Google Maps 2019
Google Maps 2019
Campaign Statistics
8.6m Emails sent
33k Offline to Online engagements
21% Email open rate
2% Email CTR
10% CTR on Push Notifications
4% Average CR
1000+ Sales Driven
622% Uplift YOY
658% Uplift MOM
160k Engagements within Category
SOCIAL
BIAS
The Bandwagon Effect
is characterised by the probability of individual adoption
increasing with respect to the proportion who have
already done so.
SOCIAL BIAS
Single Choice
“Apple made a simple design choice in 2001 that
sent it into the stratosphere”
- Chris weller
SOCIAL BIAS
Ad: Apple + iPod
+ Itunes
Product: iPod
Ad: Apple + iPod
+ Itunes
Product: iPod
Ad: Apple + iPod
+ Itunes
Product: iPod
Ad: Apple + iPod
+ Itunes
Product: iPod
Booked 26
Times Today
Booking.com also tells you how many
times a particular hotel has been
booked today, which means the hotel
must be a desirable place to stay (and
you’d better book your stay now
before they’re all booked up).
SOCIAL BIAS
PRICE
ANCHORING
Anchoring
Refers to the tendency to heavily rely on the first
piece of information offered when making
decisions.
PRICE ANCHORING
IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW,
ALLTHINGSD.COM
$999
IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW,
ALLTHINGSD.COM
$499
IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW,
ALLTHINGSD.COM
Rory Sutherland
Chairman @ Ogilvy
Richard Shotton
The Choice Factory
The masters of behavioral economics
IN SUMMARY
Differentiation remains a key focus
Our campaigns are shifting to creativity and
an improved focus on user behavior
Groupon Coupons needs YOU!
Thanks for listening!
Any Questions?
Dan Flannery
dflannery@groupon.com
Chris Johnson
ceej@groupon.com

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The Science Behind Discounting

  • 2. Differentiation Why it’s still an important factor in today’s ecosystem The Science Behind Discounting Why it’s important plus global examples of campaigns with science underpinning them. WHAT WE’RE COVERING
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 8. “The next time you’re making a change in your company, launching a new product, or even re-defining your brand, stop asking yourself where you can fit in your current space, and ask yourself what you can do to stand out, instead.” Steve Harvey, Fabrik Differentiation and value-add is becoming more of a challenge. To be innovative and successful, we have to: ● Do something that makes life easier or more innovative ● Find a way to stand out from the crowd. Think differently. VALUE-ADD IN COUPONS
  • 9. Ad: Burger King with Google Home Product: Whopper Burger https://youtu.be/OUj8SUoJ-ZM
  • 11. Rory Sutherland Chairman @ Ogilvy Richard Shotton The Choice Factory The masters of behavioral economics
  • 12. ● Scarcity Principle ● Complementarity ● Value Perception ● Relevancy ● Social Bias ● Price Anchoring Heuristics BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS & COUPONING
  • 13. Heuristics Are simple, efficient rules which people often use to form judgments and make decisions. Also referred to as your brain’s mental reflexes and rapid insights. BEHAVIOURAL ECONOMICS & COUPONING
  • 14. Pakistan against England for the 2017 ICC Champions Trophy Yasiel Puig (LA Dodgers) catch vs. NY Mets, 2014. MLB; YouTube.
  • 18. HEURISTICS 90 meter distance Peak height Travelling at 92mph 48.7 degree angle of trajectory IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
  • 20. Scarcity. FOMO. Exclusivity. We know it by many names, but it’s all fundamentally about the same thing: if it’s hard to get, it must be worth something. The Scarcity Principle People attach more value to things that are few in quantity. SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 24. Lock in this great price while you still can Booking.com is a master at scarcity marketing. Take a look at how they imply that this deal on a hotel won’t be available for very long SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
  • 25. 3 People are looking right now You may also notice in the screenshot above that Booking.com share how many other users are currently viewing the same hotel you are viewing. Better book now before those 4 other people get the room you want! SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
  • 27. Complementarity A relationship or situation in which two or more different things improve or emphasize each other's qualities. COMPLEMENTARITY
  • 28. Greg has just bought flights from Delta. The next day he’s sent a complimentary email offering 10% off bookings and a deal on Travel insurance. He books a hotel & orders travel insurance. Cross-selling to increase sales Hotels.com Exclusive 10% off bookings + a great rate on Travel Insurance ! Elly has shopped twice at Crew Clothing in the last six months but never before at Joules. She’s sent an email with a Joules exclusive for new customers. She makes a purchase. Targeting new customers Joules Exclusive 10% off at Joules for new customers ! COMPLEMENTARITY Maximising revenue automatically through complementary offer creation and promotion
  • 29.
  • 32.
  • 33.
  • 34.
  • 35. Buy a bike from Evans Cycles and get free entry to any National Trust location Evans Cycles + National Trust = + Free $50 Amazon, M&S or John Lewis Gift Card with all car insurance at Direct Line DIrect Line + Retail = + Book your train ticket with the Trainline and have a Starbucks coffee on us Trainline + Starbucks = + Spend $200 at Game and get a takeaway on us with a $20 JustEat credit Game + JustEat = +$ COMPLEMENTARITY
  • 37. Value Perception Lies at the heart of marketing and deals solely with the customer's perception of a product. SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
  • 39. Ad: Diamond Shreddies By: Ogilvy
  • 40. 18% Increase in Sales Ad: Diamond Shreddies By: Ogilvy
  • 41. Perception manipulation If you change the way someone looks at something, you change their value of it. VALUE PERCEPTION
  • 43. Spend $80 and get a $5 same brand reward ACTION BENCHMARK OUTCOME Spend $80 (ORDER 1) Programme AOV = $50 + $30 Get a $5 M&S Reward $5 offset from additional ORDER 1 revenue + $25 Spend $5 M&S Reward (ORDER 2) On average, shopper spends 30% more with use of a reward + $65 Results? 2 Orders ($75 + $65) AOV = $70 ATF doubled AOV Gain = $20 IMAGE SOURCE: BYNDER
  • 45. Relevancy the quality or state of being closely connected or appropriate to someone. SCARCITY PRINCIPLE
  • 46. Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
  • 47. Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
  • 48. Eurovision Song Contest, Vienna, BBC 1; 2015
  • 50. Total Amount from 01/05/2014 through 31/05/2014
  • 51. Target Customer Annie. Age: 28 Vouchercloud Food-to-Go consumer High volume vc user Never ordered from JUSTEAT 8AM Browses emails on waking. Sees vouchercloud email containing JUSTEAT voucher 3:30PM Browsing on Facebook - served branded JUSTEAT advert by vouchercloud Colour Psychology – the JUSTEAT ‘red’ was consistently used throughout messaging, subtly reminding users of the brand Scarcity & Urgency – invoking a sense of urgency with our last-minute push notification, 30 minutes prior to Eurovision’s ‘showtime’ The “foot-in-the-door” technique – users who showed any interaction with our communications were then given tailored follow-up messaging that played on their previous interactions – i.e – “Still looking for that takeaway? Up to 20% off local eateries with JUSTEAT tonight! 7:30PM Push sent to mobile as TV show starts resulting in order JUST EAT your way through Eurovision
  • 54. Campaign Statistics 8.6m Emails sent 33k Offline to Online engagements 21% Email open rate 2% Email CTR 10% CTR on Push Notifications 4% Average CR 1000+ Sales Driven 622% Uplift YOY 658% Uplift MOM 160k Engagements within Category
  • 56. The Bandwagon Effect is characterised by the probability of individual adoption increasing with respect to the proportion who have already done so. SOCIAL BIAS
  • 57.
  • 58. Single Choice “Apple made a simple design choice in 2001 that sent it into the stratosphere” - Chris weller SOCIAL BIAS
  • 59. Ad: Apple + iPod + Itunes Product: iPod
  • 60. Ad: Apple + iPod + Itunes Product: iPod
  • 61. Ad: Apple + iPod + Itunes Product: iPod
  • 62. Ad: Apple + iPod + Itunes Product: iPod
  • 63. Booked 26 Times Today Booking.com also tells you how many times a particular hotel has been booked today, which means the hotel must be a desirable place to stay (and you’d better book your stay now before they’re all booked up). SOCIAL BIAS
  • 64.
  • 66. Anchoring Refers to the tendency to heavily rely on the first piece of information offered when making decisions. PRICE ANCHORING
  • 67. IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW, ALLTHINGSD.COM
  • 68. $999 IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW, ALLTHINGSD.COM
  • 69. $499 IMAGE SOURCE: ADAM TOW, ALLTHINGSD.COM
  • 70.
  • 71.
  • 72.
  • 73. Rory Sutherland Chairman @ Ogilvy Richard Shotton The Choice Factory The masters of behavioral economics
  • 74. IN SUMMARY Differentiation remains a key focus Our campaigns are shifting to creativity and an improved focus on user behavior Groupon Coupons needs YOU!
  • 75. Thanks for listening! Any Questions? Dan Flannery dflannery@groupon.com Chris Johnson ceej@groupon.com

Editor's Notes

  1. General overview of the talk, covering: Disruptive innovation on a macro level Fine tuned to the voucher industry level to give context on the innovation we’ve seen in the market to date. Brief overview of behavioural economics In-depth overview of how behavioural economics and discounting go hand in hand. Showcasing key behavioural biases and how they are applied to our marketing efforts NOTE: Case study discussed on page 73; details from 2014/15 year.
  2. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  3. Industry disruption: A micro level overview of the affiliate market’s evolution over time and our own disruption How the voucher market has evolved and been disrupted Stating that “for us to stand out, we have to do something different” to make life easier or more innovative; finding a way to stand out from the crowd
  4. The science behind discounting: An explanation of heuristics (learning) using sport-based analogies Running through the details behind each behavioural heuristic (slide 26) Highlighting real-world examples from each; using videos from Cannes Lion award winners Tying Heuristic usage to real-world business example - mostly focussed on platform and technology innovation i.e Spotify
  5. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  6. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  7. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  8. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  9. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  10. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  11. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  12. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  13. Scarcity principle: Highlighting key factors behind the purchasing decisions and how operators such as ourselves can take advantage
  14. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  15. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  16. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  17. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  18. Complementarity: Looking at adding value to the customer journey i.e abandoned journey conversions and recommendations for similar items / stores
  19. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  20. Value perception: Real-world examples of how perception influences value
  21. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  22. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  23. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  24. Relevancy: Offering deals for relevant events, i.e takeaways during Eurovision, will produce better results than the same offer at a poor time point. People respond best to items they want when they actually want them, not before or after. It’s about intercepting the purchase on the customer journey.
  25. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  26. *Justeat / Eurovision supporting evidence from PMA entry here - cj will talk through *
  27. Social bias: What creates a buzz? How did Apple differentiate their product from other MP3 players on the market? The answer is that they took advantage of social ideals
  28. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  29. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  30. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  31. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  32. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  33. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  34. Price anchoring: The iPads were reportedly due to sell at $999, but in reality, they sold for $499. In the mind of a consumer, that’s an instant 50% price cut for the same object. Their perception of value is based on the first price that they heard. Further, the easier a discount is to understand, the more effective it is. $3 off $15 is proven to be more effective than $20% off - it’s easier to understand, and therefore better engaged with.
  35. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  36. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  37. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.
  38. 'Scarcity value’ – the appeal of unavailability – helps to explain among other things the premium now attached to live music as recorded music becomes commoditised.