Future of Animal Agriculture - Dr. Lonnie King, Acting Dean, College of Food, Agriculture and Environmental Sciences, The Ohio State University, from the 2017 NIAA Annual Conference, U.S. Animal Agriculture's Future Role In World Food Production - Obstacles & Opportunities, April 4 - 6, Columbus, OH, USA. More presentations at http://www.trufflemedia.com/agmedia/conference/2017_niaa_us_animal_ag_future_role_world_food_production

1. NIAA Annual Conference
Future Role of Animal Ag
Columbus, OH
April 5, 2017
Lonnie King DVM, MS, MPA,DACVPM
The Ohio State University

2. Objectives
Set context and background – “Connexity” –top 22
Need for relevance and societal repositioning
Animal Agriculture 2.0 – a new image and positive
connection to people’s lives and wellbeing; shift from
1.0
How can we now be successful and shift to Animal
Agriculture 2.0?
A special moment in time that is creating winners and
losers – Re-imagining animal agriculture and human
health as synonymous – lesson learned

4. Agriculture is No Longer a
Norman Rockwell Painting

5. Animal Agriculture 2.0
Animal Ag is at a time similar to the “1980 moment”
and the start of biotech and a universal software
Venture capital funds flowing into animal agriculture
Externalization of R&D
Consumer is “King”; new value of food and social
choices
Strong anti-science and anti-agriculture sentiment
Future of global trade agreements

6. Animal Agriculture 2.0
More changes in the next 5 years than in the last 3
decades – consolidation, new entries and fusion of
industries and scientific domains
Unprecedented research opportunities
Population growth, affluence and substantial
increase in animal protein intake globally
Labor uncertainty: immigration and shift toward
mechanization and capitalization
Food security

7. Animal Agriculture 2.0
Food waste
Poverty alleviation, great possibilities globally
Animal agriculture and agriculture – a new blurring of
the intellectual domains and themes – genetics, feed,
genomics, health and data analytics – ag is a life
science closely connected to health – ag and human
Digital Farms and production systems – value of data
Rural America – opportunities in ag-tech and
production

8. Animal Agriculture 2.0
“1.6 planets” – the driving demand for food/protein
Global health – impact of poor nutrition and hunger
on people’s lives and productivity
Sustainability and environmental health
Food security = national security – new agenda
Food and Health – ag impacts 75% of determinants
Strategic inflection points: animal welfare, emerging
infections in people and animals; antimicrobial
resistance, social responsibility, ecological resilience,
food safety

9. Strategic Inflection Point
New heights- Reinvention
Decline: loss of control;
no precedent and old
actions are ineffective
Strategic Inflection Point

10. Meeting the Needs of Society
The most serious challenge to animal agriculture is
to reestablish its social responsibility and relevance
as a positive factor in improving lives

11. Unprecedented and Extraordinary Research
Genomics, gene editing, microbiome, data analytics,
precision agriculture, and beneficial microbes
“Internet of things” – decision-making simplicity
Food waste – distribution systems, shelf life,
behavior science
Reduction in animal morbidity and mortality
“Climate-smart” production
Environmental sustainability – defined to include
profitability
USDA research – relocate and make independent?

12. Digital Farms
The “Internet of Things” – providers of data services
40 decisions on inputs – 25 million acres across U.S.
Precision livestock
Fusion of machine, agronomic, management data

13. Externalization of Research and Development
Decline in public funding for agricultural R&D; public
investment = 17.2% (fed) and 6.1% (state)
New value and worth of private R&D – venture funds
Global Change – China now spends 2X more
New partners – engineering, data analytics,
genomics, nutrition, breeding, public health and
medicine, ecology and business
Food technology and creation of new products
Interface agriculture with plant science and human
health – next critical dimension of collaboration

14. Rural America
Remains as key part of the U.S. and our future
A social and political reality of emerging importance
Consolidation not helpful to all or all communities
Encompasses large land mass and millions of people
Difficulty in shifting from extraction industries and
traditional ag and a fragmented agriculture 1.0
Poverty is both a result of poor health and cause of
poor health – key focus for animal agriculture
Economics and recovery in rural America – new
potential for agriculture – can we double animals

15. Food Security
Global population: adding 1 million people per week
for the next 40 years
Need to produce more food over the next 40 years
than during the last 500 years
Challenges of Livestock/2020
Urban and rural insecurities
Cost and burdens of endemic
zoonoses
Sustainability and One Health

16. Last year, over 40 billion food
animals were produced to
help feed a population of over
7 billion people resulting in
trillions of pounds of products
distributed worldwide.
Projections toward 2025
indicate that the demand for
animal protein will increase
by 50%, especially in
developing countries.

17. World Meat Consumption, 1983 - 2020
Source: Newcomb, J., One World – One Health: An Economic Perspective, 2004

19. Global Poverty, Hunger, Livestock, Health
70 % rural poor and 30% urban poor depend on livestock
Assessing 56 zoonoses globally, they are responsible for
2.5 billion cases of human illness and 2.7 million deaths
annually (ILRI)
Massive under-reporting yet huge burden of illness
especially in the 1 billion people worldwide earning less
than $2 a day
Of the top zoonotic diseases, most have high impact on
L/S, wildlife interfaces and are agriculturally amenable

20. Food as Source of Value
Organic, antibiotic-free, local, animal welfare stnd.
No GMOs or BST - what’s next, no vaccines?
Fair Trade products
Benefitting society; socially responsible
Food innovation
Healthy – antioxidants, nutritional value
Alternatives to antibiotics in production systems

21. Public Perception
Lessons learned – GMO and BST; food safety
Concerted coalition to publicize animal welfare/rights;
AMR, “industrialized farming”; food safety;
organics/local; environmental degradation; carbon
footprint; water resources (70% usage)
Disconnection of farmers/producers from the public
Animal ag does not articulate the value of its
products and its benefit to human and community
health and vitality
Millennials – view of food and farming – huge market

22. Fairlife Milk
There is an emotional component to food and ag
Promise – growing our own crops for feed, animal
well being, tracing all products to farm; sustainable,
innovative and ensuring the future of our planet and
stewards of the land; carbon neutral footprint –
responsible to improve the health and vitality of
people as well as our planet from the wholesome
simplicity of real milk.

23. The Need for One Health
Health is shaped by: genetics, socio-economic
circumstances, environmental conditions, behaviors
and human choices, and medical care.
It is estimated that medical care accounts for less
than 25% in determining a population’s health status.
One Health attempts to understand and integrate all
the factors related to health and devise interventions
at the best level

24. Determinants of Population Health

25. Animal Agriculture’s Impact on Our Health
Determinants/Millennial Development Goals
Environmental Factors – sustainability, water quality,
new energy sources, nutrient management
Behavior Factors/Choices – access to healthy food,
food matching personalized medicine, education,
work with public health, nutrition, disease prevention
Socio-economic Factors – jobs, improving
economics in rural America; education; innovations
resulting in new science and new businesses e.g.
aquaponics, informatics and improved production
Millennial Goals – poverty, hunger disease,
environment, child and maternal health

27. Food and Health
Precision agriculture and personalized medicine
Animals and products as medicines; agriceuticals
1:4 illnesses directly related to food
Reducing the cost of healthcare - $3.3 trillion
Healthy choices and access to healthy foods
Food security – lack of nutrition and costs of stunting
Bottom 1 billion – special dependence on animals
Costs of zoonoses and emerging diseases – $2.5 B

28. Why should where you live make a
difference in how long you live?

29. Dynamics of One Health Domains
Animal
Health
Human
Health
Environmental
Health
Newton’s 3rd Law of Motion: in essence, for every
action, there is an equal and opposite reaction.

30. Uncertainties: “VUCA”
More disruptions - a nonlinear world
- Political
- Climate and weather
- Regulations
- Global Trade
- Demographics
- Environment
- Technology

32. A Remarkable Horizon of Possibilities
The great excitement about the future is
that we can still shape and create it.

33. Grow Bigger Minds To Solve Bigger Problems
Our horizon has never been more rich nor our
possibilities more promising; yet, no guarantee
Need to be responsible, responsive and relevant
Re-imagine animal agriculture 2.0 – “can’t use the
same level of thinking that we used to create our
current problems and challenges”

34. Reinventing Animal Agriculture 2.0
An organization that can’t re-
imagine its deepest sense of what it
is, what it does, and how it
competes and operates will soon be
rendered obsolete.

35. Fundamental Reset From
Animal Agriculture 1.0 to 2.0
- Acquiring the skills of an interdependent:
collaboration, partnerships and innovation
- Adopting new scientific findings and technology;
leading the global effort to feed 10 billion people
- Articulate your value and societal benefits
- Mission: You don’t rear animals, you improve lives
- Begin proactive and transparent conversations on
key strategic inflections – don’t play defense
- Embrace food and health in all its dimensions

36. Fundamental Reset from
Animal Agriculture 1.0 to 2.0
Commit to helping address the problems of rural U.S.
in poverty and health
Demand a shift to more equitable research funding
Leverage global demand for protein from animal
sources; support poverty alleviation and global health
Food security is a part of national security – rebrand
our mission
Utilize exponential growth in biologic information/DB
Exceptional leadership; a galvanizing moment in time

37. Hicks, Edward. Peaceable Kingdom c. 1834