Simulation Models for Long-Term Scenario AnalysisExternalEvents
This document discusses simulation models for long-term scenario analysis. It describes how IFPRI uses a suite of linked partial equilibrium and general equilibrium models to address issues like population growth, climate change, and natural resource limits. The IMPACT model is highlighted as IFPRI's main agricultural partial equilibrium model. It is composed of specialized modules that can be linked to address issues at different levels while maintaining modularity. Global CGE models are also discussed and compared to partial equilibrium models.
Long-term scenario building for food and agriculture: A global overall model ...FAO
The document discusses the importance of the FAO's Global Perspective Studies (GPS) in providing long-term projections on food, agriculture, and sustainability issues. It outlines the need to update the GPS analytical tools and models to better address current issues and produce the next report "Food and Agriculture towards 2050-80". The workshop aims to discuss how to strengthen the GPS analytical framework through the use of global economy-wide models and partnerships with other organizations.
The Climate-Smart Agriculture Project in Vietnam aims to: 1) provide an evidence base for identifying and implementing climate-smart agriculture practices and policies; 2) develop a strategic framework to guide climate-smart agriculture action and investment; 3) formulate climate-smart agriculture investment proposals; and 4) build capacity for climate-smart agriculture planning and implementation. The project focuses on the northern mountainous regions of Vietnam and priority areas including sustainable land management, crop diversification, and agroforestry. So far, the project has selected focal points, collected data, and begun research activities. Upcoming activities include further analyses of barriers to adoption, costs and benefits, and risks of climate-smart agriculture practices.
Analysis of policy impact on the farming sector in Africa. Selected activitie...Francois Stepman
This document provides information about the Joint Research Centre (JRC) of the European Commission, with a focus on the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) and its work analyzing policy impacts on the agricultural sector in Africa. The IPTS uses economic modeling tools like FSSIM-DEV to evaluate the effects of policies and innovations on farm households, poverty levels, and other indicators. An example application analyzed the impacts of a rice seed policy in Sierra Leone. The modeling found the policy improved farmer viability but not enough to significantly reduce poverty. Ongoing work includes expanding the analyses to more African countries and further developing the modeling methodology.
Using whole-farm models for policy analysis of Climate Smart AgricultureFAO
www.fao.org/climatechange/epic
This presentation was prepared to as background to the Scientific conference on Climate-Smart Agriculture held in Montpellier, France, on 16-18 March 2015.
1. The Global Futures and Strategic Foresight program aims to improve quantitative modeling tools to inform priority setting in the CGIAR through scenario analysis and impact assessment.
2. The program involves all 15 CGIAR centers and other partners in building an integrated modeling framework and stronger community of practice for foresight.
3. The objectives are to improve modeling tools, strengthen the foresight community, improve assessments of alternative global futures, and inform research, investment, and policy decisions through collective scenario analysis.
This document summarizes the proceedings of an international workshop on bridging the gap between agricultural research and farmers' practices in Africa. The workshop included presentations on:
- The objectives and methodology of the ITAACC program, which is funding the research.
- Key findings from the demand-supply assessment for agricultural innovations in Africa, including the most needed crops and livestock.
- Criteria for successful innovations from the perspectives of farmers, researchers, and intermediaries.
- Challenges farmers currently face as described by farmer organization representatives.
- A new extension approach being tested that links payments to farmer satisfaction.
Simulation Models for Long-Term Scenario AnalysisExternalEvents
This document discusses simulation models for long-term scenario analysis. It describes how IFPRI uses a suite of linked partial equilibrium and general equilibrium models to address issues like population growth, climate change, and natural resource limits. The IMPACT model is highlighted as IFPRI's main agricultural partial equilibrium model. It is composed of specialized modules that can be linked to address issues at different levels while maintaining modularity. Global CGE models are also discussed and compared to partial equilibrium models.
Long-term scenario building for food and agriculture: A global overall model ...FAO
The document discusses the importance of the FAO's Global Perspective Studies (GPS) in providing long-term projections on food, agriculture, and sustainability issues. It outlines the need to update the GPS analytical tools and models to better address current issues and produce the next report "Food and Agriculture towards 2050-80". The workshop aims to discuss how to strengthen the GPS analytical framework through the use of global economy-wide models and partnerships with other organizations.
The Climate-Smart Agriculture Project in Vietnam aims to: 1) provide an evidence base for identifying and implementing climate-smart agriculture practices and policies; 2) develop a strategic framework to guide climate-smart agriculture action and investment; 3) formulate climate-smart agriculture investment proposals; and 4) build capacity for climate-smart agriculture planning and implementation. The project focuses on the northern mountainous regions of Vietnam and priority areas including sustainable land management, crop diversification, and agroforestry. So far, the project has selected focal points, collected data, and begun research activities. Upcoming activities include further analyses of barriers to adoption, costs and benefits, and risks of climate-smart agriculture practices.
Analysis of policy impact on the farming sector in Africa. Selected activitie...Francois Stepman
This document provides information about the Joint Research Centre (JRC) of the European Commission, with a focus on the Institute for Prospective Technological Studies (IPTS) and its work analyzing policy impacts on the agricultural sector in Africa. The IPTS uses economic modeling tools like FSSIM-DEV to evaluate the effects of policies and innovations on farm households, poverty levels, and other indicators. An example application analyzed the impacts of a rice seed policy in Sierra Leone. The modeling found the policy improved farmer viability but not enough to significantly reduce poverty. Ongoing work includes expanding the analyses to more African countries and further developing the modeling methodology.
Using whole-farm models for policy analysis of Climate Smart AgricultureFAO
www.fao.org/climatechange/epic
This presentation was prepared to as background to the Scientific conference on Climate-Smart Agriculture held in Montpellier, France, on 16-18 March 2015.
1. The Global Futures and Strategic Foresight program aims to improve quantitative modeling tools to inform priority setting in the CGIAR through scenario analysis and impact assessment.
2. The program involves all 15 CGIAR centers and other partners in building an integrated modeling framework and stronger community of practice for foresight.
3. The objectives are to improve modeling tools, strengthen the foresight community, improve assessments of alternative global futures, and inform research, investment, and policy decisions through collective scenario analysis.
This document summarizes the proceedings of an international workshop on bridging the gap between agricultural research and farmers' practices in Africa. The workshop included presentations on:
- The objectives and methodology of the ITAACC program, which is funding the research.
- Key findings from the demand-supply assessment for agricultural innovations in Africa, including the most needed crops and livestock.
- Criteria for successful innovations from the perspectives of farmers, researchers, and intermediaries.
- Challenges farmers currently face as described by farmer organization representatives.
- A new extension approach being tested that links payments to farmer satisfaction.
Trans-SEC outline, research framework and activitiesFrancois Stepman
This document outlines the framework and activities for the Trans-SEC research project in Tanzania. The project will:
1) Study food value chains in two regions of Tanzania representing different climates and socioeconomic conditions, through stakeholder workshops and surveys across 4 case study sites.
2) Identify and analyze the most promising strategies for upgrading these food value chains, such as improved production, processing, markets, and consumption. Strategies will be tested and their impacts assessed.
3) Embed the research within a modeling framework to understand risks and impacts under different scenarios. Results will be disseminated to stakeholders and policymakers to connect findings to development programs.
1) The document discusses challenges facing food security and the environment in the Middle East and North Africa region, including population growth, rising incomes, variable oil prices, water scarcity issues, and climate change impacts.
2) It presents scenarios for agricultural and food security outcomes in 2050 using IFPRI's IMPACT model, including a scenario with climate change impacts and a scenario with additional comprehensive agricultural investments.
3) The results show that a scenario with climate change could negatively impact crop yields and food availability, but a scenario with increased investments in areas like research, irrigation, and infrastructure could help offset these impacts.
Taking Forward the Implementation of the Agriculture Priority Actions in NCCAP (2013–2017) Kenyan Experience
A presentation from CCAFS East Africa Regional Program.
Mark Rosegrant
Global Landscapes Forum
IFPRI Session: Informing the policymaking landscape: From research to action in the fight against climate change and hunger
Marrakech, Morocco
November 16, 2016
Using agroecology to measure sustainability in agriculture TAPE – the Tool fo...Francois Stepman
Presentation by Anne Mottet - FAO Livestock Development Officer, Animal Production and Health Division - "Using agroecology to measure sustainability in agriculture TAPE – the Tool for Agroecology Performance Evaluation"
02/07 WEBINAR: The effects of agroecology. Why are metrics needed?
Keith Wiebe
Global Landscapes Forum
IFPRI Session: Informing the policymaking landscape: From research to action in the fight against climate change and hunger
Marrakech, Morocco
November 16, 2016
This document summarizes a meeting on climate change adaptation and national adaptation plans (NAPs) in agriculture sectors. It discusses how most countries' intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) refer to agriculture and land use sectors as priorities for climate action. Many countries need enhanced cooperation across sectors and ministries to implement strategies. Technical and research capacities are also priorities, as are technology transfer and engagement of stakeholders. The document outlines FAO's support for climate-smart agriculture, national adaptation planning, and relevant programs in over 20 countries. FAO is working to build the evidence base around climate impacts on agriculture to inform national adaptation efforts.
The document discusses Madagascar's environment, socioeconomics, food security, and subnational integration. It describes the process of diagnosing Madagascar's food system with stakeholders from government, private sector, and civil society. Participants adapted to online consultations during COVID. The exercise revealed a growing consensus for a systems approach and advice on challenges like malnutrition and natural resource overuse. Lessons will inform ongoing programming and sharing with technical partners.
All Presentation Slides
COUNTRY WORKSHOP
The Knowledge Lab on Climate Resilient Food Systems: An analytical support facility to achieve the SDGs
Co-Organized by IFPRI and AGRA
FEB 7, 2019 - 08:30 AM TO 05:55 PM EAT
Catalysing the Sustainable and Inclusive Transformation of Food Systems, From...Francois Stepman
Presentation of Hélène David-Benz - Senior Researcher, French Agricultural Research Centre for International Development on 10 June 2021. Catalysing the Sustainable and Inclusive Transformation of Food Systems, From Assessment to Policy and Investment
Since 2020, the EU, FAO and CIRAD have entered into a partnership with governments and stakeholders to initiate a large-scale assessment and consultation on food systems in more than 50 countries.
This document discusses a project that aims to help smallholder agricultural communities adapt to climate change through participatory supply chain management. The project seeks to (1) quantify crop exposure to climate change using prediction models, (2) develop indicators to describe climate change impacts, and (3) derive potential adaptation strategies for supply chain actors. Case studies include vegetable value chains in Guatemala and Jamaica and small-scale farmers in Bogota. A framework is presented for conducting vulnerability assessments and developing inclusive adaptation strategies along food supply chains.
Food Security in the light of Climate Change and Bioenergy – Challenges for R...Francois Stepman
The document describes research being conducted by the ZALF (Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research) in Sub-Saharan Africa. It discusses 12 projects focused on food security, climate change impacts, and bioenergy development. A key project discussed is Trans-SEC, a 7.5 million euro initiative aiming to improve food security in Tanzania through identifying successful food production and distribution strategies. The Trans-SEC project involves stakeholder participation, testing of good agricultural practices, and disseminating results to influence policy.
The document summarizes research using participatory scenarios to link climate change projections and socioeconomic pathways with policy development across six global regions. Regional scenarios were developed through stakeholder engagement and modeling to explore climate and development futures. The scenarios were then used to inform and test the robustness of agricultural and food security policies in countries like Honduras, Bangladesh, Tanzania, Burkina Faso, and Ghana. Case studies showed that a scenario-guided approach helped strengthen policies by focusing on uncertainties and generating new ideas.
Presentation from Dr Caitlin Corner-Dolloff (CIAT) about decision-support framework for targeting investment towards climate-smart agriculture, presented on July 8 at the Our Common Future Under Climate Change science conference in Paris.
This document discusses transforming food systems under a changing climate. It identifies six key elements needed: gender equality and social inclusion, climate-resilient practices, digitally-enabled climate services, innovative finance, reshaping supply chains and new consumption patterns. Transformative technologies, adaptation pathways tailored to different farmers, and enabling policies are also needed. Public and private sectors must seize opportunities while acknowledging trade-offs. Comprehensive actions across the entire food system are required to achieve systemic shifts that support food security under climate change.
Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Energy Sector
Dr. Fatih Birol
Chief Economist
International Energy Agency
World Energy Council
Rome, 19th March 2009
Energy conservation refers to reducing energy consumption through using less energy. Driving less is an example. It can result in financial savings and environmental benefits. Energy management aims to effectively use energy for maximum profits through resource conservation, cost savings, and climate protection. Energy comes from both renewable and non-renewable sources. India relies heavily on fossil fuels like coal but is increasing its use of renewable resources through initiatives like solar and wind energy programs to meet future demand in a sustainable way.
Trans-SEC outline, research framework and activitiesFrancois Stepman
This document outlines the framework and activities for the Trans-SEC research project in Tanzania. The project will:
1) Study food value chains in two regions of Tanzania representing different climates and socioeconomic conditions, through stakeholder workshops and surveys across 4 case study sites.
2) Identify and analyze the most promising strategies for upgrading these food value chains, such as improved production, processing, markets, and consumption. Strategies will be tested and their impacts assessed.
3) Embed the research within a modeling framework to understand risks and impacts under different scenarios. Results will be disseminated to stakeholders and policymakers to connect findings to development programs.
1) The document discusses challenges facing food security and the environment in the Middle East and North Africa region, including population growth, rising incomes, variable oil prices, water scarcity issues, and climate change impacts.
2) It presents scenarios for agricultural and food security outcomes in 2050 using IFPRI's IMPACT model, including a scenario with climate change impacts and a scenario with additional comprehensive agricultural investments.
3) The results show that a scenario with climate change could negatively impact crop yields and food availability, but a scenario with increased investments in areas like research, irrigation, and infrastructure could help offset these impacts.
Taking Forward the Implementation of the Agriculture Priority Actions in NCCAP (2013–2017) Kenyan Experience
A presentation from CCAFS East Africa Regional Program.
Mark Rosegrant
Global Landscapes Forum
IFPRI Session: Informing the policymaking landscape: From research to action in the fight against climate change and hunger
Marrakech, Morocco
November 16, 2016
Using agroecology to measure sustainability in agriculture TAPE – the Tool fo...Francois Stepman
Presentation by Anne Mottet - FAO Livestock Development Officer, Animal Production and Health Division - "Using agroecology to measure sustainability in agriculture TAPE – the Tool for Agroecology Performance Evaluation"
02/07 WEBINAR: The effects of agroecology. Why are metrics needed?
Keith Wiebe
Global Landscapes Forum
IFPRI Session: Informing the policymaking landscape: From research to action in the fight against climate change and hunger
Marrakech, Morocco
November 16, 2016
This document summarizes a meeting on climate change adaptation and national adaptation plans (NAPs) in agriculture sectors. It discusses how most countries' intended nationally determined contributions (INDCs) refer to agriculture and land use sectors as priorities for climate action. Many countries need enhanced cooperation across sectors and ministries to implement strategies. Technical and research capacities are also priorities, as are technology transfer and engagement of stakeholders. The document outlines FAO's support for climate-smart agriculture, national adaptation planning, and relevant programs in over 20 countries. FAO is working to build the evidence base around climate impacts on agriculture to inform national adaptation efforts.
The document discusses Madagascar's environment, socioeconomics, food security, and subnational integration. It describes the process of diagnosing Madagascar's food system with stakeholders from government, private sector, and civil society. Participants adapted to online consultations during COVID. The exercise revealed a growing consensus for a systems approach and advice on challenges like malnutrition and natural resource overuse. Lessons will inform ongoing programming and sharing with technical partners.
All Presentation Slides
COUNTRY WORKSHOP
The Knowledge Lab on Climate Resilient Food Systems: An analytical support facility to achieve the SDGs
Co-Organized by IFPRI and AGRA
FEB 7, 2019 - 08:30 AM TO 05:55 PM EAT
Catalysing the Sustainable and Inclusive Transformation of Food Systems, From...Francois Stepman
Presentation of Hélène David-Benz - Senior Researcher, French Agricultural Research Centre for International Development on 10 June 2021. Catalysing the Sustainable and Inclusive Transformation of Food Systems, From Assessment to Policy and Investment
Since 2020, the EU, FAO and CIRAD have entered into a partnership with governments and stakeholders to initiate a large-scale assessment and consultation on food systems in more than 50 countries.
This document discusses a project that aims to help smallholder agricultural communities adapt to climate change through participatory supply chain management. The project seeks to (1) quantify crop exposure to climate change using prediction models, (2) develop indicators to describe climate change impacts, and (3) derive potential adaptation strategies for supply chain actors. Case studies include vegetable value chains in Guatemala and Jamaica and small-scale farmers in Bogota. A framework is presented for conducting vulnerability assessments and developing inclusive adaptation strategies along food supply chains.
Food Security in the light of Climate Change and Bioenergy – Challenges for R...Francois Stepman
The document describes research being conducted by the ZALF (Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research) in Sub-Saharan Africa. It discusses 12 projects focused on food security, climate change impacts, and bioenergy development. A key project discussed is Trans-SEC, a 7.5 million euro initiative aiming to improve food security in Tanzania through identifying successful food production and distribution strategies. The Trans-SEC project involves stakeholder participation, testing of good agricultural practices, and disseminating results to influence policy.
The document summarizes research using participatory scenarios to link climate change projections and socioeconomic pathways with policy development across six global regions. Regional scenarios were developed through stakeholder engagement and modeling to explore climate and development futures. The scenarios were then used to inform and test the robustness of agricultural and food security policies in countries like Honduras, Bangladesh, Tanzania, Burkina Faso, and Ghana. Case studies showed that a scenario-guided approach helped strengthen policies by focusing on uncertainties and generating new ideas.
Presentation from Dr Caitlin Corner-Dolloff (CIAT) about decision-support framework for targeting investment towards climate-smart agriculture, presented on July 8 at the Our Common Future Under Climate Change science conference in Paris.
This document discusses transforming food systems under a changing climate. It identifies six key elements needed: gender equality and social inclusion, climate-resilient practices, digitally-enabled climate services, innovative finance, reshaping supply chains and new consumption patterns. Transformative technologies, adaptation pathways tailored to different farmers, and enabling policies are also needed. Public and private sectors must seize opportunities while acknowledging trade-offs. Comprehensive actions across the entire food system are required to achieve systemic shifts that support food security under climate change.
Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Energy Sector
Dr. Fatih Birol
Chief Economist
International Energy Agency
World Energy Council
Rome, 19th March 2009
Energy conservation refers to reducing energy consumption through using less energy. Driving less is an example. It can result in financial savings and environmental benefits. Energy management aims to effectively use energy for maximum profits through resource conservation, cost savings, and climate protection. Energy comes from both renewable and non-renewable sources. India relies heavily on fossil fuels like coal but is increasing its use of renewable resources through initiatives like solar and wind energy programs to meet future demand in a sustainable way.
This document is a resume for Prakash Kumar Sinha summarizing his professional experience and qualifications. Sinha has over 3 years of experience as a Software Developer working with technologies like ASP.NET, C#, and SQL Server. He is currently employed as a Software Engineer at Shivashakthi Bio Technologies Ltd. and is seeking a new opportunity that allows him to utilize his skills and contribute to an organization's growth. Prior work experience includes positions at Tata Consultancy Services and projects for clients such as Protective Life Insurance and Microsoft. Sinha holds a B.Tech degree in computer science and lists proficient technical skills including programming languages, frameworks, and databases.
Este documento presenta dos casos de tratamiento cognitivo-conductual para trastornos por déficit de atención e hiperactividad (TDAH). El primer caso es de Carlitos, un niño de 5 años con problemas de comportamiento en la escuela. El segundo caso es de Rubén, un adolescente de 14 años que repite el primer año de secundaria y tiene dificultades académicas y baja autoestima. Ambos reciben tratamiento conductual que mejora sus síntomas, aunque Rubén requiere más esfuerzo dado sus mayores desafíos.
Optimizing a Global Workforce with Enterprise SearchEric Andersen
How IBM's Professional Marketplace is leveraging enterprise search technology and techniques to optimize finding, matching, and deploying talent pools globally
Programme of activities roles and responsibilitiesRCREEE
The document discusses the roles and responsibilities of institutions involved in Programme of Activities (PoA). It outlines that the coordinating entity is responsible for communicating with the Executive Board and managing the PoA. There are two options for setting up the PoA - with external CPA developers or where the coordinating entity develops all CPAs itself. National Designated Authorities and Designated Operational Entities also have challenges with PoAs due to limited experience with the framework. Overall, the document emphasizes choosing the right institutional arrangements and enabling reliable monitoring processes to ensure a successful PoA.
The document presents budget allocation charts for energy efficiency and renewable energy technologies in Morocco. It summarizes the country's energy situation, key technologies for efficiency and renewables, and the methodology used to create budget allocation charts. The charts show the additional energy savings and costs of various technologies, helping policymakers identify the most effective options to maximize energy savings or minimize costs. Specifically, the charts indicate technologies with the highest savings and most cost-effective options to guide policy decisions.
Este documento define y explica varias medidas de dispersión como el rango, la desviación típica y la varianza. Explica que las medidas de dispersión muestran cuán alejados están los valores de una distribución de su media y cuánto varían. Define cada medida y explica cómo se calcula y cómo se interpreta para mostrar la variabilidad de un conjunto de datos.
Day2-Session 3Template of the National Energy Efficiency Action Plans for the...RCREEE
The document is a template for National Energy Efficiency Action Plans (NEEAPs) for 2011-2013. It provides guidelines for countries to develop their own NEEAPs. The template includes sections for an overview of national energy efficiency targets, sector-specific efficiency measures, additional cross-cutting measures, and guidelines for assessing progress on energy efficiency policies. The template aims to standardize NEEAP content and reporting to facilitate regional collaboration on energy challenges.
The document summarizes the status and future of carbon markets and financing. It notes that the future demand for carbon credits (CERs) from the CDM post-2012 is uncertain due to the lack of a successor treaty to the Kyoto Protocol. Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) and new mechanisms like sectoral crediting are being explored, but large sums of funding are not yet available. Donor funding for climate initiatives is expected to be scaled up through mechanisms like the Green Climate Fund, but what constitutes "new and additional" funding remains undefined.
La educación pre-escolar se refiere al ciclo educativo para niños de 3 a 5 años antes de la educación primaria obligatoria. Entre las edades de 3 y 5 años, los niños comienzan a integrarse con los demás y explorar el mundo de manera más independiente. La educación inicial se divide en sectores como el hogar, cuentos, y dentro del aula.
La educación inclusiva busca atender las necesidades de todos los estudiantes, en especial aquellos en riesgo de exclusión. Surge en la década de 1970 para promover la integración de estudiantes con necesidades educativas especiales en escuelas regulares. La inclusión se diferencia de la integración al adaptar la escuela a cada estudiante, no solo integrarlos. Las aulas inclusivas crean un ambiente donde todos se sientan valorados a través de estrategias como el aprendizaje cooperativo y el componente lúdico.
Pre mts Sharepoint 2010 i SQL Server 2012Łukasz Grala
This document summarizes Łukasz Grala's qualifications and experience working with SQL Server, BI, and SharePoint solutions. It then provides an agenda for an upcoming presentation or training that will cover new features in PowerPivot and Reporting Services in SQL Server 2012, the Project Crescent reporting project, and high availability in SQL Server 2012. The document also includes architectural diagrams showing the relationships between different BI components in SQL Server 2012 like PowerPivot, Reporting Services, and Analysis Services.
WyspaIT 2016 - Azure Stream Analytics i Azure Machine Learning w analizie str...Łukasz Grala
Wzrost ilości danych w postaci strumieni danych spowodował potrzebę analizy danych w czasie rzecyzwistych będących strumieniami. W czasie sesji pokazano połączenie:
- event hub/Iot hub
- Azure Stream Analytics
- Azure Machine Learning
This document discusses PowerBI and R. It provides an overview of Microsoft R products including Microsoft R Open, Microsoft R Server, and SQL Server R Services. It explains how SQL Server R Services integrates R with SQL Server for scalable in-database analytics. Examples of using R with PowerBI, SQL Server, and Azure are provided. The document also compares the capabilities of Microsoft R Open, Microsoft R Server, and open source R and discusses using R for advanced analytics, predictive modeling, and big data at scale.
Enterprise Vulnerability Management: Back to BasicsDamon Small
Vulnerability Management is the lifecycle of identifying and remediating vulnerabilities in an organization's enterprise. A number of companies are starting to do this well, but in some cases, focus on advanced and emerging threats has had the unintended consequence of leaving Vulnerability Management unattended. Defense is actually hard work and people aren't doing it as well as they should! Considered in the context of asymmetric warfare, Blue Teaming is more difficult than Red Teaming. Coupled with the fact that most vulnerabilities do not actually suffer from advanced attacks and 0-days, Vulnerability Management must be the cornerstone of any Information Assurance Program.
The speakers, Kevin Dunn and Damon Small, will describe the key elements of a mature Vulnerability Management Program (VMP) and the pitfalls encountered by many organizations as they try to implement it. Dunn and Small will include detailed examples of why purchasing the scanner should be one of the last decisions made in this process, and what the attendee must do to ensure the successful defense of company assets and data. This session will cover:
- Vulnerability Management: What is it good for?
- What is it not good for?
- How do I make a real difference?
GCARD2: Foresight, projections and issues of Agricultural Research Coordination for future smallholder impact http://www.egfar.org/gcard-2012
GCARD2: Perspectives, projections et enjeu de la coordination d'une recherche agricole orientée dans le future vers des petits paysans http://www.egfar.org/gcard-2012
GCARD2 Prospectiva, proyecciones y problemas de coordinación de la investigación agrícola para el impacto futuro de agricultores pequeños. http://www.egfar.org/gcard-2012
Socio-economic scenarios to develop and test agricultural adaptation policies...Marieke Veeger
A multi-stakeholder process was used to develop four scenarios for the agriculture sectors in Central America and the Andes region. The scenarios explored different socioeconomic and climate futures. Government policies and adaptation plans for Honduras and Colombia were tested across the scenarios. This led to improvements in the plans, including adding new strategic objectives and elements. The scenario process directly engaged stakeholders and helped ensure the policies would be robust across a range of uncertain futures and have a greater likelihood of achieving climate-smart agriculture goals.
Poster presented at CSA Conference 2015 in Montpellier by Marieke Veeger and Joost Vervoort.
Read more about the conference: http://ccafs.cgiar.org/3rd-global-science-conference-%E2%80%9Cclimate-smart-agriculture-2015%E2%80%9D#.
Slides from Damian Maye's Seminar - Using Living Labs to Strengthen Rural-Urban Linkages - Reflections from a multi-actor research project
Footage available at: https://youtu.be/Es1VHe69Mcw
This report summarizes the corporate strategic foresight exercise conducted by FAO on the future of food and agriculture. It identifies key drivers that will shape agrifood systems, analyzes their interactions, and detects weak signals of potential challenges. Four scenarios are presented for 2030 and beyond: continuing on the current path leads to degradation, while achieving sustainability requires trading short-term gains for long-term resilience. The report highlights policy options focused on governance, consumer awareness, wealth distribution, and innovation to trigger transformations toward sustainability. While challenges are significant, the report maintains an optimistic view that collapse can be avoided through coordinated global action.
Climate change and food systems: Global modeling to inform decision makingCIFOR-ICRAF
Presentation given by Keith Wiebe, Senior Research Fellow in the Environment and Production Technology Division of the International Food Policy Research Institute, at the Global Landscapes Forum on 16 November 2016 in Marrakesh, Morocco.
http://www.landscapes.org/
Regional study on small scale agriculture in the NENA region Jacques Marzi...Nena Agri
Regional study on small scale agriculture in the NENA region Jacques Marzin CIRAD, Omar Bessaoud CIHEAM-IAMM, Pascal Bonnet CIRAD, International Coordination Team , FAO- Cairo 2015
Presentation held by Philip Thornton, CCAFS Theme Leader Flagship 4, at the Governance & Institutions Across Scales in Climate Resilient Food Systems
Brussels Workshop 9-11 Sept 2014.
Foresight modeling to guide sustainable intensification of smallholder systemsILRI
Presented by Dolapo Enahoro (ILRI) at the international conference on Integrated Systems Research for Sustainable Intensification in Smallholder Agriculture, Ibadan, Nigeria, 3-6 March 2015.
Regional livestock modeling for climate change adaptation and mitigation in S...ILRI
Presentation by Dolapo Enahoro and Karl M. Rich at the Southern Africa Towards Inclusive Economic Development (SA-TIED) Programme – A Scoping Workshop on Climate Change Pretoria, South Africa, 4 February 2019
Agriculture Science Agenda for Africa - Drawing on and Learning from other Ex...riatenorio
Information sharing on the development of a Science Agenda for Agriculture in Africa With inputs for CAADP-CGIAR alignment
April 13, 2013
Dublin, Ireland
Representative agricultural pathways and scenarios for regional integrated as...ICRISAT
This document discusses the development of Representative Agricultural Pathways (RAPs) and scenarios for regional integrated assessment of climate change impacts, vulnerabilities, and adaptations in agriculture. It describes an approach using RAPs based on socioeconomic and biophysical drivers to develop consistent scenarios for crop and economic models. Key points:
- RAPs are designed through a transdisciplinary process involving experts to provide quantitative and qualitative narratives of conditions underlying challenges to mitigation and adaptation.
- A step-wise process similar to "story and simulation" brings together expertise to design RAPs which are then used to develop model-specific scenarios.
- RAPs must form a logically consistent set of drivers and outcomes from global to
This document outlines plans for a global research partnership to improve agricultural productivity and livelihoods in dryland areas. It discusses establishing integrated production systems through strategic innovation platforms, commodity clusters, and other initiatives across multiple countries. The goal is to achieve more resilient livelihoods and sustainable management of natural resources through outputs like improved risk management options and tools developed by the national agricultural research systems. Key outcomes include more stable incomes, food security, and equitable land/water management. The plan clusters activities under seven intermediate development outcomes and uses a logframe approach to specify deliverables, timelines, locations, leaders, and partnerships for achieving the goals.
The document discusses global foresight modeling to guide sustainable intensification for smallholder systems. It describes the CGIAR's Global Futures and Strategic Foresight project which uses quantitative modeling to project global agriculture and assess technology and policy options. While useful at a macro scale, the models have limitations for smallholders due to their focus on international trade and lack of farm-level details. The new BioSight project aims to improve on this by combining biophysical and economic analysis using household data to directly model crop-livestock intensification strategies and tradeoffs.
Agricultural futures in the humid tropics: A multi-scale approach ILRI
Presented by Randall Ritzema (on behalf of Tim Robinson) at the international conference on Integrated Systems Research for Sustainable Intensification in Smallholder Agriculture, Ibadan, Nigeria, 3-6 March 2015.
Similar to Long-term scenario building for food and agriculture: A global overall model for FAO (20)
Agenda of the 5th NENA Soil Partnership meetingFAO
The Fifth meeting of the Near East and North African (NENA) Soil Partnership will take place from 1-2 April 2019 in Cairo, Egypt. The objectives of the meeting are to consolidate the NENA Soil Partnership, review the work plan, organize activities to establish National Soil Information Systems, agree to launch a Regional Soil Laboratory for NENA, and strengthen networking. The meeting agenda includes discussions on soil information systems, a soil laboratory network, and implementing the Voluntary Guidelines for Sustainable Soil Management. The performance of the NENA Soil Partnership will also be assessed and future strategies developed.
This document summarizes the proceedings of the first meeting of the Global Soil Laboratory Network (GLOSOLAN). GLOSOLAN was established to harmonize soil analysis methods and strengthen the performance of laboratories through standardized protocols. The meeting discussed the role of National Reference Laboratories in promoting harmonization, and how GLOSOLAN is structured with regional networks feeding into the global network. Progress made in 2018 included registering over 200 laboratories, assessing capacities and needs, and establishing regional networks. The work plan for 2019 includes further developing regional networks, standard methods, a best practice manual, and the first global proficiency testing. The document concludes by outlining next steps to launch the regional network for North Africa and the Near East.
This document provides an overview of wound healing, its functions, stages, mechanisms, factors affecting it, and complications.
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A workshop hosted by the South African Journal of Science aimed at postgraduate students and early career researchers with little or no experience in writing and publishing journal articles.
This slide is special for master students (MIBS & MIFB) in UUM. Also useful for readers who are interested in the topic of contemporary Islamic banking.
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In Odoo, making a field required can be done through both Python code and XML views. When you set the required attribute to True in Python code, it makes the field required across all views where it's used. Conversely, when you set the required attribute in XML views, it makes the field required only in the context of that particular view.
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Long-term scenario building for food and agriculture: A global overall model for FAO
1. Long-term scenario building for
food and agriculture: A global
overall model for FAO
Kostas Stamoulis
ad-interim ADG, ES Department
19/02/2016
2. GPS work and outputs
Corporate reports on key issues
• E.g. report on “Achieving Zero Hunger - The critical
role of investments in social protection and
agriculture” (2015)
World Agriculture towards 20XX
• long-term projections of agriculture, food security
and natural resource use. Last baseline projection
until 2050 (Alexandratos and Bruinsma, 2012)
Frequent requests for selected findings from GPS
reports by colleagues at HQ and decentralized offices,
national and international organizations, and member
states
Global perspective studies (GPS) has a long tradition at
FAO. Selected outputs comprise:
3. Importance of FAO GPS findings
GPS findings are important strategic corporate outputs as they:
• Provide a reference framework to member countries for their long
term development strategies for FNS and agriculture
• Nurture the global policy debate about long term sustainability of
food and agriculture;
• Frame within a long term perspective and inform the next FAO’s
strategic objectives;
• Highlight possible futures of food and agriculture, vis-à-vis climate
change scenarios.
• Explore possible futures of access to food, in relation to structural
changes of the agricultural sector, the role of smallholders, changing
income distribution, capital ownership, human capital etc.
4. Work ahead for GPS
Given the strategic importance of GPS findings, FAO needs to update
and upgrade its comprehensive long term forward looking exercise.
Indeed, FAO is preparing the next long term forward looking report:
“Food and Agriculture towards 2050-80” (FAT2080)
To this end, FAO needs to:
• Overhaul existing analytical tools for long term projections, to
further improve their performance
• Endow the GPS team with additional analytical tools to cover
relevant domains not covered so far and better addressing current
and emerging issues.
This workshop is an important step in the process of preparing the
next FAO forward looking exercise
5. Reinforcing the analytical framework
Alternative futures of FSN and sustainable agriculture depend on a
set of interrelated variables determined by economy-wide
dynamics, structural changes of economic systems affecting
income generation and distribution, use and remuneration of
production factors, capital accumulation, asset ownership,
knowledge generation and human capital, population dynamics,
etc.
To frame FSN and agriculture in the proper social, economic and
environmental context a model capturing key economy-wide
interrelationships is needed, as a complement to sector-specific
models.
This workshop aims at setting up the operational framework to
endow FAO GPS with a long-term global economy-wide model
6. GPS Cooperation and partnership
The Global Perspectives Studies Team is responsible for and has the leadership
of FAO’s GPS work, but, the GPS fully relies on:
• In-house knowledge and expert judgement. So, GPS is a coordinated effort
involving the entire FAO;
• Knowledge and experience of UN Rome-Based Agencies. RBAs according to
their specificities, are most welcome to contribute and partner in this
endeavor.
• Contributions and partnerships with relevant institutions, including UN
Agencies, the World Bank, OECD, IFPRI as well as further organizations and
academic institutions.
This workshop is a step in the direction of reinforced collaboration
and future partnership. Many thanks to all of you, we value very
much your inputs today
7. Requirements for a global
economy-wide model at FAO
Rob Vos, ESA Director,
19/02/2016
8. Major Topic: FSN in the Long Term
FoodSecurityandNutrition
Access
Availability
Utilization
Stability
Agricultural and food production,
stock levels, trade
Dimensions Components
Levels and distribution of incomes and
assets, expenditure, markets, prices
Sufficient energy and nutrient intake
by individuals, food preparation and
storage
Climatic conditions, resilient and
sustainable production systems,
economic factors
Qualitative and Quantitative
Analyses and Projections
9. Implications for Analytical Tools
Requirementsfortoolsandresults
Tractable
Consistent
Replicable
Open
Building on in-house data and results, grounding
in economic theory and agronomic expertise,
replicable by other users
Meeting informational demands of interested
audiences, available to the public
Sources of counter-intuitive results should be
clearly identifiable and explainable
Tools should be available in-house and releasable
to interested users without restrictions. They
should be usable in combination and individually,
depending on exercise, and changeable by staff,
and to the extent possible, by remote users
Transparent
Relevant
Modular
Accessible
10. State of the Art I
Multi-regional, multi-commodity partial equilibrium model
• 110 regions
• 42 agricultural activities (supply) which produce 35 commodities
• 41 activities are modelled, 1 is used to derive “other” land
demand
• 32 commodities are derived from FAO-FBS
• 3 commodities are used to close balances on calories
• Modell allows for joint production (cotton) and multi-activity
production (e.g. sugar beet & cane, vegetable oils, milk)
Dynamic parameters calibrated to AT2030/50 report (Alexandratos
& Bruinsma, 2012) and conditional on income/price/supply
elasticities taken over from IMPACT v3.0
Global Agriculture Perspectives System (GAPS-PE)
11. State of the Art II
Multi-regional, multi-commodity general equilibrium model
• Abridged recursive-dynamic multi-country version of IFPRI
standard model
• Build on GTAP 9 database augmented with SNA data
• 14 Activities, distinguishing farming and food production, 1
household, number of regions depending on available data
Used for testing of alternative specification for formal
representations of agents and markets and data requirements
Test version of a Global CGE Model
12. What FAO-GPS has done so far and how?
Global perspective studies (GPS) has a long tradition at FAO:
• Since the 70s: “Indicative World Plan for Agricultural Development (1970)”.
• Series of publications “World Agriculture towards 20XX”: long-term
projections of agricultural, food security and natural resource use.
• Multiple analyses of global trends and perspectives of agricultural
investments, natural resources use (land, water), fertilizers use, and links to
food security and nutrition.
• In-house database development in collaboration FAOSTAT, specialized teams
working on food security and natural resources (ES, NRL, NRC), etc.
Future work should build on this
13. Objectives of this Workshop
1. Discuss the nature of the scenario analysis to
underpin FAO’s global perspectives work
2. Identify how the scenario analysis can be supported
by a global model framework and what would be its
desirable characteristics
3. Identify usable existing models (including GAPS) and
what it would take to tailor these and combine to
FAO’s needs
4. Define steps to operationalize the model-based
scenario analysis
5. Discuss partnerships to make this happen (model
development and application)
14. Forward-looking scenarios:
Key questions for the FAT 2080
exercise
(and related modeling efforts)
Lorenzo Giovanni Bellù
Senior Economist
FAO-GPS team leader
19/02/2016
15. • World Agriculture towards 2030-2050 (AT 2050): Single long-term scenario
reflecting a (most plausible?) future state of agriculture with a focus on
use/availability of natural resources in different regions, built upon FAOSTAT
food/commodity balance sheets, other data sources and expert judgement.
• Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). On a parallel development the
integrated assessment modelling teams produced detailed Representative
Concentration Pathways (RCPs), which were used by climate modelling teams and
were considered in the 5th Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel of
Climate Change (IPCC)
• Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSPs). Developed by IAM Consortium, SSPs are
five narratives for alternative futures based on “reference assumptions” related to
key socio economic variables (to replace the Special Report on Emission Scenarios
(SRES) (see for example Krieger et al., 2012; van Vuuren et al., 2012). Augmented
with climate policy dimensions (Shared Climate Policy Assumptions – SPAs)
A comprehensive review is beyond the scope here, and will be the object of a next
exercise, but we highlight selected works, as they help to “set the scene” for our
modelling efforts.
Scenarios for possible futures: who has done what
16. Scenarios for possible futures (Cntd.)
• OECD: Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture (OECD alt.fut). von
Lampe, M. (2015). Alternative Futures for Global Food and Agriculture:
Developing Robust Strategies. TAD/TC/CA/WP(2015)1/FINAL, OECD.
• OECD. Securing livelihoods for all. (OECD sec. liv.) Foresight for action,
Development Centre Studies (2015). Not necessarily mutually exclusive
• IFAD. Scenarios for investments in rural development. Proceedings from the
workshop “Towards a high-Impact Demand-Driven research agenda” Dec. 1-3,
2015
• Agrimonde Terra foresight study. Focus on land
• European Commission Foresight. Maggio, A., van Criekinge, T., Malingreau, J. P.
(2015). Global Food Security 2030: Assessing trends with a view to guiding
future EU policies. Foresight Series, JRC Science and Policy Reports, European
Commission
17. Scenarios for possible futures
FAO AT2050 RCPs SSPs OECD
alt.fut.
OECD sec. liv. IFAD Agrimonde EC 2030
Single scenario,
no climate
change,
constant agric.
prices
+2.6 W/mq peak
(2060)
CO2concentr. and
decline to 400
PPM CO2 by 2100
SSP1:
Sustainability:
taking the green
road
Sustainability:
(Greening,
environmenta
l and social
focused
“Automated
North”
(inequality
increases,
south slower)
Low
institutional
capacity and
high-growth
pattern
Land uses for
food quality
and healthy
nutrition
(RCP 2.6)
Single
scenario
“Rosy
vision” to
2030, to
be realized
+ 4.5 W/mq
Stabilization by
2100 at 570 PPM
CO2
SSP2: Middle of
the road
(“moderate” of
everything)
Globalization:
Economic
growth
focused
Droughts and
joblessness in
the south
(Migrations,
inequality)
High
institutional
capacity and
high growth
Land uses for
regional food
systems
(RCP4.5)
+ 6.0 W/mq
Stabilization
beyond 2100 at
750 PPM CO2
SSP3: regional
rivalry
(resurgent
nationalism). A
rocky road
Separate
growth:
Sovereignty
and self
sufficiency
focused
Global financial
crash
(protectionism,
fragmentation,
governments
failure, inequa.)
Moderate
institutional
developmen
t with any
growth
uneven land
uses driven
by massive
urbanization
(RCP 8.5)
+ 8.5 W/mq
Increasing
CO2concentr.
(1250 PPM at
20100
SSP4: Inequality
across and
within
countries. A
road divided
Regenerative
economies
(sustainable
energy, jobs,
virtuous transf.
Very low
institutional
capacity
fragmented
world and
Land as
commons for
rural comm.
SSP5: Fossil
Fueled
development.
Taking the
highway
Creative
societies.
Technology
Unemployment
social experim.
18. Basic elements for scenario building
Demographics • Total population and age cohorts
• Migration within and between countries
Economic development • Global and regional GDP
• Inequality between and within countries
• Investment, savings and capital accumulation
• Structure of sectoral income
Environmental trends • Availability of natural resources and degree of
degradation
• Climate change, adaptation and mitigation
• Sources of emissions
Energy • Sources of energy (e.g fossil-based/renewables,
nuclear, other)
• Demand for energy and type of uses
Technology • Rate of technological change and factor productivity
• Emerging and new technologies
Enabling environment • Institutions
• Policies
• Preferences
Scenarios for FAT 2080: Not there yet, but key elements can already be identified…
19. Key questions for FAT 2080
1. Population growth and migration Pressure on natural resources? Migrations?
Urbanization?
2. Limits to natural resource uses FNS achievements in danger? Yield increases
and/or land expansion? Land degradation? Water?
3. Investment for development and
domestic asset generation
Investment needs in rural areas? Public vs private?
Foreign vs domestic? Investment for devt targets?
Need for CSA/mitigation? Doubling smallh. Prod?
4. Income generation and distribution Within and across countries? Convergence? Dietary
patterns? Asset accumulation? SME and/or SP?
5. Structural change Jobless development? Implications of Clim.Smart.
Agriculture? Migrations? Job absorption by manuf?
6. Emerging global food value chains Which type of Glob. VC are good for FNS? Income
distribution?
7. Climate change and development
perspectives
Impacts on yields and land? Mitigation where?
CSA? Payments for envir services?
8. The Energy-Agriculture-Climate
Change nexus
Biofuels? CSA and energy requirements? Carbon
taxes and food prices?
Scenarios for FAT 2080: …and key questions can already be raised:
20. The workshop
• Agenda
• Modalities
• Rules:
–focus on the workshop objectives
–write down your main ideas and
recommendations
• Logistical announcements
20
Editor's Notes
The analyses carried out by the GPS team were and are published and communicated to a wide audience. The major output are traditionally the AT reports, for which we foresee an update by 2017. Country-specific and more detailed results as published in the last AT report are still requested by interested groups and individuals. In addition to the latently ongoing work on AT reports, the GPS team carries out studies on specific topics and for specific purposes on demand, e.g. the last achieving Zero Hunger report was published in connection with the Finance for Development conference in Summer 2015. It is no exception that analyses of specific topics have to be carried out within a rather short time-frame if needed in-house.
I would like to recall that
The over-arching topic for the long-run projections at FAO are possible trajectories for Food and Nutrition security at global and country level. Four key dimensions of FNS are depicted here: Availability, Access, Utilization – all of them in combination with Stability. These dimensions encompass production of agricultural and food commodities, their stocks and trade on the supply-side. On the demand side, access is driven by levels and distribution of incomes, where the focus is on the lower segments of the income distribution, which , in turn is determined by factors’ remuneration and ownership and distribution within the population of productive assets, namely land and other capital. Demand and supply are linked through commodity markets. This links back to agricultural production in the case of e.g. the interactions between small farming households and commercial farms. The utilization component includes levels and distribution of energy and nutrient intakes which, in turn is determined by access to nutrition-relevant facilities, such as shelter, food cooking and storage facilities, drinkable water, health care etc. These nutrition-relevant dimensions link back to income availability and provision of public services. The stability and reliability of all these components is influenced by numerous factors, not least by the sustainability of natural resource use within the production systems and there resilience towards changing environmental conditions. Particularly in the long run, climate change poses a sever threat to the stability dimension. The task of the GPS team is to provide qualitative and quantitative analyses of the long-term developments of these components, either in combination or of selected sub-items.
In the light of the general mandate to investigate trajectories of FNS and related topics and given the types of planned outputs and informational demands by interested audiences, a number of desirable properties of the tool needed becomes apparent. FAO generates a variety of data and knowledge produts, which should be reflected in the work and result of the GPS team. Consistency with available knowledge and economic theory is therefore a first requirement. Similarly, results obtained should be replicable, not only by external users of results but also by staff after some years have passed since the last run of a certain exercise. Clearly, the produced results have to be transparent and relevant also for non-technical experts and a wider audience, namely policy makers. For the credibility of our findings we, think it important that we can potentially release all data and methods on request to the public. Given the sometimes short time frame in which information needs to be produced, we consider in-house availability of the tools as necessary, so that they can be flexibly andjusted and used for tailored purposes.
As a first step in the development of in-house tools, the GPS team has developed a partial model for agricultural markets, covering the regions and commodities from the last AT report. The model baseline is calibrated to the AT report projections and permits analyses of a wide range of scenarios. Due to the partial nature, a number of items of interest cannot be answered in this framework and the GPS team has so far resorted to ad-hoc solutions.
For internal testing purposes, the GSP team has also set up a substantially simplified multi-regional CGE. We use this to evaluate the behavior of a CGE model under alternative specifications and to assess the additional data requirements.
Today’s workshop aims at the clarification and specification of model features the GPS team needs to complement the partial model and to carry out the analyses required in the context of FNS projections. I am therefore particularly happy to see so many experts which whom I have collaborated in the past on similar topics.