The document discusses the classical definition of probability as well as axioms that define probability mathematically. It introduces the classical definition where probability is defined as the number of favorable outcomes divided by the total number of possible outcomes. It then discusses limitations of the classical definition and introduces the frequency interpretation of probability. Finally, it outlines three axioms that define a function as a valid probability function: 1) probabilities are between 0 and 1, 2) the probability of the sample space is 1, and 3) probabilities of mutually exclusive events sum to the total probability.
Time series forecasting of Spirit Airlines' revenues. Built Auto Regression Integrated with Moving Averages model, based on parameters obtained from ACF and PACF charts.
Air traffic forecast serves as an important quantitative basis for airport planning - in particular for capacity planning CAPEX ,as well as for aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenue planning. High level decisions and planning in airports relies heavilly on future airport activity.
Time series forecasting of Spirit Airlines' revenues. Built Auto Regression Integrated with Moving Averages model, based on parameters obtained from ACF and PACF charts.
Air traffic forecast serves as an important quantitative basis for airport planning - in particular for capacity planning CAPEX ,as well as for aeronautical and non-aeronautical revenue planning. High level decisions and planning in airports relies heavilly on future airport activity.
Stefan & Irene photo with team at Cinnamon hotel Saigon. They send the Thank you letter to Cinnamon Hotel Saigon for their beautiful, enjoyable stay in December 2012. They appreciate the nice atmosphere, delicious breakfast, the organic attention to client . Also they enjoy the lovely rooms and especially the exceptional friendliness of Cinnamon Hotel team. Visitor at Cinnamon Hotel feel entirely welcome. They adore als the piece of craft art the team made to them. Stefan and Iren wish Cinnamon Hotel a Happy New Year 2013 and all the best for the team and their family of Cinnamon Hotel.
Kidical Mass is a safe, legal, and fun family bike ride. Started in Eugene, Oregon it now takes place around the country and around the world!
Start one in your community now.
Stefan & Irene photo with team at Cinnamon hotel Saigon. They send the Thank you letter to Cinnamon Hotel Saigon for their beautiful, enjoyable stay in December 2012. They appreciate the nice atmosphere, delicious breakfast, the organic attention to client . Also they enjoy the lovely rooms and especially the exceptional friendliness of Cinnamon Hotel team. Visitor at Cinnamon Hotel feel entirely welcome. They adore als the piece of craft art the team made to them. Stefan and Iren wish Cinnamon Hotel a Happy New Year 2013 and all the best for the team and their family of Cinnamon Hotel.
Kidical Mass is a safe, legal, and fun family bike ride. Started in Eugene, Oregon it now takes place around the country and around the world!
Start one in your community now.
Introduction to Discrete Probabilities with Scilab - Michaël Baudin, Consort...Scilab
In this document, we present an introduction to discrete probabilities with Scilab (discrete random variables and conditional probabilities, combinations problems, tree diagrams and Bernoulli trials, simulation of random processes with Scilab...).
It is a consolidation of basic probability concepts worth understanding before attempting to apply probability concepts for predictions. The material is formed from different sources. ll the sources are acknowledged.
Palestine last event orientationfvgnh .pptxRaedMohamed3
An EFL lesson about the current events in Palestine. It is intended to be for intermediate students who wish to increase their listening skills through a short lesson in power point.
Synthetic Fiber Construction in lab .pptxPavel ( NSTU)
Synthetic fiber production is a fascinating and complex field that blends chemistry, engineering, and environmental science. By understanding these aspects, students can gain a comprehensive view of synthetic fiber production, its impact on society and the environment, and the potential for future innovations. Synthetic fibers play a crucial role in modern society, impacting various aspects of daily life, industry, and the environment. ynthetic fibers are integral to modern life, offering a range of benefits from cost-effectiveness and versatility to innovative applications and performance characteristics. While they pose environmental challenges, ongoing research and development aim to create more sustainable and eco-friendly alternatives. Understanding the importance of synthetic fibers helps in appreciating their role in the economy, industry, and daily life, while also emphasizing the need for sustainable practices and innovation.
Biological screening of herbal drugs: Introduction and Need for
Phyto-Pharmacological Screening, New Strategies for evaluating
Natural Products, In vitro evaluation techniques for Antioxidants, Antimicrobial and Anticancer drugs. In vivo evaluation techniques
for Anti-inflammatory, Antiulcer, Anticancer, Wound healing, Antidiabetic, Hepatoprotective, Cardio protective, Diuretics and
Antifertility, Toxicity studies as per OECD guidelines
Macroeconomics- Movie Location
This will be used as part of your Personal Professional Portfolio once graded.
Objective:
Prepare a presentation or a paper using research, basic comparative analysis, data organization and application of economic information. You will make an informed assessment of an economic climate outside of the United States to accomplish an entertainment industry objective.
Francesca Gottschalk - How can education support child empowerment.pptxEduSkills OECD
Francesca Gottschalk from the OECD’s Centre for Educational Research and Innovation presents at the Ask an Expert Webinar: How can education support child empowerment?
2024.06.01 Introducing a competency framework for languag learning materials ...Sandy Millin
http://sandymillin.wordpress.com/iateflwebinar2024
Published classroom materials form the basis of syllabuses, drive teacher professional development, and have a potentially huge influence on learners, teachers and education systems. All teachers also create their own materials, whether a few sentences on a blackboard, a highly-structured fully-realised online course, or anything in between. Despite this, the knowledge and skills needed to create effective language learning materials are rarely part of teacher training, and are mostly learnt by trial and error.
Knowledge and skills frameworks, generally called competency frameworks, for ELT teachers, trainers and managers have existed for a few years now. However, until I created one for my MA dissertation, there wasn’t one drawing together what we need to know and do to be able to effectively produce language learning materials.
This webinar will introduce you to my framework, highlighting the key competencies I identified from my research. It will also show how anybody involved in language teaching (any language, not just English!), teacher training, managing schools or developing language learning materials can benefit from using the framework.
2. Probability The classical probability concept If there are n equally likely possibilities, of which one must occur and s are regarded as favorable, or as a “success”, then the probability of a “success” is given by s / n. Ex: If a card is drawn from a well shuffled deck of 52 playing cards, then find probability of drawing (a) a red king, (b) a 3, 4, 5 or 6, (c) a black card (d) a red ace or a black queen. Ans: (a) 1/26, (b) 4/13, (c) 1/2, (d) 1/13.
3. Probability A major shortcomingof the classical probability concept is its limited applicability. There are many situations in which the various possibilities cannot all be regarded as equally likely. For example, if we are concernedwith the question of whether it will rain the next day, whether a missile launching will be a success, or whether a newly designed engine will function for at least 1000 hours.
4. Probability The frequency interpretation of probability: The probability of an event (or outcome) is the proportion of times the event would occur in a long run of repeated experiments. If the probability is 0.78 that a plane from Mumbai to Goa will arrive on time, it means that such flights arrive on time 78% of the time.
5. Probability if weather service predicts that there is a 40% chance for rain this means that under the same weather conditions it will rain 40% of the time. In the frequency interpretation of probability, we estimate the probability of an event by observing what fraction of the time similar event have occurred in the past.
6. The Axioms of probability We define probabilities mathematically as the values of additive set functions. f : A B, A : domain of f If the elements of the domain of the function are sets, then the function is called Set function. Ex: Consider a function n that assigns to each subset A of a finite sample space S the number of elements in A, i.e.
7. The Axioms of probability A set function is called additive if the number which it assigns to the union of two subsets which have no element in common is sum of the numbers assigned to the individual subsets. In above example n is additive set function; that is
8. The Axioms of probability Let S be a sample space, let C be the class of all events and let P be a real-valued function defined on C. Then P is called a probability function and P(A) is called the probability of event A when the following axioms hold: Axiom 1 0 P(A) 1 for each event A in S. Axiom 2 P(S) = 1. Axiom 3 If A and B are mutually exclusive events in S, then P(AB) = P(A) + P(B).
9. The Axioms of probability Ex: If an experiment has the three possible and mutually exclusive outcomes A, B and C, check in each case whether the assignment of probabilities is permissible: P(A) = 1/3, P(B) = 1/3 and P(C) = 1/3; P(A) = 0.64, P(B) = 0.38 and P(C) = –0.02; P(A) = 0.35, P(B) = 0.52 and P(C) = 0.26; P(A) = 0.57, P(B) = 0.24 and P(C) = 0.19. Ans:a) Y, b) N, c) N, d) Y