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Monetising Social Media 
Engagement and theMeasurement 
Measuring the Value of the 
Customer Experience
FORWARD 
• Contained in this document is valid proof that 
social media brand conversations can be 
quantitatively measured and monetized. This 
represents a significant development and 
innovation in marketing measurement. It 
monetizes the customer experience and 
brings tangible and measureable value to the 
voice of the customer.
THE AGENDA 
• Who we are 
• SocialMedia Measurement: Search for a New & Valid Approach 
• Leveraging SocialMedia Engagement Metrics for Deeper Insights 
– Monetizing Social Media Word-of-Mouth & Marketing: The Marketing 
Mix Model 
– The volumetric impact of Positive and Negative Buzz 
– Determining Which Social Channels are Driving Brand Performance 
– The Key Factors or Reasons Driving Consumer Engagement with Your 
Brand 
– Using Social Metrics to Monetize the Value of Marketing Sponsorships 
– Valuing Facebook marketing campaigns 
– Leveraging Social Media Analytics to Find Out Why Consumers Use 
Your Brand 
• SocialMedia Measurement and the Blue Ocean?
A NEW APPROACH TO SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT: THE 
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX OR SEI 
• This analysis will trace the development and value of an approach for measuring consumer 
engagement on social media. This approach is called the “Social Engagement Iindex” or SEI. 
• This metric is based on an algorithm developed with the assistance of Dr. Boyd Davis, 
Professor of Applied Linguistics at the University of North Carolina and Dr. Peyton Mason, 
CEO of Next Generation Marketing Insights The involves four steps and it leverages 
linguistics science heavily. 
1. First we scrape large quantities of social media conversations filtered for topics on the 
specific brand of interest. The data source is social media sites like Twitter, Facebook 
and Blogs; but this same method has also been used to “score” customer reviews 
from various hospitality review sites like Hotels.com and Trip Adviser. 
2. We next divide these conversations data into positive and negative sentiment 
conversations. 
3. Then we apply the algorithm which quantitatively “scores” each of the positive and 
negative groups along the two linguistic dimensions of “emotional affect” and 
“personalization”. This scoring algorithm applies the science & rules of Linguistics. 
4. We finally time-code each conversation and aggregate into a time series metric. 
5. This approach differs from standard sentiment metrics, text analytics and even 
natural language processing because 1) it evaluates the entire conversation not just 
key word, 2) it evaluates conversations within context and 3) it is based on language 
structure and rules, not just counting words.
DERIVING THE SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT IINDEX: THE NUTS & BOLTS 
5 
1. SCRAPE ALL SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS FOR 
BRAND CONTEXT CONVERSATIONS, E.G. 
BRAND MENTIONS 
2. DIVIDE INTO POSITIVE & NEGATIVE REVIEW 
GROUPS. FURTHER DIVIDE INTO KEY TOPICS. 
3. DERIVE ENGAGEMENT INDEX BY 
CONVERSATION FROM 30 LINGUISTIC RULES 
TO “SCORE” MINED BRAND/TOPIC SOCIAL 
MEDIA CONVERSATIONS 
4. TIME CODE BYWEEK & AGGREGATE 
METRICS 
POSITIVE 
REVIEWS 
NEGATIVE 
REVIEWS 
POSITIVE 
SCORES 
NEGATIVE 
SCORES 
SOCIAL MEDIA 
CHANNELS 
LOW MED HIGH 
High 
Med 
Low 
EMOTIONAL SCORE 
PERSONALIZATION SCORE 
8 
7 
6 
5 
4 
3 
2 
1 
0 
SEI SCORE 
Per 1 
Per 2 
Per 3 
Per 4 
Per 5 
Per 6 
Per 7 
Per 8 
Per 9 
Per 10 
SEI Ratio 
* Next GenerationMarketing Insights, 2011
THE SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT LANDSCAPE AND THE 
VALIDATION TASK 
• Presently, there are 3 approaches to social media measurement: 
– Standard Sentiment Method. This approach classifies conversations as being primarily 
positive, neutral or negative with respect to the subject. Metrics are aggregated purely 
by word-count or frequency 
– The Influence Approach. This approach scores conversations based on the influence of 
the author (number of friends, connections, etc.). Klout score is an example. 
– The Language or Linguistics Method. This approach uses Linguistic science or rules to 
classify sentiment and score the conversations based on some measure of emotion or 
intensity from the language & context of the conversation. This is the Social 
Engagement IndexMethod we have developed. 
• When comparing methods, we were limited with comparison on the Influence Approach, 
since this is an individual scoring algorithm and there is no aggregate time-series sentiment-based 
metric to correlate to brand sales. 
• The key to understanding the attraction of any metric for statistically measuring its impact on 
a brand begins by looking at simple correlations to brand sales. In this context, we took one 
client brand and compared Standard Sentiment Metrics to the Social Engagement Index in 
terms of their core statistical correlation to brand sales over time.
AVAILABLE SOCIAL MEDIA “SENTIMENTMETRICS” FALL SHORT AS A TOOL 
FOR MEASURING ROI 
Figure 1: Compares correlation to sales of $6B client with SEI and sentiment 
metrics for 6 leading social data vendors, there is a wide gap. 
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 6 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 5 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 4 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 3 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 2 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 1 POS/NEG RATIO 
8.2% 
21.2% 
8.8% 
3.1% 
11.2% 
-2.3% 
83.1% 
-20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% 
METRIC 1 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 2 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 3 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 4 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 5 POS/NEG RATIO 
METRIC 6 POS/NEG RATIO 
SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX 
POS/NEG RATIO
CASE STUDIES: THE SEI METRIC AND LINKS TO BRAND SALES 
• To fully leverage the SEI for our clients, the task is to understand its 
impact on their business. 
• To do this, we do exploratory analysis to see how relevant the 
metric is to the customer demand of a number of clients. 
• Then we utilize the SEI within a full marketing response (aka, mix) 
model in order to not only understand its impact on the business, 
but also how it interacts with and is affected by direct marketing. 
• First, however, we compare the customer SEI metric to 3 clients’ 
customer demand over time. 
– Our comparisons come from three different clients, one in the food & 
beverage industry, a telecom client and one from the hospitality 
industry. 
– The specific SEI metric we use here, and in our model, is the SEI ratio 
of positive to negative tonality conversations.
IN THE TELECOM INDUSTRY, THE SEIsm IS STRONGLY CORRELATED TO 
NEW CUSTOMER ADDITIONS (85%) 
600 
500 
400 
300 
200 
100 
0 
250 
230 
210 
190 
Customer Adds Index New Customer Sales Index SNI Ratio Index 
170 
150 
130 
110 
90 
70 
6/16/2009 7/13/2010 8/9/2011 
SEI Positive/Negative Index 
9 
TELECOMNEW CUSTOMER ADDITIONS
IN THE FOOD & BEVERAGE INDUSTRY, THE SEIsm MIRRORS 
COMPANY SEASONAL PATTERNS (84%) 
10 
TOTAL FOOD & BEVERAGE SALES 
250 
200 
150 
100 
50 
0 
160 
150 
140 
130 
120 
110 
100 
90 
80 
07/08/08 08/04/09 08/31/10 
Retail Sales Index 
TOTAL Retail.Sales SNI Positive/NegativeRatio 
SEI Positive/Negative Index 
SEIsm IS A REFLECTION OF TOTAL "WORD-OF-MOUTH" AND A PROXY FOR CONSUMER GOOD WILL
FOR A HOSPITALITY CLIENT, SEIsm IS A STRONG CORRELATE TO NEW 
BOOKINGS (77%) 
TOTAL HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS 
160 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
- 
140 
120 
100 
80 
60 
40 
20 
- 
1/6/2009 1/6/2010 1/6/2011 
SEI Positive/Negative Index 
Bookings Index 
Bookings.Index SNI Positive/Negative Ratio 
THE METRIC USED WAS “ONLINE” REVIEW SITES FOR HOTELS, RESORTS AND CRUISE LINES. WE 
FOUND THE METRIC TO BE A PROXY FOR CUSTOMER SATISFACTION 11
MONETIZING THE VALUE OF SOCIAL MEDIA THROUGH 
MARKETING-MIX MODELS 
• To fully leverage the SEI for our clients, the task is to understand its 
impact on their business. 
• By incorporating SEI metrics into marketing response (aka, mix) models, 
we can: 
– Come to a better & more precise understanding of how social media buzz 
affects a client’s business performance 
– Understand the impact and interactions of the client’s marketing and media as 
it affects social media conversations about their brands. 
– Provide strategic guidance as to the most effective ways for monitoring and 
managing social media conversations on brands 
• Our task is to build a “nested model” where SEI is both a dependent and a 
predictor variable. In the former, SEI is a function of all media & marketing 
efforts. In the latter, sales is a function of all media & marketing plus the 
SEI. 
– This approach not only enables us to understand the impact of Social Media 
Word-of-Mouth, but also the influence of media and marketing on social 
media brand conversations.
A TWO-STAGE MODEL IS USED TO QUANTIFY THE DIRECT IMPACT OF 
MARKETING AND SOCIAL MEDIA ACTIVITIES ON SALES 
1. Model the Social Engagement Iindex as a function of key marketing & media 
drivers 
2. Model retail time-sales as a function of media & marketing drivers plus the SEI 
Total Retail Sales Contribution Sub-model 
Net Contribution 
of Marketing 
2%+6% 
+6% +13% = 27% Social Media 
56% 
7% 
2% 
5% 
11% 
19% 
35% 
Conversations 
(SEI) 
Base Sales Conventional Marketing Campaigns Mkting campaigns on SM 
13 
19%
A KEY INSIGHT DISCOVERED IS THAT NEGATIVE-SENTIMENT 
CONVERSATIONS HAD A SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER EFFECT THAN 
POSITIVE ONES 
+4.4% 
+16.5% 
20% 
15% 
10% 
5% 
0% 
Increase Positive Decrease Negative 
Total Retail Sales Sensitivity of Response 
(chg in Sales vs chg in Sentiment components of "Engagement") 
positive 
ENSURE THAT YOUR BRAND IS REDUCING NEGATIVE TONED CONVERSATIONS 
30% 
20% 
10% 
0% 
-10% 
-20% 
-30% 
-100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 
Sales Impact 
Sales Impact 
Change in "Engagement" by Tone 
Absolute Response (Based on Standard 
Favorable Move) 
negative 
14 
(Assumes 100% Decrease in Negative is not realistic)
HOW SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS ARE DRIVING BRAND 
ENGAGEMENT AND SALES 
15 
40.0 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
130 
120 
110 
100 
90 
80 
70 
60 
2009 2010 2011 
Engagement Score 
Sales Index 
Sales & Total Social Network Engagement Drivers by Channel 
Facebook Twitter Boards Blogs &Groups Sales Index
WHAT ARE THE “STORIES” OR CONTENT SHARED ABOUT YOUR BRAND 
16 
THAT IS MOST RELEVANT TO DRIVING REVENUE? 
The key topics/subjects of conversation about brands are scored. we can understand the reasons 
behind brand social media performance and can quantify these in terms & monetize their value 
40.0 
35.0 
30.0 
25.0 
20.0 
15.0 
10.0 
5.0 
0.0 
130 
120 
110 
100 
90 
80 
70 
60 
2009 2010 2011 
Network Index Score 
Sales Index 
Engaging Social Topics for a Restaurant Chain 
Promotion A Place to Hang Out To Meet Friends and Associates Product B Product A Sales Index
35 
30 
25 
20 
15 
10 
5 
0 
UNDERSTANDING THE KEY EVENTS AND FACTORS DRIVING 
SPONSORSHIP AND BRAND ENGAGEMENT 
SEI has been successfully used to measure and monetize the value of sports sponsorships 
Jun-08 
Sep-08 
Dec-08 
Mar-09 
Jun-09 
Sep-09 
Dec-09 
Mar-10 
Jun-10 
Sep-10 
Dec-10 
Mar-11 
Super Bowl 
Sponsorship Engagement 
NFL-Football 
Sponsorship Engagement 
PGA Golf 
Sponsored PGA 
Tournament
VALUING AND MONETIZING FACEBOOK MARKETING CAMPAIGNS 
• Because our Social Engagement Metric is part of a larger model, we can value events 
such as Facebook Campaigns. As shown below, the net consumer engagement is not 
necessarily the same as the volume of comments or the number of Likes.
DETERMINING THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF KEY CONCEPTS OR 
SOCIAL CONTENT IN DEFINING THE BRAND 
Most Important Positive Drivers: 
Place2HangOut 
>5.46= 211 
1. The Brand & Place 
9.1% 
2. For Meeting People 
3. The Beverages 
Positive SEI 
3.93 = 100 
4. The Store Atmosphere Place2HangOut 
<5.46 = 83 
91.9% 
ToMeetPeople> 
9.43 = 325 
2.6% 
ToMeetPeople< 
9.63 = 188 
6.5% 
Beverage>14.0 
= 466 
0.6% 
Beverage<14.0 
= 288 
1.9% 
To Meet People 
>5.4 = 229 
3.8% 
To Meet People 
<5.4 = 85 
85.5% 
Beverage 
>6.4 = 271 
7.7% 
Beverage 
<6.4 = 74 
77.8% 
Place2HangOut 
>3.6 = 126 
5.9% 
Place2HangOut 
<3.6 = 76 
71.9% 
Atmosphere 
>5.2 = 211.1 
1.6% 
Atmosphere 
<5.2 = 67 
70.3% 
These starts show an average SEI score of 100; and each level indicates a higher or lower SEI based on an SEI score for a topic. The percent represents the percent of the sample in 
each segment. 
19
THE “BLUE-OCEAN” OF SOCIAL MEDIA 
MEASUREMENT: KEY INSIGHTS 
• By linking a metric of “Social Network Engagement” to client sales, we have shown that this 
approach shows great promise as a diagnostic for understanding social media’s impact on a client’s 
business by including it as an input into marketing response (aka,mix) models. We have thus 
succeeded in measuring and monetizing the impact of social media on consumer demand. 
• We have also shown that these data provides deep insights about what moves brand performance 
in the market place, a new depth of understanding that could be considered a blue-ocean 
innovation. 
• Some of the key lessons that we have learned include: 
– The impact of the SEI on brand performance tends to mirror the phenomena of “word-of-mouth”, which is a 
known critical driver of most brands, but traditionally difficult to measure. 
– Negative sentiment towards a brand have substantially greater impact on its performance than positive. It is 
imperative that firms address expressed issues with these consumers and prevent the negative buzz from 
going widely viral. 
– For service based firms like the hospitality client, the social engagement from online reviews represents a 
measure of customer satisfaction, which is a dominant driver of these businesses. The social engagement 
metric here represents a promising tool for deriving customer service ratings for various business domains 
from such sites as Yelp, Expedia and Trip Advisor. 
– Our approach to Social Media Measurement provides a wealth of insights into why consumers buy your 
brand, how consumers engage with your brand and sponsorships and what particular social channels are 
most important in driving your brand. It monetizes the consumer experience. 
– That the direct impact of SEI on business is large and significant. A brand’s marketing and advertising has 
some effect on the SEI which in turn, affects sales. 
– We learned that the value and ROI of marketing is greatly enhanced due to the indirect effect it has on sales 
through its direct impact on Social Media Engagement (SEI ) 
– That our SEI metric is no Holy Grail, but it shows much promise in delivering un-matched insights on how 
social media conversations have a direct and tangible impact on company performance.
ABOUT US 
 Bottom-Line Analytics LLC is a consulting group focusing on a broad 
portfolio of marketing analytics, including marketing optimization 
modeling 
 Our modeling experts have a total of over 100 years of direct experience 
with marketing optimization modeling. This includes direct experience in over 
35 countries and dozens of product categories. 
 We are dedicated to the principles of innovation, excellence and 
uncompromising customer service. 
 Most important, however, we are dedicated to getting tangible and positive 
business results for our clients.
OUR EXPERIENCE
WAS THIS INTERESTING? 
• Please contact for a direct discussion 
• Michael Wolfe, Principal 
Bottom-Line Analytics LLC 
(o) 770.485.0270 
(m) 678.314.8446 
mjw@bottomlineanalytics.com

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Measurement and monetizing customer experience with social media.

  • 1. Monetising Social Media Engagement and theMeasurement Measuring the Value of the Customer Experience
  • 2. FORWARD • Contained in this document is valid proof that social media brand conversations can be quantitatively measured and monetized. This represents a significant development and innovation in marketing measurement. It monetizes the customer experience and brings tangible and measureable value to the voice of the customer.
  • 3. THE AGENDA • Who we are • SocialMedia Measurement: Search for a New & Valid Approach • Leveraging SocialMedia Engagement Metrics for Deeper Insights – Monetizing Social Media Word-of-Mouth & Marketing: The Marketing Mix Model – The volumetric impact of Positive and Negative Buzz – Determining Which Social Channels are Driving Brand Performance – The Key Factors or Reasons Driving Consumer Engagement with Your Brand – Using Social Metrics to Monetize the Value of Marketing Sponsorships – Valuing Facebook marketing campaigns – Leveraging Social Media Analytics to Find Out Why Consumers Use Your Brand • SocialMedia Measurement and the Blue Ocean?
  • 4. A NEW APPROACH TO SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT: THE SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX OR SEI • This analysis will trace the development and value of an approach for measuring consumer engagement on social media. This approach is called the “Social Engagement Iindex” or SEI. • This metric is based on an algorithm developed with the assistance of Dr. Boyd Davis, Professor of Applied Linguistics at the University of North Carolina and Dr. Peyton Mason, CEO of Next Generation Marketing Insights The involves four steps and it leverages linguistics science heavily. 1. First we scrape large quantities of social media conversations filtered for topics on the specific brand of interest. The data source is social media sites like Twitter, Facebook and Blogs; but this same method has also been used to “score” customer reviews from various hospitality review sites like Hotels.com and Trip Adviser. 2. We next divide these conversations data into positive and negative sentiment conversations. 3. Then we apply the algorithm which quantitatively “scores” each of the positive and negative groups along the two linguistic dimensions of “emotional affect” and “personalization”. This scoring algorithm applies the science & rules of Linguistics. 4. We finally time-code each conversation and aggregate into a time series metric. 5. This approach differs from standard sentiment metrics, text analytics and even natural language processing because 1) it evaluates the entire conversation not just key word, 2) it evaluates conversations within context and 3) it is based on language structure and rules, not just counting words.
  • 5. DERIVING THE SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT IINDEX: THE NUTS & BOLTS 5 1. SCRAPE ALL SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS FOR BRAND CONTEXT CONVERSATIONS, E.G. BRAND MENTIONS 2. DIVIDE INTO POSITIVE & NEGATIVE REVIEW GROUPS. FURTHER DIVIDE INTO KEY TOPICS. 3. DERIVE ENGAGEMENT INDEX BY CONVERSATION FROM 30 LINGUISTIC RULES TO “SCORE” MINED BRAND/TOPIC SOCIAL MEDIA CONVERSATIONS 4. TIME CODE BYWEEK & AGGREGATE METRICS POSITIVE REVIEWS NEGATIVE REVIEWS POSITIVE SCORES NEGATIVE SCORES SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS LOW MED HIGH High Med Low EMOTIONAL SCORE PERSONALIZATION SCORE 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 SEI SCORE Per 1 Per 2 Per 3 Per 4 Per 5 Per 6 Per 7 Per 8 Per 9 Per 10 SEI Ratio * Next GenerationMarketing Insights, 2011
  • 6. THE SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT LANDSCAPE AND THE VALIDATION TASK • Presently, there are 3 approaches to social media measurement: – Standard Sentiment Method. This approach classifies conversations as being primarily positive, neutral or negative with respect to the subject. Metrics are aggregated purely by word-count or frequency – The Influence Approach. This approach scores conversations based on the influence of the author (number of friends, connections, etc.). Klout score is an example. – The Language or Linguistics Method. This approach uses Linguistic science or rules to classify sentiment and score the conversations based on some measure of emotion or intensity from the language & context of the conversation. This is the Social Engagement IndexMethod we have developed. • When comparing methods, we were limited with comparison on the Influence Approach, since this is an individual scoring algorithm and there is no aggregate time-series sentiment-based metric to correlate to brand sales. • The key to understanding the attraction of any metric for statistically measuring its impact on a brand begins by looking at simple correlations to brand sales. In this context, we took one client brand and compared Standard Sentiment Metrics to the Social Engagement Index in terms of their core statistical correlation to brand sales over time.
  • 7. AVAILABLE SOCIAL MEDIA “SENTIMENTMETRICS” FALL SHORT AS A TOOL FOR MEASURING ROI Figure 1: Compares correlation to sales of $6B client with SEI and sentiment metrics for 6 leading social data vendors, there is a wide gap. SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 6 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 5 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 4 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 3 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 2 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 1 POS/NEG RATIO 8.2% 21.2% 8.8% 3.1% 11.2% -2.3% 83.1% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% METRIC 1 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 2 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 3 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 4 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 5 POS/NEG RATIO METRIC 6 POS/NEG RATIO SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT INDEX POS/NEG RATIO
  • 8. CASE STUDIES: THE SEI METRIC AND LINKS TO BRAND SALES • To fully leverage the SEI for our clients, the task is to understand its impact on their business. • To do this, we do exploratory analysis to see how relevant the metric is to the customer demand of a number of clients. • Then we utilize the SEI within a full marketing response (aka, mix) model in order to not only understand its impact on the business, but also how it interacts with and is affected by direct marketing. • First, however, we compare the customer SEI metric to 3 clients’ customer demand over time. – Our comparisons come from three different clients, one in the food & beverage industry, a telecom client and one from the hospitality industry. – The specific SEI metric we use here, and in our model, is the SEI ratio of positive to negative tonality conversations.
  • 9. IN THE TELECOM INDUSTRY, THE SEIsm IS STRONGLY CORRELATED TO NEW CUSTOMER ADDITIONS (85%) 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 250 230 210 190 Customer Adds Index New Customer Sales Index SNI Ratio Index 170 150 130 110 90 70 6/16/2009 7/13/2010 8/9/2011 SEI Positive/Negative Index 9 TELECOMNEW CUSTOMER ADDITIONS
  • 10. IN THE FOOD & BEVERAGE INDUSTRY, THE SEIsm MIRRORS COMPANY SEASONAL PATTERNS (84%) 10 TOTAL FOOD & BEVERAGE SALES 250 200 150 100 50 0 160 150 140 130 120 110 100 90 80 07/08/08 08/04/09 08/31/10 Retail Sales Index TOTAL Retail.Sales SNI Positive/NegativeRatio SEI Positive/Negative Index SEIsm IS A REFLECTION OF TOTAL "WORD-OF-MOUTH" AND A PROXY FOR CONSUMER GOOD WILL
  • 11. FOR A HOSPITALITY CLIENT, SEIsm IS A STRONG CORRELATE TO NEW BOOKINGS (77%) TOTAL HOSPITALITY BOOKINGS 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 - 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 - 1/6/2009 1/6/2010 1/6/2011 SEI Positive/Negative Index Bookings Index Bookings.Index SNI Positive/Negative Ratio THE METRIC USED WAS “ONLINE” REVIEW SITES FOR HOTELS, RESORTS AND CRUISE LINES. WE FOUND THE METRIC TO BE A PROXY FOR CUSTOMER SATISFACTION 11
  • 12. MONETIZING THE VALUE OF SOCIAL MEDIA THROUGH MARKETING-MIX MODELS • To fully leverage the SEI for our clients, the task is to understand its impact on their business. • By incorporating SEI metrics into marketing response (aka, mix) models, we can: – Come to a better & more precise understanding of how social media buzz affects a client’s business performance – Understand the impact and interactions of the client’s marketing and media as it affects social media conversations about their brands. – Provide strategic guidance as to the most effective ways for monitoring and managing social media conversations on brands • Our task is to build a “nested model” where SEI is both a dependent and a predictor variable. In the former, SEI is a function of all media & marketing efforts. In the latter, sales is a function of all media & marketing plus the SEI. – This approach not only enables us to understand the impact of Social Media Word-of-Mouth, but also the influence of media and marketing on social media brand conversations.
  • 13. A TWO-STAGE MODEL IS USED TO QUANTIFY THE DIRECT IMPACT OF MARKETING AND SOCIAL MEDIA ACTIVITIES ON SALES 1. Model the Social Engagement Iindex as a function of key marketing & media drivers 2. Model retail time-sales as a function of media & marketing drivers plus the SEI Total Retail Sales Contribution Sub-model Net Contribution of Marketing 2%+6% +6% +13% = 27% Social Media 56% 7% 2% 5% 11% 19% 35% Conversations (SEI) Base Sales Conventional Marketing Campaigns Mkting campaigns on SM 13 19%
  • 14. A KEY INSIGHT DISCOVERED IS THAT NEGATIVE-SENTIMENT CONVERSATIONS HAD A SIGNIFICANTLY GREATER EFFECT THAN POSITIVE ONES +4.4% +16.5% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% Increase Positive Decrease Negative Total Retail Sales Sensitivity of Response (chg in Sales vs chg in Sentiment components of "Engagement") positive ENSURE THAT YOUR BRAND IS REDUCING NEGATIVE TONED CONVERSATIONS 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% -30% -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% Sales Impact Sales Impact Change in "Engagement" by Tone Absolute Response (Based on Standard Favorable Move) negative 14 (Assumes 100% Decrease in Negative is not realistic)
  • 15. HOW SOCIAL MEDIA CHANNELS ARE DRIVING BRAND ENGAGEMENT AND SALES 15 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 2009 2010 2011 Engagement Score Sales Index Sales & Total Social Network Engagement Drivers by Channel Facebook Twitter Boards Blogs &Groups Sales Index
  • 16. WHAT ARE THE “STORIES” OR CONTENT SHARED ABOUT YOUR BRAND 16 THAT IS MOST RELEVANT TO DRIVING REVENUE? The key topics/subjects of conversation about brands are scored. we can understand the reasons behind brand social media performance and can quantify these in terms & monetize their value 40.0 35.0 30.0 25.0 20.0 15.0 10.0 5.0 0.0 130 120 110 100 90 80 70 60 2009 2010 2011 Network Index Score Sales Index Engaging Social Topics for a Restaurant Chain Promotion A Place to Hang Out To Meet Friends and Associates Product B Product A Sales Index
  • 17. 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 UNDERSTANDING THE KEY EVENTS AND FACTORS DRIVING SPONSORSHIP AND BRAND ENGAGEMENT SEI has been successfully used to measure and monetize the value of sports sponsorships Jun-08 Sep-08 Dec-08 Mar-09 Jun-09 Sep-09 Dec-09 Mar-10 Jun-10 Sep-10 Dec-10 Mar-11 Super Bowl Sponsorship Engagement NFL-Football Sponsorship Engagement PGA Golf Sponsored PGA Tournament
  • 18. VALUING AND MONETIZING FACEBOOK MARKETING CAMPAIGNS • Because our Social Engagement Metric is part of a larger model, we can value events such as Facebook Campaigns. As shown below, the net consumer engagement is not necessarily the same as the volume of comments or the number of Likes.
  • 19. DETERMINING THE RELATIVE IMPORTANCE OF KEY CONCEPTS OR SOCIAL CONTENT IN DEFINING THE BRAND Most Important Positive Drivers: Place2HangOut >5.46= 211 1. The Brand & Place 9.1% 2. For Meeting People 3. The Beverages Positive SEI 3.93 = 100 4. The Store Atmosphere Place2HangOut <5.46 = 83 91.9% ToMeetPeople> 9.43 = 325 2.6% ToMeetPeople< 9.63 = 188 6.5% Beverage>14.0 = 466 0.6% Beverage<14.0 = 288 1.9% To Meet People >5.4 = 229 3.8% To Meet People <5.4 = 85 85.5% Beverage >6.4 = 271 7.7% Beverage <6.4 = 74 77.8% Place2HangOut >3.6 = 126 5.9% Place2HangOut <3.6 = 76 71.9% Atmosphere >5.2 = 211.1 1.6% Atmosphere <5.2 = 67 70.3% These starts show an average SEI score of 100; and each level indicates a higher or lower SEI based on an SEI score for a topic. The percent represents the percent of the sample in each segment. 19
  • 20. THE “BLUE-OCEAN” OF SOCIAL MEDIA MEASUREMENT: KEY INSIGHTS • By linking a metric of “Social Network Engagement” to client sales, we have shown that this approach shows great promise as a diagnostic for understanding social media’s impact on a client’s business by including it as an input into marketing response (aka,mix) models. We have thus succeeded in measuring and monetizing the impact of social media on consumer demand. • We have also shown that these data provides deep insights about what moves brand performance in the market place, a new depth of understanding that could be considered a blue-ocean innovation. • Some of the key lessons that we have learned include: – The impact of the SEI on brand performance tends to mirror the phenomena of “word-of-mouth”, which is a known critical driver of most brands, but traditionally difficult to measure. – Negative sentiment towards a brand have substantially greater impact on its performance than positive. It is imperative that firms address expressed issues with these consumers and prevent the negative buzz from going widely viral. – For service based firms like the hospitality client, the social engagement from online reviews represents a measure of customer satisfaction, which is a dominant driver of these businesses. The social engagement metric here represents a promising tool for deriving customer service ratings for various business domains from such sites as Yelp, Expedia and Trip Advisor. – Our approach to Social Media Measurement provides a wealth of insights into why consumers buy your brand, how consumers engage with your brand and sponsorships and what particular social channels are most important in driving your brand. It monetizes the consumer experience. – That the direct impact of SEI on business is large and significant. A brand’s marketing and advertising has some effect on the SEI which in turn, affects sales. – We learned that the value and ROI of marketing is greatly enhanced due to the indirect effect it has on sales through its direct impact on Social Media Engagement (SEI ) – That our SEI metric is no Holy Grail, but it shows much promise in delivering un-matched insights on how social media conversations have a direct and tangible impact on company performance.
  • 21. ABOUT US  Bottom-Line Analytics LLC is a consulting group focusing on a broad portfolio of marketing analytics, including marketing optimization modeling  Our modeling experts have a total of over 100 years of direct experience with marketing optimization modeling. This includes direct experience in over 35 countries and dozens of product categories.  We are dedicated to the principles of innovation, excellence and uncompromising customer service.  Most important, however, we are dedicated to getting tangible and positive business results for our clients.
  • 23. WAS THIS INTERESTING? • Please contact for a direct discussion • Michael Wolfe, Principal Bottom-Line Analytics LLC (o) 770.485.0270 (m) 678.314.8446 mjw@bottomlineanalytics.com