Integrating Variable Renewable
Energy
Andrew Conway
18 March 2015
www.iea-retd.org 2
AGENDA
• Definitions, scope & approach
• Challenges & context
• Frame-conditions – integration measures
• Case studies
• Conclusions & recommendations
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 3
SCOPE & AIMS
• To assess the relative applicability and effectiveness of measures to integrate
variable renewable energy
• Based on actual interventions to date across 9 jurisdictions
• Drawing out lessons for policy makers
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
Ontario
CAISO
Alberta
ERCOT
Ireland
Great Britain
Spain
Denmark
Germany
Hokkaido
Alberta
Ontario
The focus of the study has been on measures that can be applied
in market based jurisdictions
www.iea-retd.org 4
KEY DEFINITIONS
• Variable Renewable Energy (VRE)
• Renewables technologies that rely on fluctuations in short-term availability of resource,
includes: Wind, Solar, Tidal, Hydro run-of-river and Wave
• Flexibility
• Ability of generator, load, or storage to vary power output or demand in a controlled
manner
• VRE Integration
• Incorporation of VRE into a power system
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 5
CHALLENGES FOR POLICY MAKERS – new policies will need to
be implemented
1. Ensuring VRE deployment is system friendly, where possible.
2. Making the most of the current installed flexibility.
3. Encouraging investment in the required amount of flexibility.
4. Making the most of scarce grid resources.
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 6


High wind and
solar
High wind
Mid VRE
penetration
Low VRE
penetration
W
M
di
Hi
fe
M




High wind and
solar
High wind
Mid VRE
penetration
Low VRE
penetration
Strongly
interconnected
Weakly
interconnected
Synchronously
Independent
High flexibility
Low flexibility
Well distributed
Mostly
distributed
High concentration in
few areas
Mostly in one area
 Mid flexibility


High wind and
solar
High wind
Mid VRE
penetration
Low VRE
penetration
Str
int
We
int
Syn
Ind
Well distributed
Mostly
distributed
High concentration in
few areas
Mostly in one area
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
CONTEXT – jurisdictions have different challenges and opportunities
depending on their context
Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators
www.iea-retd.org 7
$
Dispatch & market
sophistication
Grid code Grid representation VRE incentives
Interconnector
management
Regulator incentives System services Use of forecasting
* The broad suit of regulations, market design and rules, operational
codes and practices
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
FRAME CONDITIONS* - measures for integrating VRE
www.iea-retd.org 8
0
1
2
3
4
5
Dispatch
sophistication
and maturity
VRE incentives
and dispatch
Use of
forecasting
System services
market
Grid
representation
Interconnector
management
Regulator
incentives on SO
Grid code
Start year Now
0
1
2
3
4
5
Dispatch
sophistication and
maturity
VRE incentives
and dispatch
Use of forecasting
System services
market
Grid
representation
Interconnector
management
Regulator
incentives on SO
Grid code
Start year Now
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
UK Germany
www.iea-retd.org 9
..FiT, premium, tender or market
..imbalance risk
..curtailment compensation
..require dispatch in market
 Increasing exposure to energy market can
shape portfolio, distribution and operation
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
VRE INCENTIVES
www.iea-retd.org 10
OPERATING
APPROVED
PLANNED
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
In Alberta wind gets
market price only
Developers moving
north, where wind
regime allows better
match to demand (and
prices)
Source: Environment Canada, Alberta Environment and the US Climate Data Centre (left hand map); Albert Energy and Mott
MacDonald (right hand map); EDC Associates
www.iea-retd.org 11
..long term agreements
..explicit auctions
..market coupling
..balancing and reserve coordination
 Increasing exposure to energy market can
shape portfolio, distribution and operation
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
INTERCONNECTOR MANAGEMENT
www.iea-retd.org 12
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
PROCESS OF MARKET COUPLING IN EUROPE
Source: European Market Coupling Company
www.iea-retd.org 13
..Four TSOs in Germany
..in 2007 begun collaborating
on reserves
..extended internationally in
2011
 Collaboration results in
reduced reserve
requirement and cost
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
Grid control cooperation agreements in Germany
Source: GE Energy
www.iea-retd.org 14
..include demand & storage
..allow VRE to participate
..improve sophistication of markets
..develop new products (inertia, ramping
etc.)
..[capacity market]
 Sophisticated system services market &
products reward flexibility
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
SYSTEM SERVICES
www.iea-retd.org 15
Reform will create new products in
the system service market for
System Inertial Response (SIR) and
Primary Frequency Response (PFR)
 Reforms will
provide
incentives for
increased
flexibility and
allow for greater
penetration of
VRE
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
ERCOT and Ireland plan system service reform
Source: ERCOT and Mott MacDonald
www.iea-retd.org 16
• Significant capacity is CHP
• Interconnection high, almost 100% of peak
demand
• Wind at 79% of peak demand
0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400%
Dispatch
able
Variable
Capacity as percent of peak demand (6.1 GW)
Wind Solar Gas Coal Oil Biomass & waste Interconnection
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
DENMARK – context
Source: Energinet.DK and Mott MacDonald
Source: Energinet.DK
www.iea-retd.org 17
Nordel grid code – Wind generators on
the high voltage network required to disconnect
during abnormal voltage or frequency
CHP in the market – CHP operators required to
compete in the spot market.
Nordel grid code – Wind required to provide fault-ride
through, and introduction of compensation for curtailment.
1999
2004
2008
VRE in regulating market – Wind introduced into
the regulating market (ancillary services).
2014
Energinet formed – out of merger between
ELTRA and ELKRAFT.
2007
Market Coupling – Danish and German electricity
markets coupled.
2009Negative pricing – Negative pricing first allowed
in the market, occurring for between 20 and 100 hours
a year.
NOIS – Nordel Operational Information System,
based at Energinet, monitors interconnection and
usable operating reserve over the Nordic system.
Internal grid strengthening – Great belt DC link
between East and West Denmark, providing additional
management options for wind power in the west.
Market Coupling – Danish market coupled with
Central Western Europe markets.
2012
2010
$Dispatch sophistication Regulator incentives on
SO
Use of forecasting Grid code
Nordel coupling – Denmark joins Nordpool
and price quotation implemented
0
1
2
3
4
5
Dispatch
sophistication and
maturity
VRE incentives and
dispatch
Use of forecasting
System services
market
Grid representation
Interconnector
management
Regulator incentives
on SO
Grid code
Start year Now
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
DENMARK – measures
www.iea-retd.org 18
• Vertically integrated
• Flexible capacity, but interconnection is
relatively low
• Capacity well distributed
0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180%
Dispatch
able
Variable
Capacity as percent of peak demand (5.7 GW)
Wind Solar Gas Hydro
Coal Nuclear Oil Geothermal
Other Interconnection Storage
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
HOKKAIDO – context
Source: HEPCO and Mott MacDonald
Source: HEPCO
www.iea-retd.org 19
JEPX – Japanese Electricity Power Exchanges
first established, creating a platform for spot and
forward trading.
Electric Power System Council of Japan –
Created as an independent body to support
transmission and distribution operations.
VRE incentives – Feed in Tariff introduced.
2003
2004
2009
2012
Intraday trading – Intraday trading introduced.
Grid code – Fault ride through required for grid
connected solar and wind generation sources.
$Dispatch sophistication
System services market
Regulator incentives on
SO
Grid representation
Use of forecasting
Interconnector
Grid code
VRE incentives and
Hokkaido is has a
vertically integrated
utility (HEPCO). This
is a fundamentally
different regulatory
regime, for which our
assessment is not
applicable
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
HOKKAIDO - measures
www.iea-retd.org 20
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
D
Weakly connected
High
internal
flexibility
Well interconnected
Low
internal
flexibility
Easy
Challenging
Will need to
consider all
measures
Implement easy measures
including interconnector
access
Long term
Possibility
Policyaim
Policyaim
CONTEXT DEFINES CHALLENGE AND CONSTRAINS APPLICABILITY
OF MEASURES
Source: Mott MacDonald
www.iea-retd.org 21
CONCLUSIONS (1/3)
..Interconnected countries can pool flexible resource by coupling markets and
cooperating on reserve/balancing
..Isolated countries need to make the most of internal flexibility
..countries with low interconnection and internal flexibility have the greatest
challenge
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 22
CONCLUSIONS (2/3)
..dispatch sophistication can be improved, in combination with forecasting, to make
the most of internal flexibility
..exposing VRE to the market encourages system friendly deployment
..moving to zonal of LMP makes the most of grid resource and provides locational
investment signals
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 23
CONCLUSIONS (3/3)
..grid code requirements for VRE are continuously developing; high wind ride through
and synthetic inertia could be required in the future
..system service products are being developed to incentivise inertia, fast frequency
response and ramping capabilities
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 24
KEY RECOMMENDATIONS
• Consider deployment patterns early
• Build-in grid code measures sooner rather than later.
• Move to near real time re-dispatch supported by sophisticated forecasts
• Learn from others but do one’s own studies to assess impacts
• Co-operate with other jurisdictions
• Market developments, including system service reform, for enhanced flexibility
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
www.iea-retd.org 25
IB contact: Andrew Conway,
andrew.conway@mottmac.com
IB contact: Guy Doyle,
guy.doyle@mottmac.com
Michael Paunescu
Michael.Paunescu@NRCan-
RNCan.gc.ca
www.iea-retd.org 26
CASE STUDIES INSTALLED VRE – covering a wide range of penetration
level and mix of technologies
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100% Germany
Denmark
Spain
IslandofIreland
GB
ERCOT
Hokkaido
California
Alberta
Ontario
InstalledVREcapacityaspercentageof
peakdemand
Solar Wind
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014
www.iea-retd.org 27
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Denmark*
California
Ontario
Germany
Spain
IslandofIreland
Hokkaido
Alberta
GB
ERCOT
Interconnectionaspercentageofpeak
demand
Synchronously independent Synchronously connected
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
CASE STUDIES INTERCONNCETION - a wide range of levels and type
of interconnection
Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014
www.iea-retd.org 28
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
120%
140%
160%
180%
Spain
Denmark*
California
Germany
Hokkaido
GB
Islandof
Ireland
Alberta
Ontario
ERCOT
Installeddispatchablecapacityasapercentage
ofpeakdemand
Other Storage Nuclear Coal Hydro Oil Gas
Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
CASE STUDIES FLEXIBLE CAPACITY - Covering a wide range of
conventional capacity mix
Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014, showing
net capacity
For additional information on RETD
Online: www.iea-retd.org
Contact: kristian.petrick@iea-retd.org
info@iea-retd.org
THANK YOU!

IEA-RETD RE-INTEGRATION 20150311

  • 1.
  • 2.
    www.iea-retd.org 2 AGENDA • Definitions,scope & approach • Challenges & context • Frame-conditions – integration measures • Case studies • Conclusions & recommendations Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 3.
    www.iea-retd.org 3 SCOPE &AIMS • To assess the relative applicability and effectiveness of measures to integrate variable renewable energy • Based on actual interventions to date across 9 jurisdictions • Drawing out lessons for policy makers Integrating Variable Renewable Energy Ontario CAISO Alberta ERCOT Ireland Great Britain Spain Denmark Germany Hokkaido Alberta Ontario The focus of the study has been on measures that can be applied in market based jurisdictions
  • 4.
    www.iea-retd.org 4 KEY DEFINITIONS •Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) • Renewables technologies that rely on fluctuations in short-term availability of resource, includes: Wind, Solar, Tidal, Hydro run-of-river and Wave • Flexibility • Ability of generator, load, or storage to vary power output or demand in a controlled manner • VRE Integration • Incorporation of VRE into a power system Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 5.
    www.iea-retd.org 5 CHALLENGES FORPOLICY MAKERS – new policies will need to be implemented 1. Ensuring VRE deployment is system friendly, where possible. 2. Making the most of the current installed flexibility. 3. Encouraging investment in the required amount of flexibility. 4. Making the most of scarce grid resources. Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 6.
    www.iea-retd.org 6   High windand solar High wind Mid VRE penetration Low VRE penetration W M di Hi fe M     High wind and solar High wind Mid VRE penetration Low VRE penetration Strongly interconnected Weakly interconnected Synchronously Independent High flexibility Low flexibility Well distributed Mostly distributed High concentration in few areas Mostly in one area  Mid flexibility   High wind and solar High wind Mid VRE penetration Low VRE penetration Str int We int Syn Ind Well distributed Mostly distributed High concentration in few areas Mostly in one area Integrating Variable Renewable Energy CONTEXT – jurisdictions have different challenges and opportunities depending on their context Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators
  • 7.
    www.iea-retd.org 7 $ Dispatch &market sophistication Grid code Grid representation VRE incentives Interconnector management Regulator incentives System services Use of forecasting * The broad suit of regulations, market design and rules, operational codes and practices Integrating Variable Renewable Energy FRAME CONDITIONS* - measures for integrating VRE
  • 8.
    www.iea-retd.org 8 0 1 2 3 4 5 Dispatch sophistication and maturity VREincentives and dispatch Use of forecasting System services market Grid representation Interconnector management Regulator incentives on SO Grid code Start year Now 0 1 2 3 4 5 Dispatch sophistication and maturity VRE incentives and dispatch Use of forecasting System services market Grid representation Interconnector management Regulator incentives on SO Grid code Start year Now Integrating Variable Renewable Energy UK Germany
  • 9.
    www.iea-retd.org 9 ..FiT, premium,tender or market ..imbalance risk ..curtailment compensation ..require dispatch in market  Increasing exposure to energy market can shape portfolio, distribution and operation Integrating Variable Renewable Energy VRE INCENTIVES
  • 10.
    www.iea-retd.org 10 OPERATING APPROVED PLANNED Integrating VariableRenewable Energy In Alberta wind gets market price only Developers moving north, where wind regime allows better match to demand (and prices) Source: Environment Canada, Alberta Environment and the US Climate Data Centre (left hand map); Albert Energy and Mott MacDonald (right hand map); EDC Associates
  • 11.
    www.iea-retd.org 11 ..long termagreements ..explicit auctions ..market coupling ..balancing and reserve coordination  Increasing exposure to energy market can shape portfolio, distribution and operation Integrating Variable Renewable Energy INTERCONNECTOR MANAGEMENT
  • 12.
    www.iea-retd.org 12 Integrating VariableRenewable Energy PROCESS OF MARKET COUPLING IN EUROPE Source: European Market Coupling Company
  • 13.
    www.iea-retd.org 13 ..Four TSOsin Germany ..in 2007 begun collaborating on reserves ..extended internationally in 2011  Collaboration results in reduced reserve requirement and cost Integrating Variable Renewable Energy Grid control cooperation agreements in Germany Source: GE Energy
  • 14.
    www.iea-retd.org 14 ..include demand& storage ..allow VRE to participate ..improve sophistication of markets ..develop new products (inertia, ramping etc.) ..[capacity market]  Sophisticated system services market & products reward flexibility Integrating Variable Renewable Energy SYSTEM SERVICES
  • 15.
    www.iea-retd.org 15 Reform willcreate new products in the system service market for System Inertial Response (SIR) and Primary Frequency Response (PFR)  Reforms will provide incentives for increased flexibility and allow for greater penetration of VRE Integrating Variable Renewable Energy ERCOT and Ireland plan system service reform Source: ERCOT and Mott MacDonald
  • 16.
    www.iea-retd.org 16 • Significantcapacity is CHP • Interconnection high, almost 100% of peak demand • Wind at 79% of peak demand 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% 250% 300% 350% 400% Dispatch able Variable Capacity as percent of peak demand (6.1 GW) Wind Solar Gas Coal Oil Biomass & waste Interconnection Integrating Variable Renewable Energy DENMARK – context Source: Energinet.DK and Mott MacDonald Source: Energinet.DK
  • 17.
    www.iea-retd.org 17 Nordel gridcode – Wind generators on the high voltage network required to disconnect during abnormal voltage or frequency CHP in the market – CHP operators required to compete in the spot market. Nordel grid code – Wind required to provide fault-ride through, and introduction of compensation for curtailment. 1999 2004 2008 VRE in regulating market – Wind introduced into the regulating market (ancillary services). 2014 Energinet formed – out of merger between ELTRA and ELKRAFT. 2007 Market Coupling – Danish and German electricity markets coupled. 2009Negative pricing – Negative pricing first allowed in the market, occurring for between 20 and 100 hours a year. NOIS – Nordel Operational Information System, based at Energinet, monitors interconnection and usable operating reserve over the Nordic system. Internal grid strengthening – Great belt DC link between East and West Denmark, providing additional management options for wind power in the west. Market Coupling – Danish market coupled with Central Western Europe markets. 2012 2010 $Dispatch sophistication Regulator incentives on SO Use of forecasting Grid code Nordel coupling – Denmark joins Nordpool and price quotation implemented 0 1 2 3 4 5 Dispatch sophistication and maturity VRE incentives and dispatch Use of forecasting System services market Grid representation Interconnector management Regulator incentives on SO Grid code Start year Now Integrating Variable Renewable Energy DENMARK – measures
  • 18.
    www.iea-retd.org 18 • Verticallyintegrated • Flexible capacity, but interconnection is relatively low • Capacity well distributed 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% Dispatch able Variable Capacity as percent of peak demand (5.7 GW) Wind Solar Gas Hydro Coal Nuclear Oil Geothermal Other Interconnection Storage Integrating Variable Renewable Energy HOKKAIDO – context Source: HEPCO and Mott MacDonald Source: HEPCO
  • 19.
    www.iea-retd.org 19 JEPX –Japanese Electricity Power Exchanges first established, creating a platform for spot and forward trading. Electric Power System Council of Japan – Created as an independent body to support transmission and distribution operations. VRE incentives – Feed in Tariff introduced. 2003 2004 2009 2012 Intraday trading – Intraday trading introduced. Grid code – Fault ride through required for grid connected solar and wind generation sources. $Dispatch sophistication System services market Regulator incentives on SO Grid representation Use of forecasting Interconnector Grid code VRE incentives and Hokkaido is has a vertically integrated utility (HEPCO). This is a fundamentally different regulatory regime, for which our assessment is not applicable Integrating Variable Renewable Energy HOKKAIDO - measures
  • 20.
    www.iea-retd.org 20 Integrating VariableRenewable Energy D Weakly connected High internal flexibility Well interconnected Low internal flexibility Easy Challenging Will need to consider all measures Implement easy measures including interconnector access Long term Possibility Policyaim Policyaim CONTEXT DEFINES CHALLENGE AND CONSTRAINS APPLICABILITY OF MEASURES Source: Mott MacDonald
  • 21.
    www.iea-retd.org 21 CONCLUSIONS (1/3) ..Interconnectedcountries can pool flexible resource by coupling markets and cooperating on reserve/balancing ..Isolated countries need to make the most of internal flexibility ..countries with low interconnection and internal flexibility have the greatest challenge Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 22.
    www.iea-retd.org 22 CONCLUSIONS (2/3) ..dispatchsophistication can be improved, in combination with forecasting, to make the most of internal flexibility ..exposing VRE to the market encourages system friendly deployment ..moving to zonal of LMP makes the most of grid resource and provides locational investment signals Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 23.
    www.iea-retd.org 23 CONCLUSIONS (3/3) ..gridcode requirements for VRE are continuously developing; high wind ride through and synthetic inertia could be required in the future ..system service products are being developed to incentivise inertia, fast frequency response and ramping capabilities Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 24.
    www.iea-retd.org 24 KEY RECOMMENDATIONS •Consider deployment patterns early • Build-in grid code measures sooner rather than later. • Move to near real time re-dispatch supported by sophisticated forecasts • Learn from others but do one’s own studies to assess impacts • Co-operate with other jurisdictions • Market developments, including system service reform, for enhanced flexibility Integrating Variable Renewable Energy
  • 25.
    www.iea-retd.org 25 IB contact:Andrew Conway, andrew.conway@mottmac.com IB contact: Guy Doyle, guy.doyle@mottmac.com Michael Paunescu Michael.Paunescu@NRCan- RNCan.gc.ca
  • 26.
    www.iea-retd.org 26 CASE STUDIESINSTALLED VRE – covering a wide range of penetration level and mix of technologies 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Germany Denmark Spain IslandofIreland GB ERCOT Hokkaido California Alberta Ontario InstalledVREcapacityaspercentageof peakdemand Solar Wind Integrating Variable Renewable Energy Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014
  • 27.
    www.iea-retd.org 27 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Denmark* California Ontario Germany Spain IslandofIreland Hokkaido Alberta GB ERCOT Interconnectionaspercentageofpeak demand Synchronously independentSynchronously connected Integrating Variable Renewable Energy CASE STUDIES INTERCONNCETION - a wide range of levels and type of interconnection Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014
  • 28.
    www.iea-retd.org 28 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 120% 140% 160% 180% Spain Denmark* California Germany Hokkaido GB Islandof Ireland Alberta Ontario ERCOT Installeddispatchablecapacityasapercentage ofpeakdemand Other StorageNuclear Coal Hydro Oil Gas Integrating Variable Renewable Energy CASE STUDIES FLEXIBLE CAPACITY - Covering a wide range of conventional capacity mix Source: Mott MacDonald and system operators, 2014, showing net capacity
  • 29.
    For additional informationon RETD Online: www.iea-retd.org Contact: kristian.petrick@iea-retd.org info@iea-retd.org THANK YOU!