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From Last Time
• How to solve/ make predictions for the game?

• What is Iterated Elimination of Dominated
  Strategies?

• What is a Nash Equilibrium?
Nash Equilibrium
Nash Equilibrium:
• A set of strategies, one for each player, such
  that each player’s strategy is a best response
  to others’ strategies

Everybody is playing a best response
• No incentive to unilaterally change my strategy
BEST RESPONSE
Solving the game
• How to solve the game when there are no
  dominated strategies?
Coordination Games

            Opera     Movie



Opera       2,1       0,0



Movie       0,0       1,2
Matching Pennies

         L              R


L      1,-1     -1, 1


R      -1, 1     1,-1
Best Response
• Form beliefs about what others will do

• If you believe opponent will play Opera: Best
  Response is to play Opera

• Similarly, if you believe opponent will play Movie:
  Best Response is to play Movies
Coordination Games

            Opera     Movie



Opera       2,1       0,0



Movie       0,0       1,2
Best Response
• Best Response: Action that gives highest
  payoff given a belief about others play

• Best Response changes with different beliefs
  about opponents play.

• There may be more than one Best Response
  for a belief
L         C           R


U   8, 3       0, 4        4,4


M   8,5        1,5       5,3


D   3,7        0,1       2,0
Forming Beliefs

• Forming one’s belief is the important part of
  strategy

• Success depends upon belief formation
Best Response Functions

Consider best response function of i:

Bi(a-i) = {ai is element of Ai: u I (ai,a-i ) ≥ ui(ai',a-i ) for all ai’ that is
element of Ai}


• Set-valued, each member of Bi(a-i) is a best response
to a-i
Best Response Functions


a* is a Nash equilibrium if and only if
           ai* is element of Bi(a-i*) for every i
Best Response Function Examples
Best Response Function Examples
Best Response Function Examples


                   Player 2
                   B1         B2        B3
Player 1   A1      10,10      14,12     14,15
           A2      12,14      20,20     28,15
           A3      15,14      15,28     25,25


•What is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s
strategy of B1, B2 or B3?
•What is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s
strategy of A1, A2 or A3?
Best Response in 2-player game

Using best response function to find Nash equilibrium
in a 2-player game

( s1,s2) is a Nash equilibrium if and only if

• player 1’s strategy s1 is her best response to player 2’s
strategy s2
• player 2’s strategy s2 is her best response to player 1’s
strategy s1
Battle of Sexes

                              Player2
                              Ball          Theatre
    Player1      Ball         2,1           0,0
                 Theatre      0,0           1,2


•Ball is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Ball
•Ball is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Ball
•Hence, (Ball, Ball) is a Nash equilibrium
•Theatre is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy
Theatre
•Theatre is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy
Theatre
•Hence, (Theatre, Theatre) is a Nash equilibrium
Matching Pennies

                             Player2
                             Head        Tail
   Player1      Head         -1,1        1,-1
                Tail         1,-1        -1,1


•Head is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Tail
•Tail is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Tail
•Tail is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Head
•Head is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Head
•Hence, NO Nash equilibrium
ITERATED ELIMINATION OF
STRICTLY DOMINATED STRATEGY
Iterated Elimination of Strictly
         Dominated Strategies
           X               Y         Z



A         3, 3      0, 5       0,4



B         0,0       3,1        1,2
Common Knowledge
• First Level:
You and Opponent know the matrix
• Second Level:
-You know that Opponent knows the matrix
-Opponent knows that you know the matrix
• Third Level
- You know that opponent knows that you know
  the matrix
- Opponent knows that you know that opponent
  knows the matrix
Iterated Elimination of Strictly
         Dominated Strategies
           X               Y         Z



A         3, 3      0, 5       0,4



B         0,0       3,1        1,2
Iterated Elimination of Strictly
          Dominated Strategies
• If a strategy is strictly dominated for some
  player, eliminate it

• Repeat, eliminating any strictly dominated
  strategies in reduced game
Dominance example
Dominance example
B is dominated for Player 1
After eliminating B,R is dominated for Player 2
IEDS Example
IEDS Example
IEDS Example
IEDS Example
L     C     R

T   2,3   2,2   5,0

Y   3,2   5,3   3,1

Z   4,3   1,1   2,2

B   1,2   0,1   4,4
L     C     R

T   2,3   2,2   5,0

Y   3,2   5,3   3,1

Z   4,3   1,1   2,2

B   1,2   0,1   4,4
L     C     R

T   2,3   2,2   5,0

Y   3,2   5,3   3,1

Z   4,3   1,1   2,2

B   1,2   0,1   4,4
L     C     R

T   2,3   2,2   5,0

Y   3,2   5,3   3,1

Z   4,3   1,1   2,2

B   1,2   0,1   4,4
L     C     R

T   2,3   2,2   5,0

Y   3,2   5,3   3,1

Z   4,3   1,1   2,2

B   1,2   0,1   4,4
Another IEDS Example
Order of Elimination
Question: Does the order of elimination
matter?


Answer: Although it is not obvious, the end
result of iterated strict dominance is always the
same regardless of the sequence of eliminations.
Payoff Matrix for Bottled Water Game
                              Firm Pepsi Co
                 Raise                 Decrease



    Raise            +1, +1               -1, +2

Firm Coca Cola

      Decrease
                     +2, -1               0, 0
ITERATED ELIMINATION OF WEAKLY
DOMINATED STRATEGY
Weakly Dominated Strategies


ai weakly dominates a’i if for all strategy profiles a-i of the other
                              players

         ui(ai, a-i) ≥ui(a’i, a-i) and there is at least one a-i'

                   such that ui(ai, a-i') >ui(a’i, a-i')
Example
      A         B      C


I    -1, 3      0, 3   3, 7


II   -1, 4      2, 7   6, 5
Weakly Dominated Strategies


• A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in
  a Nash equilibrium
Firm Pepsi Co
                 Raise                 Decrease



    Raise            +1, +1               0, 0

Firm Coca Cola

      Decrease
                     0,0                  0, 0
Weakly Dominated Strategies
• A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in
  a Nash equilibrium



• Order of eliminating weakly dominated
  strategies matters
Example
      A         B      C


I    -1, 3      0, 3   3, 7


II   -1, 4      2, 7   6, 5
Example
                         A         B      C


I                       -1, 3      0, 3   3, 7


II                      -1, 4      2, 7   6, 5




     • Eliminate I,
     • Eliminate A, I
A     B
I     0,0   2,5
II    5,5   100,5
III   5,5   0,0
A                B
         I                0,0              2,5
         II               5,5              100,5
         III              5,5              0,0



• I is weakly dominated by II
• B is weakly dominated by A
• (II,A) AND (III,A) are two possible outcomes
A       B
         I                0,0     2,5
         II               5,5     100,5
         III              5,5     0,0



• III is weakly dominated by II
• A is weakly dominated by B
• (II,B) is a possible outcome
Order of Elimination

• If you eliminate a strategy when there is some other strategy
that yields payoffs that are higher or equal no matter what the
other players do, you are doing iterated weak dominance


• In this case you will not always get the same answer regardless
of the sequence of eliminations.


•This is a serious problem, and this is the reason why iterated
strict dominance is mostly used.

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Game theory 3

  • 1. From Last Time • How to solve/ make predictions for the game? • What is Iterated Elimination of Dominated Strategies? • What is a Nash Equilibrium?
  • 2. Nash Equilibrium Nash Equilibrium: • A set of strategies, one for each player, such that each player’s strategy is a best response to others’ strategies Everybody is playing a best response • No incentive to unilaterally change my strategy
  • 4. Solving the game • How to solve the game when there are no dominated strategies?
  • 5. Coordination Games Opera Movie Opera 2,1 0,0 Movie 0,0 1,2
  • 6. Matching Pennies L R L 1,-1 -1, 1 R -1, 1 1,-1
  • 7. Best Response • Form beliefs about what others will do • If you believe opponent will play Opera: Best Response is to play Opera • Similarly, if you believe opponent will play Movie: Best Response is to play Movies
  • 8. Coordination Games Opera Movie Opera 2,1 0,0 Movie 0,0 1,2
  • 9. Best Response • Best Response: Action that gives highest payoff given a belief about others play • Best Response changes with different beliefs about opponents play. • There may be more than one Best Response for a belief
  • 10. L C R U 8, 3 0, 4 4,4 M 8,5 1,5 5,3 D 3,7 0,1 2,0
  • 11. Forming Beliefs • Forming one’s belief is the important part of strategy • Success depends upon belief formation
  • 12. Best Response Functions Consider best response function of i: Bi(a-i) = {ai is element of Ai: u I (ai,a-i ) ≥ ui(ai',a-i ) for all ai’ that is element of Ai} • Set-valued, each member of Bi(a-i) is a best response to a-i
  • 13. Best Response Functions a* is a Nash equilibrium if and only if ai* is element of Bi(a-i*) for every i
  • 16. Best Response Function Examples Player 2 B1 B2 B3 Player 1 A1 10,10 14,12 14,15 A2 12,14 20,20 28,15 A3 15,14 15,28 25,25 •What is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy of B1, B2 or B3? •What is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy of A1, A2 or A3?
  • 17. Best Response in 2-player game Using best response function to find Nash equilibrium in a 2-player game ( s1,s2) is a Nash equilibrium if and only if • player 1’s strategy s1 is her best response to player 2’s strategy s2 • player 2’s strategy s2 is her best response to player 1’s strategy s1
  • 18. Battle of Sexes Player2 Ball Theatre Player1 Ball 2,1 0,0 Theatre 0,0 1,2 •Ball is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Ball •Ball is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Ball •Hence, (Ball, Ball) is a Nash equilibrium •Theatre is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Theatre •Theatre is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Theatre •Hence, (Theatre, Theatre) is a Nash equilibrium
  • 19. Matching Pennies Player2 Head Tail Player1 Head -1,1 1,-1 Tail 1,-1 -1,1 •Head is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Tail •Tail is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Tail •Tail is Player 1’s best response to Player 2’s strategy Head •Head is Player 2’s best response to Player 1’s strategy Head •Hence, NO Nash equilibrium
  • 20. ITERATED ELIMINATION OF STRICTLY DOMINATED STRATEGY
  • 21. Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies X Y Z A 3, 3 0, 5 0,4 B 0,0 3,1 1,2
  • 22. Common Knowledge • First Level: You and Opponent know the matrix • Second Level: -You know that Opponent knows the matrix -Opponent knows that you know the matrix • Third Level - You know that opponent knows that you know the matrix - Opponent knows that you know that opponent knows the matrix
  • 23. Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies X Y Z A 3, 3 0, 5 0,4 B 0,0 3,1 1,2
  • 24. Iterated Elimination of Strictly Dominated Strategies • If a strategy is strictly dominated for some player, eliminate it • Repeat, eliminating any strictly dominated strategies in reduced game
  • 26. Dominance example B is dominated for Player 1 After eliminating B,R is dominated for Player 2
  • 31. L C R T 2,3 2,2 5,0 Y 3,2 5,3 3,1 Z 4,3 1,1 2,2 B 1,2 0,1 4,4
  • 32. L C R T 2,3 2,2 5,0 Y 3,2 5,3 3,1 Z 4,3 1,1 2,2 B 1,2 0,1 4,4
  • 33. L C R T 2,3 2,2 5,0 Y 3,2 5,3 3,1 Z 4,3 1,1 2,2 B 1,2 0,1 4,4
  • 34. L C R T 2,3 2,2 5,0 Y 3,2 5,3 3,1 Z 4,3 1,1 2,2 B 1,2 0,1 4,4
  • 35. L C R T 2,3 2,2 5,0 Y 3,2 5,3 3,1 Z 4,3 1,1 2,2 B 1,2 0,1 4,4
  • 37. Order of Elimination Question: Does the order of elimination matter? Answer: Although it is not obvious, the end result of iterated strict dominance is always the same regardless of the sequence of eliminations.
  • 38. Payoff Matrix for Bottled Water Game Firm Pepsi Co Raise Decrease Raise +1, +1 -1, +2 Firm Coca Cola Decrease +2, -1 0, 0
  • 39. ITERATED ELIMINATION OF WEAKLY DOMINATED STRATEGY
  • 40. Weakly Dominated Strategies ai weakly dominates a’i if for all strategy profiles a-i of the other players ui(ai, a-i) ≥ui(a’i, a-i) and there is at least one a-i' such that ui(ai, a-i') >ui(a’i, a-i')
  • 41. Example A B C I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7 II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5
  • 42. Weakly Dominated Strategies • A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in a Nash equilibrium
  • 43. Firm Pepsi Co Raise Decrease Raise +1, +1 0, 0 Firm Coca Cola Decrease 0,0 0, 0
  • 44. Weakly Dominated Strategies • A weakly dominated strategy can be chosen in a Nash equilibrium • Order of eliminating weakly dominated strategies matters
  • 45. Example A B C I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7 II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5
  • 46. Example A B C I -1, 3 0, 3 3, 7 II -1, 4 2, 7 6, 5 • Eliminate I, • Eliminate A, I
  • 47. A B I 0,0 2,5 II 5,5 100,5 III 5,5 0,0
  • 48. A B I 0,0 2,5 II 5,5 100,5 III 5,5 0,0 • I is weakly dominated by II • B is weakly dominated by A • (II,A) AND (III,A) are two possible outcomes
  • 49. A B I 0,0 2,5 II 5,5 100,5 III 5,5 0,0 • III is weakly dominated by II • A is weakly dominated by B • (II,B) is a possible outcome
  • 50. Order of Elimination • If you eliminate a strategy when there is some other strategy that yields payoffs that are higher or equal no matter what the other players do, you are doing iterated weak dominance • In this case you will not always get the same answer regardless of the sequence of eliminations. •This is a serious problem, and this is the reason why iterated strict dominance is mostly used.

Editor's Notes

  1. Mental gymnastics.
  2. The strategies that you can rationalize that a player would play. Which strategies can you confirm a player will play?Which strategy can you confirm a player would never play, if he or she is rational.By the same logic you know that each player is also rational. Hence, you also know that other players would not play dominated strategies and play dominant strategies. Therefore, you can rationalize your own strategies by taking into consideration your rationality and the rationality of the other player. But you also know that the other player knows that you are rational and that you know that he is rational . So he will be able to take into account all the strategies that you have eliminated because of your rationality or your knowledge of his own rationality. You in turn also know that he knows that you are rational and that you know that he is rational.