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![16-18 travel to learn – major flows
Lives Learns Number 3 year trend
Greater Bristol Bristol City of Bristol 300 no trend
[S.Gloucs]
Filton 800 -13%
South Gloucs City of Bristol 700 no trend
[Bristol]
St. Brendan's 500 154%*
into Hants Wilts Sparsholt 400 19%
Totton 200 21%
Bournemouth Brockenhurst 500 no trend
Dorset Brockenhurst 400 23%
Greater Devon Devon South Devon 900 13%
Swindon Wiltshire New College 300 -8%
Swindon College 300 no trend
Swindon Cirencester 500 51%
Greater Dorset Bournemouth & 500 38%
Bournemouth Poole YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team
Championing Young People’s Learning
Poole Bournemouth & 500 38%
Poole](https://image.slidesharecdn.com/rpg21stjune2011shortv2nopix1-111014045853-phpapp02/85/YPLA-Strategic-Analysis-South-West-Summary-15-320.jpg)
Uploaded bySouth West Observatory
YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary
This document provides a strategic analysis of the South West region from the Youth Participation in Learning Agency (YPLA). It includes the following key points: 1. The 16-18 year old population is projected to decline 11% in the South West between 2008-2017, compared to a 13% decline nationally. Plymouth specifically is projected to see a 19% decline. 2. Major industries in the South West include retail, health, and public administration, which together employ over 50% of the region's workforce. 3. The percentage of 16-18 year olds in the South West not in education, employment, or training (NEET) peaked at over 8% during the recession but has
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YPLA Strategic Analysis: South West Summary
- 1. Strategic Analysis South WestSummary Pete.Gisborne@ypla.gov.uk Strategic Analysis Manager YPLA Western Territory YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 2. This presentation 1. Context 2.Participation 2. The Learning Landscape 4. Attainment & Progression YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 3. South West 16-18Population Projections 000s 205.0 200.0 over 6,700 fewer 195.0 2011-2015 190.0 2008-2017 SW 11% decline 16-18s 185.0 Eng 13% decline 16-18s Plymouth 19% decline 180.0 N.Soms 1% decline 175.0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 4. Major industries inthe South West 800,000 700,000 50% of all jobs 600,000 500,000 400,000 300,000 200,000 100,000 0 Sep-05 Sep-06 Sep-07 Sep-08 Sep-09 Sep-10 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 5. % of 16-18sin jobs without training 16% 14% 12% 10% Eng 8% SW 6% Devon Soms 4% 2% 0% Ja 7 08 No 8 Fe 9 10 M 10 Au 7 Ap 8 Se 9 De 0 1 0 0 0 r-0 0 l- 1 -0 -1 g- n- p- b- c- n- v- ay ar Ju Ju M YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 6. Resident 16-19s leavingJSA to go into learning 350 300 HSBC US sub-prime 250 warning Lehman Bros. bankrupt 200 150 100 UK economy 50 in recession 0 Aug-99 Feb-00 Aug-00 Feb-01 Aug-01 Feb-02 Aug-02 Feb-03 Aug-03 Feb-04 Aug-04 Feb-05 Aug-05 Feb-06 Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 7. This presentation 1. Context 2.Participation 2. The Learning Landscape 4. Attainment & Progression YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 8. % of SW16-18s NEET 10% 9% 8% 7% 6% England South West 5% B&NES 4% Bristol 3% 2% UK economy in recession 1% 0% Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Jun-11 ep-07 ep-08 ep-09 ep-10 S S S S YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 9. Participation by SW16-17s 50,000 40,000 30,000 2005 20,000 2006 2007 10,000 2008 2009 0 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 10. Increasing presence ofAcademies – SW 16-18s 50,000 40,000 30,000 Maintained 20,000 Academies 10,000 0 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 S04 S04 S04 S02 allocated YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 11. 16-18 participation andpopulation trends and projections 135,000 130,000 125,000 120,000 Participation 115,000 Population 110,000 105,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 Measured Projected YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 12. Annual 16-18 participationchange required to hit 2013 RPA target 600 500 400 300 population 200 participation 100 0 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team -100 Championing Young People’s Learning
- 13. SW learners bylevel 3,000 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 78% of SSF learners @ L3 - static 2,000 nearly half of FE learners 10% are @ L3 reduction 1,000 0 Entry Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Other Entry Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 Other Level Level Level Level FE School Sixth Forms YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 14. This presentation 1. Context 2.Participation 2. The Learning Landscape 4. Attainment & Progression YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 15. 16-18 travel tolearn – major flows Lives Learns Number 3 year trend Greater Bristol Bristol City of Bristol 300 no trend [S.Gloucs] Filton 800 -13% South Gloucs City of Bristol 700 no trend [Bristol] St. Brendan's 500 154%* into Hants Wilts Sparsholt 400 19% Totton 200 21% Bournemouth Brockenhurst 500 no trend Dorset Brockenhurst 400 23% Greater Devon Devon South Devon 900 13% Swindon Wiltshire New College 300 -8% Swindon College 300 no trend Swindon Cirencester 500 51% Greater Dorset Bournemouth & 500 38% Bournemouth Poole YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning Poole Bournemouth & 500 38% Poole
- 16. Number of 16-25sat ISPs, 2005/06 = 100% c.600 @ 200% £54k each 88 @ 150% £46k Cornwall each 100% Dorset c.400 @ £44k each 50% South West England 0% 06 07 08 09 10 11 20 20 20 20 20 20 5/ 6/ 7/ 8/ 9/ 0/ 0 0 0 0 0 1 20 20 20 20 20 20 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 17. Science & SW 16-18SSF / Acad learning aims Maths = nearly 30% of all SW SSF Aims 35% ‘STEM’ - steady YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 18. SW 16-18 FElearning aims by subject 16% ‘STEM’ – rising slightly YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 19. This presentation 1. Context 2.Participation 2. The Learning Landscape 4. Attainment & Progression YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 20. Level 2 at19 90% 85% 80% Percentage Attainment 75% 70% 65% 60% 55% 19 in 2004/05 19 in 2005/06 19 in 2006/07 19 in 2007/08 19 in 2008/09 19 in 2009/10 Bristol B&NES SOUTH WEST ENGLAND YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 21. Level 3 at19 65% 60% 55% Percentage Attai nment 50% 45% 40% 35% 19 in 2004/05 19 in 2005/06 19 in 2006/07 19 in 2007/08 19 in 2008/09 19 in 2009/10 B&NES Swindon SOUTH WEST ENGLAND YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 22. FSM gap at19, levels 2 & 3 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 19 in 2004/05 15% 19 in 2005/06 10% 19 in 2006/07 5% 19 in 2007/08 0% 19 in 2008/09 South West South West England England Cornwall Cornwall Gloucestershire Gloucestershire 19 in 2009/10 Level 2 Level 3 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning
- 23. Attainment by 19of learners attending SW schools at 15 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 No level 3 attained 5,000 Level 3 attained - English Neither English English or and/or English and maths maths or maths nor maths neither No level 2 at 16 Level 2 at 16 YPLA SW Strategic Analysis Team Championing Young People’s Learning