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Daily Commodity Report

                                                                                                                           9th February 2012

                                                                 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28385. It moved
                       Gold         Silver         Crude
                      (5 Apr-12)   (5 Mar-12)    (20 Feb-12)
                                                                 higher to touch an intra-day high of 28434. However, it failed to hold
                                                                 on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day low of
 Open                    28,385        57,352         4,863      28125. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 28176.
 High                    28,434        57,777         4,933

 Low                     28,125        56,689         4,855      The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                                                                 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support.
 Close                   28,176        56,821         4,875      The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating
 Prev. Close             28,373        57,265         4,858      a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212
                                                                 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and
 % Change                -0.69%        -0.78%         0.35%
                                                                 25500 levels.
Source – MCX
                                                                 MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57352. It moved
                       Volume (In 000's)                         higher to touch an intra-day high of 57777. However, it failed to hold
                        8/2/2012     7/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day low of
                                                                 56689. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 56821.
 Gold (gms)             40,843.0     50,074.0       -18.43%

 Silver (kgs)            2,320.6       2,097.3       10.65%      The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling
 Crude (bbl)            16,065.8     19,774.8       -18.76%
                                                                 pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed above its average,
                                                                 which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support especially
Source – MCX                                                     at lower levels. The -DI line is moving sideways, however, the ADX
                                                                 line and +DI line are placed above the 30 level indicating buyers
                      Turnover (In Lacs)                         have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834,
                                                                 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170
                        8/2/2012     7/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 and 51366 levels.
Gold                 1,157,071.3   1,406,219.2      -17.72%

Silver               1,329,725.6   1,186,449.8       12.08%      MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4863 level. It
                                                                 moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4933. However, it failed
Crude                  786,010.4    948,466.5       -17.13%      to hold on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day
Source – MCX                                                     low of 4855. It ended the day with marginal gains to close the day at
                                                                 4875.
                   Global Market (Nymex - $)
                                                                 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective
                        9/2/2012     8/2/2012        % Chg.
                                                                 averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering
Gold (oz)               1,733.90     1,729.30         0.27%      and buying support. The +DI and –DI line are moving sideways. The
                                                                 ADX line remains placed above the 30 level. It faces resistance at
Silver (oz)                34.03        33.70         0.97%
                                                                 4877, 4903, 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the
Crude (bbl)                98.96        98.71         0.25%      supports are placed at 4670, 4493 and 4421 levels.
Dollar Index               78.66        78.74        -0.10%

Source – www.cmegroup.com

                                                                                   Intra-day Resistance                 Intra-day Support
          Commodities                Close           Pivot Point             R1            R2           R3           S1            S2         S3

 CRUDE FEB 12                          4875                    4888         4920          4966        5044          4842         4810        4732

 GOLD APR 12                          28176                 28245         28365          28554       28863        28056         27936       27627

 SILVER MAR 12                        56821                 57096         57502          58184       59272        56414         56008       54920


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            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
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US Economic Calendar:

      Thursday                      Friday                       Monday                       Tuesday                     Wednesday
       Feb. 09                      Feb. 10                      Feb. 13                      Feb. 14                      Feb. 15
Jobless Claims Data        International Trade           4-Week Bill                  Retail Sales Data             Industrial Production
                           Data                          Announcement
Wholesale Trade Data       Consumer Sentiment            3-Month Bill Auction         Import and Export             FOMC Meeting
                                                                                      Prices                        Minutes
Bloomberg Consumer         Treasury Budget               6-Month Bill Auction         Business Inventories          Housing Market Index
Comfort Index




                                                            Keynote Capitals Ltd.
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         4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                          www.keynotecapitals.com
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                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
          4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote commodity daily report 090212

  • 1. Daily Commodity Report 9th February 2012 MCX GOLD (APRIL 12) - Gold opened higher at 28385. It moved Gold Silver Crude (5 Apr-12) (5 Mar-12) (20 Feb-12) higher to touch an intra-day high of 28434. However, it failed to hold on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day low of Open 28,385 57,352 4,863 28125. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 28176. High 28,434 57,777 4,933 Low 28,125 56,689 4,855 The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support. Close 28,176 56,821 4,875 The ADX line, -DI line and +DI line are moving sideways, indicating Prev. Close 28,373 57,265 4,858 a range bound trend. MCX GOLD faces resistance at 28960, 29212 and 29433, while the supports are placed at 27557, 26347 and % Change -0.69% -0.78% 0.35% 25500 levels. Source – MCX MCX SILVER (MAR 12) - Silver opened higher at 57352. It moved Volume (In 000's) higher to touch an intra-day high of 57777. However, it failed to hold 8/2/2012 7/2/2012 % Chg. on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day low of 56689. It ended the day with moderate losses to close at 56821. Gold (gms) 40,843.0 50,074.0 -18.43% Silver (kgs) 2,320.6 2,097.3 10.65% The RSI has slipped below its average, which would lead to selling Crude (bbl) 16,065.8 19,774.8 -18.76% pressure. However, the Stochastic is still placed above its average, which would lead to intermediate bouts of buying support especially Source – MCX at lower levels. The -DI line is moving sideways, however, the ADX line and +DI line are placed above the 30 level indicating buyers Turnover (In Lacs) have an upper hand. MCX Silver faces resistance at 57400, 57834, 58480 and 61708, while the supports are placed at 54671, 53170 8/2/2012 7/2/2012 % Chg. and 51366 levels. Gold 1,157,071.3 1,406,219.2 -17.72% Silver 1,329,725.6 1,186,449.8 12.08% MCX CRUDE (FEB 12) - Crude opened higher at 4863 level. It moved higher to touch an intra-day high of 4933. However, it failed Crude 786,010.4 948,466.5 -17.13% to hold on the gains and slipped in the red. It touched an intra-day Source – MCX low of 4855. It ended the day with marginal gains to close the day at 4875. Global Market (Nymex - $) The RSI and the Stochastic are placed above their respective 9/2/2012 8/2/2012 % Chg. averages, which would lead to intermediate bouts of short covering Gold (oz) 1,733.90 1,729.30 0.27% and buying support. The +DI and –DI line are moving sideways. The ADX line remains placed above the 30 level. It faces resistance at Silver (oz) 34.03 33.70 0.97% 4877, 4903, 4950, 5003, 5065, 5115, 5174 and 5200, while the Crude (bbl) 98.96 98.71 0.25% supports are placed at 4670, 4493 and 4421 levels. Dollar Index 78.66 78.74 -0.10% Source – www.cmegroup.com Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Commodities Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 CRUDE FEB 12 4875 4888 4920 4966 5044 4842 4810 4732 GOLD APR 12 28176 28245 28365 28554 28863 28056 27936 27627 SILVER MAR 12 56821 57096 57502 58184 59272 56414 56008 54920 Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. US Economic Calendar: Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Wednesday Feb. 09 Feb. 10 Feb. 13 Feb. 14 Feb. 15 Jobless Claims Data International Trade 4-Week Bill Retail Sales Data Industrial Production Data Announcement Wholesale Trade Data Consumer Sentiment 3-Month Bill Auction Import and Export FOMC Meeting Prices Minutes Bloomberg Consumer Treasury Budget 6-Month Bill Auction Business Inventories Housing Market Index Comfort Index Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com