NEXT Mobile Trends 2011
My name is Joerg Jelden. 
I am a freelancing trend
and transformation
consultant based in
Hamburg. Currently I am
curating the track on
mobile and emerging
channels for NEXT11.
These trends emerged while putting together my
sessions and inviting speakers. Together with
speakers and the audience we will discuss each
trend in one session. So, do not to 
miss it... NEXT11 takes place on May 17  18,
2011 in Berlin, Germany. www.nextconf.eu!
I presented and discussed these trends recently at
betahaus hamburg. This co-working space is where
I work and love to spend my days
Trend 1:      Trend 2:
#Smartware    #Transactionism




Trend 3:      Trend 4:
#Dumbphonia   #Intertainment
Hardware
 + Mobile Software



= #Smartware
Shopping   X   Smartphones


 = #Transactionism
Mobile Revolution
–    Smartphone Hype



= #Dumbphonia
Read    Interact



( )  +
  Watch
     +
  Listen

= #Intertainment
Trend 1: #Smartware
Mobile devices make new 
environments intelligent
„Whatever 
you do, 
do mobile 
first“ 
Eric Schmidt, 
CEO Google	





                    Source: http://www.geek.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/eric_large.jpg
Source: Dominic Episcopo, Meat America, www.episcopo.com	





               Whatever I do?
There is surely
an app for that,
already	

                   Source: iHandy Wasserwaage, iTunes App-Store
Source: http://www.economy-one.de/swfapps/ipad/first/showroom/	





App first has
become the new
paradigm of
publishing
Mobile is
changing the
way websites
are designed	





                  Source: http://news.designlanguage.com/post/1611663345
Source: http://www.allmystery.de/themen/uf25902-43	





            Navigating
            with fingers
            instead of
            mouse and
            keyboard
Source: Marco Fulle, Eyjafjallajökull eruption, April 2010	





                   No Flash, but
                   HTML5
There is so
much more
than only an
app for that.
Smart mobile
devices are
the smartest
gadget we
own	

                Source: http://ffffound.com/image/234e89a8564f30c799c15b1f8d65731844359faa
Smart mobile devices will
be the brain of any kind of
dumb physical hardware	





                              Source: iSnipe App
Smartphones have
already replaced
digital cameras.
Camera makers get
reduced to sell
lenses for iPhones	

                        Source: http://photojojo.com
Source: The iPad Orchestra	





Smart mobile devices
are becoming musical
instruments
Touch devices
                            are the new
                            supertoys for
                            toddlers	





Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/aperturismo/4488285832/in/photostream/
Source: Mini eScooter, http://images.freshnessmag.com/wp-content/uploads//2010/09/mini-scooter-e-concept-unveiling-agyness-deyn-15.jpg	





                                 Smart mobile devices are becoming
                                 personal dashboards and ignition keys
SIM cards will be
embedded into any
hardware soon	





              Source: http://thecellphonejunkie.com/2010/11/18/gsm-association-looking-at-embedded-sim-cards/
Source: Kindle	





From
´subphones´
like
eReaders ...
... to connected cars. In 2014 every new car is
supposed have an embedded SIM card	

                                         Source: BMW Connected Drive
Is the next
                  generation of
                  smart mobile
                  devices fully 
                  embedded?	





Source: http://www.kylebean.co.uk/portfolio/#mobileevolution
Mobile software is about rapid innovation. It
establishes an ecosystem with opportunities for
external partners. Users have more and better
                           The next generation	

choice. Hardware comes to live faster and better 	





                                            Source: Apple Appstore, 2011
„Our competitors aren´t
taking our market share
with devices, they are
taking our market share
with an entire ecosystem.“
Stephen Elop, CEO Nokia	





                             Source: Bosch Refrigerator, Dinosaur Leg, DDB, 2010
Google´s Android is Open
                Source and will be the new
                super-OS for anygeneration	

 	

                       The next device maker




Source: Android Activations October 2008 – January 2011, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqFpq9WXbJo
Expect a springtide of new app-
                                 stores and app concepts for
                                 everything from cars or TVs to
                                 browsers and desktops	





Source: http://www.androidappdeveloper.biz/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/amazon-appstore-dev-portal-android-app-developer.jpg
Who is responsible for
Developer Relations in your
company?	

               The next generation	





                      Source: http://ffffound.com/image/234e89a8564f30c799c15b1f8d65731844359faa
Speakers in the session #Smartware	




Harald Neidhardt, Smaato/MLOVE	


Louisa Heinrich, Fjord Design	


Usman Haque, Connecting Environments
Trend 2: #Transactionism

Smart mobile devices change the 
way we buy and pay
Source: http://www.switched.com/2010/12/08/best-shopping-apps-save-time-money-sanity/	





As consumers we all have
used our phones in stores
as shopping lists, to take
pictures, compare prices
etc.
Source: Albert Heijn	





                                                         We scan barcodes,
                                                         in order to get
Location based shopping	

                               nutrition
2010s Foursquare hype brought a lot of attention to check-ins,
rewards and gamemechanics. Facebook Places is usedinformation, health
                                                          for local
                                                         recommendations,
check-ins at stores, too. In return for sharing their whereabouts
consumers receive coupons or deals. Shopkick pushes this idea to
                                                         recipes, sync them
the utmost. Shopkick offers rewards for shoppers when they
check in to a store and when they scan a barcode etc. Partnering
with companies like Bestbuy, Shopkick use these rewards to bring shopping
                                                         with our
people into the stores, track how they move through the store and
what interests them.	

                                                         list ...
Source: Amazon Shopping App	





Location based shopping	

2010s Foursquare hype brought a lot of attention to check-ins,
rewards and gamemechanics. Facebook Places is used foran order through
                                          ... or place local
                                          one of the fantastic shopping
check-ins at stores, too. In return for sharing their whereabouts
consumers receive coupons or deals. Shopkick pushes this idea to
                                          apps. Amazon and eBay see
the utmost. Shopkick offers rewards for shoppers when they
check in to a store and when they scan a barcode etc. Partnering
with companies like Bestbuy, Shopkickretail as one essential entry
                                           use these rewards to bring
people into the stores, track how they move through the store and
what interests them.	

                                          point for M-commerce
Now, retailers start to
embrace smart mobile
Mobile Enhancements	

devicessmartphones become integrated into cars. They connect our dashboard to
These days
               as an additional
sales, marketing all the data on our phones and use the information of our
the internet, let us access to and
cars. Especially for electro cars this is elementary. Ford Sync, MINI Connected or the e-
payment tool, too	

 MINI point towards this near future car vision already
scooter-concept of SMART and
today. 	

                                                               Source: Martin Recke, 2011
We are invited to check-in at local stores to get
discounts or coupons. Retailers want us to share our
shopping whereabouts with our friends
Retailers would like to recognize
customers at the entrance, not at the
check-out. They are keen to know how
we move, what we watch and pick.
Shopkick offers all that in one app.
Customers are rewarded with rewards	

.
With smartphones
customers will look
where else in the city
products are in stock.
Retailers can make
their product
inventory transparent
using Milo
Augmented Reality will enhance shopping districts
with virtual outdoor advertising for those who use
AR browsers like Layar	

                                NFC	

                                Die Mehrheit der Nutzer w
Source: http://www.opticiens-atol.com	





                      	

w reztuN red tiehrheM eiD
                                             	

CFN




Augmented Reality apps start to support retail. They
will be used to virtually try on products. The images
can be saved in order to remember them, show them
to friends or buy through the app
Virtual goods will be placed in shopping malls. AR
makes them visible. Customers can collect them for
fun, special treatments or deals	





                                           Source: Goldrungo.com
Virtual goods
and news are
among the
top-sellers of
in-app-
purchases
Near Field
Communication
has been around
for a long time.
Now, Google and
Apple give this
technology a huge
push to make
mobile payment,
couponing and
ticketing easier
Source: Square.com	





Telcos, retailers,
banks and credit card
companies get ready
for mobile payment.
Phones without
integrated NFC chip
can use an RFID tag
or the Square adapter.
Speakers in the session #Transactionism	




Franziska von Lewinski, Interone	


Olivier Audouze, Total Immersion	


Matthäus Krzykowski, Xylogic/Venturebeat	


Marcel Hastenteufel, SinnerSchrader
Trend 3: #Dumbphonia

Why it is smart to embrace feature
phones, SMS and the like
The vast majority of people
worldwide have no
smartphone, no data plans or
fast mobile internet
connection
Source: www.movirtu.com	





More than 2.5 billion people make a living of less
than $2.5 a day. For them even standard feature
phones are unaffordable. UK company Movirtu has
introduced a virtual phone concept. People can use
their own number on any phone
In Africa feature
phones are
widely used to
transfer money.
M-Pesa in
Kenya has more
than 10 mio
subscribers	





                    Source: www.safaricom.co.ke
Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/53374366@N07/4931706846/	





Feature phones are simple,
easy to hack and to modify.
People in developing
countries come up with their
own solutions to problems.
So called bandit phones have a double-digit
marketshare in China. Apart from fun concept
many bandit phones anticipate new features.
There is a fascination for
modded feature phones here,
too. Think of steampunk
phones
John´s Phone
                                was the hero of
                                all gadget blogs
                                last autumn.
                                With this phone
                                you cannot
                                even send SMS
                                and you write
                                your numbers
                                into a physical
                                address book.	

Source: www.johnsphone.com
Lekki from France re-introduces popular 90s
   phones in bright colours. All phones are original
   phones. Only coloured or broken parts have been
   replaced




Source: www.lekki.fr
The average US
teenager sends
3.339 text messages
a month. HMU 
(=Hit Me Up 
=text or call me)
was the number 1
meme on Facebook
in 2010.
In order to boost mobile
access Facebook launched
0.facebook.com. This is a
text-only version of the
famous network. Thanks
to cooperations with more
than 50 mobile operators
it is free to use on their
networks
Twitter goes back to its
roots. Follow people on
Twitter and receive their
tweets as SMS.
Source: www.shorthandmobile.com	





Fancy to browse the web on feature phones without
data plan? Shorthand translates websites into text-
apps. Browsing is fully based on SMS
Gemalto just introduced the Facebook SIM. Users
can browse the social network on an SMS basis.
The service is based on a subscription model
Source: www.blyk.com	





Providing
customers with
free calls, sms or
data plans is a
coming business
model. In return
customers
receive ads,
information and
coupons from
brands they like.
Speakers in the session #Dumphonia	




Jessica Colaco, iHub Kenya
Trend 4: #Intertainment

Entertainment finally becomes interactive
Source: Mini vs. Monster, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZnsTrxOS_r0	





Entertainment as
we know it is dead.
Thanks to smart
mobile devices it
becomes social
again, gets
interactive and
works across
platforms
Source: smokescreengame.com	





Thanks to smart mobile devices gaming is hitting
pavements using IM, phone calls, emails etc.
Source: chromaroma.com	





And even NFC-based travel cards are used to make
the city magical and emphasize the social
networking aspect of public transport
Smart mobile devices are the
backchannel the TV industry
has been waiting for.
Especially live shows use
Twitter as conversation tool
Source: Getglue.com	





In order to share the experience users can check-in
for their favourite TV show. With GetGlue they can
let their friends know what they are currently
watching, earn badges etc.
Source: IntoNow App	





   Sync Apps use the built-in
   microphone to sync your
   smart mobile device with the
   TV program that you watch.
   These apps could be the
   starting point for audience
   interaction
While books are
becoming the new
material for
scultures	





   Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/briandettmer/
eBooks are outselling paperbacks. This makes
new business models and interactive formats for
reading possible
New brands emerge
based on innovative
business models.
Expect Angry Birds to
be the new Supermario
Source: Volumique.com/en	





Smart mobile devices will be used to interact with
a multitude of physical objects. The device
recognizes these
Source: Volumique.com/en	





Smart mobile
devices will be
used to play
interactive board
games
Source: Microsoft Research	





Based on the
huge success of
the Kinect voice
and gesture
 Mobile Gaming	

control will make
 safsdfjasjkdhfla	

its way into
mobile soon
Speakers in the session #Intertainment	




Oliver Reichenstein, Information Architects	


Peter Vesterbacka, Rovio	


Bertrand Duplat, Volumique
THX!	


See you at NEXT11 
on May 17  18
in Berlin!	


www.jeldenttc.com

@joergjelden

NEXT Mobile Trends 2011

  • 1.
  • 2.
    My name isJoerg Jelden. I am a freelancing trend and transformation consultant based in Hamburg. Currently I am curating the track on mobile and emerging channels for NEXT11.
  • 3.
    These trends emergedwhile putting together my sessions and inviting speakers. Together with speakers and the audience we will discuss each trend in one session. So, do not to miss it... NEXT11 takes place on May 17 18, 2011 in Berlin, Germany. www.nextconf.eu!
  • 4.
    I presented anddiscussed these trends recently at betahaus hamburg. This co-working space is where I work and love to spend my days
  • 5.
    Trend 1: Trend 2: #Smartware #Transactionism Trend 3: Trend 4: #Dumbphonia #Intertainment
  • 6.
    Hardware + MobileSoftware = #Smartware
  • 7.
    Shopping X Smartphones = #Transactionism
  • 8.
    Mobile Revolution – Smartphone Hype = #Dumbphonia
  • 9.
    Read Interact ( ) + Watch + Listen = #Intertainment
  • 10.
    Trend 1: #Smartware Mobiledevices make new environments intelligent
  • 11.
    „Whatever you do, do mobile first“ Eric Schmidt, CEO Google Source: http://www.geek.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/07/eric_large.jpg
  • 12.
    Source: Dominic Episcopo,Meat America, www.episcopo.com Whatever I do?
  • 13.
    There is surely anapp for that, already Source: iHandy Wasserwaage, iTunes App-Store
  • 14.
  • 15.
    Mobile is changing the waywebsites are designed Source: http://news.designlanguage.com/post/1611663345
  • 16.
    Source: http://www.allmystery.de/themen/uf25902-43 Navigating with fingers instead of mouse and keyboard
  • 17.
    Source: Marco Fulle,Eyjafjallajökull eruption, April 2010 No Flash, but HTML5
  • 18.
    There is so muchmore than only an app for that. Smart mobile devices are the smartest gadget we own Source: http://ffffound.com/image/234e89a8564f30c799c15b1f8d65731844359faa
  • 19.
    Smart mobile deviceswill be the brain of any kind of dumb physical hardware Source: iSnipe App
  • 20.
    Smartphones have already replaced digitalcameras. Camera makers get reduced to sell lenses for iPhones Source: http://photojojo.com
  • 21.
    Source: The iPadOrchestra Smart mobile devices are becoming musical instruments
  • 22.
    Touch devices are the new supertoys for toddlers Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/aperturismo/4488285832/in/photostream/
  • 23.
    Source: Mini eScooter,http://images.freshnessmag.com/wp-content/uploads//2010/09/mini-scooter-e-concept-unveiling-agyness-deyn-15.jpg Smart mobile devices are becoming personal dashboards and ignition keys
  • 24.
    SIM cards willbe embedded into any hardware soon Source: http://thecellphonejunkie.com/2010/11/18/gsm-association-looking-at-embedded-sim-cards/
  • 25.
  • 26.
    ... to connectedcars. In 2014 every new car is supposed have an embedded SIM card Source: BMW Connected Drive
  • 27.
    Is the next generation of smart mobile devices fully embedded? Source: http://www.kylebean.co.uk/portfolio/#mobileevolution
  • 28.
    Mobile software isabout rapid innovation. It establishes an ecosystem with opportunities for external partners. Users have more and better The next generation choice. Hardware comes to live faster and better Source: Apple Appstore, 2011
  • 29.
    „Our competitors aren´t takingour market share with devices, they are taking our market share with an entire ecosystem.“ Stephen Elop, CEO Nokia Source: Bosch Refrigerator, Dinosaur Leg, DDB, 2010
  • 30.
    Google´s Android isOpen Source and will be the new super-OS for anygeneration The next device maker Source: Android Activations October 2008 – January 2011, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fqFpq9WXbJo
  • 31.
    Expect a springtideof new app- stores and app concepts for everything from cars or TVs to browsers and desktops Source: http://www.androidappdeveloper.biz/wp-content/uploads/2011/01/amazon-appstore-dev-portal-android-app-developer.jpg
  • 32.
    Who is responsiblefor Developer Relations in your company? The next generation Source: http://ffffound.com/image/234e89a8564f30c799c15b1f8d65731844359faa
  • 33.
    Speakers in thesession #Smartware Harald Neidhardt, Smaato/MLOVE Louisa Heinrich, Fjord Design Usman Haque, Connecting Environments
  • 34.
    Trend 2: #Transactionism Smartmobile devices change the way we buy and pay
  • 35.
    Source: http://www.switched.com/2010/12/08/best-shopping-apps-save-time-money-sanity/ As consumerswe all have used our phones in stores as shopping lists, to take pictures, compare prices etc.
  • 36.
    Source: Albert Heijn We scan barcodes, in order to get Location based shopping nutrition 2010s Foursquare hype brought a lot of attention to check-ins, rewards and gamemechanics. Facebook Places is usedinformation, health for local recommendations, check-ins at stores, too. In return for sharing their whereabouts consumers receive coupons or deals. Shopkick pushes this idea to recipes, sync them the utmost. Shopkick offers rewards for shoppers when they check in to a store and when they scan a barcode etc. Partnering with companies like Bestbuy, Shopkick use these rewards to bring shopping with our people into the stores, track how they move through the store and what interests them. list ...
  • 37.
    Source: Amazon ShoppingApp Location based shopping 2010s Foursquare hype brought a lot of attention to check-ins, rewards and gamemechanics. Facebook Places is used foran order through ... or place local one of the fantastic shopping check-ins at stores, too. In return for sharing their whereabouts consumers receive coupons or deals. Shopkick pushes this idea to apps. Amazon and eBay see the utmost. Shopkick offers rewards for shoppers when they check in to a store and when they scan a barcode etc. Partnering with companies like Bestbuy, Shopkickretail as one essential entry use these rewards to bring people into the stores, track how they move through the store and what interests them. point for M-commerce
  • 38.
    Now, retailers startto embrace smart mobile Mobile Enhancements devicessmartphones become integrated into cars. They connect our dashboard to These days as an additional sales, marketing all the data on our phones and use the information of our the internet, let us access to and cars. Especially for electro cars this is elementary. Ford Sync, MINI Connected or the e- payment tool, too MINI point towards this near future car vision already scooter-concept of SMART and today. Source: Martin Recke, 2011
  • 39.
    We are invitedto check-in at local stores to get discounts or coupons. Retailers want us to share our shopping whereabouts with our friends
  • 40.
    Retailers would liketo recognize customers at the entrance, not at the check-out. They are keen to know how we move, what we watch and pick. Shopkick offers all that in one app. Customers are rewarded with rewards .
  • 41.
    With smartphones customers willlook where else in the city products are in stock. Retailers can make their product inventory transparent using Milo
  • 42.
    Augmented Reality willenhance shopping districts with virtual outdoor advertising for those who use AR browsers like Layar NFC Die Mehrheit der Nutzer w
  • 43.
    Source: http://www.opticiens-atol.com w reztuN red tiehrheM eiD CFN Augmented Reality apps start to support retail. They will be used to virtually try on products. The images can be saved in order to remember them, show them to friends or buy through the app
  • 44.
    Virtual goods willbe placed in shopping malls. AR makes them visible. Customers can collect them for fun, special treatments or deals Source: Goldrungo.com
  • 45.
    Virtual goods and newsare among the top-sellers of in-app- purchases
  • 46.
    Near Field Communication has beenaround for a long time. Now, Google and Apple give this technology a huge push to make mobile payment, couponing and ticketing easier
  • 47.
    Source: Square.com Telcos, retailers, banksand credit card companies get ready for mobile payment. Phones without integrated NFC chip can use an RFID tag or the Square adapter.
  • 48.
    Speakers in thesession #Transactionism Franziska von Lewinski, Interone Olivier Audouze, Total Immersion Matthäus Krzykowski, Xylogic/Venturebeat Marcel Hastenteufel, SinnerSchrader
  • 49.
    Trend 3: #Dumbphonia Whyit is smart to embrace feature phones, SMS and the like
  • 50.
    The vast majorityof people worldwide have no smartphone, no data plans or fast mobile internet connection
  • 51.
    Source: www.movirtu.com More than2.5 billion people make a living of less than $2.5 a day. For them even standard feature phones are unaffordable. UK company Movirtu has introduced a virtual phone concept. People can use their own number on any phone
  • 52.
    In Africa feature phonesare widely used to transfer money. M-Pesa in Kenya has more than 10 mio subscribers Source: www.safaricom.co.ke
  • 53.
    Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/53374366@N07/4931706846/ Feature phonesare simple, easy to hack and to modify. People in developing countries come up with their own solutions to problems.
  • 54.
    So called banditphones have a double-digit marketshare in China. Apart from fun concept many bandit phones anticipate new features.
  • 55.
    There is afascination for modded feature phones here, too. Think of steampunk phones
  • 56.
    John´s Phone was the hero of all gadget blogs last autumn. With this phone you cannot even send SMS and you write your numbers into a physical address book. Source: www.johnsphone.com
  • 57.
    Lekki from Francere-introduces popular 90s phones in bright colours. All phones are original phones. Only coloured or broken parts have been replaced Source: www.lekki.fr
  • 58.
    The average US teenagersends 3.339 text messages a month. HMU (=Hit Me Up =text or call me) was the number 1 meme on Facebook in 2010.
  • 59.
    In order toboost mobile access Facebook launched 0.facebook.com. This is a text-only version of the famous network. Thanks to cooperations with more than 50 mobile operators it is free to use on their networks
  • 60.
    Twitter goes backto its roots. Follow people on Twitter and receive their tweets as SMS.
  • 61.
    Source: www.shorthandmobile.com Fancy tobrowse the web on feature phones without data plan? Shorthand translates websites into text- apps. Browsing is fully based on SMS
  • 62.
    Gemalto just introducedthe Facebook SIM. Users can browse the social network on an SMS basis. The service is based on a subscription model
  • 63.
    Source: www.blyk.com Providing customers with freecalls, sms or data plans is a coming business model. In return customers receive ads, information and coupons from brands they like.
  • 64.
    Speakers in thesession #Dumphonia Jessica Colaco, iHub Kenya
  • 65.
    Trend 4: #Intertainment Entertainmentfinally becomes interactive
  • 66.
    Source: Mini vs.Monster, http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZnsTrxOS_r0 Entertainment as we know it is dead. Thanks to smart mobile devices it becomes social again, gets interactive and works across platforms
  • 67.
    Source: smokescreengame.com Thanks tosmart mobile devices gaming is hitting pavements using IM, phone calls, emails etc.
  • 68.
    Source: chromaroma.com And evenNFC-based travel cards are used to make the city magical and emphasize the social networking aspect of public transport
  • 69.
    Smart mobile devicesare the backchannel the TV industry has been waiting for. Especially live shows use Twitter as conversation tool
  • 70.
    Source: Getglue.com In orderto share the experience users can check-in for their favourite TV show. With GetGlue they can let their friends know what they are currently watching, earn badges etc.
  • 71.
    Source: IntoNow App Sync Apps use the built-in microphone to sync your smart mobile device with the TV program that you watch. These apps could be the starting point for audience interaction
  • 72.
    While books are becomingthe new material for scultures Source: http://www.flickr.com/photos/briandettmer/
  • 73.
    eBooks are outsellingpaperbacks. This makes new business models and interactive formats for reading possible
  • 74.
    New brands emerge basedon innovative business models. Expect Angry Birds to be the new Supermario
  • 75.
    Source: Volumique.com/en Smart mobiledevices will be used to interact with a multitude of physical objects. The device recognizes these
  • 76.
    Source: Volumique.com/en Smart mobile deviceswill be used to play interactive board games
  • 77.
    Source: Microsoft Research Basedon the huge success of the Kinect voice and gesture Mobile Gaming control will make safsdfjasjkdhfla its way into mobile soon
  • 78.
    Speakers in thesession #Intertainment Oliver Reichenstein, Information Architects Peter Vesterbacka, Rovio Bertrand Duplat, Volumique
  • 79.
    THX! See you atNEXT11 on May 17 18 in Berlin! www.jeldenttc.com @joergjelden