Keynote "The National Imperative" Lauren Alexander Augustine, Associate Executive Director, Division on Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the U.S. National Academy of Sciences, Washington D.C., USA

1. Disaster Resilience: A National
Imperative
An Approach to a National Strategy for Resilience
Lauren Alexander Augustine, Ph.D.
Office of Special Projects for Risk and Resilience of Extreme
Events
August 29, 2013

2. NEED TO GROUND RESILIENCE IN REAL-
WORLD DECISION MAKING
Bottom Line

3. NOW IS GOOD.
…and…

4. Building a National Strategy for Resilience

5. The Resilience landscape is messy

6. Who owns Resilience in the US?
• FEMA
• DHS
• HUD
• White
House
• ?
• EPA
• Park/Wildlife
Service
• Forest Service
• ?
• Nuclear
Regulatory
Commission
• Dept of
Energy
• ?
• States
• Local gov’t
• Private sector
• Individuals
• ?

7. What does Resilience Mean to You?

8. (…just kidding…)
• The point is that talking about resilience will
yield many diverse opinions
• Sometimes people like to talk about
differences and try to get to broad agreement

9. There is a time to talk and a time to act
Now is the time to act.

10. HOW?
Great.

11. To build a national strategy, we need
to know…
• ...how resilient are we now? (baseline
conditions)
• …who is responsible for building and
implementing resilience?
• …against what do we want to be resilient?
• …who are the best partners to help us become
resilient?
• …how can you tell if you are resilient?

12. Disaster Resilience: A National
Imperative

13. The Report Defines Resilience as:
The ability to prepare and plan for, absorb,
recover from, or more successfully adapt to
actual or potential adverse events

14. The Report Distilled to
Four Recommendations
Four pillars emerged from the
study:
• Measure resilience in
communities
• Build community coalitions
• Manage and communicate
risk
• Share information and data
to build resilient
communities

15. Bigger Picture
To Build a Culture of Resilience, or as the PPD-
8 Mitigation Federal Leadership Group has
interpreted it: “create a national culture
shift towards resilience…”

16. Four pillars…
…a national strategy does not make.
Let’s start with what we know

17. Target Audience
Decision makers at all levels

18. Given #1
Decision makers are responsible to their
stakeholders

19. Given #2
Decision makers determine where and how to
make investments to buy down risk or build
resilience

20. Given #3
Decision makers are accountable to their
stakeholders

21. Given #4
Decision makers
must be able to
explain or defend
their investment
decisions.

22. THREE QUESTIONS
Decision Makers Face

23. Three Questions
1. Whether to make investments in building
resilience/understanding consequences of
not making such investments?
2. Where and how to make investments to build
resilience?
3. How to explain or defend those investments
to build resilience?

24. Disaster Resilience: A National
Imperative

25. The Report Distilled to
Four Recommendations
Four pillars:
• Manage and communicate
risk
• Share information and data
to build resilient
communities
• Measure resilience in
communities
• Build community coalitions

26. Pillar #1: Communicate and
understand risk
Q1: Whether to make investments in building
resilience/understanding consequences of not
making such investments
• What risk presents the most troublesome consequences?
• How likely is that risk?
• How do decision makers understand that risk?
• How do decision makers communicate that risk to their
stakeholders?
• How do the understanding and communication of risk translate
into the management of risk?

27. Pillar #2: Share Data and Information
Q2: Where and how to make investments to
build resilience?
Good decisions are made with good information
• Identify sources of reliable, complete, useful data
and information
• Have access to those data and information
• Share information that they have with others
building resilience
• Maintain quality information for sharing and
exchange

28. Pillar #3: Measures of Resilience
Q3: How to explain or defend those investments
to build resilience?
• Determine current or baseline conditions in relation
to that risk
• Determine what resilience levels would be
acceptable to that risk and what resilience levels
would be unacceptable for that risk
• Determine milestones for movement from baseline
towards acceptable levels of resilience

29. Pillar #4: Partnerships and Coalitions
Nobody can do it alone; and everyone is being
asked to do more with less
• Identify suitable partners to help build
resilience
• Cultivate partnerships in the private sector,
public sector, academia, community groups,
faith-based groups, educational
organizations…
• Maintain communication partners and experts

30. WHAT DO WE DO?
..so…?

31. At the National Academies…
Building on the Resilience Study
• Strong interest in finding ways to test,
implement, and enact the pillars and
recommendations of the report
• Find new ways to build coalitions across
jurisdictions and different types of decision
makers
• Build coalitions to make a positive difference
and increase community resilience

32. A New Program towards a Resilient America
A Resilience Program is taking shape at the
National Academies to build coalitions among
public-private-research sectors and design and
implement activities that build national resilience.
• Builds on public-private partnerships with federal, local
government, and for- and not-for-profit organizations
• Works with communities across the US initially, with plans and
ideas to expand to international communities, as well
• Broaden empirical data sets—establish a set of “living
laboratories”
• In design phase now, with plans to launch in 2014
• Initial 3-year phase

33. Purpose
Work with decision makers to answer 3 questions
1. Whether to make investments in building resilience/understanding
consequences of not making such investments?
2. Where and how to make investments to build resilience?
3. How to explain or defend those investments to build resilience?
Using the 4 pillars
1. Communicate and understand risk
2. Measure resilience
3. Build coalitions and partnerships
4. Share information and data
To help decision makers build resilience across the US

34. Expected Outcomes
 Understand baseline community resilience conditions
 Understand how decision makers set goals and
milestones in order to improve the decision making
processes
 Design in flexibility for adaptive management
 Improve ways that resilience progress is measured
 Document and share lessons, approaches, successes
and failures

35. Immediate Next Steps at the
National Academy of Sciences
• Next Week: September 5, 2013. Joint
workshop between NAS and World Economic
Forum: Advancing Resilience through Public-
Private Partnerships
http://www.tvworldwide.com/events/nas/130905/
http://www.surveygizmo.com/s3/1313009/Registration-for-
Building-Resilience-to-Catastrophic-Risks-through-Public-Private-
Partnerships-September-5-2013-NAS-Building-Washington-DC

36. NEED TO GROUND RESILIENCE IN REAL-
WORLD DECISION MAKING
Bottom Line

37. QUESTIONS?
Now is good. Let’s move.