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Derivative Report
                                                                                                          India Research
                                                                                                                    Sep 15, 2010
Comments
                                                                    Nifty Vs OI
 The Nifty futures’ open interest decreased by 2.58%
      while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.21%
      as market closed at 5795.55 levels.
 The Nifty Sep future closed at a premium of 16.45
      points, against a premium of 3.35 points in the last
      trading session. On the other hand, Oct future closed
      at a premium of 23.30 points.
 The PCR-OI increased from 1.60 to 1.73 points.
 The       Implied volatility of At-the-money            options
      increased from 14.00% to 16.00%.
 The total OI of the market is Rs1,97,261cr and the
      stock futures OI is Rs51,117cr.
 Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are
      TTML, ICSA, CESC, ASIANPAINT and SUZLON.


OI Gainers
                                                                     View
                                 OI                    PRICE
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE      PRICE      CHANGE          Although FIIs have covered some of their short
                                 (%)                    (%)             positions in the Index futures, they have formed
                                                                        some shorts in the stock futures. They were net
ASIANPAINT           165250     38.57     2860.55          2.24
                                                                        buyers of Rs1651cr in the cash market segment.
CESC               1213000      34.33      419.55          2.87
                                                                      Yesterday, unwinding in most of the In-the-money
CUMMINSIND           474000     27.08      744.60          0.17         calls have observed. This suggests participants who
                                                                        had longs are booking their profit. On the other
NHPC              55448000      22.37       32.55          4.83
                                                                        hand, 5700 and 5800 put options added
HDIL              17955000      19.84      270.60          -4.53        significant open interest. In puts, unwinding was
                                                                        observed in the 5600 and below strikes.
OI Losers                                                             In the past two trading sessions, some unwinding
                                 OI                        PRICE        was visible in HEROHONDA. We may see a short
SCRIP                 OI       CHANGE       PRICE         CHANGE        covering bounce in this stock up to Rs1770-1780,
                                 (%)                        (%)         as shorts are getting covered from lower levels.
                                                                        Therefore, trading with positive bias is advisable
OPTOCIRCUI           935000      -10.53     311.50          1.07
                                                                        with the stop loss of Rs1675.
GMDCLTD             1960000      -9.01      134.25         -1.79
                                                                      ULTRACEMCO has its immediate resistance around
FEDERALBNK          1450000      -7.64      370.15         -0.11        current levels. We expect profit booking in it. Thus,
                                                                        participants who have long positions can book their
SRTRANSFIN           101000      -7.34      789.80         -0.61
                                                                        profit and aggressive traders can form contra shorts
BEL                  304125      -6.53     1777.50         -0.04        around Rs1050, for the target of Rs1000. Keep a
                                                                        stop loss of Rs1070.

Put-Call Ratio                                                        Historical Volatility

SCRIP                          PCR-OI          PCR-VOL                SCRIP                                     HV

NIFTY                           1.73               0.87               NHPC                                     29.10

RELIANCE                        0.39               0.20               ASHOKLEY                                 39.58

BANKNIFTY                       2.36               1.43               IOC                                      35.82

TATASTEEL                       0.73               0.35               WIPRO                                    26.88

SBIN                            1.25               0.67               RUCHISOYA                                56.22


SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                  For Private Circulation Only            1
Derivative Report | India Research




FII Statistics for 14-Sep-2010                                                                 Turnover on 14-Sep-2010

                                                                    Open Interest
                                                                                                                   No. of      Turnover         Change
Detail           Buy            Sell          Net                                                Instrument
                                                                                                                  Contracts    (Rs. in cr.)       (%)
                                                        Contracts       Value        Change
                                                                      (Rs. in cr.)     (%)
INDEX                                                                                          Index Futures      782196       21753.79         16.66
              4137.76     2512.97        1624.78        690786        20063.56        -2.21
FUTURES
INDEX                                                                                          Stock Futures      829927       27014.64         23.77
              9626.12    12977.45        (3351.32)      2719558       78817.75        -0.02
OPTIONS
STOCK                                                                                          Index Options      3507919      101116.44        -1.35
              1724.58     2397.37        (672.79)       1350347       39424.34        0.68
FUTURES
STOCK                                                                                          Stock Options      193841        6490.47             4.62
               865.57     857.94              7.63       43772         1335.82        1.61
OPTIONS
TOTAL         16354.03 18745.73          (2391.70)      4804463      139641.48        -0.13    Total              5313883      156375.34            4.83




 Nifty Spot = 5795.55                          Lot Size = 50


 Bull-Call Spreads                                                                   Bear-Put Spreads

 Action       Strike    Price          Risk          Reward         BEP              Action    Strike     Price       Risk    Reward          BEP

 Buy         5800       81.00                                                        Buy       5700      41.35
                                       44.60         55.40    5844.60                                               16.95     83.05       5683.05
 Sell        5900       36.40                                                        Sell      5600      24.40
 Buy         5800       81.00                                                        Buy       5700      41.35
                                       67.60         132.40   5867.60                                               25.35     174.65      5674.65
 Sell        6000       13.40                                                        Sell      5500      16.00
 Buy         5900       36.40                                                        Buy       5600      24.40
                                       23.00         77.00    5923.00                                                8.40     91.60       5591.60
 Sell        6000       13.40                                                        Sell      5500      16.00

Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (September Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation




Nifty Put-Call Analysis




 For Private Circulation Only                             SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                         2
Derivative Report | India Research




       Strategy Date                        Scrip                             Strategy                             Status

         30-Aug-10                        RELINFRA                        Long Call Ladder                        Continue

         06-Sep-10                       BHARTIARTL                       Ratio Put Spread                        Continue

         13-Sep-10                      HINDUNILVR                           Call Hedge                           Continue

         13-Sep-10                          NIFTY                             Long Put                            Continue




DISCLAIMER

This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment
decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should
make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the
companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine
the merits and risks of such an investment.

Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make
investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this
document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within.

Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and
trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's
fundamentals.

The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable
sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this
document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible
for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel
Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor
make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While
Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be
regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced,
redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly.

Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or
other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or
in the past.

Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or
in connection with the use of this information.

Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section).

Derivative Research Team                                                                        derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com

For Private Circulation Only                    SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539                                                    3

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Derivatives Report - September 15, 2010

  • 1. Derivative Report India Research Sep 15, 2010 Comments Nifty Vs OI  The Nifty futures’ open interest decreased by 2.58% while Minifty futures’ open interest increased by 0.21% as market closed at 5795.55 levels.  The Nifty Sep future closed at a premium of 16.45 points, against a premium of 3.35 points in the last trading session. On the other hand, Oct future closed at a premium of 23.30 points.  The PCR-OI increased from 1.60 to 1.73 points.  The Implied volatility of At-the-money options increased from 14.00% to 16.00%.  The total OI of the market is Rs1,97,261cr and the stock futures OI is Rs51,117cr.  Few liquid counters where cost of carry is positive are TTML, ICSA, CESC, ASIANPAINT and SUZLON. OI Gainers View OI PRICE SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE  Although FIIs have covered some of their short (%) (%) positions in the Index futures, they have formed some shorts in the stock futures. They were net ASIANPAINT 165250 38.57 2860.55 2.24 buyers of Rs1651cr in the cash market segment. CESC 1213000 34.33 419.55 2.87  Yesterday, unwinding in most of the In-the-money CUMMINSIND 474000 27.08 744.60 0.17 calls have observed. This suggests participants who had longs are booking their profit. On the other NHPC 55448000 22.37 32.55 4.83 hand, 5700 and 5800 put options added HDIL 17955000 19.84 270.60 -4.53 significant open interest. In puts, unwinding was observed in the 5600 and below strikes. OI Losers  In the past two trading sessions, some unwinding OI PRICE was visible in HEROHONDA. We may see a short SCRIP OI CHANGE PRICE CHANGE covering bounce in this stock up to Rs1770-1780, (%) (%) as shorts are getting covered from lower levels. Therefore, trading with positive bias is advisable OPTOCIRCUI 935000 -10.53 311.50 1.07 with the stop loss of Rs1675. GMDCLTD 1960000 -9.01 134.25 -1.79  ULTRACEMCO has its immediate resistance around FEDERALBNK 1450000 -7.64 370.15 -0.11 current levels. We expect profit booking in it. Thus, participants who have long positions can book their SRTRANSFIN 101000 -7.34 789.80 -0.61 profit and aggressive traders can form contra shorts BEL 304125 -6.53 1777.50 -0.04 around Rs1050, for the target of Rs1000. Keep a stop loss of Rs1070. Put-Call Ratio Historical Volatility SCRIP PCR-OI PCR-VOL SCRIP HV NIFTY 1.73 0.87 NHPC 29.10 RELIANCE 0.39 0.20 ASHOKLEY 39.58 BANKNIFTY 2.36 1.43 IOC 35.82 TATASTEEL 0.73 0.35 WIPRO 26.88 SBIN 1.25 0.67 RUCHISOYA 56.22 SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 For Private Circulation Only 1
  • 2. Derivative Report | India Research FII Statistics for 14-Sep-2010 Turnover on 14-Sep-2010 Open Interest No. of Turnover Change Detail Buy Sell Net Instrument Contracts (Rs. in cr.) (%) Contracts Value Change (Rs. in cr.) (%) INDEX Index Futures 782196 21753.79 16.66 4137.76 2512.97 1624.78 690786 20063.56 -2.21 FUTURES INDEX Stock Futures 829927 27014.64 23.77 9626.12 12977.45 (3351.32) 2719558 78817.75 -0.02 OPTIONS STOCK Index Options 3507919 101116.44 -1.35 1724.58 2397.37 (672.79) 1350347 39424.34 0.68 FUTURES STOCK Stock Options 193841 6490.47 4.62 865.57 857.94 7.63 43772 1335.82 1.61 OPTIONS TOTAL 16354.03 18745.73 (2391.70) 4804463 139641.48 -0.13 Total 5313883 156375.34 4.83 Nifty Spot = 5795.55 Lot Size = 50 Bull-Call Spreads Bear-Put Spreads Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Action Strike Price Risk Reward BEP Buy 5800 81.00 Buy 5700 41.35 44.60 55.40 5844.60 16.95 83.05 5683.05 Sell 5900 36.40 Sell 5600 24.40 Buy 5800 81.00 Buy 5700 41.35 67.60 132.40 5867.60 25.35 174.65 5674.65 Sell 6000 13.40 Sell 5500 16.00 Buy 5900 36.40 Buy 5600 24.40 23.00 77.00 5923.00 8.40 91.60 5591.60 Sell 6000 13.40 Sell 5500 16.00 Note: Above mentioned Bullish or Bearish Spreads in Nifty (September Series) are given as an information and not as a recommendation Nifty Put-Call Analysis For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 2
  • 3. Derivative Report | India Research Strategy Date Scrip Strategy Status 30-Aug-10 RELINFRA Long Call Ladder Continue 06-Sep-10 BHARTIARTL Ratio Put Spread Continue 13-Sep-10 HINDUNILVR Call Hedge Continue 13-Sep-10 NIFTY Long Put Continue DISCLAIMER This document is solely for the personal information of the recipient, and must not be singularly used as the basis of any investment decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make such investigations as they deem necessary to arrive at an independent evaluation of an investment in the securities of the companies referred to in this document (including the merits and risks involved), and should consult their own advisors to determine the merits and risks of such an investment. Angel Broking Limited, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company's fundamentals and, as such, may not match with a report on a company's fundamentals. The information in this document has been printed on the basis of publicly available information, internal data and other reliable sources believed to be true, but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete and it should not be relied on as such, as this document is for general guidance only. Angel Broking or any of its affiliates/ group companies shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this report. Angel Broking Limited has not independently verified all the information contained within this document. Accordingly, we cannot testify, nor make any representation or warranty, express or implied, to the accuracy, contents or data contained within this document. While Angel Broking Limited endeavours to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. This document is being supplied to you solely for your information, and its contents, information or data may not be reproduced, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly. Angel Broking Limited and its affiliates may seek to provide or have engaged in providing corporate finance, investment banking or other advisory services in a merger or specific transaction to the companies referred to in this report, as on the date of this report or in the past. Neither Angel Broking Limited, nor its directors, employees or affiliates shall be liable for any loss or damage that may arise from or in connection with the use of this information. Note: Please refer to the important `Stock Holding Disclosure' report on the Angel website (Research Section). Derivative Research Team derivatives.desk@angeltrade.com For Private Circulation Only SEBI Registration No: INB 010996539 3