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Market Outlook
                                                                                                                                       India Research
                                                                                                                                               April 16, 2010

Dealer’s Diary                                                                                              Domestic Indices      Chg (%)       (Pts)    (Close)

The benchmark indices extended their losses for a straight third session, giving                            BSE Sensex             -1.0% (182.7)         17,639
up gains intra-day after opening on a positive note. The weakness was evident                               Nifty                  -1.0%     (49.4)       5,274
from the fact that markets made an intra-day high at opening, but closed near                               MID CAP                -0.2%     (14.5)       7,042
the day’s lows. Volatility was lower compared to that witnessed in the past few                             SMALL CAP              -0.6%     (52.3)       9,034
sessions. After opening on a strong note, the markets gradually gave up gains                               BSE HC                  0.7%      35.8        5,331
to trade flat by mid-session. Weakness in European markets accentuated the                                  BSE PSU                -0.6%     (56.3)       8,957
bearish sentiments and the indices slipped further in the final session. The
                                                                                                            BANKEX                 -1.4% (151.9)         10,559
Sensex and Nifty closed with losses of 1.0% each, while the BSE Mid-cap and
                                                                                                            AUTO                   -0.3%     (19.5)       7,627
Small-cap indices fell by just 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively. Among the front-
                                                                                                            METAL                  -0.3%     (50.0)      18,196
liners, JP Associates, HUL, DLF, Infosys and Sun Pharma were up by 0-1%, while
                                                                                                            OIL & GAS              -1.8% (189.6)         10,146
Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, ITC, L&T and SBI were down by 2-3%. In the
Mid-cap segment, Blue Dart, Parsvnath Developers, Sobha Developers, Bayer                                   BSE IT                  0.4%      22.0        5,526
Crop and Apollo Hospital were up by 6-20%, while Max India, Bajaj Finserv,
LIC Housing Finance, Rolta India and Whirlpool were down by 4-9%.                                           Global Indices        Chg (%)        (Pts)    (Close)
                                                                                                            Dow Jones                0.2%       21.5      11,145
Markets Today                                                                                               NASDAQ                   0.4%       10.8       2,517
                                                                                                            FTSE                     0.5%       28.8       5,825
The trend deciding level for the day is 17745 / 5304 levels. NIFTY trades above
this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further                             Nikkei                   0.6%       68.9      11,274
rally up to 17870 – 18101 / 5343 – 5412 levels. However, if NIFTY trades                                    Hang Seng                0.2%       36.4      22,158
below 17745 / 5304 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct                           Straits Times           -0.1%       (2.8)      3,017
up to 17514 – 17388 / 5235 – 5196 levels.                                                                   Shanghai Com            -0.0%       (1.2)      3,165


  Indices                      S2                     S1                   R1                R2             Indian ADRs           Chg (%)       (Pts)    (Close)
  SENSEX                   17,388                17,514                17,870            18,101             Infosys                -0.2%       (0.1)      $62.7
  NIFTY                    5,196                 5,235                 5,343              5,412             Wipro                  -0.0%       (0.0)      $24.3
                                                                                                            Satyam                 -2.0%       (0.1)       $5.4
News Analysis                                                                                               ICICI Bank             -2.3%       (1.0)      $41.8
                                                                                                            HDFC Bank               0.6%        0.9      $146.4

        JFE close to buying stake in JSW Steel
        AREVA T&D India wins contracts worth Rs63cr                                                         Advances / Declines               BSE          NSE

Refer detailed news analysis on the following page.                                                         Advances                        1,195           478
                                                                                                            Declines                        1,729           833
  Net Inflows (Apr 13, 2010)                                                                                Unchanged                         81               43
  Rs cr       Purch         Sales                      Net              MTD           YTD
  FII            3,278              2,670              608              4,721         24,531                Volumes (Rs cr)
  MFs            488                745                (258)            (902)         (6,720)               BSE                                           4,839
  FII Derivatives (Apr 15, 2010)                                                                            NSE                                          15,396
                                                                                      Open
  Rs cr                             Purch             Sales             Net
                                                                                      Interest
  Index Futures                     1,147             2,009             (862)         13,852
  Stock Futures                     1,459             1,491             (32)          29,886


  Gainers / Losers
                          Gainers                                               Losers

  Company                 Price (Rs)        Chg (%)        Company              Price (Rs)        Chg (%)

  Apollo Hosp                    768          5.8          Max India                194              -9.4
  JP Hydro Power                    74        4.3          Bajaj Finserv            326              -7.9
  Unitech                           80        3.4          Aditya Birla Nuvo        888              -4.7
  Dr Reddys Lab               1,231           3.4          LIC Housing Fin.         851              -4.5
  Titan Ind.                  1,967           3.3          Essar Oil                143              -4.3

                                                                                                                                                           1
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report                                                Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
Market Outlook | India Research


                 JFE close to buying stake in JSW Steel

                 As per recent media reports, JFE is in advanced talks to buy a small stake in JSW Steel and
                 will invest about Rs5,000cr to buy a 14.1% stake. Mr Jindal and his family will also invest
                 about Rs2,500cr to retain their current holding of 42%. JSW has been exploring options of
                 raising equity to improve its balance sheet and to raise money for its expansion plans. The
                 dilution would imply a ~45-50% premium over the current market price. We maintain our
                 Accumulate rating on the stock.


                 AREVA T&D India wins contracts worth Rs63cr

                 AREVA T&D India has been awarded three contracts with a combined worth of Rs63cr for
                 an Air-insulated Substation (AIS). Two of the orders are from the Chhattisgarh state utility,
                 one for the manufacture and installation of a 132 kV AIS at the Patan plant, and the other
                 for a 220 kV AIS at the Vishrampur plant. The orders are scheduled for completion by Q4
                 of 2010 and Q2 of 2011, respectively. The third order is from the West Bengal state utility,
                 for the supply and installation of a 132/33 kV AIS at the Nazipur plant, as well as two bay
                 extension projects for the 132 kV AIS at Amtola, Kolkata. We maintain our Neutral view on
                 the stock.




April 16, 2010                                                                                              2
Market Outlook | India Research



                            Economic and Political News

                               Inflation at 9.9% on broad price rise
                               Oil firms raise ATF prices by 3.2%
                               Steel demand to grow by 8-10% in 2010-11: Ministry of Steel



                            Corporate News

                               GMR Infra begins QIP to raise up to US $250mn
                               L&T plans JV with Japan's MHI to make industrial tyres
                               Goldyne Tech close to buying US-based DecisionOne for Rs500cr
                            Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint




  Events for the day
  Crisil                                  Dividend, Results
  Indusind Bank                           Dividend, Results
  Development Credit Bank                 Results




April 16, 2010                                                                                                                3
Market Outlook | India Research


Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800                                         E-mail: research@angeltrade.com                          Website: www.angeltrade.com


DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in
this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem
necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and
risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment.


Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that
are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the
company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.


Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as
opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals.


The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be
true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document.
Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this
document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.


This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed
on, directly or indirectly.


Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory
services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past.


Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with
the use of this information.


Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).




                               Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059.
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April 16, 2010                                                                                                                                                                         4

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Technical Report 13th July 2011Technical Report 13th July 2011
Technical Report 13th July 2011
 

Market outlook - 16 Apr 2010

  • 1. Market Outlook India Research April 16, 2010 Dealer’s Diary Domestic Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) The benchmark indices extended their losses for a straight third session, giving BSE Sensex -1.0% (182.7) 17,639 up gains intra-day after opening on a positive note. The weakness was evident Nifty -1.0% (49.4) 5,274 from the fact that markets made an intra-day high at opening, but closed near MID CAP -0.2% (14.5) 7,042 the day’s lows. Volatility was lower compared to that witnessed in the past few SMALL CAP -0.6% (52.3) 9,034 sessions. After opening on a strong note, the markets gradually gave up gains BSE HC 0.7% 35.8 5,331 to trade flat by mid-session. Weakness in European markets accentuated the BSE PSU -0.6% (56.3) 8,957 bearish sentiments and the indices slipped further in the final session. The BANKEX -1.4% (151.9) 10,559 Sensex and Nifty closed with losses of 1.0% each, while the BSE Mid-cap and AUTO -0.3% (19.5) 7,627 Small-cap indices fell by just 0.2% and 0.6%, respectively. Among the front- METAL -0.3% (50.0) 18,196 liners, JP Associates, HUL, DLF, Infosys and Sun Pharma were up by 0-1%, while OIL & GAS -1.8% (189.6) 10,146 Reliance Industries, ICICI Bank, ITC, L&T and SBI were down by 2-3%. In the Mid-cap segment, Blue Dart, Parsvnath Developers, Sobha Developers, Bayer BSE IT 0.4% 22.0 5,526 Crop and Apollo Hospital were up by 6-20%, while Max India, Bajaj Finserv, LIC Housing Finance, Rolta India and Whirlpool were down by 4-9%. Global Indices Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) Dow Jones 0.2% 21.5 11,145 Markets Today NASDAQ 0.4% 10.8 2,517 FTSE 0.5% 28.8 5,825 The trend deciding level for the day is 17745 / 5304 levels. NIFTY trades above this level during the first half-an-hour of trade then we may witness a further Nikkei 0.6% 68.9 11,274 rally up to 17870 – 18101 / 5343 – 5412 levels. However, if NIFTY trades Hang Seng 0.2% 36.4 22,158 below 17745 / 5304 levels for the first half-an-hour of trade then it may correct Straits Times -0.1% (2.8) 3,017 up to 17514 – 17388 / 5235 – 5196 levels. Shanghai Com -0.0% (1.2) 3,165 Indices S2 S1 R1 R2 Indian ADRs Chg (%) (Pts) (Close) SENSEX 17,388 17,514 17,870 18,101 Infosys -0.2% (0.1) $62.7 NIFTY 5,196 5,235 5,343 5,412 Wipro -0.0% (0.0) $24.3 Satyam -2.0% (0.1) $5.4 News Analysis ICICI Bank -2.3% (1.0) $41.8 HDFC Bank 0.6% 0.9 $146.4 JFE close to buying stake in JSW Steel AREVA T&D India wins contracts worth Rs63cr Advances / Declines BSE NSE Refer detailed news analysis on the following page. Advances 1,195 478 Declines 1,729 833 Net Inflows (Apr 13, 2010) Unchanged 81 43 Rs cr Purch Sales Net MTD YTD FII 3,278 2,670 608 4,721 24,531 Volumes (Rs cr) MFs 488 745 (258) (902) (6,720) BSE 4,839 FII Derivatives (Apr 15, 2010) NSE 15,396 Open Rs cr Purch Sales Net Interest Index Futures 1,147 2,009 (862) 13,852 Stock Futures 1,459 1,491 (32) 29,886 Gainers / Losers Gainers Losers Company Price (Rs) Chg (%) Company Price (Rs) Chg (%) Apollo Hosp 768 5.8 Max India 194 -9.4 JP Hydro Power 74 4.3 Bajaj Finserv 326 -7.9 Unitech 80 3.4 Aditya Birla Nuvo 888 -4.7 Dr Reddys Lab 1,231 3.4 LIC Housing Fin. 851 -4.5 Titan Ind. 1,967 3.3 Essar Oil 143 -4.3 1 Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report Sebi Registration No: INB 010996539
  • 2. Market Outlook | India Research JFE close to buying stake in JSW Steel As per recent media reports, JFE is in advanced talks to buy a small stake in JSW Steel and will invest about Rs5,000cr to buy a 14.1% stake. Mr Jindal and his family will also invest about Rs2,500cr to retain their current holding of 42%. JSW has been exploring options of raising equity to improve its balance sheet and to raise money for its expansion plans. The dilution would imply a ~45-50% premium over the current market price. We maintain our Accumulate rating on the stock. AREVA T&D India wins contracts worth Rs63cr AREVA T&D India has been awarded three contracts with a combined worth of Rs63cr for an Air-insulated Substation (AIS). Two of the orders are from the Chhattisgarh state utility, one for the manufacture and installation of a 132 kV AIS at the Patan plant, and the other for a 220 kV AIS at the Vishrampur plant. The orders are scheduled for completion by Q4 of 2010 and Q2 of 2011, respectively. The third order is from the West Bengal state utility, for the supply and installation of a 132/33 kV AIS at the Nazipur plant, as well as two bay extension projects for the 132 kV AIS at Amtola, Kolkata. We maintain our Neutral view on the stock. April 16, 2010 2
  • 3. Market Outlook | India Research Economic and Political News Inflation at 9.9% on broad price rise Oil firms raise ATF prices by 3.2% Steel demand to grow by 8-10% in 2010-11: Ministry of Steel Corporate News GMR Infra begins QIP to raise up to US $250mn L&T plans JV with Japan's MHI to make industrial tyres Goldyne Tech close to buying US-based DecisionOne for Rs500cr Source: Economic Times, Business Standard, Business Line, Financial Express, Mint Events for the day Crisil Dividend, Results Indusind Bank Dividend, Results Development Credit Bank Results April 16, 2010 3
  • 4. Market Outlook | India Research Research Team Tel: 022-4040 3800 E-mail: research@angeltrade.com Website: www.angeltrade.com DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Securities Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, and is for general guidance only. Angel Securities Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Securities Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Securities Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Securities Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Address: Acme Plaza, ‘A’ Wing, 3rd Floor, M.V. Road, Opp. Sangam Cinema, Andheri (E), Mumbai - 400 059. Tel : (022) 3952 4568 / 4040 3800 Angel Broking Ltd: BSE Sebi Regn No : INB 010996539 / CDSL Regn No: IN - DP - CDSL - 234 - 2004 / PMS Regn Code: PM/INP000001546 Angel Securities Ltd:BSE: INB010994639/INF010994639 NSE: INB230994635/INF230994635 Membership numbers: BSE 028/NSE:09946 Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd: INB 231279838 / NSE FNO: INF 231279838 / NSE Member code -12798 Angel Commodities Broking (P) Ltd: MCX Member ID: 12685 / FMC Regn No: MCX / TCM / CORP / 0037 NCDEX : Member ID 00220 / FMC Regn No: NCDEX / TCM / CORP / 0302 April 16, 2010 4