The domestic markets opened higher, mirroring positive global cues. Gains were limited due to lack of follow-up buying and profit taking. Trading was range-bound and volumes were low. The markets ended the day with modest gains near the daily high. Technically, breadth was robust but volumes were lower. The markets may see a subdued open as stocks remain in an oversold position on daily charts. Support levels are at 5500, 5364 and 5262, while resistance is at 5600, 5740 and 5885.
1. Daily Technical Outlook
14th July 2011
Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the largely positive set of global market cues, the
BSE SENSEX 18596.02 1.00 domestic markets witnessed a gap up opening. Short
S&P CNX NIFTY 5585.45 1.07 covering and selective buying support was witnessed, which
NIFTY JULY FUT. 5599.75 1.07 helped the markets move higher. However, lack of follow up
India VIX 19.52 -6.28
buying and profit taking limited the gains. The over all trend
remained range bound. The volumes recorded remained
S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels tepid indicating lack of conviction. The markets ended the day
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3
with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top
gainers for the day were IDFC, Dr. Reddys, Kotak Bank, DLF,
Support 5500 5364 5262
Rel. Capital, NPC, M&M, Tata Motors, Bajaj Auto and ONGC.
Resistance 5600 5740 5885
Technically, the market breadth remained robust amidst
Volume (Lacs Shares) lower volumes. The global market set of cues are mix.
13/07/11 12/07/11 % Chg. The domestic markets are likely to witness a subdue
BSE 3306 3186 3.77 opening. The markets witnessed a pull back rally after
NSE 5154 5459 -5.60 three days of weakness on back of the Stochastic
Total 8460 8645 -2.15 remaining place in the over sold zone on the daily charts.
Source – BSE & NSE The Stochastic, the RSI and the KST are placed below
their respective averages on the daily charts. The Nifty
Turnover ( ` Crores)
continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Moreover, the
13/07/11 12/07/11 % Chg.
50-day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA.
BSE 2578.92 2848.98 -9.48 These conditions would lead to increased selling
NSE 9775.66 10954.51 -10.76 pressure at higher levels. The +DI line, the ADX line and -
NSE F&O 92813.18 155278.60 -40.23 DI line are moving sideways. The MACD continues to
Total 105167.76 169082.09 -37.80 remain placed above its average, which would help in
Source – BSE & NSE garnering buying support at lower levels. The markets
Market Breadth (NSE)
would continue to witness a pull back rally as the
Stochastic is still placed in the over sold zone. However,
Advances 1050
the market sentiment remains tentative. Now, it is
Declines 385
important that the Nifty finds buying support at regular
Same 80 intervals if the markets have to test its long term 200-day
Total 1515 SMA which is placed around the 5735 level. In the
A/D Ratio 2.73 : 1 meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
Source – NSE forthcoming earnings season, news flow on monsoon,
Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY crude prices and the global markets. The support levels for
50 Day SMA 5501.50
Nifty are placed at 5500, 5364, 5262 and 5175. The Nifty
◄Negative faces resistance at the 5600, 5740, 5885 and 5911 levels.
100 Day SMA 5566.11
200 Day SMA 5735.50 ◄Negative
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
BSE SENSEX 18596 18563 18660 18724 18885 18499 18402 18241
S&P CNX NIFTY 5585 5574 5607 5629 5684 5553 5520 5465
NIFTY JULY FUT. 5600 5587 5623 5646 5706 5563 5527 5467
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)
Stop
Initiation Stop Loss Target
Stock CMP Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks
Biocon 363.75 Buy Above 365.00 357.50 2.05 381 4.38
Target of 340
Achieved given
@ 320 on
CESC 340.05 Buy Above 341.50 333.00 2.49 360 5.42 08/07/11
GMDC 164.65 Buy Above 167.00 162.00 2.99 178 6.59
* Stop Losses are to be considered on Closing basis.
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
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