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Photo credits: (Top) Richard Herrmann; (Bottom) Donna McCoy, Macduff Everton 1
Rebecca Shaw
November 1, 2010
Adaptatio
n to climate change
2
Outline discussion
• Making adaptation plans relevant
• Ecosystem-based adaptation
• The Window of Opportunity
• Design to Win?
3
What are we adapting?
Nature’s managers and their institutions
● planning and strategies
● goals
● partnerships
Nature
● species
● habitats
● ecosystem services
Humans and human settlements
● Protection from sea level rise, floods, & fires
● Reducing human health impacts - relocation to coasts, reallocation of
limited water
4After Marshall et al. 2010
Adaptation planning for slow
directional shifts
5After Marshall et al. 2010
6
After Marshall et al. 2010
Adaptation planning for high-
risk, catastrophic events
7
After Marshall et al. 2010
Collision Course:
Many of the human adaptation
strategies undermine ecological
adaptation strategies.
8
After Marshall et al. 2010
Conservation
community
9
 Reducing impacts of natural
disasters
 Safeguarding water
 Providing clean water
 Supporting marine and
freshwater fisheries
 Safeguarding crop wild
relatives
 Addressing health issues
Making Adaptation Plan Relevant:
Natural Solutions
10
Ecosystem-based adaptation
“Ecosystem-based adaptation uses the range of opportunities for
the sustainable management, conservation, and restoration of
ecosystems to provide services that enable people to adapt to
the impacts of climate change.”
“Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and
ecosystem services as part of an overall adaptation strategy to
help people to adapt to the adverse effects of climate change.
● Report of the CBD’s Ad Hoc Technical Expert Group on Biodiversity and
Climate Change
11
Links
● Biodiversity to ecological process
● Ecological process to ecosystem services
● ecosystem services to human systems
Shifts
● Adapting nature for nature
● Adapting nature for people
● ecosystem services to human systems
Makes explicit
● Biodiversity conservation alone
● Biodiversity and ecosystem service conservation with partners
● Costs
Ecosystem-based adaptation
12
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
13
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Modeling of projected climate change
• Revised systematic conservation plans
• Revision of projected area system design
• Involvement of local communities in restoration and management
• Adjusted management plans and programs
14
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Valuation of ecosystem services
• Determine how climate change is affecting ecosystem services
• Identify options for managing ecosystems or managing use
• Involve user communities in adaptation action involving ecosystem
services
15
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Inclusion of ecosystem-based approaches in state and local adaptation
plans;
• Incorporation of biodiversity into land-use management frameworks
• Influence sectoral development plans e.g. for agriculture or water
production
• Identify migration opportunities of coastal zone management
16
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Restore key habitats that reduce vulnerability e.g. coastal wetlands,
forests on steep slopes
• Identify vulnerable communities and involve them in restoration efforts
17
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Maintain ecological flows in rivers
• Restoration of flood plains in for flood attenuation in addition to levees
and berms;
18
Promote
resilient eco-
systems
Maintain
ecosystem
services
Support
sectoral
adaptation
Reduce
risks and
disasters
Comple-
ment infra-
structure
Avoid mal-
adapta-
tion
Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation
Ecosystem-based adaptation
• Improve impact assessment to deal with impacts of adaptation activities
on the natural environment
• Avoid inadvertent impacts on natural ecosystems, communities
• Understand short and long term costs of choices.
19
After Marshall et al. 2010
Conservation
community
20
The Window of Opportunity
The opponents are lining up to oppose adaptation - out of fear and
with little information
With energy legislation stalled nationally and internationally,
much more attention focused on adaptation.
Opportunity to position ecological adaptation as essential to
human adaptation – and it is.
21
Design to Win for Adaptation?
• What does success look like?
• What ecosystem services will
be most relevant to
ecological adaptation and
human adaptation?
• Can we provide a road map
for human adaptation that
explicitly support ecological
adaptation
• What are the right sectors to
include in adaptation
planning?
• What will it cost?
22
END
23
Forage
Water
Retention
Habitat
Integrity
OverlapsWater
Yield
Carbon
24
Copenhagen Decision
UNFCCC, COP15, December 2009
Invites parties to undertake impact, vulnerability and adaptation
assessments, including, assessments of financial needs as well
as economic, social and environmental costs and benefits of
adaptation options
Affirms that enhanced action on adaptation should be...
guided by the best available science, traditional knowledge… with
the aim of integrating adaptation actions into relevant social,
economic and environmental policies
Building resilience of socio-economic and ecological systems,
including through economic diversification and sustainable
management of natural resources
25
Nagoya, Japan
CBD, COP 10 October 2010
...integrate ecosystem-based approaches for adaptation into
relevant strategies, including adaptation strategies and plans, …
disaster risk reduction strategies and sustainable land
management strategies;
...implement ecosystem-based approaches for adaptation, that may
include sustainable management, conservation and restoration of
ecosystems, as part of an overall adaptation strategy that takes into
account the multiple social, economic and cultural co-benefits for
local communities;
In the planning and implementation of ecosystem-based approaches
for adaptation, different ecosystem management options and
objectives should be carefully considered to assess the different
services they provide and the potential trade-offs that may result
from them;

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Adaptation to Climate Change by Rebecca Shaw

  • 1. Photo credits: (Top) Richard Herrmann; (Bottom) Donna McCoy, Macduff Everton 1 Rebecca Shaw November 1, 2010 Adaptatio n to climate change
  • 2. 2 Outline discussion • Making adaptation plans relevant • Ecosystem-based adaptation • The Window of Opportunity • Design to Win?
  • 3. 3 What are we adapting? Nature’s managers and their institutions ● planning and strategies ● goals ● partnerships Nature ● species ● habitats ● ecosystem services Humans and human settlements ● Protection from sea level rise, floods, & fires ● Reducing human health impacts - relocation to coasts, reallocation of limited water
  • 4. 4After Marshall et al. 2010 Adaptation planning for slow directional shifts
  • 6. 6 After Marshall et al. 2010 Adaptation planning for high- risk, catastrophic events
  • 7. 7 After Marshall et al. 2010 Collision Course: Many of the human adaptation strategies undermine ecological adaptation strategies.
  • 8. 8 After Marshall et al. 2010 Conservation community
  • 9. 9  Reducing impacts of natural disasters  Safeguarding water  Providing clean water  Supporting marine and freshwater fisheries  Safeguarding crop wild relatives  Addressing health issues Making Adaptation Plan Relevant: Natural Solutions
  • 10. 10 Ecosystem-based adaptation “Ecosystem-based adaptation uses the range of opportunities for the sustainable management, conservation, and restoration of ecosystems to provide services that enable people to adapt to the impacts of climate change.” “Ecosystem-based adaptation is the use of biodiversity and ecosystem services as part of an overall adaptation strategy to help people to adapt to the adverse effects of climate change. ● Report of the CBD’s Ad Hoc Technical Expert Group on Biodiversity and Climate Change
  • 11. 11 Links ● Biodiversity to ecological process ● Ecological process to ecosystem services ● ecosystem services to human systems Shifts ● Adapting nature for nature ● Adapting nature for people ● ecosystem services to human systems Makes explicit ● Biodiversity conservation alone ● Biodiversity and ecosystem service conservation with partners ● Costs Ecosystem-based adaptation
  • 12. 12 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation
  • 13. 13 Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Modeling of projected climate change • Revised systematic conservation plans • Revision of projected area system design • Involvement of local communities in restoration and management • Adjusted management plans and programs
  • 14. 14 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Valuation of ecosystem services • Determine how climate change is affecting ecosystem services • Identify options for managing ecosystems or managing use • Involve user communities in adaptation action involving ecosystem services
  • 15. 15 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Inclusion of ecosystem-based approaches in state and local adaptation plans; • Incorporation of biodiversity into land-use management frameworks • Influence sectoral development plans e.g. for agriculture or water production • Identify migration opportunities of coastal zone management
  • 16. 16 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Restore key habitats that reduce vulnerability e.g. coastal wetlands, forests on steep slopes • Identify vulnerable communities and involve them in restoration efforts
  • 17. 17 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Maintain ecological flows in rivers • Restoration of flood plains in for flood attenuation in addition to levees and berms;
  • 18. 18 Promote resilient eco- systems Maintain ecosystem services Support sectoral adaptation Reduce risks and disasters Comple- ment infra- structure Avoid mal- adapta- tion Apply ecosystem-based approaches to adaptation Ecosystem-based adaptation • Improve impact assessment to deal with impacts of adaptation activities on the natural environment • Avoid inadvertent impacts on natural ecosystems, communities • Understand short and long term costs of choices.
  • 19. 19 After Marshall et al. 2010 Conservation community
  • 20. 20 The Window of Opportunity The opponents are lining up to oppose adaptation - out of fear and with little information With energy legislation stalled nationally and internationally, much more attention focused on adaptation. Opportunity to position ecological adaptation as essential to human adaptation – and it is.
  • 21. 21 Design to Win for Adaptation? • What does success look like? • What ecosystem services will be most relevant to ecological adaptation and human adaptation? • Can we provide a road map for human adaptation that explicitly support ecological adaptation • What are the right sectors to include in adaptation planning? • What will it cost?
  • 24. 24 Copenhagen Decision UNFCCC, COP15, December 2009 Invites parties to undertake impact, vulnerability and adaptation assessments, including, assessments of financial needs as well as economic, social and environmental costs and benefits of adaptation options Affirms that enhanced action on adaptation should be... guided by the best available science, traditional knowledge… with the aim of integrating adaptation actions into relevant social, economic and environmental policies Building resilience of socio-economic and ecological systems, including through economic diversification and sustainable management of natural resources
  • 25. 25 Nagoya, Japan CBD, COP 10 October 2010 ...integrate ecosystem-based approaches for adaptation into relevant strategies, including adaptation strategies and plans, … disaster risk reduction strategies and sustainable land management strategies; ...implement ecosystem-based approaches for adaptation, that may include sustainable management, conservation and restoration of ecosystems, as part of an overall adaptation strategy that takes into account the multiple social, economic and cultural co-benefits for local communities; In the planning and implementation of ecosystem-based approaches for adaptation, different ecosystem management options and objectives should be carefully considered to assess the different services they provide and the potential trade-offs that may result from them;