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A New Age of Experimental Phylogenetics:
Digital Evolution and the Population Processes that
Reduce Phylogenetic Accuracy
Cory Kohn
Barry L. Williams
Dept. of Zoology, EEBB Graduate Program,
BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution In Action
Michigan State University
How do we determine whether
phylogenetic methods are accurate?
• Mathematical and statistical analyses
• Computer simulation
• Comparison with known phylogenies
– Experimental or otherwise
Simulation approaches have several
drawbacks
• Explicit simplifications using proposed models
• Complex or emergent properties not easily
simulated
– Natural selection
– Epistatic interactions
– Hill-Robertson or clonal interference
– Genetic hitchhiking, etc
Analyses of known histories also have
drawbacks
• Difficult and costly
• Lack of replication
• Evolutionarily limited change
• Not representative of nature
– Provides information on one actual history…
Rather than “exhaustive information on an idealized
set of conditions that never actually exist in nature”
Hillis, DM et al. (1993), Experimental approaches to phylogenetic analysis. Systematic Biology 42:90-92.
Experimental phylogenetics:
Landmark study with T7 phage
• Single clone lineage seed
• Symmetrical, periodic
cladogenesis
Hillis, DM et al. (1992), Experimental phylogenetics: generation of a known phylogeny. Science 255:589-592.
Hillis, DM et al. (1994), Application and accuracy of molecular phylogenies. Science 264:671-677.
Experimental phylogenetics:
Landmark study with T7 phage
• Single clone lineage seed
• Symmetrical, periodic
cladogenesis
• RE data: all methods
inferred the true tree
• Seq data: ML inferred 5
of 6 clades correctly
Hillis, DM et al. (1992), Experimental phylogenetics: generation of a known phylogeny. Science 255:589-592.
Hillis, DM et al. (1994), Application and accuracy of molecular phylogenies. Science 264:671-677.
Requirements for phylogenetics
• Heritable traits with variation
• Ancestor – descendant relationships
• Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis)
• Hypothesized model of evolution
Requirements for phylogenetics
• Heritable traits with variation
• Ancestor – descendant relationships
• Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis)
• Hypothesized model of evolution
Avida is a software platform for
evolution in silico
Population
of digital organisms
A digital organism is a small computer
program
Population
of digital organisms
The genome consists of a sequence of
computational instructions
Population
of digital organisms
Self-replication of
instruction-set
genome with
probabilistic
mutation rate
The genome allows self-replication
Population
of digital organisms
Population
of digital organisms
Self-replication of
instruction-set
genome with
probabilistic
mutation rate
Phenotype provides
reward depending
on environment
The genome allows self-replication
and the ability to perform tasks
Self-replication of
instruction-set
genome with
probabilistic
mutation rate
The genome allows self-replication
and the ability to perform tasks
Heritability
Population
of digital organisms
Phenotype provides
reward depending
on environment
The genome allows self-replication
and the ability to perform tasks
Heritability
Variation
Population
of digital organisms
Phenotype provides
reward depending
on environment
The genome allows self-replication
and the ability to perform tasks
Heritability
Variation
Differential
Fitness
Population
of digital organisms
Adaptive evolution, genetic drift,
population level processes can occur
Heritability
Variation
Differential
Fitness
Adaptive Evolution
Population
of digital organisms
Avida sequence data
resembles an amino acid sequence
• Avida genome:
utycasvabrucavcqgfcqapqcccccccc
Avida sequence data
resembles an amino acid sequencealignment
• Known mutational model (Poisson)
Avida sequence data
has a known model of evolution
• Known mutational model (Poisson)
• Knowable substitution model
Avida sequence data
has a known model of evolution
Requirements for phylogenetics
• Heritable traits with variation
• Ancestor – descendant relationships
• Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis)
• Hypothesized model of evolution
Artificial life is an attractive alternative
Heritable traits with variation
Ancestor – descendant relationships
Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis)
• Hypothesized model of evolution
We can do even better!
Artificial life is an attractive alternative
Heritable traits with variation
Ancestor – descendant relationships
Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis)
• Hypothesized model of evolution
We can do even better!
Easy and cheap
Evolutionary relevant change
Powerfully replicable
Do experimental histories generated
with artificial life resolve as expected
under simplistic conditions?
Do experimental histories generated
with artificial life resolve as expected
under simplistic conditions?
Can results inform biological reality?
Replicated T7 study using Avida
• Approximately replicated
substitution rate
• Perfect alignment
• Poisson model of
molecular evolution
• MrBayes
• RAxML
Extended to include various factors
• Recombination;
Lineage seeding
– Asexual; Single clone
– Recombination; Population
• Natural selection
– Population: 10 or 1000
• Extent of evolution
– 100, 300, or 3000 generations per lineage
– uniform, varied
Experimental phylogenetics
True
Experimental phylogenetics
True
H qtcahclvdqvnc…
I qtcahcdnqsgrc…
J qtcalcivqdcrm…
K qtcayyivqdcrc…
Experimental data
Experimental phylogenetics
True Inferred
H qtcahclvdqvnc…
I qtcahcdnqsgrc…
J qtcalcivqdcrm…
K qtcayyivqdcrc…
Experimental data
True Inferred
Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
True Inferred
Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
Robinson-Foulds distance = 2
Normalized RF distance = 0.17
True Inferred
Clade Accuracy = 1 – normalized RF distance
Percent of clades correctly identified in the inferred tree
Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
True
Clade Accuracy
5/6 = 83%
Inferred
Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
True
10 replicates per
experimental
conditions
Clade Accuracy
41/60 = 68%
Clade Accuracy plots
Simple, neutral evolution
Strong stabilizing selection
Recombination
population
transfers
Differing extent of lineage evolution
SLL: Short, Long, Long
300, 3000, 3000 generations per branch
reading backwards in time
Differing extent of lineage evolution
LSSB – Branch Breakup
Add taxa to equalize
relative extent of evolution
Differing extent of lineage evolution
SLL
LSL
LLS
LSS
Long branch attraction
LSL LSS
66% 33%
Parsimony “informative”
sites
SLL
LSL
LLS
LSS
Varying degrees of adaptive evolution
1000 organisms
in population
Adaptive evolution with or without
recombination
Adaptive evolution with or without
recombination
Lineage evolution, adaptive evolution,
recombination
Lineage evolution, adaptive evolution,
recombination
Unpredicted combinatorial effects
Tree posterior probability
indicative of clade accuracy
Conclusions
• MrBayes and RAxML performed well
– Even under difficult conditions
– Tree posterior indicative of clade accuracy
• Poor performance results from combinatorial
effects of factors
• Digital evolution is an attractive companion to
simulations and biological experimental
phylogenetics
Acknowledgements
Williams Lab:
Kyle Safran
Carlos Anderson
Kevin Hall
David Hillis
April Wright
avida.devosoft.org
Learn
More!
beacon-center.org
Resources and Funding:
All treatments
Varying degrees of adaptive evolution
Scheme 1 Scheme 2 Scheme 3 Scheme 4
1 environment 2 environments 6 environments 14 environments
Unpredicted combinatorial effects
20 available instructions » AA
# No-ops
● nop-A 1 # a
● nop-B 1 # b
● nop-C 1 # c
# Flow control operations
● if-n-equ 1 # d
● #if-less 1 #
● if-label 1 # e
● mov-head 1 # f
● jmp-head 1 # g
● get-head 1 # h
● #set-flow 1 #
# I/O and Sensory
● IO 1 # s
● h-search 1 # t
recoded w y v to j o b
# Single Argument Math
● #shift-r 1 #
● #shift-l 1 #
● inc 1 # i
● #dec 1 #
● push 1 # j
● pop 1 # k
● swap-stk 1 # l
● swap 1 # m
# Double Argument Math
● #add 1 #
● sub 1 # n
● nand 1 # o
# Biological Operations
● h-copy 0 # p
● h-alloc 1 # q
● h-divide 1 # r

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Digital Experimental Phylogenetics - Evolution2014

  • 1. A New Age of Experimental Phylogenetics: Digital Evolution and the Population Processes that Reduce Phylogenetic Accuracy Cory Kohn Barry L. Williams Dept. of Zoology, EEBB Graduate Program, BEACON Center for the Study of Evolution In Action Michigan State University
  • 2. How do we determine whether phylogenetic methods are accurate? • Mathematical and statistical analyses • Computer simulation • Comparison with known phylogenies – Experimental or otherwise
  • 3. Simulation approaches have several drawbacks • Explicit simplifications using proposed models • Complex or emergent properties not easily simulated – Natural selection – Epistatic interactions – Hill-Robertson or clonal interference – Genetic hitchhiking, etc
  • 4. Analyses of known histories also have drawbacks • Difficult and costly • Lack of replication • Evolutionarily limited change • Not representative of nature – Provides information on one actual history… Rather than “exhaustive information on an idealized set of conditions that never actually exist in nature” Hillis, DM et al. (1993), Experimental approaches to phylogenetic analysis. Systematic Biology 42:90-92.
  • 5. Experimental phylogenetics: Landmark study with T7 phage • Single clone lineage seed • Symmetrical, periodic cladogenesis Hillis, DM et al. (1992), Experimental phylogenetics: generation of a known phylogeny. Science 255:589-592. Hillis, DM et al. (1994), Application and accuracy of molecular phylogenies. Science 264:671-677.
  • 6. Experimental phylogenetics: Landmark study with T7 phage • Single clone lineage seed • Symmetrical, periodic cladogenesis • RE data: all methods inferred the true tree • Seq data: ML inferred 5 of 6 clades correctly Hillis, DM et al. (1992), Experimental phylogenetics: generation of a known phylogeny. Science 255:589-592. Hillis, DM et al. (1994), Application and accuracy of molecular phylogenies. Science 264:671-677.
  • 7. Requirements for phylogenetics • Heritable traits with variation • Ancestor – descendant relationships • Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis) • Hypothesized model of evolution
  • 8. Requirements for phylogenetics • Heritable traits with variation • Ancestor – descendant relationships • Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis) • Hypothesized model of evolution
  • 9. Avida is a software platform for evolution in silico Population of digital organisms
  • 10. A digital organism is a small computer program Population of digital organisms
  • 11. The genome consists of a sequence of computational instructions Population of digital organisms
  • 12. Self-replication of instruction-set genome with probabilistic mutation rate The genome allows self-replication Population of digital organisms
  • 13. Population of digital organisms Self-replication of instruction-set genome with probabilistic mutation rate Phenotype provides reward depending on environment The genome allows self-replication and the ability to perform tasks
  • 14. Self-replication of instruction-set genome with probabilistic mutation rate The genome allows self-replication and the ability to perform tasks Heritability Population of digital organisms Phenotype provides reward depending on environment
  • 15. The genome allows self-replication and the ability to perform tasks Heritability Variation Population of digital organisms Phenotype provides reward depending on environment
  • 16. The genome allows self-replication and the ability to perform tasks Heritability Variation Differential Fitness Population of digital organisms
  • 17. Adaptive evolution, genetic drift, population level processes can occur Heritability Variation Differential Fitness Adaptive Evolution Population of digital organisms
  • 18. Avida sequence data resembles an amino acid sequence • Avida genome: utycasvabrucavcqgfcqapqcccccccc
  • 19. Avida sequence data resembles an amino acid sequencealignment
  • 20. • Known mutational model (Poisson) Avida sequence data has a known model of evolution
  • 21. • Known mutational model (Poisson) • Knowable substitution model Avida sequence data has a known model of evolution
  • 22. Requirements for phylogenetics • Heritable traits with variation • Ancestor – descendant relationships • Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis) • Hypothesized model of evolution
  • 23. Artificial life is an attractive alternative Heritable traits with variation Ancestor – descendant relationships Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis) • Hypothesized model of evolution We can do even better!
  • 24. Artificial life is an attractive alternative Heritable traits with variation Ancestor – descendant relationships Series of bifurcations (cladogenesis) • Hypothesized model of evolution We can do even better! Easy and cheap Evolutionary relevant change Powerfully replicable
  • 25. Do experimental histories generated with artificial life resolve as expected under simplistic conditions?
  • 26. Do experimental histories generated with artificial life resolve as expected under simplistic conditions? Can results inform biological reality?
  • 27. Replicated T7 study using Avida • Approximately replicated substitution rate • Perfect alignment • Poisson model of molecular evolution • MrBayes • RAxML
  • 28. Extended to include various factors • Recombination; Lineage seeding – Asexual; Single clone – Recombination; Population • Natural selection – Population: 10 or 1000 • Extent of evolution – 100, 300, or 3000 generations per lineage – uniform, varied
  • 30. Experimental phylogenetics True H qtcahclvdqvnc… I qtcahcdnqsgrc… J qtcalcivqdcrm… K qtcayyivqdcrc… Experimental data
  • 31. Experimental phylogenetics True Inferred H qtcahclvdqvnc… I qtcahcdnqsgrc… J qtcalcivqdcrm… K qtcayyivqdcrc… Experimental data
  • 33. True Inferred Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy Robinson-Foulds distance = 2 Normalized RF distance = 0.17
  • 34. True Inferred Clade Accuracy = 1 – normalized RF distance Percent of clades correctly identified in the inferred tree Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy
  • 35. Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy True Clade Accuracy 5/6 = 83% Inferred
  • 36. Evaluation criterion: Clade Accuracy True 10 replicates per experimental conditions Clade Accuracy 41/60 = 68%
  • 41. Differing extent of lineage evolution SLL: Short, Long, Long 300, 3000, 3000 generations per branch reading backwards in time
  • 42. Differing extent of lineage evolution LSSB – Branch Breakup Add taxa to equalize relative extent of evolution
  • 43. Differing extent of lineage evolution SLL LSL LLS LSS
  • 44. Long branch attraction LSL LSS 66% 33% Parsimony “informative” sites SLL LSL LLS LSS
  • 45. Varying degrees of adaptive evolution 1000 organisms in population
  • 46. Adaptive evolution with or without recombination
  • 47. Adaptive evolution with or without recombination
  • 48. Lineage evolution, adaptive evolution, recombination
  • 49. Lineage evolution, adaptive evolution, recombination
  • 52. Conclusions • MrBayes and RAxML performed well – Even under difficult conditions – Tree posterior indicative of clade accuracy • Poor performance results from combinatorial effects of factors • Digital evolution is an attractive companion to simulations and biological experimental phylogenetics
  • 53. Acknowledgements Williams Lab: Kyle Safran Carlos Anderson Kevin Hall David Hillis April Wright avida.devosoft.org Learn More! beacon-center.org Resources and Funding:
  • 55. Varying degrees of adaptive evolution Scheme 1 Scheme 2 Scheme 3 Scheme 4 1 environment 2 environments 6 environments 14 environments
  • 57. 20 available instructions » AA # No-ops ● nop-A 1 # a ● nop-B 1 # b ● nop-C 1 # c # Flow control operations ● if-n-equ 1 # d ● #if-less 1 # ● if-label 1 # e ● mov-head 1 # f ● jmp-head 1 # g ● get-head 1 # h ● #set-flow 1 # # I/O and Sensory ● IO 1 # s ● h-search 1 # t recoded w y v to j o b # Single Argument Math ● #shift-r 1 # ● #shift-l 1 # ● inc 1 # i ● #dec 1 # ● push 1 # j ● pop 1 # k ● swap-stk 1 # l ● swap 1 # m # Double Argument Math ● #add 1 # ● sub 1 # n ● nand 1 # o # Biological Operations ● h-copy 0 # p ● h-alloc 1 # q ● h-divide 1 # r