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1
Thinking Like an
Economist
Chapter 1
Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin
1-2
Learning Objectives
1. Explain and apply the Scarcity Principle
2. Explain and apply the Cost-Benefit Principle
3. Discuss three important pitfalls that occur when
applying the Cost-Benefit Principle
inconsistently
4. Explain and apply the Incentive Principle
2
1-3
The Scarcity Principle
Economics: The study of how
people make choices under scarcity
and the results of these choices for
society.
Economics: The study of how
people make choices under scarcity
and the results of these choices for
society.
The Scarcity Principle: People
have unlimited wants and limited
resources. Having more of one
good means having less of another.
The Scarcity Principle: People
have unlimited wants and limited
resources. Having more of one
good means having less of another.
Also called No Free-Lunch PrincipleAlso called No Free-Lunch Principle
1-4
The Scarcity Principle:
Examples
Scarcity is involved in
Global
warming
Political
elections
Career
choices
Buying
bottled
water
3
1-5
The Cost-Benefit Principle
• Take an action if and only if the extra benefits
are at least as great as the extra costs
• Costs and benefits are not just money
Marginal
Benefits
Marginal
Costs
1-6
Applying the Cost – Benefit
Principle
• Assume people are rational
– A rational person has well defined goals and tries to fulfill
those goals as best they can
• Would you walk to town to save $10 on an item?
– Benefits are clear
– Costs are harder to define
• Hypothetical auction
– Would you walk to town if someone paid you $9?
– If you would walk to town for less than $10, you gain from
buying the item in town
4
1-7
Cost – Benefit Principle
Examples
You clip
grocery
coupons but
Bill and
Melinda
Gates do not
You speed on
the way to
work but not
on the way to
school
At the ball
park, you pay
extra to buy a
soda from the
hawkers in
the stands
You skip your
regular dental
check-up
1-8
Economic Surplus
• The economic surplus of an action is equal
to its benefit minus its costs
Economic
Surplus
Total
Benefits
Total
Costs
5
1-9
Opportunity Cost
• Opportunity cost is the value of what must be
foregone in order to undertake an activity
– Consider explicit and implicit costs
• Examples:
– Give up an hour of babysitting to go to the movies
– Give up watching TV to walk to town
• Caution: NOT the combined value of all
possible activities
– Opportunity cost considers only your best
alternative
1-10
Economic Models
• Simplifying assumptions
– Which aspects of the decision are absolutely
essential?
– Which aspects are irrelevant?
• Abstract representation of key relationships
– The Cost-Benefit Principle is a model
• If costs of an action increase, the action is less likely
• If benefits of an action increase, the action is more
likely
6
1-11
Three Decision Pitfalls
• Economic analysis predicts likely behavior
• Three general cases of mistakes
1. Measuring costs and benefits as proportions
instead of absolute amounts
2. Ignoring implicit costs
3. Failure to think at the margin
1-12
Pitfall #1
Measuring costs
and benefits as
proportions
instead of
absolute amount
• Would you walk to
town to save $10 on
a $25 item?
• Would you walk to
town to save $10 on
a $2,500 item?
Action
Marginal
Costs
Marginal
Benefits
7
1-13
Pitfall #2
Ignoring implicit
costs
• Consider your
alternatives
– The value of a
Frequent Flyer coupon
depends on its next
best use
• Expiration date
• Do you have time for
another trip?
• Cost of the next best
trip
Explicit
Costs
Implicit
Costs
Opportunity
Cost
1-14
Pitfall #3
Failure to think at
the margin
• Sunk costs cannot be
recovered
– Examples:
• Eating at an all-you-
can-eat restaurant
• Attend a second year
of law school
Marginal
Benefits
Marginal
Costs
8
1-15
Marginal Analysis Ideas
• Marginal cost is the increase in total cost
from one additional unit of an activity
– Average cost is total cost divided by the number
of units
• Marginal benefit is the increase in total
benefit from one additional unit of an activity
– Average benefit is total benefit divided by the
number of units
1-16
Marginal Analysis: NASA
Space Shuttle
 If the marginal benefit is $6 billion per launch, how many launches
should NASA make?
# of Launches
Total Cost
($B)
0 $0
1 $3
2 $7
3 $12
4 $20
5 $32
Average Cost
($B/launch)
$0
$3
$3.5
$4
$5
$6.4
Marginal Cost
($B)
$3
$4
$5
$8
$12
9
1-17
Normative and Positive
Economics
– Normative economic
principle says how
people should behave
• Gas prices are too
high
• Building a space base
on the moon will cost
too much
– Positive economic
principle predicts how
people will behave
• The average price of
gasoline in May 2010
was higher than in
May 2009
• Building a space base
on the moon will cost
more than the shuttle
program
1-18
Incentive Principle
Incentives are central to people's choices
Benefits
Actions are more likely
to be taken if their
benefits rise
Costs
Actions are less likely
to be taken if their
costs rise
10
1-19
Microeconomics and
Macroeconomics
 Microeconomics studies
choice and its implications
for price and quantity in
individual markets
 Sugar
 Carpets
 House cleaning services
 Microeconomics considers
topics such as
 Costs of production
 Demand for a product
 Exchange rates
 Macroeconomics studies
the performance of national
economies and the policies
that governments use to try
to improve that performance
 Inflation
 Unemployment
 Growth
 Macroeconomics considers
 Monetary policy
 Deficits
 Tax policy
1-20
Economics Is Choosing
• Focus in this course is on a short list of powerful
ideas
– Explain many economic issues
– Predict decisions made in a variety of
circumstances
• Core Principles are the foundation for solving
economic problems
11
1-21
Economics Is Everywhere
• There are many things that economics can help
to explain
• Economic Naturalist topics
– Why is expensive software bundled with PCs?
– Why can't you buy a car without heaters
– Drive-up ATMs with Braille
Working with Equations,
Graphs, and Tables
Chapter 1 Appendix
12
1-23
Definitions
• Equation
• Variable
– Dependent variable
– Independent variable
• Parameter (constant)
– Slope
– Intercept
1-24
From Words to an Equation
• Identify the variables
• Calculate the parameters
– Slope
– Intercept
• Write the equation
• Example: Phone bill is $5 per month plus 10
cents per minute
B = 5 + 0.10 T
13
1-25
B = 5 + 0.10 T
– Draw and label axes
• Horizontal is independent variable
• Vertical is dependent variable
– To graph,
• Plot the intercept
• Plot one other
point
• Connect the
points
From Equation to Graph
T
B
5
6
A
C
D
12
8
10 30 70
1-26
From Graph to Equation
– Identify variables
• Independent
• Dependent
– Identify parameters
• Intercept
• Slope
– Write the equation
B = 4 + 0.2 T
14
1-27
Changes in the Intercept
– An increase in the intercept shifts the curve up
• Slope is unchanged
• Caused by an increase in the monthly fee
– A decrease in
the intercept
shifts the curve
down
• Slope is
unchanged
1-28
Changes in the Slope
– An increase in the slope makes the curve steeper
• Intercept is unchanged
• Caused by an increase in the per minute fee
– A decrease in the
slope makes the
curve flatter
• Intercept is
unchanged
15
1-29
From Table to Graph
– Identify variables
• Independent
• Dependent
– Label axes
– Plot points
• Connect points
Time
(minutes/month)
10 20 30 40
Bill
($/month)
$10.50 $11.00 $11.50 $12.00
1-30
From Table to Equation
– Identify independent and dependent variables
– Calculate slope
• Slope = (11.5 – 10.5) / (30 – 10) = 1/20 = 0.05
– Solve for intercept, f, using any point
B = f + 0.05 T
12 = f + 0.05 (40) = f + 2
f = 12 – 2 = 10
B = 10 + 0.05 T
Time
(minutes/month)
10 20 30 40
Bill
($/month)
$10.50 $11.00 $11.50 $12.00
16
1-31
Simultaneous Equations
• Two equations, two unknowns
• Solving the equations gives the values of the
variables where the two equations intersect
– Value of the independent and dependent variables
are the same in each equation
• Example
– Two billing plans for phone service
• How many minutes make the two plans cost the
same?
1-32
• Plan 1 B = 10 + 0.04 T
• Plan 2 B = 20 + 0.02 T
– Plan 1 has higher per minute price while Plan 2 has
a higher monthly
fee
• Find B and T
for point A
Simultaneous Equations
17
1-33
– Find B when T = 500
B = 10 + 0.04 T
B = 10 + 0.04 (500)
B = $30
OR
B = 20 + 0.02 T
B = 20 + 0.02 (500)
B = $30
Simultaneous Equations
– Plan 1 B = 10 + 0.04 T
– Plan 2 B = 20 + 0.02 T
– Subtract Plan 2 equation from
Plan 1 and solve for T
B = 10 + 0.04 T
– B = – 20 – 0.02 T
0 = – 10 + 0.02 T
T = 500

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Chap001 lecture

  • 1. 1 Thinking Like an Economist Chapter 1 Copyright © 2013 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill/Irwin 1-2 Learning Objectives 1. Explain and apply the Scarcity Principle 2. Explain and apply the Cost-Benefit Principle 3. Discuss three important pitfalls that occur when applying the Cost-Benefit Principle inconsistently 4. Explain and apply the Incentive Principle
  • 2. 2 1-3 The Scarcity Principle Economics: The study of how people make choices under scarcity and the results of these choices for society. Economics: The study of how people make choices under scarcity and the results of these choices for society. The Scarcity Principle: People have unlimited wants and limited resources. Having more of one good means having less of another. The Scarcity Principle: People have unlimited wants and limited resources. Having more of one good means having less of another. Also called No Free-Lunch PrincipleAlso called No Free-Lunch Principle 1-4 The Scarcity Principle: Examples Scarcity is involved in Global warming Political elections Career choices Buying bottled water
  • 3. 3 1-5 The Cost-Benefit Principle • Take an action if and only if the extra benefits are at least as great as the extra costs • Costs and benefits are not just money Marginal Benefits Marginal Costs 1-6 Applying the Cost – Benefit Principle • Assume people are rational – A rational person has well defined goals and tries to fulfill those goals as best they can • Would you walk to town to save $10 on an item? – Benefits are clear – Costs are harder to define • Hypothetical auction – Would you walk to town if someone paid you $9? – If you would walk to town for less than $10, you gain from buying the item in town
  • 4. 4 1-7 Cost – Benefit Principle Examples You clip grocery coupons but Bill and Melinda Gates do not You speed on the way to work but not on the way to school At the ball park, you pay extra to buy a soda from the hawkers in the stands You skip your regular dental check-up 1-8 Economic Surplus • The economic surplus of an action is equal to its benefit minus its costs Economic Surplus Total Benefits Total Costs
  • 5. 5 1-9 Opportunity Cost • Opportunity cost is the value of what must be foregone in order to undertake an activity – Consider explicit and implicit costs • Examples: – Give up an hour of babysitting to go to the movies – Give up watching TV to walk to town • Caution: NOT the combined value of all possible activities – Opportunity cost considers only your best alternative 1-10 Economic Models • Simplifying assumptions – Which aspects of the decision are absolutely essential? – Which aspects are irrelevant? • Abstract representation of key relationships – The Cost-Benefit Principle is a model • If costs of an action increase, the action is less likely • If benefits of an action increase, the action is more likely
  • 6. 6 1-11 Three Decision Pitfalls • Economic analysis predicts likely behavior • Three general cases of mistakes 1. Measuring costs and benefits as proportions instead of absolute amounts 2. Ignoring implicit costs 3. Failure to think at the margin 1-12 Pitfall #1 Measuring costs and benefits as proportions instead of absolute amount • Would you walk to town to save $10 on a $25 item? • Would you walk to town to save $10 on a $2,500 item? Action Marginal Costs Marginal Benefits
  • 7. 7 1-13 Pitfall #2 Ignoring implicit costs • Consider your alternatives – The value of a Frequent Flyer coupon depends on its next best use • Expiration date • Do you have time for another trip? • Cost of the next best trip Explicit Costs Implicit Costs Opportunity Cost 1-14 Pitfall #3 Failure to think at the margin • Sunk costs cannot be recovered – Examples: • Eating at an all-you- can-eat restaurant • Attend a second year of law school Marginal Benefits Marginal Costs
  • 8. 8 1-15 Marginal Analysis Ideas • Marginal cost is the increase in total cost from one additional unit of an activity – Average cost is total cost divided by the number of units • Marginal benefit is the increase in total benefit from one additional unit of an activity – Average benefit is total benefit divided by the number of units 1-16 Marginal Analysis: NASA Space Shuttle  If the marginal benefit is $6 billion per launch, how many launches should NASA make? # of Launches Total Cost ($B) 0 $0 1 $3 2 $7 3 $12 4 $20 5 $32 Average Cost ($B/launch) $0 $3 $3.5 $4 $5 $6.4 Marginal Cost ($B) $3 $4 $5 $8 $12
  • 9. 9 1-17 Normative and Positive Economics – Normative economic principle says how people should behave • Gas prices are too high • Building a space base on the moon will cost too much – Positive economic principle predicts how people will behave • The average price of gasoline in May 2010 was higher than in May 2009 • Building a space base on the moon will cost more than the shuttle program 1-18 Incentive Principle Incentives are central to people's choices Benefits Actions are more likely to be taken if their benefits rise Costs Actions are less likely to be taken if their costs rise
  • 10. 10 1-19 Microeconomics and Macroeconomics  Microeconomics studies choice and its implications for price and quantity in individual markets  Sugar  Carpets  House cleaning services  Microeconomics considers topics such as  Costs of production  Demand for a product  Exchange rates  Macroeconomics studies the performance of national economies and the policies that governments use to try to improve that performance  Inflation  Unemployment  Growth  Macroeconomics considers  Monetary policy  Deficits  Tax policy 1-20 Economics Is Choosing • Focus in this course is on a short list of powerful ideas – Explain many economic issues – Predict decisions made in a variety of circumstances • Core Principles are the foundation for solving economic problems
  • 11. 11 1-21 Economics Is Everywhere • There are many things that economics can help to explain • Economic Naturalist topics – Why is expensive software bundled with PCs? – Why can't you buy a car without heaters – Drive-up ATMs with Braille Working with Equations, Graphs, and Tables Chapter 1 Appendix
  • 12. 12 1-23 Definitions • Equation • Variable – Dependent variable – Independent variable • Parameter (constant) – Slope – Intercept 1-24 From Words to an Equation • Identify the variables • Calculate the parameters – Slope – Intercept • Write the equation • Example: Phone bill is $5 per month plus 10 cents per minute B = 5 + 0.10 T
  • 13. 13 1-25 B = 5 + 0.10 T – Draw and label axes • Horizontal is independent variable • Vertical is dependent variable – To graph, • Plot the intercept • Plot one other point • Connect the points From Equation to Graph T B 5 6 A C D 12 8 10 30 70 1-26 From Graph to Equation – Identify variables • Independent • Dependent – Identify parameters • Intercept • Slope – Write the equation B = 4 + 0.2 T
  • 14. 14 1-27 Changes in the Intercept – An increase in the intercept shifts the curve up • Slope is unchanged • Caused by an increase in the monthly fee – A decrease in the intercept shifts the curve down • Slope is unchanged 1-28 Changes in the Slope – An increase in the slope makes the curve steeper • Intercept is unchanged • Caused by an increase in the per minute fee – A decrease in the slope makes the curve flatter • Intercept is unchanged
  • 15. 15 1-29 From Table to Graph – Identify variables • Independent • Dependent – Label axes – Plot points • Connect points Time (minutes/month) 10 20 30 40 Bill ($/month) $10.50 $11.00 $11.50 $12.00 1-30 From Table to Equation – Identify independent and dependent variables – Calculate slope • Slope = (11.5 – 10.5) / (30 – 10) = 1/20 = 0.05 – Solve for intercept, f, using any point B = f + 0.05 T 12 = f + 0.05 (40) = f + 2 f = 12 – 2 = 10 B = 10 + 0.05 T Time (minutes/month) 10 20 30 40 Bill ($/month) $10.50 $11.00 $11.50 $12.00
  • 16. 16 1-31 Simultaneous Equations • Two equations, two unknowns • Solving the equations gives the values of the variables where the two equations intersect – Value of the independent and dependent variables are the same in each equation • Example – Two billing plans for phone service • How many minutes make the two plans cost the same? 1-32 • Plan 1 B = 10 + 0.04 T • Plan 2 B = 20 + 0.02 T – Plan 1 has higher per minute price while Plan 2 has a higher monthly fee • Find B and T for point A Simultaneous Equations
  • 17. 17 1-33 – Find B when T = 500 B = 10 + 0.04 T B = 10 + 0.04 (500) B = $30 OR B = 20 + 0.02 T B = 20 + 0.02 (500) B = $30 Simultaneous Equations – Plan 1 B = 10 + 0.04 T – Plan 2 B = 20 + 0.02 T – Subtract Plan 2 equation from Plan 1 and solve for T B = 10 + 0.04 T – B = – 20 – 0.02 T 0 = – 10 + 0.02 T T = 500