1 DIGBY
8 YEARS
16 LESSONS

Team | Preeti |Swapnil | Anshika | Ajinkya
LEARNING CYCLE
Key Learning 1:

Realise your true potential
and plan your capacity
accordingly
Problem:
O Suboptimal Utilization
Causes:
O Huge unused asset
O Capacity exceed industry demand
Effects:
O Higher depreciation
O Low plant utilisation

Digby
Plant utilisation
Depreciation

Ferris

70%

154.6%

9.7 Mil

5.6 Mil
Key Learning 2:

Your mistake = competitor’s profit
Problem:
O Conservative sales forecast and production

Cause:
O Underestimate our own products
Effect:
O Stock out
O Loss of potential profit
Produc Potential market Actual market
t
share
share
Pot-Actual MS

Total demand

Units not
produced

Price

Loss

Daze

17.90%

15.20%

2.70%

8067

217.809

28.00

6098.652

Dell

20.00%

16.30%

3.70%

10009

370.333

20.00

7406.66

Dixi

21.00%

20.00%

1.00%

2967

29.67

40.00

1186.8

Dot

22.70%

15.90%

6.80%

2294

155.992

34.00

5303.728

Dune

17.50%

17.30%

0.20%

2347

4.694

35.00

164.29

25684

778.498

20160.13
Key Learning 3:

Analyse the products and
cut off the tail
Problems:
O Products have low contribution margin
Causes:
O High variable cost
Effects:
O Low margin
O Performance segment – least profitable segment
O Net margin of Dot = (0.6) mil

O Baldwin realized this from round 1 and retired from this

segment to focus on other segments which are more
profitable
Key Learning 4:

Accurate sale forecasts will
lead to maximum profit
Problems:
O Over-stocking
Causes:
O Overestimating our products
O Underestimating our competitors
O Aggressive prediction
Effects:
O Negative cash flow from operating activities
Products
Daze
Dell
Dixie
Dune
Dude
Dexter
Dik
EXCESS STOCK

Inventory
1208
1025
88
13
98
146
431
3009
Key Learning 5:

Making profit does not mean
your business is doing well
Problems:
O Positive profits but Negative cash flow from operating
activities
Causes:
O Excess inventory due to poor sale forecasts
Effects:
O Your business is not making money
Key Learning 6:
Give the customers what they want
Problems:
O Dik did not sell in high segment
Causes:
O Over-engineering of product for high segment

Effects:
O Huge inventory
O Negative contribution margin
O Negative cash from operation
Performance
What customers
want?
What we deliver?
Products

Dik

Size

12.5-13.4

7.5-6.6

14.7

5.3

units sold

13

inventory production

431

444
Dik (,000)
Sale

$500

Total variable

$1710

Contribution margin

($1210)

Total Period cost

$4360

Net margin

($5570)
Key Learning 7:

Avoid Myopic Vision
Problem:
O Insufficient Automation as compared to competitors
Cause:
O Estimated cost of automation to be too high vs reduction in labor
costs
Effects:
O Higher labor costs and thus high variable costs in following
rounds
Key Learning 8:

Who’s Richer?
You or Ambani?
Problem :
O Paid off long term debt of $ 25 millions in Round 6
Causes:
O Conditioned to pay off long term debt as soon as possible
Effects:
O Emergency Loan of $ 22 millions
O Landed into trouble
Erie

Ferris

Total liabilities

4.8

19

Profit

24

31.5
ODon’t let Finance drive

your Business. Let your
Business drive your
Finance.
Key Learning 9:

Right Decision at the Right Time
O Ideal Age for Low Segment: 7 yrs
O Competitors did not reengineer low segment

products
O We re-engineered Dell in Round 3 to match
Round 6 specs
O Highest Market Share in Round 6: 31 %
Round 4

Round 6
Key Learning 10:

“Never invest in a business you
can’t understand”
~ warren buffet
Learning
• Never read the guide = lack of preparations lead to lack

of understanding of the game
• No rehearsal = one step behind competitors
• Man of principle = no cheating
• In reality, the more information you have, the more
cutting edge you have in the industry
O “Learn from other people’s mistakes”
11.
Playing the blame game when things go wrong
O Everybody wants to be included for success
O But
O Nobody wants to be responsible for the failures

O FROM

WE TO YOU
12.
In war everyone loses except…
O There is enough pie for everyone
O Going for a price war
O You earn lesser so ----- you lost
O competitors’ profit go down ----- they lost
O So who win?

OConsumers
13.
Blinded by greed
O Problem:
O Pricing 4.50 $ above the normal price range on D Day.
O
O
O
O

Causes:
Wrong approximation of a Seller’s market
Greed to maximize profit in Low Segment on D Day.
Impatience to exploit Low Segment

O Effects:
O Very Low Sales (857 units)
O Market Share of 7 %
14.
Are you working for Digby or the
Marketing Company ?
Problems:
High expenditure on sales and promotion wrt profit

Causes:
Lack of business understanding
Effects:
Wastage of resources in one segment , i.e. an Unprofitable
Product
Key Learning 15:
Exploit Seller’s Market
O In Performance Segment, we priced Dot higher than the

range by 4.49
O Made huge profits due to seller’s market
O We overestimated our competitors but they did not take
advantage of seller’s market
16. Key Learning
O When your competitors team up

against you, remember they are
scared of you and your product.
O Problem:

Ferris & Erie go for a Cartel
O Causes:
Very good specs of our product
Poor age of their products
O Effects:
No major impact on us, but they won’t trust each other ever.
[
THANK YOU

Capsim - Digby

  • 1.
    1 DIGBY 8 YEARS 16LESSONS Team | Preeti |Swapnil | Anshika | Ajinkya
  • 2.
  • 3.
    Key Learning 1: Realiseyour true potential and plan your capacity accordingly
  • 4.
    Problem: O Suboptimal Utilization Causes: OHuge unused asset O Capacity exceed industry demand Effects: O Higher depreciation O Low plant utilisation Digby Plant utilisation Depreciation Ferris 70% 154.6% 9.7 Mil 5.6 Mil
  • 5.
    Key Learning 2: Yourmistake = competitor’s profit
  • 6.
    Problem: O Conservative salesforecast and production Cause: O Underestimate our own products Effect: O Stock out O Loss of potential profit
  • 7.
    Produc Potential marketActual market t share share Pot-Actual MS Total demand Units not produced Price Loss Daze 17.90% 15.20% 2.70% 8067 217.809 28.00 6098.652 Dell 20.00% 16.30% 3.70% 10009 370.333 20.00 7406.66 Dixi 21.00% 20.00% 1.00% 2967 29.67 40.00 1186.8 Dot 22.70% 15.90% 6.80% 2294 155.992 34.00 5303.728 Dune 17.50% 17.30% 0.20% 2347 4.694 35.00 164.29 25684 778.498 20160.13
  • 9.
    Key Learning 3: Analysethe products and cut off the tail
  • 10.
    Problems: O Products havelow contribution margin Causes: O High variable cost Effects: O Low margin
  • 11.
    O Performance segment– least profitable segment O Net margin of Dot = (0.6) mil O Baldwin realized this from round 1 and retired from this segment to focus on other segments which are more profitable
  • 12.
    Key Learning 4: Accuratesale forecasts will lead to maximum profit
  • 13.
    Problems: O Over-stocking Causes: O Overestimatingour products O Underestimating our competitors O Aggressive prediction Effects: O Negative cash flow from operating activities
  • 14.
  • 15.
    Key Learning 5: Makingprofit does not mean your business is doing well
  • 16.
    Problems: O Positive profitsbut Negative cash flow from operating activities Causes: O Excess inventory due to poor sale forecasts Effects: O Your business is not making money
  • 18.
    Key Learning 6: Givethe customers what they want
  • 19.
    Problems: O Dik didnot sell in high segment Causes: O Over-engineering of product for high segment Effects: O Huge inventory O Negative contribution margin O Negative cash from operation
  • 20.
    Performance What customers want? What wedeliver? Products Dik Size 12.5-13.4 7.5-6.6 14.7 5.3 units sold 13 inventory production 431 444
  • 21.
    Dik (,000) Sale $500 Total variable $1710 Contributionmargin ($1210) Total Period cost $4360 Net margin ($5570)
  • 22.
    Key Learning 7: AvoidMyopic Vision
  • 23.
    Problem: O Insufficient Automationas compared to competitors Cause: O Estimated cost of automation to be too high vs reduction in labor costs Effects: O Higher labor costs and thus high variable costs in following rounds
  • 25.
    Key Learning 8: Who’sRicher? You or Ambani?
  • 26.
    Problem : O Paidoff long term debt of $ 25 millions in Round 6 Causes: O Conditioned to pay off long term debt as soon as possible Effects: O Emergency Loan of $ 22 millions O Landed into trouble Erie Ferris Total liabilities 4.8 19 Profit 24 31.5
  • 27.
    ODon’t let Financedrive your Business. Let your Business drive your Finance.
  • 28.
    Key Learning 9: RightDecision at the Right Time
  • 29.
    O Ideal Agefor Low Segment: 7 yrs O Competitors did not reengineer low segment products O We re-engineered Dell in Round 3 to match Round 6 specs O Highest Market Share in Round 6: 31 %
  • 30.
  • 31.
    Key Learning 10: “Neverinvest in a business you can’t understand” ~ warren buffet
  • 32.
    Learning • Never readthe guide = lack of preparations lead to lack of understanding of the game • No rehearsal = one step behind competitors • Man of principle = no cheating • In reality, the more information you have, the more cutting edge you have in the industry O “Learn from other people’s mistakes”
  • 33.
    11. Playing the blamegame when things go wrong O Everybody wants to be included for success O But O Nobody wants to be responsible for the failures O FROM WE TO YOU
  • 34.
    12. In war everyoneloses except… O There is enough pie for everyone O Going for a price war O You earn lesser so ----- you lost O competitors’ profit go down ----- they lost O So who win? OConsumers
  • 35.
    13. Blinded by greed OProblem: O Pricing 4.50 $ above the normal price range on D Day. O O O O Causes: Wrong approximation of a Seller’s market Greed to maximize profit in Low Segment on D Day. Impatience to exploit Low Segment O Effects: O Very Low Sales (857 units) O Market Share of 7 %
  • 38.
    14. Are you workingfor Digby or the Marketing Company ? Problems: High expenditure on sales and promotion wrt profit Causes: Lack of business understanding Effects: Wastage of resources in one segment , i.e. an Unprofitable Product
  • 40.
    Key Learning 15: ExploitSeller’s Market
  • 41.
    O In PerformanceSegment, we priced Dot higher than the range by 4.49 O Made huge profits due to seller’s market O We overestimated our competitors but they did not take advantage of seller’s market
  • 44.
    16. Key Learning OWhen your competitors team up against you, remember they are scared of you and your product.
  • 45.
    O Problem: Ferris &Erie go for a Cartel O Causes: Very good specs of our product Poor age of their products O Effects: No major impact on us, but they won’t trust each other ever.
  • 48.
  • 49.

Editor's Notes

  • #33 “Never invest in a business you can’t understand.” This Warren Buffet quote is probably an offshoot of rule No.1. He will only play a game that he is really great at to ensure that his chances of losing are slim. Understanding a business really well can help you smell trouble from miles away. Also, you can never have conviction in something you do not understand, and conviction is what enables you to pounce on a company when the time is right.