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 MOVING	
  BEYOND	
  COST	
  
EVALUATING	
  LRT	
  AND	
  BRT	
  OPTIONS	
  
FOR	
  AUSTRALIAN	
  AND	
  NZ	
  CITIES	
  
Sco%	
  Mar)n	
  	
  
¡ Capital costs differences between Light Rail Transit
(LRT) & Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) less than expected
¡ Transit performance and productivity are important!
Many LRT & BRT systems are underperformers
¡ Other factors also matter in selection of LRT & BRT,
particularly the transport policy environment
Why	
  you	
  should	
  stay	
  
¡ More than $7 billion
spent on road-based
PT in Australian and
NZ cities since 1987
¡ Over $5 billion spent
on LRT & BRT projects
between 2000 and
2010 alone	
  
Why	
  is	
  this	
  research	
  important?	
  
¡ Over $4.5 billion of new or expanded LRT projects
are underway or proposed for Australian cities
¡ New LRT systems committed for construction in
Australian cities include:
The	
  2010s	
  –	
  the	
  decade	
  of	
  Light	
  Rail?	
  
Gold	
  Coast	
  
Canberra	
  
Sydney	
  
Perth	
  
Newcastle	
  
¡ Medium-capacity, public transport solutions for cities
¡ Deliverable at affordable price points
¡ With a range of urban transport & land-use benefits
Why	
  choose	
  LRT	
  or	
  BRT?	
  
¡ Capacity between 4,000 & 24,000 spaces per hour
¡ Operates on separated Rights-of-Way (ROW),
reduced interaction with other road traffic
¡ Stop spacing 300-600 metres in CBDs: more widely
spaced elsewhere
¡ ITS gives signal priority, network monitoring &
passenger information
Defining	
  LRT	
  &	
  BRT	
  
¡ This definition
excludes most
of Melbourne’s
street tramway
system	
  
Defining	
  LRT	
  &	
  BRT	
  
¡ And many street bus
systems ‘improved’
with bus priority
treatments	
  
Defining	
  LRT	
  &	
  BRT	
  
¡ 28 LRT & BRT
projects were
selected for the
reference set
¡ Per-kilometre capital
costs range from
$450M/km (high) to
$5.8M/km (low)
A	
  ‘reference	
  set’	
  of	
  project	
  costs	
  
Project	
  Name Length	
  (km)
Sta)ons/
Stops
Completed Cost	
  ($M)
Cost	
  $M	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  
(2013)
Cost	
  per	
  km	
  $M	
  
(2013)
Eastern	
  Busway	
  Stage	
  1	
  (Buranda-­‐Coorparoo) 1.1 4 2011 $465.0 $494.9 $449.9
Inner	
  Northern	
  Busway	
  (KG	
  Square	
  -­‐	
  Roma	
  St) 1.3 2 2008 $333.0 $395.1 $316.1
Northern	
  Busway	
  Stage	
  2	
  (Herston	
  -­‐	
  Windsor) 1.2 1 2009 $198.0 $225.7 $188.1
Boggo	
  Road	
  Busway	
  (UQ	
  Lakes-­‐Buranda) 1.5 2 2009 $226.0 $257.6 $171.7
Northern	
  Busway	
  Stage	
  3	
  (Windsor-­‐Kedron) 3.0 2 2012 $444.0 $453.6 $151.2
Gold	
  Coast	
  Light	
  Rail 13.0 16 2014 $1,296.0 $1,296.0 $99.7
Northern	
  Busway	
  Stage	
  1	
  (Roma	
  St	
  -­‐	
  Herston) 2.8 3 2005 $148.4 $218.2 $77.9
South-­‐East	
  Busway 16.5 11 2001 $660.0 $1,097.2 $66.5
Sydney	
  Inner	
  West	
  Light	
  Rail	
  Extension 5.6 9 2014 $214.0 $214.0 $38.2
Auckland	
  Northern	
  Busway 8.7 5 2008 $256.2 $295.5 $34.0
Sydney	
  Light	
  Rail	
   3.6 10 1997 $65.0 $118.8 $33.0
M2	
  Motorway	
  Busway 7.0 2.0 1997 $110.0 $201.1 $28.7
North	
  West	
  Transitway	
   24.0 30 2007 $524.0 $672.0 $28.0
Port	
  Road	
  Tram	
  extension 2.8 4 2010 $53.0 $53.0 $18.9
Liverpool-­‐Parrama%a	
  Transitway 30.0 31 2003 $346.0 $532.8 $17.8
Adelaide	
  O-­‐Bahn 12.0 3 1989 $98.0 $197.6 $16.5
Box	
  Hill	
  tram	
  extension 2.2 5 2003 $28.0 $35.2 $16.0
Adelaide	
  CBD	
  tram	
  extension 2.1 5 2008 $31.0 $33.6 $16.0
Vermont	
  South	
  tram	
  extension 3.0 5 2005 $30.5 $36.5 $12.2
Kwinana	
  Freeway	
  Bus	
  Transitway 5.9 1 2002 $44.2 $67.0 $11.4
Plenty	
  Road	
  Tram	
  Extension	
  Stage	
  4	
  (McLeans	
  Road	
  -­‐	
  
McKimmies	
  Road)
2.1 4 1995 $12.6 $23.0 $11.0
Docklands	
  Drive	
  tram	
  extension 1.0 5 2005 $7.5 $9.0 $9.0
Sydney	
  Light	
  Rail	
  Extension 3.6 4 2000 $20.0 $32.3 $9.0
Plenty	
  Road	
  Tram	
  Extension	
  Stage	
  3	
  (La	
  Trobe	
  
University	
  -­‐	
  McLeans	
  Road)
3.2 7 1987 $10.8 $27.9 $8.7
Airport	
  West	
  Tram	
  Extension	
   1.2 3 1992 $4.5 $9.1 $7.6
St	
  Kilda	
  Light	
  Rail	
   4.2 8 1987 $27.9 $27.9 $6.6
East	
  Burwood	
  Tram	
   2.0 4 1993 $6.5 $12.8 $6.4
Port	
  Melbourne	
  Light	
  Rail 2.8 6 1987 $16.3 $16.3 $5.8
	
   TOTAL	
  ALL	
  PROJECTS $7,053.6 	
  
¡  Gold Coast - $1.3B for a new-build
LRT system
¡  Brisbane – Over $3.1B on 28.6 km
BRT network
¡  Sydney - $1.2B for western Sydney
BRT & $365M for LRT conversion
¡  Melbourne - $198M for 22 km of
LRT extensions/conversions over
20 years
Or	
  puUng	
  it	
  another	
  way…	
  
¡ For 18 key LRT & BRT projects, use public timetables
to develop productive capacity values for:
¡  Average operating speeds
¡  Peak direction passenger spaces per hour
¡ Use capital cost data with productive capacity data
to develop a productivity measure for all 18 projects
Defining	
  performance	
  measures	
  
Findings	
  
Finding	
  #1	
  –	
  Capital	
  costs	
  
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
Hass-Klau et al (2003) Zhang (2009) Luke (2006) Hess, Taylor & Yoh
(2005)
Martin (2013)
Costpermile/kilometre
(inMillionsofUSD,AUDorGBP)
Difference between per-kilometre BRT & LRT capital costs
(based on US, UK, European & ANZ meta-analyses)
BRT
LRT
LRT in US, UK & Europe costs
around 2.6 times more than BRT
In Australia & NZ, LRT
costs around 1.7
times more than BRT
Finding	
  #2	
  –	
  Transit	
  performance	
  maXers!	
  
	
  
§  3 high performing BRT
projects moving
2500-5000 pph
§  7 well performing LRT
& BRT projects moving
2000-3800 pph
§  8 under performing LRT
& BRT projects moving
under 2000 pph
	
  
Finding	
  #3	
  –	
  So	
  does	
  transit	
  produc[vity!	
  
AOB	
  
SEB	
  INB1	
  
INB2	
  
BNB2	
  
BNB2	
  
ANB	
  
LPB	
  
RHB	
  
BPB	
  
M2B	
  
BRB	
  
BEB1	
  
ADL	
  
SKL	
  
PML	
  
SYL	
  
GCL	
  
$1	
  
$10	
  
$100	
  
$1,000	
  
0	
   50	
   100	
   150	
   200	
   250	
   300	
   350	
   400	
   450	
  
Capital	
  cost	
  per	
  km	
  (2013	
  A$	
  Millions)	
  
Produc[ve	
  capacity	
  (offered	
  spaces	
  x	
  average	
  opera[ng	
  speed)	
  '000s	
  
Street	
  transit	
  
Semirapid	
  transit	
  
Rapid	
  
transit	
  
	
  
§  6 highly productive
LRT & BRT projects
with capital costs
between $7M &
$317M per km
§  12 less productive
projects costing
between $6M and
$450M per km
	
  
Finding	
  #4	
  –	
  Are	
  all	
  the	
  good	
  corridors	
  built	
  out?	
  
¡ The answers seems to
be ‘yes’
¡ Lack of good corridors
have real impacts
¡ Opportunities from
‘recycling’ existing
corridors?
¡ Political, ideological & economic imperatives
¡ What are the ‘peer cities’ doing?
¡ Land use policy & planning environment
¡ Prevailing road management policies & plans
¡ Integration of new systems with existing PT network
¡ Preferred selection & evaluation methods
Finding	
  #5	
  –	
  Don’t	
  ignore	
  policy	
  factors!	
  
¡ Evaluating LRT & BRT projects against capital cost &
performance data provides valuable insights
¡ Are LRT & BRT projects in Australian & NZ cities
operating below their productive capacity?
¡ Is upgrading existing tram & bus systems to improve
performance better than building LRT or BRT?
Conclusions	
  
Ques[ons?	
  

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Moving Beyond Cost: Evaluating LRT & BRT options in Australian & NZ cities

  • 1.  MOVING  BEYOND  COST   EVALUATING  LRT  AND  BRT  OPTIONS   FOR  AUSTRALIAN  AND  NZ  CITIES   Sco%  Mar)n    
  • 2. ¡ Capital costs differences between Light Rail Transit (LRT) & Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) less than expected ¡ Transit performance and productivity are important! Many LRT & BRT systems are underperformers ¡ Other factors also matter in selection of LRT & BRT, particularly the transport policy environment Why  you  should  stay  
  • 3. ¡ More than $7 billion spent on road-based PT in Australian and NZ cities since 1987 ¡ Over $5 billion spent on LRT & BRT projects between 2000 and 2010 alone   Why  is  this  research  important?  
  • 4. ¡ Over $4.5 billion of new or expanded LRT projects are underway or proposed for Australian cities ¡ New LRT systems committed for construction in Australian cities include: The  2010s  –  the  decade  of  Light  Rail?  
  • 10. ¡ Medium-capacity, public transport solutions for cities ¡ Deliverable at affordable price points ¡ With a range of urban transport & land-use benefits Why  choose  LRT  or  BRT?  
  • 11. ¡ Capacity between 4,000 & 24,000 spaces per hour ¡ Operates on separated Rights-of-Way (ROW), reduced interaction with other road traffic ¡ Stop spacing 300-600 metres in CBDs: more widely spaced elsewhere ¡ ITS gives signal priority, network monitoring & passenger information Defining  LRT  &  BRT  
  • 12. ¡ This definition excludes most of Melbourne’s street tramway system   Defining  LRT  &  BRT  
  • 13. ¡ And many street bus systems ‘improved’ with bus priority treatments   Defining  LRT  &  BRT  
  • 14. ¡ 28 LRT & BRT projects were selected for the reference set ¡ Per-kilometre capital costs range from $450M/km (high) to $5.8M/km (low) A  ‘reference  set’  of  project  costs   Project  Name Length  (km) Sta)ons/ Stops Completed Cost  ($M) Cost  $M                         (2013) Cost  per  km  $M   (2013) Eastern  Busway  Stage  1  (Buranda-­‐Coorparoo) 1.1 4 2011 $465.0 $494.9 $449.9 Inner  Northern  Busway  (KG  Square  -­‐  Roma  St) 1.3 2 2008 $333.0 $395.1 $316.1 Northern  Busway  Stage  2  (Herston  -­‐  Windsor) 1.2 1 2009 $198.0 $225.7 $188.1 Boggo  Road  Busway  (UQ  Lakes-­‐Buranda) 1.5 2 2009 $226.0 $257.6 $171.7 Northern  Busway  Stage  3  (Windsor-­‐Kedron) 3.0 2 2012 $444.0 $453.6 $151.2 Gold  Coast  Light  Rail 13.0 16 2014 $1,296.0 $1,296.0 $99.7 Northern  Busway  Stage  1  (Roma  St  -­‐  Herston) 2.8 3 2005 $148.4 $218.2 $77.9 South-­‐East  Busway 16.5 11 2001 $660.0 $1,097.2 $66.5 Sydney  Inner  West  Light  Rail  Extension 5.6 9 2014 $214.0 $214.0 $38.2 Auckland  Northern  Busway 8.7 5 2008 $256.2 $295.5 $34.0 Sydney  Light  Rail   3.6 10 1997 $65.0 $118.8 $33.0 M2  Motorway  Busway 7.0 2.0 1997 $110.0 $201.1 $28.7 North  West  Transitway   24.0 30 2007 $524.0 $672.0 $28.0 Port  Road  Tram  extension 2.8 4 2010 $53.0 $53.0 $18.9 Liverpool-­‐Parrama%a  Transitway 30.0 31 2003 $346.0 $532.8 $17.8 Adelaide  O-­‐Bahn 12.0 3 1989 $98.0 $197.6 $16.5 Box  Hill  tram  extension 2.2 5 2003 $28.0 $35.2 $16.0 Adelaide  CBD  tram  extension 2.1 5 2008 $31.0 $33.6 $16.0 Vermont  South  tram  extension 3.0 5 2005 $30.5 $36.5 $12.2 Kwinana  Freeway  Bus  Transitway 5.9 1 2002 $44.2 $67.0 $11.4 Plenty  Road  Tram  Extension  Stage  4  (McLeans  Road  -­‐   McKimmies  Road) 2.1 4 1995 $12.6 $23.0 $11.0 Docklands  Drive  tram  extension 1.0 5 2005 $7.5 $9.0 $9.0 Sydney  Light  Rail  Extension 3.6 4 2000 $20.0 $32.3 $9.0 Plenty  Road  Tram  Extension  Stage  3  (La  Trobe   University  -­‐  McLeans  Road) 3.2 7 1987 $10.8 $27.9 $8.7 Airport  West  Tram  Extension   1.2 3 1992 $4.5 $9.1 $7.6 St  Kilda  Light  Rail   4.2 8 1987 $27.9 $27.9 $6.6 East  Burwood  Tram   2.0 4 1993 $6.5 $12.8 $6.4 Port  Melbourne  Light  Rail 2.8 6 1987 $16.3 $16.3 $5.8   TOTAL  ALL  PROJECTS $7,053.6  
  • 15. ¡  Gold Coast - $1.3B for a new-build LRT system ¡  Brisbane – Over $3.1B on 28.6 km BRT network ¡  Sydney - $1.2B for western Sydney BRT & $365M for LRT conversion ¡  Melbourne - $198M for 22 km of LRT extensions/conversions over 20 years Or  puUng  it  another  way…  
  • 16. ¡ For 18 key LRT & BRT projects, use public timetables to develop productive capacity values for: ¡  Average operating speeds ¡  Peak direction passenger spaces per hour ¡ Use capital cost data with productive capacity data to develop a productivity measure for all 18 projects Defining  performance  measures  
  • 18. Finding  #1  –  Capital  costs   0.0 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 Hass-Klau et al (2003) Zhang (2009) Luke (2006) Hess, Taylor & Yoh (2005) Martin (2013) Costpermile/kilometre (inMillionsofUSD,AUDorGBP) Difference between per-kilometre BRT & LRT capital costs (based on US, UK, European & ANZ meta-analyses) BRT LRT LRT in US, UK & Europe costs around 2.6 times more than BRT In Australia & NZ, LRT costs around 1.7 times more than BRT
  • 19. Finding  #2  –  Transit  performance  maXers!     §  3 high performing BRT projects moving 2500-5000 pph §  7 well performing LRT & BRT projects moving 2000-3800 pph §  8 under performing LRT & BRT projects moving under 2000 pph  
  • 20. Finding  #3  –  So  does  transit  produc[vity!   AOB   SEB  INB1   INB2   BNB2   BNB2   ANB   LPB   RHB   BPB   M2B   BRB   BEB1   ADL   SKL   PML   SYL   GCL   $1   $10   $100   $1,000   0   50   100   150   200   250   300   350   400   450   Capital  cost  per  km  (2013  A$  Millions)   Produc[ve  capacity  (offered  spaces  x  average  opera[ng  speed)  '000s   Street  transit   Semirapid  transit   Rapid   transit     §  6 highly productive LRT & BRT projects with capital costs between $7M & $317M per km §  12 less productive projects costing between $6M and $450M per km  
  • 21. Finding  #4  –  Are  all  the  good  corridors  built  out?   ¡ The answers seems to be ‘yes’ ¡ Lack of good corridors have real impacts ¡ Opportunities from ‘recycling’ existing corridors?
  • 22. ¡ Political, ideological & economic imperatives ¡ What are the ‘peer cities’ doing? ¡ Land use policy & planning environment ¡ Prevailing road management policies & plans ¡ Integration of new systems with existing PT network ¡ Preferred selection & evaluation methods Finding  #5  –  Don’t  ignore  policy  factors!  
  • 23. ¡ Evaluating LRT & BRT projects against capital cost & performance data provides valuable insights ¡ Are LRT & BRT projects in Australian & NZ cities operating below their productive capacity? ¡ Is upgrading existing tram & bus systems to improve performance better than building LRT or BRT? Conclusions