The domestic stock markets witnessed a flat opening and traded in a narrow range on June 27th. The overall trend remained range-bound and listless as markets struggled to find direction. Increased selling pressure was observed in the afternoon as the Nifty breached the 5,100 level. The markets closed near the day's highs with marginal gains. Technically, market breadth remained neutral amid lower volumes and prevailing technical indicators continue to weigh on market sentiment. The support and resistance levels for the Nifty are 5,114-5,250.
1. Daily Technical Outlook
27th June 2012
Indices * Close % Chg.
BSE SENSEX 16906.58 0.14
Markets listless
S&P CNX NIFTY 5120.80 0.12
The domestic markets witnessed a flat opening. Steady
NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5125.70 0.32
buying support was witnessed as markets moved higher
India VIX 20.23 -6.21 amidst lackluster volumes. The over all trend remained range
S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels bound and listless as markets struggled to find a secular
direction. Increased selling pressure was observed in the
Level 1 Level 2 Level 3
afternoon trade as Nifty breached the 5100 level. The
Support 5114 5074 4950
markets ended the day with marginal gains to close near the
Resistance 5250 5333 5379 highs for the day. The top gainers for the day were Grasim,
Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY GAIL, Tata Power, Powergrid, Ambuja Cements, TCS,
50 Day SMA 5052.73
ONGC, Siemens, HDFC Bank and Bank of Baroda.
100 Day SMA 5195.84 Technically, the market breadth remained neutral amidst
200 Day SMA 5074.56 ◄Critical lower volumes. The global market cues are largely
positive. The domestic markets are likely to witness a
Market Breadth * BSE NSE
firm opening. The markets continued to struggle to find a
Advances 1383 698
secular direction. The prevailing technical negatives
Declines 1355 746 continue to hold good and are weighing on the market
Same 137 86 sentiment. The Stochastic and MACD have slipped below
Total 2875 1530 their respective averages. More so the RSI is already
A/D Ratio 1.02 : 1 0.94 : 1 placed below its average. Moreover, the Nifty remains
placed below its 100-day SMA. Moreover, the 50-day SMA
Volume (Lacs Shares) * is placed below its 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA. These
26/06/12 25/06/12 % Chg. negative conditions would result in regular bouts of
BSE 1569 2033 -22.82 selling pressure especially at higher levels. However, a
NSE 4855 5717 -15.07 few technical positives continue to hold good and would
Total 6424 7750 -17.11 lead to buying support at lower levels. The KST is placed
above its signal and trigger line. The MACD and KST are
Turnover ( ` Crores) * placed in the positive territory, which augurs well for the
26/06/12 25/06/12 % Chg. markets. The Nifty is placed above the 50-day SMA and
BSE 1562.39 1916.53 -18.48 200-day SMA. However, the ADX line, +DI line and the –DI
NSE 7616.00 8724.69 -12.71
line are moving sideways indicating a range bound trend.
The market sentiment remains tentative. Now it is
NSE F&O 156874.96 176478.98 -11.11
important that the markets witness follow up buying
Total 166053.35 187120.20 -11.26
support at regular intervals for Nifty to move above the
F&O Contracts Traded (NSE) * 5200 level. Intermediate bouts of volatility and
26/06/12 25/06/12 % Chg.
choppiness would be witnessed due to impending
derivative segment expiry. In the meanwhile the markets
Index Fut. 585085 691753 -15.42
would take cues from Rupee, global markets and the
Stock Fut. 864803 814501 6.18
crude prices. The support levels for Nifty are placed at 5114,
Index Opt. 4542189 5167643 -12.10 5074, 4950, 4841 and 4777. The Nifty faces resistance at the
Stock Opt. 161519 229518 -29.63 5250, 5333, 5379 and 5500 levels.
Total 6153596 6903415 -10.05
NOTE - *- Source – BSE & NSE
Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technical Research), Email sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in
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2. Jaldi 5
(Short Term Technical Ideas for 5 Trading Days)
Stop
Initiation Stop Loss Target
Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks
Bharat Forge Fut 288.50 Sell Below 286.50 294.00 2.62 270 5.76
AB Nuvo 796.35 Buy Above 803.00 789.00 1.74 834 3.86
Financial Tech 733.40 Buy Above 738.50 717.50 2.84 785 6.30
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on closing basis.
Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support
Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3
BSE SENSEX 16907 16890 16964 17020 17151 16833 16759 16628
S&P CNX NIFTY 5121 5117 5138 5156 5195 5099 5078 5039
NIFTY JUNE FUT. 5126 5120 5147 5168 5216 5099 5072 5024
Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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The Ruby, 9 Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai, India – 400028. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
www.keynotecapitals.com
3. Stocks to watch out today
ABB, Adani Power, Asian Paints, Axis Bank, Bharti Airtel, GMDC, GMR Infra, Guj. Fourochemicals, HCL Tech; Idea, JSW
Energy, AB Nuvo, Ambuja Cements, Andhra Bank, Bajaj Auto, Dabur, Dr. Reddys, FT, GSPL, NMDC, NTPC, PTC, Sobha,
Sun TV, Tata Comm; Tata Global, Uniphos, ZEEL
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