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Cohort studies
By: Mehdi Ehtesham
MPH/ Epidemiologist,
Avicenna Research Consulting
London, UK
The basic concept of Cohort studies
Exposure Outcome
Cohort
Study
Population
(Non-diseased)
Exposed
Disease +
-Disease
Unexposed
Disease +
-Disease
Steps
 Hypothesis definition
 Selection of exposed and unexposed
 Follow-up and outcome measurement
 Analysis & interpretation
Selection of the Exposed
Population
•Sample of the general population:
Geographically area, special age groups,
birth cohorts
•A group that is easy to identify:
Nurses health study
•Special population (often occupational
epidemiology):
Rare and special exposure
Selection of the Comparison
Population
• Internal Control Group
– Exposed and non-exposed in the same Study
population (Framingham study, Nurses health
study)
• Minimise the differences between exposed and non-
exposed
• External Control Group
– Chosen in another group, another cohort
(Occupational epidemiology: Asbestosis vs.
cotton workers)
• The General Population
You follow the participants
to define:
 The occurrence of outcome
 Loss to Follow-up
 Define the outcome
 Define “loss”
Cohort
Exposure Outcome
Exposure Outcome
Exposure Outcome
Present Time
Prospective vs. retrospective
Cohort Studies
Prospective Cohort Studies
– Time consuming, expensive
– More valid information on exposure
– Measurements on potential confounders
Retrospective Cohort Studies
– Quick, cheap
– Appropriate to examine outcome with
long latency periods
– Difficult to obtain information of exposure
– Risk of confounding
Basic cohort design
Crucial comparison: outcomes in persons with vs. without
predictor variable (or with different levels of predictor)
Study population
Predictor
present
Predictor
absent
NoYes NoYes
follow-up
period
outcome of
interest
Cohort study (prospective/retrospective)
Target
population
Exposed
Unexposed
Disease
Disease-free
Disease
Disease-free
TIME
Disease-free
cohort
Retrospective cohort study:
From December 2003 BMJ:
Aspirin, ibuprofen, and mortality after myocardial infarction: retrospective cohort study
Satistics 262
12
Relative merits: cohort studies
Advantages
 Clear temporal relationship
 Least susceptible to some forms
of bias
 Can examine multiple predictors
of outcome
 Efficient for rare exposures
 Useful when RCT infeasible,
unethical
Disadvantages
 No control over predictor (vs.
RCT)
 confounding
 Inefficient for rare or long-latent
diseases
 Loss to follow-up threatens
validity
 Potential bias in outcome
ascertainment
 Relatively resource- and time-
intensive

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7-Cohort Studies