My presentation from the 2011's Junge Piraten Security Conference. It covers the historical overview until current time (of 2011) of nuclear doctrines of the world.

1. Nuclear Doctrines
JuPi Security Conference 2011

2. Some Rights Reserved
• Copyright 2011 by Gregory Engels.
Except where otherwise noted, this work is
licensed under the Creative Commons
Attribution Share Alike 3.0 License

3. Gregory Engels
• Pirate
• founding Co-Chairman
of Pirate Party
International
• Geek
• Member of the City
Council of Offenbach
(Germany)

4. Nuclear Club

5. Glossary
• First Strike
• Second Strike
• Nuclear Triad
• NPT (Nuclear Proliferation Treaty)
• IBM (Intercontinental ballistic missile)
• Mt (Million ton of TNT equivalent 4.184 PJ)

6. USA Nuclear Strategies

7. Forward Strategy
• Nato Document 14/1
• Tactical nuclear air strikes
• combined with conventional
counterstrike
• would have radiated most of Germany
east of the Rhine

8. recoilless rifle “Davy Crockett” on a tripod for firing the
M388 atomic round

9. Massive Retalitation
• Nato Document 14/2
• nuclear counter of conventional strike
• Single Integrated Operation Plan SIOP-62
• 3423 single targets in 1960

10. Flexible Response
• NATO Document 143/3
• Triade-Strategy combines conventional,
nuclear tactical and nuclear strategical
forces
• 1980‘s SIOP-5D Plan had 40000 possible
targets

11. Mutual Assured
Destruction (MAD)
• Overkill-Capacity
• Nash Equilibrium
• “Whoever fires first, die second”
• since 1961 - it is questionable, if it still
persists

12. Countervailing Strategy
• Presidential Directive 59
• First kill political leaders, then bomb
military targets
• Strategic Defense Initiative (SDI aka Star
Wars) 1983

13. Global Strike
• Contingency Plan 8022 (CONPLAN 8022)
• since 2002
• Use of ballistic missiles with conventional
warheads
• Development of new “virtual” weapons
• Space and Cyberspace forces

14. Prompt Global Strike
• Since 2006
• the ability to deliver a precision
conventional weapon strike anywhere in
the world within one hour

15. Russia Nuclear
Strategies

16. Early Strategies
• under Khrushchev (1955) development of
strategy to “raze to the ground” the
countries that are aggressive towards USSR

17. Brezhnev
• since 1965 a “double strategy”
• the nuclear war is not to be lead, unless
imposed by the NATO or USA
• If the nuclear war is necessary, it must be
fought, even with a first strike, if the
situation requires it

18. “Dead Hand”
• 1974 Directive № 695-227 Система
«Периметр»
• “Doomsday-Device” to ensure a
decentralized counterstrike even in the
case of failing communication

19. “Perimeter” Command Rocket 15А11

20. Current Doctrine
• Since 2001
• Nuclear First Strike as a counterstrike to
weapons of mass destruction or to
conventional warfare in the case of a threat
to the existence of the Russian State

21. No First Use Policy
• No First Use: • No “No First Use”
• India • USA
• China (*) • Russia
• North Korea • UK
• UdSSR • Pakistan
• (*) China would strike first • Israel
against USA in case USA
would enter the Taiwan
conflict
• France

22. Pakistan
• First Strike towards India also in the case of
conventional warfare
• No Nuclear Triad
• First tests 1998, estimated 300 nukes
• tactical weapons up to 2500 km (4000 km are
in development)
• Not a member of Treaty on the Non-
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons

23. India
• Also not a member of Treaty on the Non-
Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons
• No First Use Policy, deterrence only
• First test 1974 (Smiling Buddha) - a
“peaceful nuclear explosion”
• in the process of building nuclear triad
• 70 - 100 nukes (100% growth since 2005)

24. North Korea
• first test 2006
• estimated 6-8 warheads maximum 4000 km
range (BM25 Musudan)
• according to Korean mass-media, North
Korea have the nukes only for deterrence

25. Israel
• Not an official member of the nuclear club
• first test unknown, possible 1974 in a joint
effort with South Africa
• allegedly 75-400 warheads in stock with
maximum range of 10000 km with 1t load
(Jericho III)

26. China
• full nuclear triad
• first test 1964, last test 1996
• current stockpile ~400 warheads with
maximum range of 12.000 to 15.000 km
• "China undertakes not to use or threaten to
use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-
weapon states or nuclear-weapon-free zones
at any time or under any circumstances."

27. United Kingdom
• First test 1952, last test 1991
• current stockpile 225 warheads. Maximum
range 13.000 km
• special relationship between UK and US

28. France
• First test 1960, last test 1995
• current stockpile estimated at 300
warheads, maximum range c.a. 10000 km
• 2006 Chirac noted that France would be
willing to use nuclear weapons against a
state attacking France by terrorist means

29. Russia
• First test 1949, last test 1990 (715 total)
• current stockpile 12000 warheads, up to
11000 km range, up to 50Mt

30. USA
• first test 1945, last test 1992 (1054 total)
• current stockpile 5133 warheads, maximum
range 13000 km

31. Contact
Gregory.Engels [௹] piratenpartei-hessen.de
follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/dichter