This document discusses adaptation and silvicultural decision-making in the context of climate change. It defines adaptation and mitigation, and outlines three options for adaptation: resistance, resilience, and transition. It then describes resources for forest adaptation, including a workbook approach that guides identifying adaptation tactics through defining the area of interest, assessing climate impacts and vulnerabilities, evaluating objectives, and identifying and monitoring actions. Finally, it provides examples of applying adaptation strategies and approaches to develop specific tactics for resistance and transition options.
Discovery of an Accretion Streamer and a Slow Wide-angle Outflow around FUOri...
Nagel - Adaptation and decision-making
1. ADAPTATION AND
SILVICULTURAL
DECISION-MAKING
SRS / NRS / RMRS
Chippewa NF
San Juan NF
Flathead NF
Flathead National Forest
June 28, 2016
Linda Nagel, Professor & Department Head
Forest & Rangeland Stewardship
Colorado State University
2. Adaptation and Mitigation = Synergistic
Mitigation Adaptation
Sequester Carbon in Trees,
Forests, and Products
Conserve Carbon Stocks
Strengthen Adaptability of Forest-
Dependent Communities
Create Better-Adapted Forests
Mitigation
Modified from FAO 2010
2
3. Adaptation and Mitigation Defined
ADAPTATION
• Adjustment of human or natural systems in response to
climate change
– Position forests to become more healthy, resistant, &
resilient
– Facilitate ecosystem responses to climate change
when appropriate
MITIGATION
• Human activities to reduce the effects of climate change
by reducing sources and enhancing sinks of greenhouse
gases
3
4. What actions can be taken to
enhance the ability of a system to
cope with change
and
meet goals and objectives?
4
8. Option #1 – Resistance
Improve the defenses of the forest against anticipated changes or
directly defend the forest against disturbance in order to maintain
relatively unchanged conditions
• Short-term
• High-value
Millar et al. 2007, 2008
8
10. Option #2 – Resilience
Accommodate some degree of change, but encourage a return to a
prior condition after disturbance
Millar et al. 2007, 2008
Photo: USFS
10
15. Forest Adaptation Resources
Adaptation Workbook
Strategies & Approaches
Menu of adaptation actions
Swanston and Janowiak 2012;
www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543
• Structured process to
integrate climate
change considerations
into management
Workbook approach
15
16. Swanston and Janowiak 2012: www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543, Janowiak et al. 2014
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management
objectives given
projected impacts and
vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and
tactics.
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
Identifying Adaptation Tactics
16
17. Swanston and Janowiak 2012: www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543, Janowiak et al. 2014
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management
objectives given
projected impacts and
vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and
tactics.
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
Vulnerability
assessments,
scientific literature,
and other resources
Identifying Adaptation Tactics
17
18. Swanston and Janowiak 2012: www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543, Janowiak et al. 2014
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management
objectives given
projected impacts and
vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and
tactics.
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
Vulnerability
assessments,
scientific literature,
and other resources
Adaptation
Strategies and
Approaches
Identifying Adaptation Tactics
18
19. Forest Adaptation Resources
• 10 strategies, 40 approaches
• Result of literature review & expert
feedback and review
• Provides a “menu” of possible
actions to choose from based upon
your needsSwanston and Janowiak 2012;
www.nrs.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543
Strategies & Approaches
Menu of adaptation actions
19
23. Adaptation Strategies
1: Sustain fundamental ecological functions
2: Reduce the impact of existing biological stressors
3: Protect forests from severe fire and wind disturbance
4: Maintain or create refugia
5: Maintain and enhance species and structural diversity
6: Increase ecosystem redundancy across the landscape
7: Promote landscape connectivity
8: Enhance genetic diversity
9: Facilitate community adjustments through species
transitions
10: Plan for and respond to disturbance
23
36. Least
Projected
Change
Most
Projected
Change
Activity #2
CSIRO (B1) CSIRO (A1B) HAD (A1B) MIROC (A1B) MIROC (A2)
In this activity you will use your silvicultural
expertise to illustrate how climate change and
uncertainty may affect stand-level
management for specific ecosystems or forest
types
36
37. Activity #2
As a group, select a forest type or ecosystem to work in
1) Create and describe a hypothetical
management situation
– Conditions: Location, site
conditions, species composition,
stand structure, disturbance history
and susceptibility, etc.
– Typical management: Management
goals and objectives, common
practices
1
2
34
5
37
38. Activity #2
As a group, select a forest type or ecosystem to work in
2) Identify important climate change
considerations
– Anticipated effects on various
forest components
– Characteristics that
increase/reduce vulnerability
3) Identify challenges or
opportunities for meeting
management goals under climate
change
1
2
34
5
38
39. Maps/data for this section courtesy of R. Neilson and MAPSS Vegetation Modeling Lab
To help think about climate change in your region
Precipitation change (summer and winter)
Temperature change (summer and winter)
Activity #2
39
40. Activity #2
What actions can be taken to enhance the
ability of the area to adapt to anticipated
changes and meet management goals?
1
2
34
5
40
41. Activity #2
What actions can be taken to enhance the ability of
the area to adapt to anticipated changes and meet
management goals?
Where are you working and what
are your forest management goals?
Forest:
Location and conditions:
Current management:
What climate change impacts
create challenges or opportunities
for meeting these goals?
What actions would you
recommend to enhance the ability
of forests to adapt?
Adaptation Tactics:
1)
2)
3)
41
42. Swanston and Janowiak 2012: www.treesearch.fs.fed.us/pubs/40543, Janowiak et al. 2014
Identifying Adaptation Tactics
1. DEFINE area of
interest, management
objectives, and time
frames.
2. ASSESS climate
change impacts and
vulnerabilities for the
area of interest.
3. EVALUATE
management objectives
given projected impacts
and vulnerabilities.
4. IDENTIFY and
implement adaptation
approaches and tactics.
5. MONITOR and
evaluate effectiveness
of implemented
actions.
42