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Measurement of Poverty:
Concepts & Measurements




        Measurement of Poverty   1
Measurement of Poverty
“The governments are very keen on
amassing statistics. They collect them,
add them, raise them to the nth power
and take the cubed root and prepare
wonderful diagrams.

But you must never forget that every
one of these figures comes in the first
instance from the village watchman who
just puts down whatever he damn well
pleases.”
 - Sir Josiah Stamp   Measurement of Poverty   2
Measurement of Poverty Practical
            Concerns

• Identification of Poverty Line
• Defining the Unit of Measurement
• Selecting the Indicator of Well-being




                   Measurement of Poverty   3
Identification of Poverty Lines
• The point at which the poor are separated
  from the non-poor
  – Relative Poverty Lines
  – Absolute Poverty Lines




                    Measurement of Poverty    4
Absolute Poverty Lines
        Type                Description               Features
Food Energy Intake     Based on observed       PL may vary by sub-
                        relation between         groups of population
                        calorie intake and       e.g. by region
                        total household
                        expenditure
Cost of Basic Needs    Identifies bundle of    Most common
                        goods necessary to       method
                        meet basic needs,       Identification of
                        then estimates cost      basic needs may not
                                                 be strghtfwd
World Bank US$1 /      US$370 / year           Eases comparison
day                                              across countries
                                                Zero cost of
                                                 calculation
                                                Conversion to local
                                                 currency problematic




                         Measurement of Poverty                         5
Food Energy Intake Method
• Sets PL at the level of expenditure at which FEI is
  just sufficient to meet basic nutrition requirements
• STEP ONE: Establish the minimum nutrition
  requirements.
• STEP TWO: Examine the observed spending pattern
  to see at what average expenditure household just
  achieve minimum nutrition requirement.




                      Measurement of Poverty             6
Food Energy Intake Method
 Food
 Energy
 Intake

Min Nutrition
Standard (eg 2100
cals.)


                        PL                   Expenditure
                                             (or Income)



                    Measurement of Poverty                 7
Food Energy Intake Method
• The PL determined by the FEI method may
  vary across regions due to differences in:
     Preferences: if more expensive animal protein and
      less food grain is eaten.
     Relative Prices: in urban areas it may cost more to
      obtain basic nutrition because food prices are higher.
     Publicly Provided Goods: in capital city transport
      to/from work may be cheaper than in provincial cities,
      allowing for lower expenditure level to meet
      minimum FEI.

                       Measurement of Poverty              8
Food Energy Intake Method
• This method does take account of non-food
  purchases.




                  Measurement of Poverty      9
Cost of Basic Needs
• PL is equal to the value of a bundle of
  consumption goods necessary to meet basic
  needs
  May include just food (extreme poverty)
  But more commonly includes non-food items




                   Measurement of Poverty      10
Cost of Basic Needs
• STEP ONE: Establish the minimum
  consumption bundle necessary to meet basic
  needs




                  Measurement of Poverty   11
Cost of Basic Needs
• STEP TWO: Establish the cost for the items in
  the basic consumption bundle




                   Measurement of Poverty     12
Additional Considerations in Setting
            Poverty Lines
• Regional Poverty Lines
  Significant regional price differences may exist
  Urban / Rural poverty lines common
• Sensitivity Analysis
  Typically near mode of distribution
  Multiple poverty lines often tried




                     Measurement of Poverty           13
Distribution of Expenditure
                                        Mexico, 1992
                   0.18

                   0.16                                                                            Poverty Line

                   0.14
Population Share




                   0.12

                    0.1

                   0.08

                   0.06

                   0.04

                   0.02

                     0
                                 6000
                                        11000
                                                16000
                                                        21000


                                                                        31000
                                                                                36000
                                                                                        41000
                                                                                                46000
                                                                                                        51000
                                                                                                                56000
                                                                                                                        61000
                                                                                                                                66000
                                                                                                                                        71000
                                                                                                                                                76000
                                                                                                                                                        81000
                                                                                                                                                                86000
                                                                                                                                                                        91000
                                                                                                                                                                                96000
                                                                                                                                                                                        10100
                                                                                                                                                                                                10600
                          1000




                                                                26000




                                                                Expenditure/Quarter (1984 pesos)


                                                                                                    Measurement of Poverty                                                                              14
Cumulative Percentage of Population

                                                              10




                                                                           0.1
                                                                                  0.2
                                                                                            0.3
                                                                                                  0.4
                                                                                                        0.5
                                                                                                              0.6
                                                                                                                    0.7
                                                                                                                          0.8
                                                                                                                                0.9




                                                                       0
                                                                                                                                      1
                                                                 00
                                                              60
                                                                 00
                                                             11
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             16
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             21
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             26
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             31
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             36
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                             41
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                             46
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                             51
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             56
                                                                00



                                                                             Poverty Line
                                                                  0
                                                             61
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             66
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             71
                                                                00
                                                                  0
                                                             76




Measurement of Poverty
                         Expenditure/Quarter (1984 pesos)
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                             81
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                                                                                                                Expenditure




                                                             86
                                                                00
                                                                                                                                               Mexico, 1992




                                                                   0
                                                             91
                                                                00
                                                                   0
                                                             96
                                                                00
                                                            10 0
                                                              10
                                                                 0
                                                            10 0
                                                              60
                                                                 00
                                                                                                                                          Cumulative Distribution of




15
Measurement of Poverty Practical
            Concerns

• Identification of Poverty Line
• Defining the Unit of Measurement
• Selecting the Indicator of Well-being




                    Measurement of Poverty   16
Defining the Unit of Measurement
 Household vs. Individual
 Adjusting for differences among HH
  Adjusting for the age / gender of HH members
  Adjusting for HH size




                   Measurement of Poverty         17
Defining the Unit of Measurement
• Example:
  2 HH with monthly Y of $150
  HH1 has 2 members…per capita Y = $75
  HH2 has 3 members …per capita Y = $50
  BUT:
    • HH1 has 2 adult men
    • HH2 has woman and 2 small children




                     Measurement of Poverty   18
Equivalence Scales and Economies of
               Scale
• HH size is often measured in “adult
  equivalent” units
  each member of the HH counts as some fraction
   of an adult male
  Economies of scales can then be accounted for
   by scaling the adult equivalent units




                   Measurement of Poverty          19
Equivalence Scales and Economies of
               Scale
• Many different methodologies are followed
  within two basic approaches
  Fixed Scales
  Estimated Scales




                      Measurement of Poverty   20
Fixed Scales
• Ex 1: Adult Equivalent Scale:
  Adult Male = 1
  Adult Female = 0.74
  Child < 5 years = 0.6
• Ex 2: OECD Scale: AE=1+0.7*(A-1)+0.5*C
  – First adult = 1
  – Additional adults = 0.7
  – Children < 14 = 0.5

                     Measurement of Poverty   21
Estimating AE Scales
• Based on examining HH data to see how
  consumption varies with gender/age and size
  Food share of expenditure is regressed on HH
   size, HH composition




                    Measurement of Poverty        22
Examples of AE Estimated Scales
• Ex 1: Deaton and Meullbauer, Sri Lanka,
  Indonesia
  Adults = 1
  Child 13-17 = 0.5
  Child 7-12 = 0.3
  Child < 7 = 0.2




                       Measurement of Poverty   23
Examples of AE Estimated Scales
• Ex 2: Deaton, India and Pakistan
  – The AE value of adding another person to a HH
    with 2 adults:
     Age 0-4 = 0.48
     Age 5-9 = 0.56
     Age 10-14 = 0.60
     Age 15-54 = 0.68




                         Measurement of Poverty     24
What is a HH?
• UN definition:
  – “Group of people who eat together”
     • But: how long must one be a resident to be counted
       as part of a HH
        – Students, migrant workers, etc.




                         Measurement of Poverty             25
Measurement of Poverty Practical
            Concerns

• Identification of Poverty Line
• Defining the Unit of Measurement
• Selecting the Indicator of Well-being




                   Measurement of Poverty   26
Selecting the Indicator of
               Well-being
• Monetary Measure of Welfare
  Income
  Expenditure
• Non-Monetary Measures of Welfare
  Direct Measures
  Subjective Measures




                  Measurement of Poverty   27
Income
• Definition: Y = C + ∆ in net worth
• Example
  Assets start of year: $10K
  Spending on consumption: $3K
  Assets end of year: $11K
  Annual Y: $4K




                   Measurement of Poverty   28
Problems with Income as Welfare
             Measure
• Conceptual Problems
  – Goal is to measure HH ability to meet basic
    needs, but Y is just one factor
     • access to credit, public services, access, etc. are other
       factors that determine ability to meet basic needs




                        Measurement of Poverty                     29
Problems with Income as Welfare
             Measure
• Measurement Problems
  – Understating of Y
     Difficult to recall all of Y, especially when Y flow is
      erratic as in the informal sector
     Fear of tax collector
     Illegally earned Y
     Separating inputs from revenue in agriculture
     Accounting for own consumption of output



                         Measurement of Poverty                 30
Expenditure
• Generally preferred to Income
  – Is more direct measure of what is consumed
  – Less volatile than Y
     • Consumption smoothing...




                      Measurement of Poverty     31
Consumption Smoothing

Income
Consumption                                   Y

                                        C



                                       Time




              Measurement of Poverty              32
Calculating Y or Expenditure
                for HH
• How do we measure Y / Expenditure?
• What is included?

• NB: HH may be both producers and
  consumers




                 Measurement of Poverty   33
Measuring Y and Expenditure
     HH as Consumer
                                           Household
         Household Y                       Expenditure
    Wage Y                          Food expenditure
    Agricultural Y                  C of own-produced food
    Non-farm self-employment        Housing expenditure
    Rent and Imputed Rent           Non-food expenditure
    Net inter-HH transfers
    Other Y




                         Measurement of Poverty                34
Measuring Y and Expenditure
       Household as Producer


         Receipts                                 Outgoing
 Revenue from sale of output        Cash expenditure on inputs
 Own-consumption for                In-kind expenditure on inputs
  produced output




                         Measurement of Poverty                       35
Calculating Y and Expenditure
• Must not include:
  Inputs into HH production, like money spent on
   seeds, fertilizer
  Expenditure on investment, like purchase of
   tools




                    Measurement of Poverty          36
Calculating Y and Expenditure
• Should include:
  Housing for owner-occupied dwellings
  Expenditure on durable goods




                    Measurement of Poverty   37
Non-Monetary Measure
             of Welfare
• Direct Welfare Measures
  Nutrition Poverty
  Health Poverty
  Education Poverty




                   Measurement of Poverty   38
Nutrition Poverty
• Input
  – Example: Calories per day


• Outcomes
  – Example: Malnutrition




                    Measurement of Poverty   39
Health Poverty
• Outcomes
  – Ex: life expectancy, infection rates
• Inputs
  – Ex: vaccination rates




                      Measurement of Poverty   40
Education Poverty
• Outcomes
  – Ex: Literacy rates
• Inputs:
  – Ex: Enrolment numbers




                         Measurement of Poverty   41
Subjective Measures
• HH may be asked directly about their welfare
• HH may be asked to establish minimum
  standards
• Community indicators may be established




                  Measurement of Poverty     42
Poverty Measures
• We may want to measure poverty directly
  instead of looking at Y and inequality
  together
• The most commonly used poverty measures
  are:
  Head Count Index
  Poverty Gap
  Proportional Poverty Gap
  Squared Poverty Gap

                   Measurement of Poverty   43
Head Count Index
• HCI = (# poor) / (population)

• Measures the “incidence” of poverty
  – i.e. it tells us “How many poor”




                     Measurement of Poverty   44
Head Count Index
• Simplest and most commonly used measure
• Limitations:
  Does not account for depth of poverty; i.e. it
   does not tell us how far below the poverty line
   the poor are.
• Advantages:
  Simple to understand, straightforward
   interpretation.
  Additive across populations.

                    Measurement of Poverty           45
Regional Head Count Estimates
      Extreme Poverty <$275/year
                                       Millions of
                      HC                People
SSA:                  .30                 120
South Asia:           .29                 300
ME/NA:                .21                  40
LA / Car:             .12                  50
East Asia:            .09                 120


              Measurement of Poverty                 46
Regional Head Count Estimates
     Moderate Poverty < $370/year
                                       Millions of
                      HC                People
SSA:                  .48                 184
South Asia:           .52                 532
ME/NA:                .31                  60
LA / Car:             .22                  87
East Asia:            .13                 182


              Measurement of Poverty                 47
Absolute Poverty Gap
• PG = (# Poor) * (Y shortfall)
• PG = Σ(Z-Yi) ;
   – where Z is PL, Yi is income of person i
• It tells us the total Y shortfall of the poor; i.e.
  the absolute amount that would be needed
  to raise all the poor up to the poverty line.



                       Measurement of Poverty       48
Absolute Poverty Gap


      Poverty Gap
Y



PL



                            Population
                            (poorest to richest)
       Measurement of Poverty                      49
Absolute Poverty Gap

 Y                                           Y
                              Poverty
                               Gap


PL                                               PL


             Population                               Population

     Relatively large                            Relatively small
     poverty gap                                 poverty gap

                        Measurement of Poverty                      50
Proportional Poverty Gap
• PPG = (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z}
• Measures the “depth” of poverty
• It gives some weight to how far below the
  poverty line a poor individual is
  – If a poor person’s income fall, the HC won’t
    change, but the PPG will increase to reflect the
    increase in the depth of poverty



                     Measurement of Poverty            51
Squared Poverty Gap(Foster-Greere
            Thorbecke)
• PPG = (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z}2
• Measures the “severity” of poverty
• Squares the difference between the poverty
  line and each household’s income
  – provides much greater weight to the poorest of
    the poor because the farther the HH from the
    poverty line, the greater the weight it is given



                     Measurement of Poverty            52
Poverty Measures
• Head Count                     • Income Distribution
• Proportional Poverty
  Gap                             Y
• Squared Poverty Gap
• Absolute Poverty Gap
                                PL

                                             Pop (poorest to richest)




                    Measurement of Poverty                        53
Poverty Measures
• These first 3 poverty measures are often
  referred to as the Foster-Greere-Thorbecke
  family of indices
• They can all be written as:
  – Pα= (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z}α
     • α=0 is HC
     • α=1 is PPG
     • α=2 is SPG


                     Measurement of Poverty    54
Poverty Measures from Mexico
          HC                    PPG        SPG
1984
  Rural   .90                        .58   .42
  Urban   .72                        .35   .21
1989
  Rural   .94                        .62   .61
  Urban   .68                        .32   .39

            Measurement of Poverty               55
Human Development Index
• An attempt to account for some of the
  limitations of using just income or
  expenditure as a measure of welfare
• Tries to take seriously some of Sen’s
  arguments about capabilities
  – Sen argues that the goal is to increase
    capabilities …to be well fed, educated, healthy
  – These capabilities won’t always be perfectly
    correlated with income
                     Measurement of Poverty           56
Income and Capabilities
            Per Capita   Share of    Share of
             Income    Poorest 40% Richest 20%
Sri Lanka     2,990        22          39
Guatemala     3,350                      8      63
               Life                Infant      Adult
            Expectancy            Mortality   Literacy
Sri Lanka       72                   18          89
Guatemala      65                       48      54


                    Measurement of Poverty               57
HDI
• Consists of 3 elements
• Life Expectancy
  – Educational Attainment
     2/3 Adult Literacy
     1/3 School Enrolment
  – Per Capita Income
     Adjusted down for Y > $5K
• Each component scored on 0 - 1 scale
• Index is simple average of 3 components

                      Measurement of Poverty   58
Gender Development Index
• Motivated by inequality in the distribution of
  resources across gender.
• Is there evidence that resources are
  distributed unequally?
• The same 3 components as HDI, but gives
  weight to relative equality in Y and
  achievement of capabilities by gender.


                   Measurement of Poverty      59
Human Poverty Index
• Attempt by UNDP to take Sen’s capability
  approach even more seriously
• Index combines 3 parts:
  Vulnerability to early death
  Access to education
  Overall standard of living
     • Health, water, nutrition



                       Measurement of Poverty   60
Measurement of Poverty

The secret of truth
is that there are no facts,
only stories.

   - Joao Ubaldo Ribeira
    Brazilian novelist




                   Measurement of Poverty   61

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Topic 18 multiple regression
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Topic 16 poverty(i)

  • 1. Measurement of Poverty: Concepts & Measurements Measurement of Poverty 1
  • 2. Measurement of Poverty “The governments are very keen on amassing statistics. They collect them, add them, raise them to the nth power and take the cubed root and prepare wonderful diagrams. But you must never forget that every one of these figures comes in the first instance from the village watchman who just puts down whatever he damn well pleases.” - Sir Josiah Stamp Measurement of Poverty 2
  • 3. Measurement of Poverty Practical Concerns • Identification of Poverty Line • Defining the Unit of Measurement • Selecting the Indicator of Well-being Measurement of Poverty 3
  • 4. Identification of Poverty Lines • The point at which the poor are separated from the non-poor – Relative Poverty Lines – Absolute Poverty Lines Measurement of Poverty 4
  • 5. Absolute Poverty Lines Type Description Features Food Energy Intake  Based on observed  PL may vary by sub- relation between groups of population calorie intake and e.g. by region total household expenditure Cost of Basic Needs  Identifies bundle of  Most common goods necessary to method meet basic needs,  Identification of then estimates cost basic needs may not be strghtfwd World Bank US$1 /  US$370 / year  Eases comparison day across countries  Zero cost of calculation  Conversion to local currency problematic Measurement of Poverty 5
  • 6. Food Energy Intake Method • Sets PL at the level of expenditure at which FEI is just sufficient to meet basic nutrition requirements • STEP ONE: Establish the minimum nutrition requirements. • STEP TWO: Examine the observed spending pattern to see at what average expenditure household just achieve minimum nutrition requirement. Measurement of Poverty 6
  • 7. Food Energy Intake Method Food Energy Intake Min Nutrition Standard (eg 2100 cals.) PL Expenditure (or Income) Measurement of Poverty 7
  • 8. Food Energy Intake Method • The PL determined by the FEI method may vary across regions due to differences in: Preferences: if more expensive animal protein and less food grain is eaten. Relative Prices: in urban areas it may cost more to obtain basic nutrition because food prices are higher. Publicly Provided Goods: in capital city transport to/from work may be cheaper than in provincial cities, allowing for lower expenditure level to meet minimum FEI. Measurement of Poverty 8
  • 9. Food Energy Intake Method • This method does take account of non-food purchases. Measurement of Poverty 9
  • 10. Cost of Basic Needs • PL is equal to the value of a bundle of consumption goods necessary to meet basic needs May include just food (extreme poverty) But more commonly includes non-food items Measurement of Poverty 10
  • 11. Cost of Basic Needs • STEP ONE: Establish the minimum consumption bundle necessary to meet basic needs Measurement of Poverty 11
  • 12. Cost of Basic Needs • STEP TWO: Establish the cost for the items in the basic consumption bundle Measurement of Poverty 12
  • 13. Additional Considerations in Setting Poverty Lines • Regional Poverty Lines Significant regional price differences may exist Urban / Rural poverty lines common • Sensitivity Analysis Typically near mode of distribution Multiple poverty lines often tried Measurement of Poverty 13
  • 14. Distribution of Expenditure Mexico, 1992 0.18 0.16 Poverty Line 0.14 Population Share 0.12 0.1 0.08 0.06 0.04 0.02 0 6000 11000 16000 21000 31000 36000 41000 46000 51000 56000 61000 66000 71000 76000 81000 86000 91000 96000 10100 10600 1000 26000 Expenditure/Quarter (1984 pesos) Measurement of Poverty 14
  • 15. Cumulative Percentage of Population 10 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0 1 00 60 00 11 00 0 16 00 0 21 00 0 26 00 0 31 00 0 36 00 0 41 00 0 46 00 0 51 00 0 56 00 Poverty Line 0 61 00 0 66 00 0 71 00 0 76 Measurement of Poverty Expenditure/Quarter (1984 pesos) 00 0 81 00 0 Expenditure 86 00 Mexico, 1992 0 91 00 0 96 00 10 0 10 0 10 0 60 00 Cumulative Distribution of 15
  • 16. Measurement of Poverty Practical Concerns • Identification of Poverty Line • Defining the Unit of Measurement • Selecting the Indicator of Well-being Measurement of Poverty 16
  • 17. Defining the Unit of Measurement  Household vs. Individual  Adjusting for differences among HH Adjusting for the age / gender of HH members Adjusting for HH size Measurement of Poverty 17
  • 18. Defining the Unit of Measurement • Example: 2 HH with monthly Y of $150 HH1 has 2 members…per capita Y = $75 HH2 has 3 members …per capita Y = $50 BUT: • HH1 has 2 adult men • HH2 has woman and 2 small children Measurement of Poverty 18
  • 19. Equivalence Scales and Economies of Scale • HH size is often measured in “adult equivalent” units each member of the HH counts as some fraction of an adult male Economies of scales can then be accounted for by scaling the adult equivalent units Measurement of Poverty 19
  • 20. Equivalence Scales and Economies of Scale • Many different methodologies are followed within two basic approaches Fixed Scales Estimated Scales Measurement of Poverty 20
  • 21. Fixed Scales • Ex 1: Adult Equivalent Scale: Adult Male = 1 Adult Female = 0.74 Child < 5 years = 0.6 • Ex 2: OECD Scale: AE=1+0.7*(A-1)+0.5*C – First adult = 1 – Additional adults = 0.7 – Children < 14 = 0.5 Measurement of Poverty 21
  • 22. Estimating AE Scales • Based on examining HH data to see how consumption varies with gender/age and size Food share of expenditure is regressed on HH size, HH composition Measurement of Poverty 22
  • 23. Examples of AE Estimated Scales • Ex 1: Deaton and Meullbauer, Sri Lanka, Indonesia Adults = 1 Child 13-17 = 0.5 Child 7-12 = 0.3 Child < 7 = 0.2 Measurement of Poverty 23
  • 24. Examples of AE Estimated Scales • Ex 2: Deaton, India and Pakistan – The AE value of adding another person to a HH with 2 adults: Age 0-4 = 0.48 Age 5-9 = 0.56 Age 10-14 = 0.60 Age 15-54 = 0.68 Measurement of Poverty 24
  • 25. What is a HH? • UN definition: – “Group of people who eat together” • But: how long must one be a resident to be counted as part of a HH – Students, migrant workers, etc. Measurement of Poverty 25
  • 26. Measurement of Poverty Practical Concerns • Identification of Poverty Line • Defining the Unit of Measurement • Selecting the Indicator of Well-being Measurement of Poverty 26
  • 27. Selecting the Indicator of Well-being • Monetary Measure of Welfare Income Expenditure • Non-Monetary Measures of Welfare Direct Measures Subjective Measures Measurement of Poverty 27
  • 28. Income • Definition: Y = C + ∆ in net worth • Example Assets start of year: $10K Spending on consumption: $3K Assets end of year: $11K Annual Y: $4K Measurement of Poverty 28
  • 29. Problems with Income as Welfare Measure • Conceptual Problems – Goal is to measure HH ability to meet basic needs, but Y is just one factor • access to credit, public services, access, etc. are other factors that determine ability to meet basic needs Measurement of Poverty 29
  • 30. Problems with Income as Welfare Measure • Measurement Problems – Understating of Y Difficult to recall all of Y, especially when Y flow is erratic as in the informal sector Fear of tax collector Illegally earned Y Separating inputs from revenue in agriculture Accounting for own consumption of output Measurement of Poverty 30
  • 31. Expenditure • Generally preferred to Income – Is more direct measure of what is consumed – Less volatile than Y • Consumption smoothing... Measurement of Poverty 31
  • 32. Consumption Smoothing Income Consumption Y C Time Measurement of Poverty 32
  • 33. Calculating Y or Expenditure for HH • How do we measure Y / Expenditure? • What is included? • NB: HH may be both producers and consumers Measurement of Poverty 33
  • 34. Measuring Y and Expenditure HH as Consumer Household Household Y Expenditure  Wage Y  Food expenditure  Agricultural Y  C of own-produced food  Non-farm self-employment  Housing expenditure  Rent and Imputed Rent  Non-food expenditure  Net inter-HH transfers  Other Y Measurement of Poverty 34
  • 35. Measuring Y and Expenditure Household as Producer Receipts Outgoing  Revenue from sale of output  Cash expenditure on inputs  Own-consumption for  In-kind expenditure on inputs produced output Measurement of Poverty 35
  • 36. Calculating Y and Expenditure • Must not include: Inputs into HH production, like money spent on seeds, fertilizer Expenditure on investment, like purchase of tools Measurement of Poverty 36
  • 37. Calculating Y and Expenditure • Should include: Housing for owner-occupied dwellings Expenditure on durable goods Measurement of Poverty 37
  • 38. Non-Monetary Measure of Welfare • Direct Welfare Measures Nutrition Poverty Health Poverty Education Poverty Measurement of Poverty 38
  • 39. Nutrition Poverty • Input – Example: Calories per day • Outcomes – Example: Malnutrition Measurement of Poverty 39
  • 40. Health Poverty • Outcomes – Ex: life expectancy, infection rates • Inputs – Ex: vaccination rates Measurement of Poverty 40
  • 41. Education Poverty • Outcomes – Ex: Literacy rates • Inputs: – Ex: Enrolment numbers Measurement of Poverty 41
  • 42. Subjective Measures • HH may be asked directly about their welfare • HH may be asked to establish minimum standards • Community indicators may be established Measurement of Poverty 42
  • 43. Poverty Measures • We may want to measure poverty directly instead of looking at Y and inequality together • The most commonly used poverty measures are: Head Count Index Poverty Gap Proportional Poverty Gap Squared Poverty Gap Measurement of Poverty 43
  • 44. Head Count Index • HCI = (# poor) / (population) • Measures the “incidence” of poverty – i.e. it tells us “How many poor” Measurement of Poverty 44
  • 45. Head Count Index • Simplest and most commonly used measure • Limitations: Does not account for depth of poverty; i.e. it does not tell us how far below the poverty line the poor are. • Advantages: Simple to understand, straightforward interpretation. Additive across populations. Measurement of Poverty 45
  • 46. Regional Head Count Estimates Extreme Poverty <$275/year Millions of HC People SSA: .30 120 South Asia: .29 300 ME/NA: .21 40 LA / Car: .12 50 East Asia: .09 120 Measurement of Poverty 46
  • 47. Regional Head Count Estimates Moderate Poverty < $370/year Millions of HC People SSA: .48 184 South Asia: .52 532 ME/NA: .31 60 LA / Car: .22 87 East Asia: .13 182 Measurement of Poverty 47
  • 48. Absolute Poverty Gap • PG = (# Poor) * (Y shortfall) • PG = Σ(Z-Yi) ; – where Z is PL, Yi is income of person i • It tells us the total Y shortfall of the poor; i.e. the absolute amount that would be needed to raise all the poor up to the poverty line. Measurement of Poverty 48
  • 49. Absolute Poverty Gap Poverty Gap Y PL Population (poorest to richest) Measurement of Poverty 49
  • 50. Absolute Poverty Gap Y Y Poverty Gap PL PL Population Population Relatively large Relatively small poverty gap poverty gap Measurement of Poverty 50
  • 51. Proportional Poverty Gap • PPG = (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z} • Measures the “depth” of poverty • It gives some weight to how far below the poverty line a poor individual is – If a poor person’s income fall, the HC won’t change, but the PPG will increase to reflect the increase in the depth of poverty Measurement of Poverty 51
  • 52. Squared Poverty Gap(Foster-Greere Thorbecke) • PPG = (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z}2 • Measures the “severity” of poverty • Squares the difference between the poverty line and each household’s income – provides much greater weight to the poorest of the poor because the farther the HH from the poverty line, the greater the weight it is given Measurement of Poverty 52
  • 53. Poverty Measures • Head Count • Income Distribution • Proportional Poverty Gap Y • Squared Poverty Gap • Absolute Poverty Gap PL Pop (poorest to richest) Measurement of Poverty 53
  • 54. Poverty Measures • These first 3 poverty measures are often referred to as the Foster-Greere-Thorbecke family of indices • They can all be written as: – Pα= (1/N)Σ{(Z-Yi)/Z}α • α=0 is HC • α=1 is PPG • α=2 is SPG Measurement of Poverty 54
  • 55. Poverty Measures from Mexico HC PPG SPG 1984 Rural .90 .58 .42 Urban .72 .35 .21 1989 Rural .94 .62 .61 Urban .68 .32 .39 Measurement of Poverty 55
  • 56. Human Development Index • An attempt to account for some of the limitations of using just income or expenditure as a measure of welfare • Tries to take seriously some of Sen’s arguments about capabilities – Sen argues that the goal is to increase capabilities …to be well fed, educated, healthy – These capabilities won’t always be perfectly correlated with income Measurement of Poverty 56
  • 57. Income and Capabilities Per Capita Share of Share of Income Poorest 40% Richest 20% Sri Lanka 2,990 22 39 Guatemala 3,350 8 63 Life Infant Adult Expectancy Mortality Literacy Sri Lanka 72 18 89 Guatemala 65 48 54 Measurement of Poverty 57
  • 58. HDI • Consists of 3 elements • Life Expectancy – Educational Attainment 2/3 Adult Literacy 1/3 School Enrolment – Per Capita Income Adjusted down for Y > $5K • Each component scored on 0 - 1 scale • Index is simple average of 3 components Measurement of Poverty 58
  • 59. Gender Development Index • Motivated by inequality in the distribution of resources across gender. • Is there evidence that resources are distributed unequally? • The same 3 components as HDI, but gives weight to relative equality in Y and achievement of capabilities by gender. Measurement of Poverty 59
  • 60. Human Poverty Index • Attempt by UNDP to take Sen’s capability approach even more seriously • Index combines 3 parts: Vulnerability to early death Access to education Overall standard of living • Health, water, nutrition Measurement of Poverty 60
  • 61. Measurement of Poverty The secret of truth is that there are no facts, only stories. - Joao Ubaldo Ribeira Brazilian novelist Measurement of Poverty 61

Editor's Notes

  1. 1985 figures
  2. 1985 figures