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Derivative Report
                                                                                                    India Research
                                                                                                             July 09, 2010
Comments
                                                                Nifty Vs OI
๏ฎ The Nifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 6.04%,
      while Minifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by
      1.88% as market closed at 5296.85 levels.

๏ฎ The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 12.60
      points, against a premium of 6.60 points in the last
      trading session, while the Aug future closed at a
      premium of 16.20 points.

๏ฎ The PCR-OI is at the same level of 1.29 points.

๏ฎ The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has
      decreased from 19.55% to 18.00%.

๏ฎ Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
      MTNL, IOC, KSOILS, TRIVENI and ADANIENT.




OI Gainers
                               OI                    PRICE       View
SCRIP               OI       CHANGE      PRICE      CHANGE
                                                                 ๏ฎ After one day halt, FIIs again covered significant
                               (%)                    (%)
                                                                    short positions in the Index futures. A blend of short
CUMMINSIND         296000       32.44    603.90          0.84       covering and some long formation was observed in
UNIONBANK         1481000       18.86    313.80          0.61
                                                                    the stock futures. They were also net buyers of
                                                                    Rs957cr in the cash market segment.
ALBK              1726000       18.54    164.95          1.04
                                                                 ๏ฎ Yesterday, a considerable unwinding was visible in
BHARATFORG        4784000       16.26    323.30          5.16
                                                                    the 5300 and 5400 call, and 5100 put options.
ORBITCORP         1202000       14.91    134.25          1.67       However, buildup was seen in the 5500 call and
                                                                    the 5300 put options.
OI Losers
                                                                 ๏ฎ JPASSOCIAT has significant short positions in it.
                               OI                     PRICE         Some buying from lower levels was visible in this
SCRIP               OI       CHANGE       PRICE      CHANGE         counter and cost of carry is also suggesting a
                               (%)                     (%)
                                                                    positive move. Therefore, for positional traders it is
CESC               729000      -16.40     392.50         3.19       advisable to form long, for the target of Rs132, with
                                                                    the stop loss of Rs119.
UNITECH          50648000      -11.50      74.65         2.75
FEDERALBNK        1583000      -11.37     352.60         0.76    ๏ฎ Positive opening around Rs180 levels in RPOWER
                                                                    can be used to trade with negative bias by day
CONCOR              18500       -7.50    1430.00         0.90       traders.
PFC                681000       -7.09     304.05         1.65

Put-Call Ratio                                                    Historical Volatility

SCRIP                        PCR-OI          PCR-VOL              SCRIP                                      HV

NIFTY                          1.29               0.99            TV-18                                     73.57

RELIANCE                       0.20               0.26            GTL                                       35.28

BANKNIFTY                      3.73               0.47            CESC                                      28.69

TATASTEEL                      0.43               0.44            TITAN                                     28.65

ONGC                           0.93               0.28            GODREJIND                                 45.95


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                               For Private Circulation Only           1
Derivative Report | India Research



FII Statistics for 08-July-2010                                                                 Turnover on 08-July-2010

                                                                    Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of       Turnover             Change
 Detail          Buy            Sell           Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts     (Rs. in cr.)           (%)
                                                        Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                      (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                           Index Futures     501257        12192.37             -4.53
              2547.05     1092.17        1,454.88        633320       16719.48         -8.76
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                           Stock Futures     454731        13128.44             -1.86
              4630.99     4544.27             86.72     1871934       49538.29         0.90
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                           Index Options     1649381       43726.14              7.92
               922.30      476.23         446.07        1125448       29612.57         0.19
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                           Stock Options      84816        2559.95               7.18
                90.99      102.52         (11.53)        47191          1308.96        3.91
OPTIONS
TOTAL         8191.33     6215.18        1,976.15       3677893       97179.30         -1.08    Total             2690185       71606.89              3.70




 Nifty Spot = 5296.85                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                   Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk          Reward       BEP                Action    Strike     Price     Risk      Reward           BEP

 Buy         5300       95.00                                                        Buy       5200       55.70
                                       49.45         50.55     5349.45                                             20.60      79.40       5179.40
 Sell        5400       45.55                                                        Sell      5100       35.10
 Buy         5300       95.00                                                        Buy       5200       55.70
                                       77.70     122.30        5377.70                                             34.20      165.80      5165.80
 Sell        5500       17.30                                                        Sell      5000       21.50
 Buy         5400       45.55                                                        Buy       5100       35.10
                                       28.25         71.75     5428.25                                             13.60      86.40       5086.40
 Sell        5500       17.30                                                        Sell      5000       21.50

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                                SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                        2
Derivative Report | India Research



         Strategy Date                                   Scrip                                      Strategy                                      Status

          28-June-2010                                 Reliance                                     Long Put                                    Continue

          05-July 2010                                   Nifty                                     Put Hedge                                    Continue




DISCLAIMER:

This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person.
Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions.
Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in
this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-
looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions
that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein.
The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for
general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no
liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action.
Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations
as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks
involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may
go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors.
Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and
as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.
We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable
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there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that
any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice.
Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions
in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or
act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information
and opinions.
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specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.

Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539




Derivative Research Team                                                                                                  derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                                 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                                           3

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Derivatives Report-July 9, 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research July 09, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI ๏ฎ The Nifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 6.04%, while Minifty futuresโ€™ open interest decreased by 1.88% as market closed at 5296.85 levels. ๏ฎ The Nifty July future closed at a premium of 12.60 points, against a premium of 6.60 points in the last trading session, while the Aug future closed at a premium of 16.20 points. ๏ฎ The PCR-OI is at the same level of 1.29 points. ๏ฎ The Implied volatility of At-the-money options has decreased from 19.55% to 18.00%. ๏ฎ Some liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are MTNL, IOC, KSOILS, TRIVENI and ADANIENT. OI Gainers OI PRICE View SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE ๏ฎ After one day halt, FIIs again covered significant (%) (%) short positions in the Index futures. A blend of short CUMMINSIND 296000 32.44 603.90 0.84 covering and some long formation was observed in UNIONBANK 1481000 18.86 313.80 0.61 the stock futures. They were also net buyers of Rs957cr in the cash market segment. ALBK 1726000 18.54 164.95 1.04 ๏ฎ Yesterday, a considerable unwinding was visible in BHARATFORG 4784000 16.26 323.30 5.16 the 5300 and 5400 call, and 5100 put options. ORBITCORP 1202000 14.91 134.25 1.67 However, buildup was seen in the 5500 call and the 5300 put options. OI Losers ๏ฎ JPASSOCIAT has significant short positions in it. OI PRICE Some buying from lower levels was visible in this SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE counter and cost of carry is also suggesting a (%) (%) positive move. Therefore, for positional traders it is CESC 729000 -16.40 392.50 3.19 advisable to form long, for the target of Rs132, with the stop loss of Rs119. UNITECH 50648000 -11.50 74.65 2.75 FEDERALBNK 1583000 -11.37 352.60 0.76 ๏ฎ Positive opening around Rs180 levels in RPOWER can be used to trade with negative bias by day CONCOR 18500 -7.50 1430.00 0.90 traders. PFC 681000 -7.09 304.05 1.65 Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.29 0.99 TV-18 73.57 RELIANCE 0.20 0.26 GTL 35.28 BANKNIFTY 3.73 0.47 CESC 28.69 TATASTEEL 0.43 0.44 TITAN 28.65 ONGC 0.93 0.28 GODREJIND 45.95 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 08-July-2010 Turnover on 08-July-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 501257 12192.37 -4.53 2547.05 1092.17 1,454.88 633320 16719.48 -8.76 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 454731 13128.44 -1.86 4630.99 4544.27 86.72 1871934 49538.29 0.90 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 1649381 43726.14 7.92 922.30 476.23 446.07 1125448 29612.57 0.19 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 84816 2559.95 7.18 90.99 102.52 (11.53) 47191 1308.96 3.91 OPTIONS TOTAL 8191.33 6215.18 1,976.15 3677893 97179.30 -1.08 Total 2690185 71606.89 3.70 Nifty Spot = 5296.85 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5300 95.00 Buy 5200 55.70 49.45 50.55 5349.45 20.60 79.40 5179.40 Sell 5400 45.55 Sell 5100 35.10 Buy 5300 95.00 Buy 5200 55.70 77.70 122.30 5377.70 34.20 165.80 5165.80 Sell 5500 17.30 Sell 5000 21.50 Buy 5400 45.55 Buy 5100 35.10 28.25 71.75 5428.25 13.60 86.40 5086.40 Sell 5500 17.30 Sell 5000 21.50 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (July Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 28-June-2010 Reliance Long Put Continue 05-July 2010 Nifty Put Hedge Continue DISCLAIMER: This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. Opinion expressed is our current opinion as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward- looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true and are for general guidance only. While every effort is made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of information contained, the company takes no guarantee and assumes no liability for any errors or omissions of the information. No one can use the information as the basis for any claim, demand or cause of action. Recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as it deems necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions - futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risks and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock's price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change of our views expressed in this document. While we would endeavor to update the information herein on a reasonable basis, Angel Broking, its subsidiaries and associated companies, their directors and employees are under no obligation to update or keep the information current. Also there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that may prevent Angel Broking and affiliates from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates, including the analyst who has issued this report, may, on the date of this report, and from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities of the companies mentioned herein or engage in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or compensation or act as advisor or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to company/ies mentioned herein or inconsistent with any recommendation and related information and opinions. Angel Broking Limited and affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Sebi Registration No.: INB 010996539 Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3