Presentation by Bruce Campbell, Director, CGIAR Challenge Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS). 4 May 2010.

1. Proposed CGIAR Mega Program
Climate Change, Agriculture and
Food Security
Bruce Campbell
Director
CGIAR Challenge Program on climate change (CCAFS)

2. Outline
1. Some history
2. Why work on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security?
3. Proposed R for D program

3. 1. Some history
• 2002-2003 – Inter-centre working group on
climate change Nairobi meeting; Challenge
Program proposal
• 2006-2007 – ESSP-CGIAR prepared new
proposal Stakeholder meetings, regional
input Bali COP announced
• 2009
• Funds: EU, CIDA, WB, Danida
• Hired staff
• Planning/implementation

4. And then……the New
• Major reforms
• All work to be conducted in “Mega Programs”
(MPs)
• Climate Change MP proposed (“MP7”)
• CCAFS asked to lead development
• CP likely to be rolled into MP

5. Our strategy
• Make everything we do relevant to the new
realities in the CGIAR
• E.g. High-level meeting with private sector
(don’t even mention CP – focus on climate
change and food security)
• Use on-going implementation to “test” the
proposals in the MP concept

6. MP proposal development process
• CCAFS Management Team meet (March)
• GCARD – MP presented to diverse
stakeholders (April)
• CGIAR Contact Point Meeting (April)
• Nairobi meeting (May)
– What are the priorities?
– Inputs into the implementation in the target
regions

7. 2. Why a program on Climate Change,
Agriculture and Food Security?

8. Population Growth
60-70% more
food by 2050

9. Climate is likely to change for the worse in many
developing countries……………
Precipitation change (mm, 2000-2050)
CSIRO, A2, AR4

10. The suitability for crops will decline in
many areas……
Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS 2050

11. “Unchecked climate change will result in a 20 percent
increase in malnourished children by 2050”
Gerald Nelson, IFPRI/CCAFS

12. We need
• Agriculture and food systems that are climate-
climate-
resilient
• Enhanced adaptive capacity

13. We also need a climate-
friendly agriculture
Agricultural Greenhouse Gases
(Mt CO2-eq)
Source: Cool farming: Climate impacts of agriculture and mitigation potential, Greenpeace, 07 January 2008

14. But there is also an opportunity……

15. 3. Proposed R4D program
• Objectives • Regional
• Beneficiaries implementation
• Thematic focus • Partnerships
• Capacity development

16. Proposed objectives
• To provide diagnosis and
analysis to ensure the
inclusion of agriculture in
climate change policies
• To identify and develop
pro-poor adaptation and
pro-poor
mitigation practices,
technologies and policies

17. Resource-poor farmers

18. Global public good
Urban poor
18

19. Climate Variability and Change
Improved
Technologies, practices, Environmental
policies and capacity Benefits
enhancement: Improved
1. Adaptation to Progressive Climate
Change Livelihoods
2. Adaptation Pathways for Current
Improved
Climate Risk
Trad Food Security
3. Poverty Alleviaition through e-off
Mitigation s and
syn ergie
s
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making
Enhanced adaptive
Strategic Choices
capacity in agricultural,
NRM & food systems

20. 1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

21. 1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
•Adapted farming systems for changing
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices
climate conditions
•Strategies for breeding for future climatic
conditions
•Genetic diversity for increased resilience
and productivity

22. 1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices
•Field-, farm- and community-level risk
management strategies
•Better management of food delivery,
trade and crisis response
•Climate-related information and services

23. •Impacts of agricultural development
pathways
•On-farm mitigation practices and their
1. Adaptation to Progressive landscape-level implications
Climate Change 2 Adaptation Pathways for
•Institutional arrangements and incentives
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

24. •Scenarios to help planning under
uncertainty
•Data and tools for analysis and planning
1.•Outcomes of policy, program and
Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change
technology options 2 Adaptation Pathways for
Current Climate Risk
3. Poverty Alleviation through
Mitigation
4. Diagnosis and Scenarios for Making Strategic Choices

25. Regional
implementation
2010
2010
2011
2011
•West Africa
•West Africa
•2 more regions
•2 more regions
•Eastern Africa
•Eastern Africa
2012
2012
•Indo-Gangetic plains
•Indo-Gangetic plains 25
•3 more regions
•3 more regions

26. Partnerships for research and impact

27. ARIs
Climate science
that is
meaningful for
agricultural
planning and
development
NARES
NMS
Civil society
Private sector
Regional organisations (ag & climate)

28. Climate Change,
Water scarcity
Agriculture and
and land Food Security
degradation
Policies,
Sustainable rice, Institutions, and
wheat and maize Markets for
Forests and Enabling
systems for
trees Agricultural
ensuring global
food security Incomes for the
Poor

29. Capacity building mainstreamed into
the delivery of outputs and outcomes
• E.g. Build a PhD
network to measure
GHGs
• E.g. Work together with
national and regional
agencies to inform
UNFCCC

30. Photos: Neil Palmer, Peter Cooper, Jim Hansen