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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                              3rd May 2012
                                                                MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29168. It
                    Gold          Silver          Crude
                   (5 Jun-12)    (5 Jul-12)     (21 May-12)     moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29267 level. However,
                                                                it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
 Open                 29,168         56,951          5,598      of 29100. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 29193.
 High                 29,267         57,194          5,623
                                                                The RSI remain placed above its averages, which would lead to
 Low                  29,100         56,451          5,575      buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its
 Close                29,193         56,746          5,596      average and remains placed in the over bought zone. More so the
                                                                RSI is also placed in the over bought zone. These conditions
 Prev. Close          29,129         57,011          5,600      would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure
 % Change              0.22%        -0.46%          -0.07%      especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line are
                                                                moving sideways, but the +DI line is placed at 31.04 level but has
Source – MCX
                                                                been falling from recent highs indicating buyers are booking
                                                                profits regularly. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and
                    Volume (In 000's)                           29433, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557,
                     2/5/2012      1/5/2012         % Chg.      26517 and 26347 levels.

 Gold (gms)          29,496.0      18,031.0         63.58%      MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 56951. It
                                                                moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57194 level. However,
 Silver (kgs)         1,404.2           180.1     679.82%
                                                                it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low
 Crude (bbl)         11,185.5       8,054.8         38.87%      of 56451. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 56746.
Source – MCX
                                                                The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective
                                                                averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The
                   Turnover (In Lacs)                           ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed
                     2/5/2012      1/5/2012         % Chg.      above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX
                                                                Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while
Gold                860,649.4     526,349.2         63.51%      the supports are placed at 55551, 51029, 50252 and 48562
Silver              797,226.5      99,938.8       697.71%
                                                                levels.

Crude               626,688.9     448,382.6         39.77%      MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5598 level. It
                                                                moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5623 level. However, it
Source – MCX
                                                                failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low
                                                                of 5575. It ended the day flat to close at 5596.
                Global Market (Nymex - $)

                     3/5/2012      2/5/2012         % Chg.
                                                                The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying
                                                                support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average.
Gold (oz)            1,650.90      1,653.40         -0.15%      Moreover, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which
Silver (oz)             30.48           30.59       -0.37%      would lead to profit taking and selling pressure at higher levels.
                                                                The ADX line and –DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is
Crude (bbl)           105.07         105.22         -0.14%      placed above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. It
Dollar Index            79.20           79.13        0.09%      faces resistance at 5608, 5635 and 5650 while the supports are
                                                                placed at 5550, 5512, 5498 and 5403 levels.
Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                            Intra-day Resistance                Intra-day Support
         Commodities            Close           Pivot Point           R1           R2           R3            S1              S2       S3

CRUDE MAY 12                     5596                 5598          5621         5646         5694         5573          5550        5502

GOLD JUN 12                     29193                29187         29273       29354         29521        29106         29020       28853

SILVER JUL 12                   56746                56797         57143       57540         58283        56400         56054       55311


                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                     The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                              www.keynotecapitals.com
US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                      Monday                      Tuesday                   Wednesday
       May 03                       May 04                       May 7                       May 08                    May 09
Jobless Claims             Employment Situation         Consumer Credit             NFIB Small Business          EIA Petroleum Status
                                                                                    Optimism Index               Report
Productivity and           Monster Employment           3-Month Bill Auction        ICSC-Goldman Store           Wholesale Trade Data
Costs                      Index                                                    Sales
ISM Non-Mfg Index                                       6-Month Bill Auction        3-Yr Note Auction            EIA Petroleum Status
                                                                                                                 Report




                                                         Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                   The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com
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to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation
would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or
take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients.
We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or
completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the
use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price
and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance.
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                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
                    The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088.
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 030512

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 3rd May 2012 MCX GOLD (5 JUNE 12) - Gold opened higher at 29168. It Gold Silver Crude (5 Jun-12) (5 Jul-12) (21 May-12) moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 29267 level. However, it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Open 29,168 56,951 5,598 of 29100. It ended the day with modest gains to close at 29193. High 29,267 57,194 5,623 The RSI remain placed above its averages, which would lead to Low 29,100 56,451 5,575 buying support. However, the Stochastic is placed below its Close 29,193 56,746 5,596 average and remains placed in the over bought zone. More so the RSI is also placed in the over bought zone. These conditions Prev. Close 29,129 57,011 5,600 would lead to regular bouts of profit taking and selling pressure % Change 0.22% -0.46% -0.07% especially at higher levels. The ADX line and the -DI line are moving sideways, but the +DI line is placed at 31.04 level but has Source – MCX been falling from recent highs indicating buyers are booking profits regularly. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 29212 and Volume (In 000's) 29433, while the supports are placed at 28960, 28084, 27557, 2/5/2012 1/5/2012 % Chg. 26517 and 26347 levels. Gold (gms) 29,496.0 18,031.0 63.58% MCX SILVER (5 JULY 12) - Silver opened lower at 56951. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 57194 level. However, Silver (kgs) 1,404.2 180.1 679.82% it failed to sustain higher. It moved lower to touch an intra-day low Crude (bbl) 11,185.5 8,054.8 38.87% of 56451. It ended the day with modest losses to close at 56746. Source – MCX The RSI and the Stochastic are placed below their respective averages. These conditions would lead to selling pressure. The Turnover (In Lacs) ADX line and +DI line are moving sideways, but –DI line is placed 2/5/2012 1/5/2012 % Chg. above the 30 level indicating sellers are gaining strength. MCX Silver faces resistance at 56157, 57737, 61708 and 65159 while Gold 860,649.4 526,349.2 63.51% the supports are placed at 55551, 51029, 50252 and 48562 Silver 797,226.5 99,938.8 697.71% levels. Crude 626,688.9 448,382.6 39.77% MCX CRUDE (19 May 12) - Crude opened lower at 5598 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 5623 level. However, it Source – MCX failed to sustain higher and moved lower to touch an intra-day low of 5575. It ended the day flat to close at 5596. Global Market (Nymex - $) 3/5/2012 2/5/2012 % Chg. The RSI is placed above its average, which would lead to buying support. However, the Stochastic has slipped below its average. Gold (oz) 1,650.90 1,653.40 -0.15% Moreover, both are also placed in the over bought zone, which Silver (oz) 30.48 30.59 -0.37% would lead to profit taking and selling pressure at higher levels. The ADX line and –DI line are moving sideways but +DI line is Crude (bbl) 105.07 105.22 -0.14% placed above the 30 level indicating buyers are gaining strength. It Dollar Index 79.20 79.13 0.09% faces resistance at 5608, 5635 and 5650 while the supports are placed at 5550, 5512, 5498 and 5403 levels. Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE MAY 12 5596 5598 5621 5646 5694 5573 5550 5502 GOLD JUN 12 29193 29187 29273 29354 29521 29106 29020 28853 SILVER JUL 12 56746 56797 57143 57540 58283 56400 56054 55311 Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday May 03 May 04 May 7 May 08 May 09 Jobless Claims Employment Situation Consumer Credit NFIB Small Business EIA Petroleum Status Optimism Index Report Productivity and Monster Employment 3-Month Bill Auction ICSC-Goldman Store Wholesale Trade Data Costs Index Sales ISM Non-Mfg Index 6-Month Bill Auction 3-Yr Note Auction EIA Petroleum Status Report Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumbai – 400 028. Tel: 3026 6000. Fax: 3026 6088. www.keynotecapitals.com