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Green technology solutions
Josefine Helene Selj
Reserach scientists, Solar Department, Institute for Energy Technology
Assistant Professor II, University of Oslo
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10.02.2017 3
Renewable energy and cleantech
opportunities from a Norwegian perspective
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• Wind installations 2015: 63 GW
• Wind installations 2016: 57 GW
• Expected in 2017: 59 GW
• Almost 5 GW of offshore wind
are likely to be commissioned,
more than double last year’s 2
GW.
10.02.2017 4
Global trends – wind power
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• Onshore wind is a
mature market
• Can be difficult to enter.
• Potential niches:
• turbine blades of
carbonfiber
• operation of wind farms.
10.02.2017 5
Wind - The Norwegian perspective
For Norway, offshore wind may be the most promising growth market.
Generally, offshore is more expensive, but there are good reasons why offshore wind
is growing fast: enough space, few environmental consequences, more wind.
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• Statoil – world leading position within floating wind technologies.
• Statkraft – was a big actor, but interest is reduced. Still builds and operates
farms.
• ABB og Nexans - sell power electronics and cables to the wind farms.
• Fred Olsen-gruppens Windcarrier – makes tailored ships for installation of
turbins.
• Engineering companies, like Dr. techn. Olav Olsen sells services and develop
new floating concepts.
• Fugro OCEANOR sells weather services
• Kongsberggruppen develop services for monitoring of complete farms
• Kjeller Vindteknikk measures and models wind resources
• Several overlapping competance areas between offshore oil and offshore wind.
• Challenge for Norway to get a better position as producer of components for wind
farms.
10.02.2017 6
Owners, operators and subsuppliers for
wind power
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10.02.2017 71
King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center
Tomorrows urban power stations!
OsloSolar
Masdar, Abu Dhabi
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10.02.2017 8
Global trends PV
• Installed PV capacity 2015: 56 GW (Annual turnover ~1000 BNOK!)
• Installed PV capacity 2016: almost 70 GW
• Expected for 2017: 75 GW
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• The global solar cell industry is suddenly quite important
• <0.1 % of global electricity production as late as in 2009
• 1% in 2014
• 2% in 2017
• 5% in mid 2020s?
• …
10.02.2017 9
The solar revolution – 1
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10.02.2017 10
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• Important topics ahead
• Solar cell and module technology
• Increased efficiency
• Reduced production costs along the entire production value chain
• Reduced environmental footprint and recyclability
• Improved field performance
• Extended system lifetime
• System operation and maintenance becomes increasingly important
• High performance producers must demonstrate benefits in a system setting
• High efficiency is still very important(!) to balance other system costs
• But niche markets wil increase
10.02.2017 11
The solar revolution – technology trends
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10.02.2017 12
Evolution or revolution?
ITRPV 2015, FhG ISE 2015
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10.02.2017 13
Silicon based solar cell technology – a
Norwegian speciality
• Silicon is the dominating material for making solar cells
• > 90% market share
• Good efficiency
• Robust technology
• Bonus: this is a Norwegian speciality
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10.02.2017 14
• Producing >6000 tonn Si/å
• ~1 GWp solar cells
• Factory at Fiskaa (Kristiansand)
• New factory opend at Herøya
this year!
• ~60 new jobs
• Very energy efficient process
• Has won tenders in France and
Japan based on CO2 emissions
• R&D needs
• Continous process development
• Increase field performance
Elkem Solar
Gløckner et al. – Prosin 2015
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10.02.2017 15
• Produce high quality silicon
wafers for the global market
• Their wafers are used in the most
demanding factories in the world
• High degree of autonomy
• Investing in new technologi in
their Norwegian factory in Årdal
• R&D needs
• Cost reductions
• Material quality
Norsun
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10.02.2017 16
• Revolutionary technology for
producing pure silicon
• Has recently demonstrated:
• Extremely low energy consumption
• Extremely fast production
• Extremely low capital costs
• Working to get the first factory up
• R&D needs
• Process
• Materialquality
Dynatec
TU 2015
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10.02.2017 17
• World leading developer of PV
parks
• Strong international position
• South Africa, Brazil, Honduras,
USA, Czech republic, Mali,
Rwanda
• Soon 1 GWp
• Use other Norwegian companies
as subsuppliers
• Needs in R&D
• Operation and monitoring
• Forecasting
• …
Scatec Solar
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10.02.2017 18
Saving the world with a profit…
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• Leading technology and market positions within silicon production
• PV plant installation and operation in other countries
• Could take positions within cell-fabrication?
• Need excellent technology, high automation level
• Subsupplier of specialized components
• Module fabrication? Building integration?
• Installations of PV systems in Norway has just begun…
• PV installations
• PV monitoring
• Components, aluminum, racks etc
• Services and new business models (Otovo)
10.02.2017 19
The Norwegian perspective
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Oseana
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New Norwegian Innovation Cluster
Solenergiklyngen
PV in Norway: about 1000 employers, 75 companies (ref. multiconsult).
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Partnere
Elkem Solar Fortum Otovo
Scatec Fredrikstad Energi Ressurs og Miljø
Scatec Solar Gaia Solar Solbes
Eltek Green Energy Solbære
Multiconsult Herøya Industripark Solcellesystemer
Asplan Viak Home Control Solel
FUSen In Partner STS Solar Technologies
Solcellespesialisten InnoS Sun-Net
Accenture Irenewables Sunergy
AEGA Solar Kjeller Vinteknikk Sweco (Bergen)
Dynatec Kube TEC Integrate
ECT LOS Energi Wen Energy
Eidsiva N Elkotek X2 Innovation Center
eSmart Systems Norsk Solenergi Zenika
Enøkplan Nordic Investment ÅF Reinertsen
OBOS prosjekt NOVAS Cowi
Umoe OBOS prosjekt Optistring
Bedrifter
• Who is installing
and operating PV
systems in Norway
• Omsorgsbygg
• Undervisningsbygg
• Statsbygg
• ASKO
• OBOS
• Norgesgruppen
• Eneboliger
• Borettslag
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1. More intermittent, renewable energy in the grid – increased need for storage
when the sun is not shining and the wind not blowing.
2. Displace energy use in time
3. Find «extra value» such as peak shaving, grid stability services, backup power
4. For long term storage (weeks, season), hydrogen is much cheaper than
batteries.
10.02.2017 23
Consequences of the
solar revolution:
Grid & storage
By great cost reductions the last
years, batteries are now increasingly
relevant also for large scale storage.
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Large price drop – large market growth
10.02.2017 24
• The market for EV is rising, the price drops (and vice versa)
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10.02.2017 25
Why are Li-ion batteries so important?
10.02.2017 25
• Continuous evolution of profitable batteries
• Evolution in technology gives revolution in market
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10.02.2017 26
More than 1 000 000 electric cars
• Which European country will Tesla choose for their next gigafactory?
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Batteries – the Norwegian perspective
10.02.2017 27
Raw
material
Adapted
raw
material
Batteries Modules End-user
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• Going from electrical energy to hydrogen
and back to electrical energy – about 30-
35% of the energy remains.
• But - significant benefits include:
• The hydrogen can be made at any time
• Not heavy
• Floating hydrogen can be transported by
ship (like LNG today)
• Long term storage (weeks, season)
• Immature market, but several Norwegian
actors have world leading competance
within their niches
• hydrogentanks (Hexagon) and
electrolysis (NEL).
• Innovative end-users in Norway include
Ruter, ASKO and Statens veivesen.
10.02.2017 28
Hydrogen
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• Solar cells are becoming…
• …increasingly mainstream
• …increasingly affordable and competitive
• …increasingly able to take large production shares in little time
• …very important in increasing numbers of countries
• …the World’s largest producers of electricity surprisingly soon?
• Batteries are rapidly becoming relevant.
• Hydrogen is next in line.
• Norwegian research groups and companies well placed to (at least)
grow with the global industry, both in solar cells, offshore wind,
batteries, and hydrogen.
10.02.2017 29
Conclusions
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10.02.2017 30
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www.ife.no
Josefine.selj@ife.no
10.02.2017 31
Thank you for the
attention!

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Josefine Selj Oslo Startup Day Climate-KIC February 8th 2017

  • 1. Green technology solutions Josefine Helene Selj Reserach scientists, Solar Department, Institute for Energy Technology Assistant Professor II, University of Oslo
  • 2. v v
  • 3. v v 10.02.2017 3 Renewable energy and cleantech opportunities from a Norwegian perspective
  • 4. v v • Wind installations 2015: 63 GW • Wind installations 2016: 57 GW • Expected in 2017: 59 GW • Almost 5 GW of offshore wind are likely to be commissioned, more than double last year’s 2 GW. 10.02.2017 4 Global trends – wind power
  • 5. v v • Onshore wind is a mature market • Can be difficult to enter. • Potential niches: • turbine blades of carbonfiber • operation of wind farms. 10.02.2017 5 Wind - The Norwegian perspective For Norway, offshore wind may be the most promising growth market. Generally, offshore is more expensive, but there are good reasons why offshore wind is growing fast: enough space, few environmental consequences, more wind.
  • 6. v v • Statoil – world leading position within floating wind technologies. • Statkraft – was a big actor, but interest is reduced. Still builds and operates farms. • ABB og Nexans - sell power electronics and cables to the wind farms. • Fred Olsen-gruppens Windcarrier – makes tailored ships for installation of turbins. • Engineering companies, like Dr. techn. Olav Olsen sells services and develop new floating concepts. • Fugro OCEANOR sells weather services • Kongsberggruppen develop services for monitoring of complete farms • Kjeller Vindteknikk measures and models wind resources • Several overlapping competance areas between offshore oil and offshore wind. • Challenge for Norway to get a better position as producer of components for wind farms. 10.02.2017 6 Owners, operators and subsuppliers for wind power
  • 7. v v 10.02.2017 71 King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center Tomorrows urban power stations! OsloSolar Masdar, Abu Dhabi
  • 8. v v 10.02.2017 8 Global trends PV • Installed PV capacity 2015: 56 GW (Annual turnover ~1000 BNOK!) • Installed PV capacity 2016: almost 70 GW • Expected for 2017: 75 GW
  • 9. v v • The global solar cell industry is suddenly quite important • <0.1 % of global electricity production as late as in 2009 • 1% in 2014 • 2% in 2017 • 5% in mid 2020s? • … 10.02.2017 9 The solar revolution – 1
  • 11. v v • Important topics ahead • Solar cell and module technology • Increased efficiency • Reduced production costs along the entire production value chain • Reduced environmental footprint and recyclability • Improved field performance • Extended system lifetime • System operation and maintenance becomes increasingly important • High performance producers must demonstrate benefits in a system setting • High efficiency is still very important(!) to balance other system costs • But niche markets wil increase 10.02.2017 11 The solar revolution – technology trends
  • 12. v v 10.02.2017 12 Evolution or revolution? ITRPV 2015, FhG ISE 2015
  • 13. v v 10.02.2017 13 Silicon based solar cell technology – a Norwegian speciality • Silicon is the dominating material for making solar cells • > 90% market share • Good efficiency • Robust technology • Bonus: this is a Norwegian speciality
  • 14. v v 10.02.2017 14 • Producing >6000 tonn Si/å • ~1 GWp solar cells • Factory at Fiskaa (Kristiansand) • New factory opend at Herøya this year! • ~60 new jobs • Very energy efficient process • Has won tenders in France and Japan based on CO2 emissions • R&D needs • Continous process development • Increase field performance Elkem Solar Gløckner et al. – Prosin 2015
  • 15. v v 10.02.2017 15 • Produce high quality silicon wafers for the global market • Their wafers are used in the most demanding factories in the world • High degree of autonomy • Investing in new technologi in their Norwegian factory in Årdal • R&D needs • Cost reductions • Material quality Norsun
  • 16. v v 10.02.2017 16 • Revolutionary technology for producing pure silicon • Has recently demonstrated: • Extremely low energy consumption • Extremely fast production • Extremely low capital costs • Working to get the first factory up • R&D needs • Process • Materialquality Dynatec TU 2015
  • 17. v v 10.02.2017 17 • World leading developer of PV parks • Strong international position • South Africa, Brazil, Honduras, USA, Czech republic, Mali, Rwanda • Soon 1 GWp • Use other Norwegian companies as subsuppliers • Needs in R&D • Operation and monitoring • Forecasting • … Scatec Solar
  • 18. v v 10.02.2017 18 Saving the world with a profit…
  • 19. v v • Leading technology and market positions within silicon production • PV plant installation and operation in other countries • Could take positions within cell-fabrication? • Need excellent technology, high automation level • Subsupplier of specialized components • Module fabrication? Building integration? • Installations of PV systems in Norway has just begun… • PV installations • PV monitoring • Components, aluminum, racks etc • Services and new business models (Otovo) 10.02.2017 19 The Norwegian perspective
  • 21. v v New Norwegian Innovation Cluster Solenergiklyngen PV in Norway: about 1000 employers, 75 companies (ref. multiconsult).
  • 22. v v Partnere Elkem Solar Fortum Otovo Scatec Fredrikstad Energi Ressurs og Miljø Scatec Solar Gaia Solar Solbes Eltek Green Energy Solbære Multiconsult Herøya Industripark Solcellesystemer Asplan Viak Home Control Solel FUSen In Partner STS Solar Technologies Solcellespesialisten InnoS Sun-Net Accenture Irenewables Sunergy AEGA Solar Kjeller Vinteknikk Sweco (Bergen) Dynatec Kube TEC Integrate ECT LOS Energi Wen Energy Eidsiva N Elkotek X2 Innovation Center eSmart Systems Norsk Solenergi Zenika Enøkplan Nordic Investment ÅF Reinertsen OBOS prosjekt NOVAS Cowi Umoe OBOS prosjekt Optistring Bedrifter • Who is installing and operating PV systems in Norway • Omsorgsbygg • Undervisningsbygg • Statsbygg • ASKO • OBOS • Norgesgruppen • Eneboliger • Borettslag
  • 23. v v 1. More intermittent, renewable energy in the grid – increased need for storage when the sun is not shining and the wind not blowing. 2. Displace energy use in time 3. Find «extra value» such as peak shaving, grid stability services, backup power 4. For long term storage (weeks, season), hydrogen is much cheaper than batteries. 10.02.2017 23 Consequences of the solar revolution: Grid & storage By great cost reductions the last years, batteries are now increasingly relevant also for large scale storage.
  • 24. v v Large price drop – large market growth 10.02.2017 24 • The market for EV is rising, the price drops (and vice versa)
  • 25. v v 10.02.2017 25 Why are Li-ion batteries so important? 10.02.2017 25 • Continuous evolution of profitable batteries • Evolution in technology gives revolution in market
  • 26. v v 10.02.2017 26 More than 1 000 000 electric cars • Which European country will Tesla choose for their next gigafactory?
  • 27. v v Batteries – the Norwegian perspective 10.02.2017 27 Raw material Adapted raw material Batteries Modules End-user
  • 28. v v • Going from electrical energy to hydrogen and back to electrical energy – about 30- 35% of the energy remains. • But - significant benefits include: • The hydrogen can be made at any time • Not heavy • Floating hydrogen can be transported by ship (like LNG today) • Long term storage (weeks, season) • Immature market, but several Norwegian actors have world leading competance within their niches • hydrogentanks (Hexagon) and electrolysis (NEL). • Innovative end-users in Norway include Ruter, ASKO and Statens veivesen. 10.02.2017 28 Hydrogen
  • 29. v v • Solar cells are becoming… • …increasingly mainstream • …increasingly affordable and competitive • …increasingly able to take large production shares in little time • …very important in increasing numbers of countries • …the World’s largest producers of electricity surprisingly soon? • Batteries are rapidly becoming relevant. • Hydrogen is next in line. • Norwegian research groups and companies well placed to (at least) grow with the global industry, both in solar cells, offshore wind, batteries, and hydrogen. 10.02.2017 29 Conclusions