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Hanna Mark,
MSW
SW112
July 8, 2014
SOCIAL INSURANCE
I. Defining Income & Income Maintenance Programs
II. Social Security
I. Other Major Social Insurance Programs
AGENDA
INCOME
Two major areas of focus for US social welfare policy:
1. Reduce poverty
2. Provide income security for people unable to work
TWO MAJOR TIERS OF WELFARE POLICY
 Reducing Poverty
 Includes SOCIAL ASSISTNACE programs like:
 Supplemental Security Income (SSI), General Assistance (GA), Temporary
Assistance to Needy Families (TANF), Food Stamps (SNAP), Earned Income
Tax Credit (EITC)
 Means-tested, safety net programs
 **Will be focused on next lecture
 Income Security
 Includes SOCIAL INSURANCE programs like:
 Social Security, Unemployment Insurance, Worker’s Comp
 Non-means tested; protects against loss of earnings when you can’t
work (de-commodifies labor)
 Addressing poverty not its main goal, although it might address it
residually
 **What we’re talking about today!
MAJOR TIERS OF WELFARE POLICY
 Income: The resources that people use to meet their needs
and to purchase the goods and services they want
 Can be cash or in-kind
 Liquid
 Resources people can use immediately
 Wealth: Different from income in that it involves non-liquid
stock of resources
 Can in be converted into income? (Sure!)
 Income can be reduced, interrupted, terminated ( major
issue)
 Income can be too low to sustain acceptable living standards
 What do we call it when it’s below acceptable standards?
 POVERTY!
 What have we created in our country to address these problems?
INCOME
 AKA’S: Income transfer, income security, income protection, or
social protection programs
 Purpose:
 Maintain a person’s/family’s income when their regular income is
interrupted or terminated
 Support (supplement or subsidize) a person or family’s income
 When is income interrupted or terminated?
 By contingencies (a.k.a, risks)
 Accident, labor, sickness, unemployment, disability, retirement, etc.
 Established by legislation
 Typically involves cash benefits from the government. Typically
administered by the state.
INCOME MAINTENANCE &
SUPPORT PROGRAMS
 Funded from CONTRIBUTIONS paid by members (e.g. dedicated
payroll tax)
 REMEMBER: You pay into it!
 Contributions are pooled
 Usually, contributions come from both employer and employee.
Benefits are often subsidized by the government.
 Eligibility determined by how much you’ve contributed over time
and other conditions, e.g.:
 Minimum age
 Actively looking for work
 Mental or physical disability
 Universal: People receive benefits as legal entitlements
regardless of personal wealth
 Less stigma
SOCIAL INSURANCE: IN-DEPTH
SOCIAL SECURITY
 19th Century:
 Otto von Bismarck (Chancellor of German) creates the first social
insurance program in 1883
 20th Century:
 Other countries followed
 US: 1935 Social Security Act (FDR’s New Deal)
 Response to the Stock Market crash of ‘29 and subsequent Great Depression
 OASI program based on recommendations by Prof. Barbara Armstrong of Berkeley who had
studied income maintenance in other Western countries
 Legislation: Title II of the 1935 Social Security Act
SOCIAL SECURITY: BRIEF HISTORY
 Original Social Security Act (1935):
 Included mix of insurance and assistance programs
 Aimed to support elderly poor, dependent children, the blind, some
disabled children
 “Worthy” Poor
 Categorical approach to welfare
 Only provided benefits to approx. 40% of workers
 Excluded: Farm & domestic workers, self-employed, state and local gov’t
employees
SOCIAL SECURITY:
BRIEF HISTORY (CON’T)
3 kinds of income for US retirement system:
 Private Savings
 Approximately 3/5 of all Americans have some by retirement
 Often: 401k’s (employer alternatives to pensions)
 Can be inherited
 Pensions (Part of your employment benefit package)
 Most not inflation-safe
 Only about one-fourth to one-third of all workers have plans
 Risks: switching jobs, bankrupt companies, corporate raids of funds,
stock-related risks
 Cannot be inherited
 Social Security
 Largest/sturdiest leg
SOCIAL SECURITY:
A THREE LEGGED STOOL OF RETIREMENT
 4 Parts
 OAI
 Old Age Insurance (1935)
 SI
 Survivor’s Insurance (1939)
 DI
 Disability Insurance (1956)
 HI
 Medical & Hospital Insurance (Medicare; 1965)
OASDI is currently serving over 58.5 million people (May, 2014).
It is the the largest item of federal expenditure. It is the
nation’s most successful antipoverty program.
SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS
For elders, focus for today
State % Poverty Before OAI % Poverty After OAI
CA 37.8 8.5
TX 41.4 10.7
LA 50.3 15.0
NY 42.8 10.9
WI 42.6 5.1
IMPACT ON POVERTY FOR THOSE 65 AND
OLDER, 2011
 Acknowledges shared responsibility of all citizens
 Public, compulsory, and nearly universal
 Approx. 97% of all workers/self-employed, or 156 million people pay in
 Classic social insurance model:
 Program pools resources based on contributions (payroll tax) and pays
out benefits to older adults who have contributed and reached a
specified age
 Managed by the federal gov’t through the Social Security
Administration (independent since 1994)
 Not linked to states
 Modest benefits compared to other countries
(US) SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS
“When compared to several other systems in
industrialized nations, the US Social Security stands
out as one of the best in the world for protecting
workers and retirees from the economic vicissitudes
that could dramatically reduce a lifetime of
contributions.
While retirement benefits for American workers may
be initially lower than for workers in privatized
pension systems, the benefits are more predictable
which allows US workers to better plan for their
retirement.”
–Karger & Stoesz, p. 218-219.
THAT BEING SAID…
 Eligibility:
 Based on contribution record (approx. 10 years)
 “Full” retirement = age 65 for people born 1937 or earlier; increases
incrementally, and eventually to age 67 for people born after 1959
 Contributors can receive reduced benefits starting at 62
 Benefits:
 Consist of a cash pension for:
 Individuals of-age
 Survivors of deceased contributors
 People who become disabled while working (must have contributed @
some point)
 Income-related (The higher you earn, longer you pay in, more you get)
 Fully inflation protected (c/o Nixon’s COLA, 1972)
 Redistributive
SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS, CON’T
 A payroll tax paid equally by you and your employer, each 6.2%
(totaling 12.4%)
 Also, approx 1.5% for Medicare
 OASDI taxed on salary and wages for the first $117,000 only
(amounts above are not taxed); HI has no cap
 Taxes are only on earnings and not on other income
 Full taxation for working-only people
 Partial taxation for wealthy because it doesn’t tax other income, like
capital gains
 Tax rate of 6.2% is same for all earners
 Bigger hit on those with less money
 So how is it redistributive?
SOCIAL SECURITY: HOW IT WORKS
Replacement ratio = OAI Benefits / Earnings
A wage earner making $3,000/month retires and become
eligible for $1,000/month in OAI benefits.
Her replacement ratio is ____________ ?
 33%
SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS, CON’T
 Fairness is rewarding individual effort and merit:
 Individual equity principle
 Pay more in, get more out
 The result is that income inequality present during working years is
maintained beyond working years
HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?:
CONSERVATIVE PERSPECTIVES
 Liberals say fairness is social adequacy
 Community wide standards for meeting basic needs
 Redistribution and concern for poor and for those excluded from full
participation in labor market
 Poor moms, farm workers, home health aides, disabled individuals
 Should get fair retirement, no matter your lifetime earnings
HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?:
LIBERAL PERSPECTIVE
 Low earners get more than they would if there were no SS and
high earners get their benefits capped
 Low earners get a higher replacement ratio:
 If conservative model were in place, ratio would be based all on
earnings (income, interest, investments, etc.)
 If liberal policies were in place, ratio would be higher for the poor
 Average ratio: 58% for low earners, 40% for median earners,
22% for high earners
HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?:
THE COMPROMISE
(2014) Monthly Yearly
Average Retiree $1,294 $15,528
Average Retired
Couple (Both
Receiving
Benefits)
$2,111 $25,332
High Income
Retiree
$2,642 $31,704
Low Income
Retiree
$886 $10,633
OAI BENEFITS FOR RETIREES 65+
(2011) Median Yearly Income
for Beneficiary Families
White $19,757
African
American
$14,400
Hispanic $14,400
Asian $17,957
In 2010, 91% of elders received at least some of their income
from OASDI
SOCIAL SECURITY:
MAJOR INCOME SOURCE FOR ELDERS
Income Source % Elders receiving
Jon Pensions & Annuities 36
Savings/Assets (e.g., 401k) 57
SS/OASDI 91
Job Earnings 18
Other (SSI, charities, family, etc.) 9
Earnings
25%
Income from
Assets
14%
Pensions &
Annuities
19%
OASDI
40%
Other
2%
PERCENT OF INCOME FOR ELDERLY
FROM EACH SOURCE, 2010
For many, Social Security is the only income source guaranteed to last a lifetime
PERCENT OF INCOME FOR ELDERLY FROM
EACH SOURCE, BY INCOME QUINTILE (2010)
Beneficiaries usually have little income for other sources, especially amongst the folks
in the lower income quintiles
90.6
48
63.5
84.2
35.6
39.6
77.2
22.1
30.1
68.8
29
52.8
Social Security Pensions & Savings Assets
% Population Dependent on Income Source
White African American Hispanic Asian American
INCOME SOURCES OF OLDER AMERICANS
BY RACE & ETHNICITY (2011)
Source: AARP calculations of 2012 US Census Data
 Plays a larger role in retirement income for
people of color than whites
 People of color still tend to receive less
 Urban Institute argument: Across decades, OASI
redistributes from people of color to whites
Whites live longer than African Americans
Whites less likely be in single headed households
(survivors benefit)
Whites less likely to be disabled
Whites and Asians tend to have less children than
Blacks and Latinos
SOCIAL SECURITY & RACE/ETHNICITY:
HOW REDISTRIBUTIVE IS IT, REALLY?
SOCIAL SECURITY & RACE/ETHNICITY:
DISPARITIES IN RETIREMENT SECURITY
 Nari Rhee
 PhD, 2007 from Berkeley – Geography
 Currently: National Institute on Retirement (www.nirs.org)
 Previously: UC Berkeley Institute for Research on Labor &
Employment (www.laborcenter.berkeley.edu)
 Research Focus: Retirement Security, esp for low-wage workers
 KQED’s Tell Me More Interview:
http://www.npr.org/2014/01/14/262404288/minorities-
savings-accounts-arent-adding-up-for-retirement
Imbalance in Social Security due to:
1. Decreasing worker:beneficiary ratio
1. Previous year’s tax revenues were enough to pay for all benefits,
until the 1970s
2. Ratio used to be 17 workers: 1 beneficiary. Now its 3.8 workers: 1
beneficiary. In 30 years, it is expected to be about 2: 1.
3. This is known as: An Adverse Dependency Ratio
2. Increasing lifespan
1. 63 years in 1935; 78 years today
SOCIAL SECURITY: THE “CRISIS”
 ‘Til 1983: Pay-as-you-go; input matched output
 Since 1983: Partial reserve system in place, surplus income
stored
 Surplus income invested in gov’t bonds that earn whatever interest
rate is in place
 Reserve’s principal and interest are guaranteed by the federal gov’t
 Considered one of the safest investments in the world
 SS trust fund earned $108 billion in interest in 2010
SOCIAL SECURITY: “THE CRISIS”
Key Dates:
 2010: Costs of OASDI exceeding tax income
 2012: Reserves are $2.5 trillion and rising
 2018: DI fund exhausted
 2023: Annual benefit payments will exceed OASI income (taxes +
interest) for the first time. Trust fund assets will start to decline.
 2035 (-2052??): Trust fund reserves are exhausted. Incoming taxes
finance only 70% of benefits
FUTURE OF THE OASI TRUST FUND
Some Solution Proposals:
1. Prolong the SS “start” time to a later age
1. Suggestion: Age 70
2. Increase payroll tax, and attempt to build a surplus now so
that we are saving up for 20 years from now
1. Suggestion: 12.4%  15%
2. Or, reduce the tax rate to 4.2% for all low-income workers
1. Raise the earnings cap to cover 90% of all wages
1. Adjust the COLA downward
SOCIAL SECURITY: THE CRISIS
78.9
74.6
82.8
86.5
76.9
Life Expectancy at Birth (in years)
Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, 2010
 Incremental
 Modest guaranteed benefit cuts
 Modest tax increases
 No diversion of OASDI tax to other types of accounts
 Main idea:
 Allow government to invest some of the SS trust fund into stocks,
rather than asking individuals
 Higher returns can mean higher risk
 Status quo
SOCIAL SECURITY:
REFORM PROPOSALS
 Partial Privatization
 Cuts in guaranteed benefits of 10%
 Partial diversion of OASDI tax to private investment accounts
 Main Idea:
 You can invest a portion of your tax into stocks instead of into SS
trust funds
 Requires knowledge of the stock market
SOCIAL SECURITY:
REFORM PROPOSALS
 Radical Privatization
 Cuts guaranteed benefits substantially but establishes minimum
safety net
 Diverts most of OASDI tax dollars to private accounts
 Main Idea:
 Everyone would be required to contribute, but it would be a private
investment
 Based on a personal responsibility approach
 Believe that private system would produce greater returns than the
government system
 Gets rid of the redistributive function of Social Security
 Proponent Example: CATO Institute, Bush
SOCIAL SECURITY:
REFORM PROPOSALS
SOCIAL SECURITY DEBATE:
KRUGMAN VS. TANNER
A little bit more perspective:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tR
n6oEB3qg
 Bush Plan shot down due to:
 Voter interest (elders) & stock market distrust (crash of 2001; then again
2008)
 Concerns of limited privatization  full
  Voluntary system that would destroy SS
 Move towards expanding not cutting?
 Harkin (D-IA) legislation: Strengthening Social Security Act ( March,
2013)
 Alters method for calculating benefits (boosting approx. $70/mo)
 Alters method for calculating COLA; moves instead towards CPI-E
 Phases out tax cap
 Same bill introduced in the House (January 2014)
 Incentivizing other means
 Obama Admin’s MyRA (no market risk, nice rate of return up to $15k)
 Harkin’s restoration of pensions with guaranteed monthly payments that
put more responsibility on worker so businesses/cities less adverse
SOCIAL SECURITY: TODAY
 Estimated that 1/3 of undocumented immigrants are
currently paying in
 SSA: In 2010, net contribution of $12 billion
 Currently, immigrants who can prove earnings with pay stubs
or W-2 forms can get credit for earnings
 Contested
 Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration
Modernization Act of 2013
 Center for American Progress (supporter of immigration reform):
 If 70% of illegal immigrants are given legal status, they would contribute
net $500 billion to SS in 36 years
 Social Security Administration:
 Would add $276 billion in revenue over 10 years while costing $33 billion
SOCIAL SECURITY & IMMIGRATION
OTHER SOCIAL
INSURANCE PROGRAMS
 Established by statue
 Government uses the tax system to provide deductions and
credits (tax advantages) which function like direct benefits
 Eligibility determined by defined criteria but you *must* be in
the tax system to benefit
 Examples:
 Occupational Pension Deductions
 Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs)
 401ks
FISCAL BENEFITS
 Funded by the employer from their own resources
 Government may require employer to establish a special fund or to join
a special fund used by all employers
 Eligibility determined by defined criteria, no means test applied
 Benefits usually paid in cash
 Historical roots:
 Initial workers’ comp laws required employers to compensate workers;
avoidance was common
 ‘Negligence’ often used to avoid payment
 No fault coverage later introduced  Employer requirement to take out
insurance or join special funds
 Now used to mandate benefits like: sick leave, parental leave,
termination, compensation payments, retirement pensions
 Minimum wage, workers comp, living wage, etc. are all included
here
EMPLOYER MANDATES
 Purposes
 To provide temporary and partial wage replacement to involuntary and
unemployed workers &
 To help stabilize the economy during recessions
 Overseen by the Department of Labor, administered by each
state (federal/state partnership)
 Employers are required to contribute to a trust fund
 Two main components:
 Regular state-funded benefits, for a maximum of 26 weeks
 Federal/state extended benefits program; additional 13-20 weeks,
depending on state’s unemployment rate and its related laws
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
 Eligibility
 Unemployed
 Ready & willing to work
 Registered to work with state employment service
 Working in a covered position
 Ineligibility
 Fired for misconduct
 Quit without a legal reason
 Failed to register with the state employment services
 Refused to take an equal or better job
 Striking
 Benefits
 Determined by states
 Approximately 46% of previous wages
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
 Current Issues
1. Limited coverage
2. Benefit decline
3. Outdated assumptions about unemployment
4. Women and unemployment
5. Meeting financial obligations
6. Equity problems
UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
 In 2011, 4,963 workers were killed on the job. Approximately
13/day.
 3 million injuries or illnesses requiring day away from work; in
2011, median days away = 7
 WC began in WI & NJ in 1911, now approx. 97% of all UI
covered workers also are covered by WC
 Excluded: Business owners, independent contractors, volunteer, farm,
railroad, maritime, and domestic workers
WORKER’S COMPENSATION (WC)
 For victims of industrial accidents or occupational illnesses
 Provides cash, medical assistance, rehabilitative services, and
disability/death benefits
 Employers assume the cost of occupational disabilities
without regard to fault
 Programs vary from state-to-state
 Types: Private insurers, state sponsored insurers, employer
self-insurers
 Main issues
 High cost for businesses
 Benefit levels super variable from state-to-state
 Benefits distributed are complexly calculated and uneven
WORKER’S COMPENSATION (WC)
TIME FOR DISCUSSION!

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Social Insurance, Hanna Mark

  • 1. Hanna Mark, MSW SW112 July 8, 2014 SOCIAL INSURANCE
  • 2. I. Defining Income & Income Maintenance Programs II. Social Security I. Other Major Social Insurance Programs AGENDA
  • 4. Two major areas of focus for US social welfare policy: 1. Reduce poverty 2. Provide income security for people unable to work TWO MAJOR TIERS OF WELFARE POLICY
  • 5.  Reducing Poverty  Includes SOCIAL ASSISTNACE programs like:  Supplemental Security Income (SSI), General Assistance (GA), Temporary Assistance to Needy Families (TANF), Food Stamps (SNAP), Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC)  Means-tested, safety net programs  **Will be focused on next lecture  Income Security  Includes SOCIAL INSURANCE programs like:  Social Security, Unemployment Insurance, Worker’s Comp  Non-means tested; protects against loss of earnings when you can’t work (de-commodifies labor)  Addressing poverty not its main goal, although it might address it residually  **What we’re talking about today! MAJOR TIERS OF WELFARE POLICY
  • 6.  Income: The resources that people use to meet their needs and to purchase the goods and services they want  Can be cash or in-kind  Liquid  Resources people can use immediately  Wealth: Different from income in that it involves non-liquid stock of resources  Can in be converted into income? (Sure!)  Income can be reduced, interrupted, terminated ( major issue)  Income can be too low to sustain acceptable living standards  What do we call it when it’s below acceptable standards?  POVERTY!  What have we created in our country to address these problems? INCOME
  • 7.  AKA’S: Income transfer, income security, income protection, or social protection programs  Purpose:  Maintain a person’s/family’s income when their regular income is interrupted or terminated  Support (supplement or subsidize) a person or family’s income  When is income interrupted or terminated?  By contingencies (a.k.a, risks)  Accident, labor, sickness, unemployment, disability, retirement, etc.  Established by legislation  Typically involves cash benefits from the government. Typically administered by the state. INCOME MAINTENANCE & SUPPORT PROGRAMS
  • 8.  Funded from CONTRIBUTIONS paid by members (e.g. dedicated payroll tax)  REMEMBER: You pay into it!  Contributions are pooled  Usually, contributions come from both employer and employee. Benefits are often subsidized by the government.  Eligibility determined by how much you’ve contributed over time and other conditions, e.g.:  Minimum age  Actively looking for work  Mental or physical disability  Universal: People receive benefits as legal entitlements regardless of personal wealth  Less stigma SOCIAL INSURANCE: IN-DEPTH
  • 10.  19th Century:  Otto von Bismarck (Chancellor of German) creates the first social insurance program in 1883  20th Century:  Other countries followed  US: 1935 Social Security Act (FDR’s New Deal)  Response to the Stock Market crash of ‘29 and subsequent Great Depression  OASI program based on recommendations by Prof. Barbara Armstrong of Berkeley who had studied income maintenance in other Western countries  Legislation: Title II of the 1935 Social Security Act SOCIAL SECURITY: BRIEF HISTORY
  • 11.  Original Social Security Act (1935):  Included mix of insurance and assistance programs  Aimed to support elderly poor, dependent children, the blind, some disabled children  “Worthy” Poor  Categorical approach to welfare  Only provided benefits to approx. 40% of workers  Excluded: Farm & domestic workers, self-employed, state and local gov’t employees SOCIAL SECURITY: BRIEF HISTORY (CON’T)
  • 12. 3 kinds of income for US retirement system:  Private Savings  Approximately 3/5 of all Americans have some by retirement  Often: 401k’s (employer alternatives to pensions)  Can be inherited  Pensions (Part of your employment benefit package)  Most not inflation-safe  Only about one-fourth to one-third of all workers have plans  Risks: switching jobs, bankrupt companies, corporate raids of funds, stock-related risks  Cannot be inherited  Social Security  Largest/sturdiest leg SOCIAL SECURITY: A THREE LEGGED STOOL OF RETIREMENT
  • 13.  4 Parts  OAI  Old Age Insurance (1935)  SI  Survivor’s Insurance (1939)  DI  Disability Insurance (1956)  HI  Medical & Hospital Insurance (Medicare; 1965) OASDI is currently serving over 58.5 million people (May, 2014). It is the the largest item of federal expenditure. It is the nation’s most successful antipoverty program. SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS For elders, focus for today
  • 14. State % Poverty Before OAI % Poverty After OAI CA 37.8 8.5 TX 41.4 10.7 LA 50.3 15.0 NY 42.8 10.9 WI 42.6 5.1 IMPACT ON POVERTY FOR THOSE 65 AND OLDER, 2011
  • 15.  Acknowledges shared responsibility of all citizens  Public, compulsory, and nearly universal  Approx. 97% of all workers/self-employed, or 156 million people pay in  Classic social insurance model:  Program pools resources based on contributions (payroll tax) and pays out benefits to older adults who have contributed and reached a specified age  Managed by the federal gov’t through the Social Security Administration (independent since 1994)  Not linked to states  Modest benefits compared to other countries (US) SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS
  • 16.
  • 17. “When compared to several other systems in industrialized nations, the US Social Security stands out as one of the best in the world for protecting workers and retirees from the economic vicissitudes that could dramatically reduce a lifetime of contributions. While retirement benefits for American workers may be initially lower than for workers in privatized pension systems, the benefits are more predictable which allows US workers to better plan for their retirement.” –Karger & Stoesz, p. 218-219. THAT BEING SAID…
  • 18.  Eligibility:  Based on contribution record (approx. 10 years)  “Full” retirement = age 65 for people born 1937 or earlier; increases incrementally, and eventually to age 67 for people born after 1959  Contributors can receive reduced benefits starting at 62  Benefits:  Consist of a cash pension for:  Individuals of-age  Survivors of deceased contributors  People who become disabled while working (must have contributed @ some point)  Income-related (The higher you earn, longer you pay in, more you get)  Fully inflation protected (c/o Nixon’s COLA, 1972)  Redistributive SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS, CON’T
  • 19.  A payroll tax paid equally by you and your employer, each 6.2% (totaling 12.4%)  Also, approx 1.5% for Medicare  OASDI taxed on salary and wages for the first $117,000 only (amounts above are not taxed); HI has no cap  Taxes are only on earnings and not on other income  Full taxation for working-only people  Partial taxation for wealthy because it doesn’t tax other income, like capital gains  Tax rate of 6.2% is same for all earners  Bigger hit on those with less money  So how is it redistributive? SOCIAL SECURITY: HOW IT WORKS
  • 20. Replacement ratio = OAI Benefits / Earnings A wage earner making $3,000/month retires and become eligible for $1,000/month in OAI benefits. Her replacement ratio is ____________ ?  33% SOCIAL SECURITY: COMPONENTS, CON’T
  • 21.  Fairness is rewarding individual effort and merit:  Individual equity principle  Pay more in, get more out  The result is that income inequality present during working years is maintained beyond working years HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?: CONSERVATIVE PERSPECTIVES
  • 22.  Liberals say fairness is social adequacy  Community wide standards for meeting basic needs  Redistribution and concern for poor and for those excluded from full participation in labor market  Poor moms, farm workers, home health aides, disabled individuals  Should get fair retirement, no matter your lifetime earnings HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?: LIBERAL PERSPECTIVE
  • 23.  Low earners get more than they would if there were no SS and high earners get their benefits capped  Low earners get a higher replacement ratio:  If conservative model were in place, ratio would be based all on earnings (income, interest, investments, etc.)  If liberal policies were in place, ratio would be higher for the poor  Average ratio: 58% for low earners, 40% for median earners, 22% for high earners HOW MUCH SHOULD BENEFICIARIES GET?: THE COMPROMISE
  • 24. (2014) Monthly Yearly Average Retiree $1,294 $15,528 Average Retired Couple (Both Receiving Benefits) $2,111 $25,332 High Income Retiree $2,642 $31,704 Low Income Retiree $886 $10,633 OAI BENEFITS FOR RETIREES 65+ (2011) Median Yearly Income for Beneficiary Families White $19,757 African American $14,400 Hispanic $14,400 Asian $17,957
  • 25. In 2010, 91% of elders received at least some of their income from OASDI SOCIAL SECURITY: MAJOR INCOME SOURCE FOR ELDERS Income Source % Elders receiving Jon Pensions & Annuities 36 Savings/Assets (e.g., 401k) 57 SS/OASDI 91 Job Earnings 18 Other (SSI, charities, family, etc.) 9
  • 26. Earnings 25% Income from Assets 14% Pensions & Annuities 19% OASDI 40% Other 2% PERCENT OF INCOME FOR ELDERLY FROM EACH SOURCE, 2010 For many, Social Security is the only income source guaranteed to last a lifetime
  • 27. PERCENT OF INCOME FOR ELDERLY FROM EACH SOURCE, BY INCOME QUINTILE (2010) Beneficiaries usually have little income for other sources, especially amongst the folks in the lower income quintiles
  • 28. 90.6 48 63.5 84.2 35.6 39.6 77.2 22.1 30.1 68.8 29 52.8 Social Security Pensions & Savings Assets % Population Dependent on Income Source White African American Hispanic Asian American INCOME SOURCES OF OLDER AMERICANS BY RACE & ETHNICITY (2011) Source: AARP calculations of 2012 US Census Data
  • 29.  Plays a larger role in retirement income for people of color than whites  People of color still tend to receive less  Urban Institute argument: Across decades, OASI redistributes from people of color to whites Whites live longer than African Americans Whites less likely be in single headed households (survivors benefit) Whites less likely to be disabled Whites and Asians tend to have less children than Blacks and Latinos SOCIAL SECURITY & RACE/ETHNICITY: HOW REDISTRIBUTIVE IS IT, REALLY?
  • 30. SOCIAL SECURITY & RACE/ETHNICITY: DISPARITIES IN RETIREMENT SECURITY  Nari Rhee  PhD, 2007 from Berkeley – Geography  Currently: National Institute on Retirement (www.nirs.org)  Previously: UC Berkeley Institute for Research on Labor & Employment (www.laborcenter.berkeley.edu)  Research Focus: Retirement Security, esp for low-wage workers  KQED’s Tell Me More Interview: http://www.npr.org/2014/01/14/262404288/minorities- savings-accounts-arent-adding-up-for-retirement
  • 31. Imbalance in Social Security due to: 1. Decreasing worker:beneficiary ratio 1. Previous year’s tax revenues were enough to pay for all benefits, until the 1970s 2. Ratio used to be 17 workers: 1 beneficiary. Now its 3.8 workers: 1 beneficiary. In 30 years, it is expected to be about 2: 1. 3. This is known as: An Adverse Dependency Ratio 2. Increasing lifespan 1. 63 years in 1935; 78 years today SOCIAL SECURITY: THE “CRISIS”
  • 32.  ‘Til 1983: Pay-as-you-go; input matched output  Since 1983: Partial reserve system in place, surplus income stored  Surplus income invested in gov’t bonds that earn whatever interest rate is in place  Reserve’s principal and interest are guaranteed by the federal gov’t  Considered one of the safest investments in the world  SS trust fund earned $108 billion in interest in 2010 SOCIAL SECURITY: “THE CRISIS”
  • 33. Key Dates:  2010: Costs of OASDI exceeding tax income  2012: Reserves are $2.5 trillion and rising  2018: DI fund exhausted  2023: Annual benefit payments will exceed OASI income (taxes + interest) for the first time. Trust fund assets will start to decline.  2035 (-2052??): Trust fund reserves are exhausted. Incoming taxes finance only 70% of benefits FUTURE OF THE OASI TRUST FUND
  • 34. Some Solution Proposals: 1. Prolong the SS “start” time to a later age 1. Suggestion: Age 70 2. Increase payroll tax, and attempt to build a surplus now so that we are saving up for 20 years from now 1. Suggestion: 12.4%  15% 2. Or, reduce the tax rate to 4.2% for all low-income workers 1. Raise the earnings cap to cover 90% of all wages 1. Adjust the COLA downward SOCIAL SECURITY: THE CRISIS 78.9 74.6 82.8 86.5 76.9 Life Expectancy at Birth (in years) Source: Kaiser Family Foundation, 2010
  • 35.  Incremental  Modest guaranteed benefit cuts  Modest tax increases  No diversion of OASDI tax to other types of accounts  Main idea:  Allow government to invest some of the SS trust fund into stocks, rather than asking individuals  Higher returns can mean higher risk  Status quo SOCIAL SECURITY: REFORM PROPOSALS
  • 36.  Partial Privatization  Cuts in guaranteed benefits of 10%  Partial diversion of OASDI tax to private investment accounts  Main Idea:  You can invest a portion of your tax into stocks instead of into SS trust funds  Requires knowledge of the stock market SOCIAL SECURITY: REFORM PROPOSALS
  • 37.  Radical Privatization  Cuts guaranteed benefits substantially but establishes minimum safety net  Diverts most of OASDI tax dollars to private accounts  Main Idea:  Everyone would be required to contribute, but it would be a private investment  Based on a personal responsibility approach  Believe that private system would produce greater returns than the government system  Gets rid of the redistributive function of Social Security  Proponent Example: CATO Institute, Bush SOCIAL SECURITY: REFORM PROPOSALS
  • 38. SOCIAL SECURITY DEBATE: KRUGMAN VS. TANNER A little bit more perspective: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7tR n6oEB3qg
  • 39.  Bush Plan shot down due to:  Voter interest (elders) & stock market distrust (crash of 2001; then again 2008)  Concerns of limited privatization  full   Voluntary system that would destroy SS  Move towards expanding not cutting?  Harkin (D-IA) legislation: Strengthening Social Security Act ( March, 2013)  Alters method for calculating benefits (boosting approx. $70/mo)  Alters method for calculating COLA; moves instead towards CPI-E  Phases out tax cap  Same bill introduced in the House (January 2014)  Incentivizing other means  Obama Admin’s MyRA (no market risk, nice rate of return up to $15k)  Harkin’s restoration of pensions with guaranteed monthly payments that put more responsibility on worker so businesses/cities less adverse SOCIAL SECURITY: TODAY
  • 40.  Estimated that 1/3 of undocumented immigrants are currently paying in  SSA: In 2010, net contribution of $12 billion  Currently, immigrants who can prove earnings with pay stubs or W-2 forms can get credit for earnings  Contested  Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act of 2013  Center for American Progress (supporter of immigration reform):  If 70% of illegal immigrants are given legal status, they would contribute net $500 billion to SS in 36 years  Social Security Administration:  Would add $276 billion in revenue over 10 years while costing $33 billion SOCIAL SECURITY & IMMIGRATION
  • 42.  Established by statue  Government uses the tax system to provide deductions and credits (tax advantages) which function like direct benefits  Eligibility determined by defined criteria but you *must* be in the tax system to benefit  Examples:  Occupational Pension Deductions  Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs)  401ks FISCAL BENEFITS
  • 43.  Funded by the employer from their own resources  Government may require employer to establish a special fund or to join a special fund used by all employers  Eligibility determined by defined criteria, no means test applied  Benefits usually paid in cash  Historical roots:  Initial workers’ comp laws required employers to compensate workers; avoidance was common  ‘Negligence’ often used to avoid payment  No fault coverage later introduced  Employer requirement to take out insurance or join special funds  Now used to mandate benefits like: sick leave, parental leave, termination, compensation payments, retirement pensions  Minimum wage, workers comp, living wage, etc. are all included here EMPLOYER MANDATES
  • 44.  Purposes  To provide temporary and partial wage replacement to involuntary and unemployed workers &  To help stabilize the economy during recessions  Overseen by the Department of Labor, administered by each state (federal/state partnership)  Employers are required to contribute to a trust fund  Two main components:  Regular state-funded benefits, for a maximum of 26 weeks  Federal/state extended benefits program; additional 13-20 weeks, depending on state’s unemployment rate and its related laws UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
  • 45.  Eligibility  Unemployed  Ready & willing to work  Registered to work with state employment service  Working in a covered position  Ineligibility  Fired for misconduct  Quit without a legal reason  Failed to register with the state employment services  Refused to take an equal or better job  Striking  Benefits  Determined by states  Approximately 46% of previous wages UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
  • 46.  Current Issues 1. Limited coverage 2. Benefit decline 3. Outdated assumptions about unemployment 4. Women and unemployment 5. Meeting financial obligations 6. Equity problems UNEMPLOYMENT INSURANCE (UI)
  • 47.  In 2011, 4,963 workers were killed on the job. Approximately 13/day.  3 million injuries or illnesses requiring day away from work; in 2011, median days away = 7  WC began in WI & NJ in 1911, now approx. 97% of all UI covered workers also are covered by WC  Excluded: Business owners, independent contractors, volunteer, farm, railroad, maritime, and domestic workers WORKER’S COMPENSATION (WC)
  • 48.  For victims of industrial accidents or occupational illnesses  Provides cash, medical assistance, rehabilitative services, and disability/death benefits  Employers assume the cost of occupational disabilities without regard to fault  Programs vary from state-to-state  Types: Private insurers, state sponsored insurers, employer self-insurers  Main issues  High cost for businesses  Benefit levels super variable from state-to-state  Benefits distributed are complexly calculated and uneven WORKER’S COMPENSATION (WC)

Editor's Notes

  1. Who can tell me the difference between income and wealth? Are in-kind benefits income? There are different types of income that people, particularly families, receive. What are some examples? We focus here on income that flows to families or households, but organizations, firms, and even the gov’t gets income.
  2. What type of social insurance program would require minimum age? Pensions “ “ actively looking for work? Unemployment “ “ mental of physical disability? Disability Insurance What does this tell us? Can “universal” programs still have eligibility requirements? May be pay-as-you-go or “funded” In the funded approach, there is a reserve fund that holds the surplus form contributions
  3. In order to understand social security, it’s probably a good idea to begin with a basic question: How do older Americans fare in retirement? Where does their income come from? https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0HWDeQPb3wQ
  4. If you really want to go back, the roots of social insurance begin with saving societies among guilds of workers and friendly societies. We’re not asking you to go this far back. Prof. Armstrong 1st woman to be appointed a professor of law at a major university in the U.S., btw. Ideological opposition even then: in 1935 it was claimed that social security weakened the family since it relieved children of their responsibility to care for their aging parents, and that it undermined personal responsibility since people, knowing that they had a guaranteed income when they retired, would not be prudent and put money away for their future.
  5. Does anyone know about issues surround 401ks? *Despite tax incentives offered to workers who contribute to 401ks, personal savings rate is declining. The value of 401k plans dropped by over a trillion dollars in the three years after the 2008 recession. Tax sheltered accounts. But employers often took advantage of that and would sneakily cut benefits, also investment returns ended up being a lot lower than workers expected to be and many people didn’t manage their money wisely.
  6. Sure enough, here are some state breakdowns to help us see just how much OASDI is the catalyst to elevate individuals out of poverty. To note though, there are racial and ethnic differences among who ends up in poverty. Nationwide (and in 2011), that rate was 17% of older AA, 19% of Hispanics, 12% of Asians, and 7% of whites
  7. What do you guys think about this? Keep this statement in mind as we move through the rest of class, through considerations of attempts to reform SS, through considerations of the current issues facing SS.
  8. What does that mean redistributive?
  9. **Need to check the income cap for 2014 Caveats: 2011 & 2012 we had a “payroll tax holiday” and employees paid only 4.2% of wages for SS tax. Self Employed people have to pay 15.3% for SS and Medicare but half ot hat tax is deductible in income taxes. Largest tax paid by a low-income worker, these same workers also receive the lowest benefits
  10. Pause: What does fairness even mean? Seems like a social justice value. For taxes, it has to do with a progressive tax rate. We don’t have a progressive tax rate here but we do have progressive benefits. Other fairness issues: One is LGBTQ benefits. Now theoretically should be cared for with strike down of DOMA in 2013.
  11. Guesses for why racial disparities might exist?
  12. You can see that there’s a whole lot of people who benefit from this. And it’s a trickle down effect too because do a lot of elders have adult children with children of their own? What does it mean that the full burden of care for those adult children (and their children) doesn’t fall completely on them. Think about how much space that frees up.
  13. So now we know that there’s a lot of people receiving OASDI in some form, but how much do they rely on it? Well, in 2010, if you were to add up all the income that all elders in the U.S. have access to, a huge chunk—40%--comes from OASDI.
  14. Of course, not all elders are created equal. That previous pie shows four major sources of income for elders (OASDI, pensions, other income or jobs, and assets) but what does that really look like when we break folks down by class? Approximately 84% of income for the poorest 40% of adults in our country comes from OASDI. That’s basically all of it. And when you see that cash public assistance (which will get to next week) is part of the equation too, you see that lots of folks would be completely destitute without this program. Obviously missing from this chart is contributions form family members but a lot of low-income folks have low-income children so you’d imagine there’s not a ton of wiggle room around this.
  15. What are assets? Interest, dividends, rental income, etc. One third of older AA’s and Hispanics in families receiving SS depend on it for more than 90% of their income. Even though more whites live in families that receive SS, it constitutes a small percentage of their overall income than it does for older adults of color living in families that receive SS Things that matter:
  16. Hispanics and Asians are more likely to be recent immigrants 52% of older Hispanics & 80% of older Asians are naturalized citizens or immigrants meaning there may have been less time for them to pay into SS Undocumented immigrants ineligible; documented immigrants may not have been in US long enough to receive benefits
  17. SS has some assistance properties, e.g. provides a minimum benefit level regardless of a worker’s contribution
  18. What does everyone think about increasing the start age? Maybe that’s a good idea? People living longer also lends itself to the idea that they’re healthier longer. My parents are 66 & 67 and both still work full time (provided there are jobs for them) and, even though they’re pretty exhausted by the time the weekend rolls around, are mostly capable of doing so. But Who is actually living longer?
  19. Under George Bush, the critique was that social security constituted a disaster waiting to happen, and could only survive if it were radically transformed via privatization. Well it's pretty clear where that would have left us—with millions of Americans placing their trust in the stock market instead of the steady, secure growth of the Trust Fund.
  20. Krugman Sound Bite: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DUGcJeNQBKY Tanner Sound Bite (1:18-3:04): https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxsJvh5gYm4
  21. In 2014, receive one credit for each $1200 in earnings, up to 4 credits/year For disability, you need about 1.5 years of work before age 24; you need half time work for 21-age of disability for ages 24-30; 31 or older you need at least 20 credits in the 10 years before you become disabled.
  22. States with highest max benefits: MA: 674/week MN: 629 NJ & WA: 624 CT: 590/week WY, AS, CO, HI, IA, MT, ND, PA, RI, TX, UT, Virgin Islands all are higher than CA CA & NY: 450/week Lowest Max Benefit: Puerto Rico: 133 MS: 235 AZ: 240 LA: 247 AL: 265 FL & TN: 275
  23. Part time workers a lot less likely to collect benefits, and often part time work is not considered suitable. Recovery Ac in 2011 provided incentive payments to states that did not decline benefits to unemployed folks looking for part time work. Eligible might not extend to low wage workers, temporary workers, Approx half of unemployed workers are not on UI, about half of earnings are now replaced, people ar eunemployed for longer, ageism in the work force, women have issues in the workplace, some states are not up to speed with how to handle issues of domestic violence and UI, states have borrowed a ton of money to pay for UI during the economic downturn and the losers in that are going to be the businesses,