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UN Climate Change Conference COP18
                         27 November 2012 | 13:15 - 14:45

    Sustainable Agriculture,
Food Security and Climate Change
How can climate-smart approaches help to build
  resilience in food security and agriculture?
Hunger in developing
                                                             countries 1990–2012
              1990–92: 980 million                                             2010–12: 852 million
                                                   North       Latin
                                                   Africa                                                            North Africa
                  Caribbean Oceania                           America               Caribbean       Oceania
                              0%                    0%                                                                   0%
 Latin               1%                                         5%                     1%             0%
America
  6%
                                   Sub-
                                                                                South-
                                 Saharan
                                                                               East Asia
          South-East              Africa                                          8%
                                                   Western                                                   Sub-Saharan
             Asia                  17%
                                                    Asia                                                        Africa
             14%                                     1%                                                          27%

                                                                   East Asia
                                                                     20%



      East Asia                       South Asia                                                                           Western
        27%                              33%                                                                                Asia
                                                                                                                            2%
                                                                                                South Asia
                                                                Caucasus                           36%
     Caucasus                                                  and Central
    and Central                                                   Asia
       Asia                                                        1%
        1%
What is at stake?

• Increasing extreme weather events and their
  devastating consequences to people’s lives, the
  economy and to nature
• Increased temperature and changing rainfall
  patterns will have an impact on lives, livelihoods,
  and production of food
• Climate change will increase the burden on already
  vulnerable populations
• Specifically, it is critical to support and empower
  small scale farmers
Two goals of our time

1. Achieving food security
  –   870 million hungry
  –   Food production should increase 60-70% by 2050
  –   Adaptation to climate change critical


2. Avoiding dangerous climate change
  –   ”2 degree goal” requires major emission cuts
  –   Agriculture sector, inlcuding forestry = 30% of emissions..
  –   ..and must be part of the solution
Climate-smart agriculture
                 3 pillars
Agricultural growth,
                      strategies for food security:
                          what have we learned?
• Increased productivity needed due to limited
  potential for expansion
• Past models are based on increasing input use
  (fertilizer, improved seeds, irrigation) in high
  potential production zones
• New challenges – lower potential production areas,
  higher rates of volatility (from markets as well as
  climate), environmental damage resulting from
  overuse of inputs, rising energy costs
Why is action needed now?
         Agricultural growth is key to
          reducing food insecurity
• Agriculture sector is the main source of livelihoods of
  the world’s food insecure
• The largest growth in projected populations is
  expected in agricultural-based economies that already
  have high food insecurity
• Agricultural growth is needed not only to increase
  food supply, but to increase the incomes of poor
  producers and rural populations to also
  increase their access to food
Why is action needed now?
Negative CC impacts are projected for agricultural-based
poor areas - adaptation is necessary
   – adverse impacts of climate change will increase
     difficulty of obtaining needed agricultural growth.
     IPCC: Africa to be hit the hardest
Current emission growth indicates urgent priority of
adaptation
   – If emissions are continuing to increase, the 2 degree
     goal will not met.
   – Agriculture can increase production and has a
     potential to mitigate at the same time. New
     investments have to consider both.
What is needed?

• Climate change adaptation must be incorporated
  in strategies to achieve agricultural development
  goals (building resilience in the entire food
  system – not just production systems)
• Incorporating mitigation into planning/strategies
  can offer potential for additional financing, e.g.
  think of broader ecosystem services from
  agriculture
Technical support provided
             by Rome based agencies and other partners

1. Data and knowledge for impact and vulnerability
   assessment and adaptation
2. Institutions, policies and financing to strengthen
   capacities for adaptation
3. Sustainable and climate-smart management of land,
   water and biodiversity
4. Technologies, practices and processes for adaptation
5. Disaster risk management
6. Etc.
Adaptation is critical for
                         agriculture and food security
• Climate change adaptation is
  critical for agriculture and food
  security
• Adaptation is addressed all across
  the agriculture, forestry and
  fisheries sectors.
• FAO-ADAPT brings together FAO’s
  efforts on adaptation: coordinated
  resource mobilization and
  programming.
• It also reinforces climate-smart
  agriculture.
Sustainable Agriculture,
                                   Food Security and Climate Change
                                How can climate-smart approaches help to build
                                     resilience in food security and agriculture?


                Side event questions:
1. How can climate-smart approaches be used to
   build resilience in food security and agriculture?
2. What are the barriers to scaling-up climate-smart
   practices, and how can they be overcome?
3. How can the poorest and most vulnerable benefit
   from climate-smart approaches?

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Sustainable agriculture, food security and climate change

  • 1. UN Climate Change Conference COP18 27 November 2012 | 13:15 - 14:45 Sustainable Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change How can climate-smart approaches help to build resilience in food security and agriculture?
  • 2. Hunger in developing countries 1990–2012 1990–92: 980 million 2010–12: 852 million North Latin Africa North Africa Caribbean Oceania America Caribbean Oceania 0% 0% 0% Latin 1% 5% 1% 0% America 6% Sub- South- Saharan East Asia South-East Africa 8% Western Sub-Saharan Asia 17% Asia Africa 14% 1% 27% East Asia 20% East Asia South Asia Western 27% 33% Asia 2% South Asia Caucasus 36% Caucasus and Central and Central Asia Asia 1% 1%
  • 3. What is at stake? • Increasing extreme weather events and their devastating consequences to people’s lives, the economy and to nature • Increased temperature and changing rainfall patterns will have an impact on lives, livelihoods, and production of food • Climate change will increase the burden on already vulnerable populations • Specifically, it is critical to support and empower small scale farmers
  • 4.
  • 5. Two goals of our time 1. Achieving food security – 870 million hungry – Food production should increase 60-70% by 2050 – Adaptation to climate change critical 2. Avoiding dangerous climate change – ”2 degree goal” requires major emission cuts – Agriculture sector, inlcuding forestry = 30% of emissions.. – ..and must be part of the solution
  • 7. Agricultural growth, strategies for food security: what have we learned? • Increased productivity needed due to limited potential for expansion • Past models are based on increasing input use (fertilizer, improved seeds, irrigation) in high potential production zones • New challenges – lower potential production areas, higher rates of volatility (from markets as well as climate), environmental damage resulting from overuse of inputs, rising energy costs
  • 8. Why is action needed now? Agricultural growth is key to reducing food insecurity • Agriculture sector is the main source of livelihoods of the world’s food insecure • The largest growth in projected populations is expected in agricultural-based economies that already have high food insecurity • Agricultural growth is needed not only to increase food supply, but to increase the incomes of poor producers and rural populations to also increase their access to food
  • 9. Why is action needed now? Negative CC impacts are projected for agricultural-based poor areas - adaptation is necessary – adverse impacts of climate change will increase difficulty of obtaining needed agricultural growth. IPCC: Africa to be hit the hardest Current emission growth indicates urgent priority of adaptation – If emissions are continuing to increase, the 2 degree goal will not met. – Agriculture can increase production and has a potential to mitigate at the same time. New investments have to consider both.
  • 10. What is needed? • Climate change adaptation must be incorporated in strategies to achieve agricultural development goals (building resilience in the entire food system – not just production systems) • Incorporating mitigation into planning/strategies can offer potential for additional financing, e.g. think of broader ecosystem services from agriculture
  • 11. Technical support provided by Rome based agencies and other partners 1. Data and knowledge for impact and vulnerability assessment and adaptation 2. Institutions, policies and financing to strengthen capacities for adaptation 3. Sustainable and climate-smart management of land, water and biodiversity 4. Technologies, practices and processes for adaptation 5. Disaster risk management 6. Etc.
  • 12. Adaptation is critical for agriculture and food security • Climate change adaptation is critical for agriculture and food security • Adaptation is addressed all across the agriculture, forestry and fisheries sectors. • FAO-ADAPT brings together FAO’s efforts on adaptation: coordinated resource mobilization and programming. • It also reinforces climate-smart agriculture.
  • 13. Sustainable Agriculture, Food Security and Climate Change How can climate-smart approaches help to build resilience in food security and agriculture? Side event questions: 1. How can climate-smart approaches be used to build resilience in food security and agriculture? 2. What are the barriers to scaling-up climate-smart practices, and how can they be overcome? 3. How can the poorest and most vulnerable benefit from climate-smart approaches?