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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                   13th June 2012
         Indices *          Close           % Chg.
                                                                    Markets to remain range bound
 BSE SENSEX                16862.80           1.17
 S&P CNX NIFTY              5115.90           1.22
                                                         Mirroring subdue global market cues the domestic markets
 NIFTY JUNE FUT.            5126.45           1.46       witnessed a negative opening. The markets drifted lower
 India VIX                   24.20           -3.27       ahead of the IIP numbers. Though, the IIP numbers
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels
                                                         disappointed the Street, buying support gained momentum
                                                         on back of hopes of RBI taking some positive steps in its
                 Level 1    Level 2         Level 3
                                                         forthcoming policy meet. The markets did not show any signs
Support           5114       5067            4950
                                                         of weakness as follow up buying support along with short
Resistance        5250       5333            5379        covering was witnessed. The markets ended the day with
        Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY
                                                         modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top
                                                         gainers for the day were Ambuja Cement, PNB, Tata Motors,
50 Day SMA                  5083.81
                                                         ACC, BPCL, Maruti, Sterlite, L&T, M&M and ONGC.
100 Day SMA                 5198.29
200 Day SMA                 5067.79        ◄ Positive    Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                                                         lower volumes. The global market cues are largely
   Market Breadth *          BSE             NSE         positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat
Advances                     1361             772        opening. The prevailing technical positives helped the
Declines                     1312             672        markets witness a rally. The Nifty has once again moved
Same                          149                99      above its 50-day and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the RSI,
Total                        2822            1543        MACD and KST all are still placed above their respective
A/D Ratio                   1.04 : 1        1.15 : 1     averages. The KST and MACD are also placed in the
                                                         positive territory. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and
             Volume (Lacs Shares)      *                 100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA.
               12/06/12     11/06/12        % Chg.       Even Nifty’s June Futures is now trading at a Premium.
BSE              N.A.        2035                -       These positive technical conditions would prompt further
NSE              6231        7228            -13.80      buying support leading to short covering. However, a few
Total            6231        9263            -32.73
                                                         technical negatives still continue to hold good and are
                                                         likely to cap upside gains. The Stochastic has slipped
             Turnover ( ` Crores)      *                 below its average and also remains placed in the over
               12/06/12     11/06/12        % Chg.       bought zone, which would result in profit taking at
BSE              N.A.       1947.16              -       regular intervals. The Nifty remains placed below its 100-
                                                         day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its
NSE             9477.04     9620.09          -1.49
                                                         100-day SMA. These negative conditions would result in
NSE F&O        118428.51   112566.68          5.21
                                                         regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The
Total          127905.55   124133.93          3.04
                                                         ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways
         F&O Contracts Traded (NSE)          *           indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment
                                                         remains tentative as markets remain at crossroads. Now
               12/06/12     11/06/12        % Chg.
                                                         it is important that the markets witness follow up buying
Index Fut.      571735      538746            6.12
                                                         support at higher levels for Nifty to sustain above its 200-
Stock Fut.      510546      519665           -1.75       day SMA, which in turn would lead to sustainable buying
Index Opt.     3441870      3017473          14.06       support. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues
Stock Opt.      198231      182733            8.48       from the Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The
Total          4722382      4258617          10.33       support levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5067, 4950, 4824
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE
                                                         and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333 and
                                                         5379 levels.
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                  Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in

                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                                th
                     The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
Jaldi 5
                                   (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)


                                                                               Stop
                                                  Initiation        Stop       Loss                      Target
      Stock           Close          Action         Price          Loss *       (%)          Target       (%)            Remarks
Allahabad Bank         143.25       Buy Above           144.00      140.75         2.26         151          4.86
Asian Paints          3883.80       Buy Above       3890.00        3840.00         1.29        4000          2.83
Bajaj Auto            1570.95    Buy Above        1575.00     1545.00              1.90        1640          4.13
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.



                                                            Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
      Indices           Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                S1            S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                 16863                16771      16989      17115          17459        16645        16427        16083
S&P CNX NIFTY               5116                 5087       5158        5200          5314            5044        4973       4859
NIFTY JUNE FUT.             5126                 5095       5169        5211          5327            5053        4979       4863




                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                  The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
Stocks to watch out today

3i Infotech, Adani ports, Bata, Cummins, Dr. Reddys, Godrej Inds; Lupin, Ranbaxy, Wipro,
ACC, Allahabad bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Bombay Dying, BPCL, Canaa Bank, Coal India, Dena Bank, GE Ship;
GVK, HDFC bank, HPCL, ITC, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; PFC, PNB, syndicate Bank, Titan, Vijaya Bank




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      Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                              th
                   The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 130612

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 13th June 2012 Indices * Close % Chg. Markets to remain range bound BSE SENSEX 16862.80 1.17 S&P CNX NIFTY 5115.90 1.22 Mirroring subdue global market cues the domestic markets NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5126.45 1.46 witnessed a negative opening. The markets drifted lower India VIX 24.20 -3.27 ahead of the IIP numbers. Though, the IIP numbers S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels disappointed the Street, buying support gained momentum on back of hopes of RBI taking some positive steps in its Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 forthcoming policy meet. The markets did not show any signs Support 5114 5067 4950 of weakness as follow up buying support along with short Resistance 5250 5333 5379 covering was witnessed. The markets ended the day with Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY modest gains to close near the highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Ambuja Cement, PNB, Tata Motors, 50 Day SMA 5083.81 ACC, BPCL, Maruti, Sterlite, L&T, M&M and ONGC. 100 Day SMA 5198.29 200 Day SMA 5067.79 ◄ Positive Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst lower volumes. The global market cues are largely Market Breadth * BSE NSE positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a flat Advances 1361 772 opening. The prevailing technical positives helped the Declines 1312 672 markets witness a rally. The Nifty has once again moved Same 149 99 above its 50-day and 200-day SMA. Moreover, the RSI, Total 2822 1543 MACD and KST all are still placed above their respective A/D Ratio 1.04 : 1 1.15 : 1 averages. The KST and MACD are also placed in the positive territory. Moreover, the Nifty’s 50-day SMA and Volume (Lacs Shares) * 100-day SMA are placed above Nifty’s 200-day SMA. 12/06/12 11/06/12 % Chg. Even Nifty’s June Futures is now trading at a Premium. BSE N.A. 2035 - These positive technical conditions would prompt further NSE 6231 7228 -13.80 buying support leading to short covering. However, a few Total 6231 9263 -32.73 technical negatives still continue to hold good and are likely to cap upside gains. The Stochastic has slipped Turnover ( ` Crores) * below its average and also remains placed in the over 12/06/12 11/06/12 % Chg. bought zone, which would result in profit taking at BSE N.A. 1947.16 - regular intervals. The Nifty remains placed below its 100- day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA is placed below its NSE 9477.04 9620.09 -1.49 100-day SMA. These negative conditions would result in NSE F&O 118428.51 112566.68 5.21 regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure. The Total 127905.55 124133.93 3.04 ADX line, +DI line and the –DI line are moving sideways F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * indicating a range bound trend. The market sentiment remains tentative as markets remain at crossroads. Now 12/06/12 11/06/12 % Chg. it is important that the markets witness follow up buying Index Fut. 571735 538746 6.12 support at higher levels for Nifty to sustain above its 200- Stock Fut. 510546 519665 -1.75 day SMA, which in turn would lead to sustainable buying Index Opt. 3441870 3017473 14.06 support. In the meanwhile the markets would take cues Stock Opt. 198231 182733 8.48 from the Rupee, global markets and the crude prices. The Total 4722382 4258617 10.33 support levels for Nifty are placed at 5114, 5067, 4950, 4824 NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the 5250, 5333 and 5379 levels. Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Jaldi 5 (Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Allahabad Bank 143.25 Buy Above 144.00 140.75 2.26 151 4.86 Asian Paints 3883.80 Buy Above 3890.00 3840.00 1.29 4000 2.83 Bajaj Auto 1570.95 Buy Above 1575.00 1545.00 1.90 1640 4.13 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis. Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 16863 16771 16989 17115 17459 16645 16427 16083 S&P CNX NIFTY 5116 5087 5158 5200 5314 5044 4973 4859 NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5126 5095 5169 5211 5327 5053 4979 4863 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Stocks to watch out today 3i Infotech, Adani ports, Bata, Cummins, Dr. Reddys, Godrej Inds; Lupin, Ranbaxy, Wipro, ACC, Allahabad bank, Ambuja Cements, Asian Paints, Bombay Dying, BPCL, Canaa Bank, Coal India, Dena Bank, GE Ship; GVK, HDFC bank, HPCL, ITC, IVRCL, Jet Airways, Kotak Bank, LIC Hsg; PFC, PNB, syndicate Bank, Titan, Vijaya Bank Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com