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Daily Technical Outlook
                                                                                                  13th September 2012
         Indices *          Close          % Chg.        Markets turning positive but over bought
 BSE SENSEX                18000.03          0.82
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5431.00          0.76      Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic
 NIFTY SEPT. FUT.           5446.95          0.77      markets witnessed a gap up opening. The markets witnessed
 India VIX                   15.04           -2.21     steady buying support but regular bouts of profit taking and
                                                       selling pressure was witnessed at regular intervals. The
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                 buying momentum increased in the afternoon trade on back
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3    of positive European market cues. The markets ended the
Support           5386       5333            5250      day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day.
Resistance        5450       5500            5565      The top gainers for the day were Tata Motors, Jindal Steel,
                                                       SAIL, Coal India, Tata Steel, L&T, Dr. Reddys, Wipro, Sesa
 Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                  Goa and Asian Paints.
50 Day SMA                  5282.38
100 Day SMA                 5165.46                    Technically, the market breadth remained positive,
200 Day SMA                 5145.07        ◄Critical
                                                       amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the
                                                       markets. The global market cues are inconclusive ahead
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE       of the outcome of Federal Reserve meeting. The
Advances                     1575             864      domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. As
Declines                     1308             616      we had indicated the Nifty Futures tested the 5450
Same                          123             101
                                                       resistance level. The prevailing positive technical
                                                       conditions continue to hold good. The Stochastic, RSI
Total                        3006            1581
                                                       and KST all are still placed above their respective
A/D Ratio                   1.20 : 1        1.40 : 1
                                                       averages. More so the KST is placed in the positive
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *               territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA,
               12/09/12    11/09/12         % Chg.
                                                       100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50-
                                                       day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and
BSE              2037        1924            5.87
                                                       200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross
NSE              5834        5229            11.57
                                                       breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to
Total            7871        7153            10.04     further buying support. However, a few prevailing
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *               technical negatives also continue to hold good and
                                                       would weigh on market sentiment at higher levels. The
               12/09/12    11/09/12         % Chg.
                                                       Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone.
BSE             2412.85     1787.78          34.96
                                                       Further the MACD is still placed below its average and is
NSE             9412.53     8147.90          15.52     placed in the negative territory. The Nifty has formed a
NSE F&O        116589.51   99116.56          17.63     negative divergence pattern. These negative technical
Total          128414.89   109052.24         17.76     conditions would lead to selling pressure and profit
                                                       taking at higher levels. The ADX line and +DI line are
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)         *          moving higher, while the –DI line is moving lower. More
               12/09/12    11/09/12         % Chg.     so the +DI line is on the verge of a breakout above the 30
Index Fut.      342421      299922           14.17     level. The market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is
Stock Fut.      453908      392798           15.56     important that markets witness follow up buying support
Index Opt.     3276202     2826520           15.91     at higher levels for the Nifty to move and sustain the
Stock Opt.      248762      205342           21.15
                                                       5450 resistance level. In the meanwhile the markets
                                                       would take cues from global markets, Rupee, and the
Total          4321293     3724582           13.24
                                                       crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5386,
NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE                          5333, 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance
                                                       at 5450, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels.


                                                             Keynote Capitals Ltd.
              The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                      Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in




                            Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
                                                                                  Stop
                                                   Initiation           Stop      Loss                     Target
         Stock            Close       Action       Price               Loss *      (%)      Target          (%)           Remarks
  Ambuja Cements          191.70     Buy Above            192.00        189.25      1.43          198           3.13
  Apollo Tyre              99.65     Buy Above            100.00         97.75      2.25          105           5.00
  Asian Paints           3845.40     Buy Above           3850.00       3797.00      1.38         3966           3.01
  HDFC Bank              599.20 Buy Above           601.00    590.00                1.83          625           3.99
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.

                                                              Intra-day Resistance                         Intra-day Support
      Indices             Close        Pivot Point           R1       R2         R3                  S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                  18000                17966       18047        18094       18222             17919       17838     17710
S&P CNX NIFTY                 5431                5420          5446       5462          5503            5405          5379    5337
NIFTY SEPT. FUT.              5447                5434          5466       5485          5535            5415          5384    5333




                                             Stocks To Watch Out Today
ABB, ACC, Ambuja Cements, Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Bata, Bharti Airtel, Coal India, Dena Bank, Dr. Reddys, Fortis, Godrej
Inds; GSPL, HCL tech; HDFC Bank, Hotel Leela, IFCI, ITC, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, L&T, Maruti, ONGC,
Petronet, Polaris Software, Punj Lloyd, Rolta, Rel. Power, SAIL, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, Tata Steel, TCS, Tech
Mahindra, Titan, Unitech, Videocon, Wipro,
BHEL, Cipla, Divis Labs; NTPC, Oil India, United Spirits

                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                           www.keynotecapitals.com
NOTE:

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS
SMA – Simple Moving Average
EMA – Exponential Moving Average
WMA – Weighted Moving Average




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                                                       Keynote Capitals Ltd.
          The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                      www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 130912

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 13th September 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets turning positive but over bought BSE SENSEX 18000.03 0.82 S&P CNX NIFTY 5431.00 0.76 Mirroring the positive global market cues the domestic NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5446.95 0.77 markets witnessed a gap up opening. The markets witnessed India VIX 15.04 -2.21 steady buying support but regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure was witnessed at regular intervals. The S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels buying momentum increased in the afternoon trade on back Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 of positive European market cues. The markets ended the Support 5386 5333 5250 day with modest gains to close near the highs for the day. Resistance 5450 5500 5565 The top gainers for the day were Tata Motors, Jindal Steel, SAIL, Coal India, Tata Steel, L&T, Dr. Reddys, Wipro, Sesa Simple Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY Goa and Asian Paints. 50 Day SMA 5282.38 100 Day SMA 5165.46 Technically, the market breadth remained positive, 200 Day SMA 5145.07 ◄Critical amidst higher volumes, which is a positive sign for the markets. The global market cues are inconclusive ahead Market Breadth * BSE NSE of the outcome of Federal Reserve meeting. The Advances 1575 864 domestic markets are likely to witness a flat opening. As Declines 1308 616 we had indicated the Nifty Futures tested the 5450 Same 123 101 resistance level. The prevailing positive technical conditions continue to hold good. The Stochastic, RSI Total 3006 1581 and KST all are still placed above their respective A/D Ratio 1.20 : 1 1.40 : 1 averages. More so the KST is placed in the positive Volume (Lacs Shares) * territory. The Nifty remains placed above its 50-day SMA, 12/09/12 11/09/12 % Chg. 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. More so the Nifty’s 50- day SMA remains placed above Nifty’s 100-day SMA and BSE 2037 1924 5.87 200-day SMA, the later being called the ‘Golden Cross NSE 5834 5229 11.57 breakout’. These positive conditions would lead to Total 7871 7153 10.04 further buying support. However, a few prevailing Turnover ( ` Crores) * technical negatives also continue to hold good and would weigh on market sentiment at higher levels. The 12/09/12 11/09/12 % Chg. Stochastic remains placed in the over bought zone. BSE 2412.85 1787.78 34.96 Further the MACD is still placed below its average and is NSE 9412.53 8147.90 15.52 placed in the negative territory. The Nifty has formed a NSE F&O 116589.51 99116.56 17.63 negative divergence pattern. These negative technical Total 128414.89 109052.24 17.76 conditions would lead to selling pressure and profit taking at higher levels. The ADX line and +DI line are F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * moving higher, while the –DI line is moving lower. More 12/09/12 11/09/12 % Chg. so the +DI line is on the verge of a breakout above the 30 Index Fut. 342421 299922 14.17 level. The market sentiment remains cautious. Now, it is Stock Fut. 453908 392798 15.56 important that markets witness follow up buying support Index Opt. 3276202 2826520 15.91 at higher levels for the Nifty to move and sustain the Stock Opt. 248762 205342 21.15 5450 resistance level. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues from global markets, Rupee, and the Total 4321293 3724582 13.24 crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5386, NOTE - * - Source – BSE & NSE 5333, 5250, 5215, 5118 and 5047. The Nifty faces resistance at 5450, 5500, 5565 and 5607 levels. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Ambuja Cements 191.70 Buy Above 192.00 189.25 1.43 198 3.13 Apollo Tyre 99.65 Buy Above 100.00 97.75 2.25 105 5.00 Asian Paints 3845.40 Buy Above 3850.00 3797.00 1.38 3966 3.01 HDFC Bank 599.20 Buy Above 601.00 590.00 1.83 625 3.99 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 18000 17966 18047 18094 18222 17919 17838 17710 S&P CNX NIFTY 5431 5420 5446 5462 5503 5405 5379 5337 NIFTY SEPT. FUT. 5447 5434 5466 5485 5535 5415 5384 5333 Stocks To Watch Out Today ABB, ACC, Ambuja Cements, Apollo Tyre, Asian Paints, Bata, Bharti Airtel, Coal India, Dena Bank, Dr. Reddys, Fortis, Godrej Inds; GSPL, HCL tech; HDFC Bank, Hotel Leela, IFCI, ITC, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Jindal Steel, JSW Steel, L&T, Maruti, ONGC, Petronet, Polaris Software, Punj Lloyd, Rolta, Rel. Power, SAIL, Tata Motors, Tata Motors DVR, Tata Steel, TCS, Tech Mahindra, Titan, Unitech, Videocon, Wipro, BHEL, Cipla, Divis Labs; NTPC, Oil India, United Spirits Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. NOTE: TECHNICAL ANALYSIS ABBREVATIONS SMA – Simple Moving Average EMA – Exponential Moving Average WMA – Weighted Moving Average Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com