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Case Study for Annual Appeal Support


George Durney
2011 HE Annual Fund Results (106 Participants)

                                             Average   Top (4th )         75th Percentile
                                                       Quartile Average
   Participation                             13.7%     30%                18.8%
   Donor Retention                           61.3%     73.2%              67.3%
   Revenue Retention                         82.6%     98.2%              90.3%
   Revenue per Donor                         $558      $1,010             $760
   Revenue per New Donor                     $160      $319               $196
   First Year Retention                      28.6%     39.9%              32.7%



          Alumni results only & a gift cap of $50k




Page #2                                                                               © 2010 Blackbaud
ProspectPoint: Segmenting Prospects by Likelihood &
Capacity
  High likelihood scores
  and mid-level target                      Highest scores and
  giving ranges                             high assets
  Implement targeted                        Further qualification
  upgrade, mid-level                        and research
  major gift strategies
                                            Immediate individual
  Increase annual giving                    cultivation



                                            Lower likelihood
   Low likelihood scores                    scores, but high
   and low target giving                    target giving ranges
   ranges                                   and assets
   Minimize investment                      Need to be sold on
                                            your mission
   Consider reduced
   resource application                     Longer term cultivation




 Page #3                                               © 2010 Blackbaud
Target Analytics™ Process
                                   Obtained 63,717 donors and non-
            Constituent Data       donors, from your database:
                                   Names, Addresses, Giving History,
          External Financial and   Other Characteristics
           Demographic Data
                Appended           Appended Hundreds of Financial
                                   and Demographic Characteristics


            File Preparation,      Determined Common Characteristics of
             Model Building,
                                   Different Types and Levels of Donors
            Extensive Testing


                                    Scored all Constituents based on
             Application of         how well they fit each model
               Models to
             Constituents
                                    Segmentation suggestions for
             Implementation         identifying best prospects
Page #4                                                            © 2010 Blackbaud
ProspectPoint Modeling Terms
          AGL (Annual Giving Likelihood) model looks at the inclination a
          prospect has to make a gift to your organization
                   Scores for both range from 0 to 1000
                   Higher scores translate to better prospects


          TGR – Target Gift Range
          •        Gift range projected by the predictive model for a one year period
          •        Target Gift Ranges are numbered 1 to 12, from $1-50 to $100,000+

              1: $1 - $50                           7: $2,501 - $5,000
              2:    $51 - $100                      8: $5,001 -$10,000
              3:    $101 - $250                     9: $10,001 - $25,000
              4:    $251 - $500                     10: $25,001 - $50,000
              5:    $501 - $1,000                   11: $50,001 - $100,000
              6:    $1,001 - $2,500                 12: $100,001 +
Page #5                                                                            © 2010 Blackbaud
Donor Distribution




  Regular donor – individual donor with a gift each year for the past three years
  Occasional donor – a minimum of one gift in the past three years
  Non-donor – no gifts in the past three years – lapsed donor or never giver
Page #6                                                                  © 2010 Blackbaud
Loyalty Patterns – DONOR LOYALTY CLASS


               Promoter – Giving in all of the past 5 years
               Devoted – Giving in 3 to 4 of the years
               Sporadic – Giving in 1 to 2 of the years
               Deeply Lapsed – 0 gifts in the past 5 years




Page #7                                                       © 2010 Blackbaud
AGL Variable Distribution




Page #8                     © 2010 Blackbaud
Annual Gift Likelihood Variable Distribution




Page #9                                        © 2010 Blackbaud
TGR Variable Distribution




Page #10                    © 2010 Blackbaud
Target Gift Range Variable Distribution




Page #11                                  © 2010 Blackbaud
Number of Prospects Compared to Past Giving (Past & Current Donor are Actual Gift Amounts)


              Gift Level in                                # of Current            # of
                                   Donors in Past
                                                                               Prospects in
              12-Months              Past 6 Yrs              Donors               TGR
                 $1 - $50                28,729                 8,201               33,107
                $51 - $100                5,348                 1,467               39,844
               $101 - $250                3,674                 1,069               17,961
               $251 - $500                1,743                  561                12,016
              $501 - $1,000                929                   311                5,200
             $1,001 - $2,500               547                   211                2,014
             $2,501 - $5,000               158                   49                  904
            $5,001 - $ 10,000              54                    21                  498
            $10,001 - $25,000              30                     4                  269
                 $25,001+                  20                     5                  101


Page #12                                                                                       © 2010 Blackbaud
Initial Segmentation Suggestions: Likelihood


           111,914 Total records scored
           28,147 AGL scores of 551+; 26,866 have given in last 3 years
           35,088 have scores of 451-550: Best scoring non donors

                 AGL Score Range                      Count

                   851+ Excellent                      4479

                 651-850 Very Good                     7785

                    551-650 Good                      15,883

                  451-550 Average                     35,088


Page #13                                                                  © 2010 Blackbaud
Proposed Recommendations


    Integrating AGL & TGR – Top Prospects
                                                 Capacity - 12 months


                         TGR 1   TGR 2   TGR 3   TGR 4   TGR 5   TGR 6    TGR 7 TGR 8       TGR 9     TGR 10,
                          $1-     $51-   $101-   $250-   $501-   $1001-   $2501- $5001 -   $10,000-    11, 12
Likelihood




                          $50     $100    $250    $500   $1000   $2500    $5000 $10,000    $25,000    $25,000+

             AGL 701+
             Excellent
                          36     215     1611    2612    3216    2193     1055     475       270         172

              AGL
             551-700
              Very
                         207     353     1145    786     304      82       26       4         5            2
              Good
              AGL
             401-550     2050    2469    2955    1579    507      163      50       16       14            3
              Good
              AGL
             301-400     6191    5163    4706    2750    716      179      42       23        8            3
             Average

               AGL
              <=300
              Below
                         10084   4283    3451    1253    215      60       12       1         2            0
             Average



       Page #14                                                                                       © 2010 Blackbaud
Proposed Recommendations


Integrating AGL & TGR – Solicitation Strategy (TGR 6+ Send Miscellany)
           (2010 YTD 14,589 donors & $1.6m)                           * See corresponding slide #25 for color legend


              A                      B                      C                       D                           E


     4,530 Constituents     20,045 Constituents     19,781 Constituents      75 Constituents          19,286 Constituents
        4123 donors           10,290 donors             154 donors              4 donors                  18 donors
           $904k                  $636k                    $42k                    $7k                       $3k


                              1st – 2/11 – Mail    1st – 2/11 – Mail                                   1st – 2/11 – Mail
       1st – Bishops                                                     1st – 2/11 – Mail
                             TGR 1-3 – Standard   TGR 1-3 – Standard                                  TGR 1-3 – Standard
     Christmas Blessing                                                TGR 6-12 – Target Ask
                            TGR 4-5 – Target Ask TGR 4-12 – Target Ask                               TGR 4-12 – Target Ask


                                  2nd 3/1                2nd 5/15
     2nd – Kick-off Party                                                      2nd 5/15                 2nd Mailer to prior
                                Target Ask          TGR 1-3 – Standard
   Invite Based on Parish                                                TGR 4-12 – Target Ask              donors only
                               Easter Blessing     TGR 4-12 – Target Ask


      3rd – 2/11 - Mail           3rd 5/15
      What the Diocese       TGR 1-3 – Standard
          Supports          TGR 4-5 – Target Ask

          4th – 3/1
         Target Ask
       Easter Blessing
          5th 5/15
     Second Target Ask
Page #15                                                                                                                      © 2010 Blackbaud
Mail Plan Example




Page #16            © 2010 Blackbaud
Reporting Example




Page #17            © 2010 Blackbaud
Case Study - 2011 Annual Appeal Results

     Solid Results up 16% YOY vs. 5%
     historical growth ($2.9m vs. $2.5m)

     Average gift up 17% ($185 vs.$158)

     Retained donors $ up 12.7% ($2m
     vs.$1.74m). These donor’s represent
     82% of all $’s and 75% of donors
     (Retained 72% of donors & 92% of $)

     New donors up 22% (1940 vs.1592)




Page #18                                   © 2010 Blackbaud
Conclusions

     Segmentation using Target Gift Amount
     appears to have provided a lift in
     average gift per donor (estimated @ 7%
     more)

     2nd mailer provided a solid ROI and
     should be continued

     From a 3 year LTV perspective it
     appears to have created a $750k positive
     delta

     Blackbaud support improved reporting,
     decision making, & acknowledgement
     after care.
Page #19                                        © 2010 Blackbaud
Scope of Work Overview :

     Assign Account Manager for this project
     Produce scores and review results
     Create a communication plan (DM, Phone & Web)
     Create a timeline once we agree on a plan
     Access your Raiser’s Edge database to tag
     each record with an appeal code
     Pull all segments and provide to mail house
     after your review
     Create reporting to evaluate results (midway &
     final results of appeal)
     Create final ROI and make stewardship
     recommendations
     Make observations about future plans


Page #20                                              © 2010 Blackbaud
Pricing




Page #21   © 2010 Blackbaud
Matt Dwyer, Director of Stewardship and Development for the Diocese of Charleston

     “The results gave us the information we needed about our donors and how to
     determine target gift amounts,” said Dwyer. “We used the solution to create a
     custom direct mail plan.”
     We received good feedback and have some ideas going into 2012 and
     beyond,” said Dwyer. “When you are able to test concepts based on data, you
     find out what resonates with people and what doesn’t. We will use the
     information we gained to be more effective in 2012.”

     “I was surprised,” said Dwyer. “I expected an increase but not the amount of
     increase we’ve seen. We know now that if you ask the right people, those who
     believe in your mission, and if they think you are doing the right thing, will support
     you—even in a struggling economy. “




Page #22                                                                          © 2010 Blackbaud
Sample ROI-   Assume Retention Improvement & New Donors Increase




Page #23                                                    © 2010 Blackbaud

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Unlv user forum_annual appeal support

  • 1. Case Study for Annual Appeal Support George Durney
  • 2. 2011 HE Annual Fund Results (106 Participants) Average Top (4th ) 75th Percentile Quartile Average Participation 13.7% 30% 18.8% Donor Retention 61.3% 73.2% 67.3% Revenue Retention 82.6% 98.2% 90.3% Revenue per Donor $558 $1,010 $760 Revenue per New Donor $160 $319 $196 First Year Retention 28.6% 39.9% 32.7% Alumni results only & a gift cap of $50k Page #2 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 3. ProspectPoint: Segmenting Prospects by Likelihood & Capacity High likelihood scores and mid-level target Highest scores and giving ranges high assets Implement targeted Further qualification upgrade, mid-level and research major gift strategies Immediate individual Increase annual giving cultivation Lower likelihood Low likelihood scores scores, but high and low target giving target giving ranges ranges and assets Minimize investment Need to be sold on your mission Consider reduced resource application Longer term cultivation Page #3 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 4. Target Analytics™ Process Obtained 63,717 donors and non- Constituent Data donors, from your database: Names, Addresses, Giving History, External Financial and Other Characteristics Demographic Data Appended Appended Hundreds of Financial and Demographic Characteristics File Preparation, Determined Common Characteristics of Model Building, Different Types and Levels of Donors Extensive Testing Scored all Constituents based on Application of how well they fit each model Models to Constituents Segmentation suggestions for Implementation identifying best prospects Page #4 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 5. ProspectPoint Modeling Terms AGL (Annual Giving Likelihood) model looks at the inclination a prospect has to make a gift to your organization Scores for both range from 0 to 1000 Higher scores translate to better prospects TGR – Target Gift Range • Gift range projected by the predictive model for a one year period • Target Gift Ranges are numbered 1 to 12, from $1-50 to $100,000+ 1: $1 - $50 7: $2,501 - $5,000 2: $51 - $100 8: $5,001 -$10,000 3: $101 - $250 9: $10,001 - $25,000 4: $251 - $500 10: $25,001 - $50,000 5: $501 - $1,000 11: $50,001 - $100,000 6: $1,001 - $2,500 12: $100,001 + Page #5 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 6. Donor Distribution Regular donor – individual donor with a gift each year for the past three years Occasional donor – a minimum of one gift in the past three years Non-donor – no gifts in the past three years – lapsed donor or never giver Page #6 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 7. Loyalty Patterns – DONOR LOYALTY CLASS Promoter – Giving in all of the past 5 years Devoted – Giving in 3 to 4 of the years Sporadic – Giving in 1 to 2 of the years Deeply Lapsed – 0 gifts in the past 5 years Page #7 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 8. AGL Variable Distribution Page #8 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 9. Annual Gift Likelihood Variable Distribution Page #9 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 10. TGR Variable Distribution Page #10 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 11. Target Gift Range Variable Distribution Page #11 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 12. Number of Prospects Compared to Past Giving (Past & Current Donor are Actual Gift Amounts) Gift Level in # of Current # of Donors in Past Prospects in 12-Months Past 6 Yrs Donors TGR $1 - $50 28,729 8,201 33,107 $51 - $100 5,348 1,467 39,844 $101 - $250 3,674 1,069 17,961 $251 - $500 1,743 561 12,016 $501 - $1,000 929 311 5,200 $1,001 - $2,500 547 211 2,014 $2,501 - $5,000 158 49 904 $5,001 - $ 10,000 54 21 498 $10,001 - $25,000 30 4 269 $25,001+ 20 5 101 Page #12 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 13. Initial Segmentation Suggestions: Likelihood 111,914 Total records scored 28,147 AGL scores of 551+; 26,866 have given in last 3 years 35,088 have scores of 451-550: Best scoring non donors AGL Score Range Count 851+ Excellent 4479 651-850 Very Good 7785 551-650 Good 15,883 451-550 Average 35,088 Page #13 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 14. Proposed Recommendations Integrating AGL & TGR – Top Prospects Capacity - 12 months TGR 1 TGR 2 TGR 3 TGR 4 TGR 5 TGR 6 TGR 7 TGR 8 TGR 9 TGR 10, $1- $51- $101- $250- $501- $1001- $2501- $5001 - $10,000- 11, 12 Likelihood $50 $100 $250 $500 $1000 $2500 $5000 $10,000 $25,000 $25,000+ AGL 701+ Excellent 36 215 1611 2612 3216 2193 1055 475 270 172 AGL 551-700 Very 207 353 1145 786 304 82 26 4 5 2 Good AGL 401-550 2050 2469 2955 1579 507 163 50 16 14 3 Good AGL 301-400 6191 5163 4706 2750 716 179 42 23 8 3 Average AGL <=300 Below 10084 4283 3451 1253 215 60 12 1 2 0 Average Page #14 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 15. Proposed Recommendations Integrating AGL & TGR – Solicitation Strategy (TGR 6+ Send Miscellany) (2010 YTD 14,589 donors & $1.6m) * See corresponding slide #25 for color legend A B C D E 4,530 Constituents 20,045 Constituents 19,781 Constituents 75 Constituents 19,286 Constituents 4123 donors 10,290 donors 154 donors 4 donors 18 donors $904k $636k $42k $7k $3k 1st – 2/11 – Mail 1st – 2/11 – Mail 1st – 2/11 – Mail 1st – Bishops 1st – 2/11 – Mail TGR 1-3 – Standard TGR 1-3 – Standard TGR 1-3 – Standard Christmas Blessing TGR 6-12 – Target Ask TGR 4-5 – Target Ask TGR 4-12 – Target Ask TGR 4-12 – Target Ask 2nd 3/1 2nd 5/15 2nd – Kick-off Party 2nd 5/15 2nd Mailer to prior Target Ask TGR 1-3 – Standard Invite Based on Parish TGR 4-12 – Target Ask donors only Easter Blessing TGR 4-12 – Target Ask 3rd – 2/11 - Mail 3rd 5/15 What the Diocese TGR 1-3 – Standard Supports TGR 4-5 – Target Ask 4th – 3/1 Target Ask Easter Blessing 5th 5/15 Second Target Ask Page #15 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 16. Mail Plan Example Page #16 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 17. Reporting Example Page #17 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 18. Case Study - 2011 Annual Appeal Results Solid Results up 16% YOY vs. 5% historical growth ($2.9m vs. $2.5m) Average gift up 17% ($185 vs.$158) Retained donors $ up 12.7% ($2m vs.$1.74m). These donor’s represent 82% of all $’s and 75% of donors (Retained 72% of donors & 92% of $) New donors up 22% (1940 vs.1592) Page #18 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 19. Conclusions Segmentation using Target Gift Amount appears to have provided a lift in average gift per donor (estimated @ 7% more) 2nd mailer provided a solid ROI and should be continued From a 3 year LTV perspective it appears to have created a $750k positive delta Blackbaud support improved reporting, decision making, & acknowledgement after care. Page #19 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 20. Scope of Work Overview : Assign Account Manager for this project Produce scores and review results Create a communication plan (DM, Phone & Web) Create a timeline once we agree on a plan Access your Raiser’s Edge database to tag each record with an appeal code Pull all segments and provide to mail house after your review Create reporting to evaluate results (midway & final results of appeal) Create final ROI and make stewardship recommendations Make observations about future plans Page #20 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 21. Pricing Page #21 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 22. Matt Dwyer, Director of Stewardship and Development for the Diocese of Charleston “The results gave us the information we needed about our donors and how to determine target gift amounts,” said Dwyer. “We used the solution to create a custom direct mail plan.” We received good feedback and have some ideas going into 2012 and beyond,” said Dwyer. “When you are able to test concepts based on data, you find out what resonates with people and what doesn’t. We will use the information we gained to be more effective in 2012.” “I was surprised,” said Dwyer. “I expected an increase but not the amount of increase we’ve seen. We know now that if you ask the right people, those who believe in your mission, and if they think you are doing the right thing, will support you—even in a struggling economy. “ Page #22 © 2010 Blackbaud
  • 23. Sample ROI- Assume Retention Improvement & New Donors Increase Page #23 © 2010 Blackbaud