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BMGT 311: Chapter 15
Understanding Regression Analysis Basics
1
Learning Objectives
• To understand the basic concept of prediction
• To learn how marketing researchers use regression analysis
• To learn how marketing researchers use bivariate regression analysis
• To see how multiple regression differs from bivariate regression
• Chapter 15 covers the basics of a very detailed subject matter
• Chapter 15 is simplified; regression analysis is complex and requires
additional study.
2
3
Bivariate Linear
Regression Analysis
• Regression analysis is a
predictive analysis technique in
which one or more variables are
used to predict the level of
another by use of the straight-
line formula.
• Bivariate regression means
only two variables are being
analyzed, and researchers
sometimes refer to this case as
“simple regression.”
4
Bivariate Linear
Regression Analysis
• With bivariate analysis, one
variable is used to predict
another variable.
• The straight-line equation is the
basis of regression analysis.
5
Basic Regression Analysis Concepts
• Independent variable: used to predict the independent variable (x in the
regression straight-line equation)
• Dependent variable: that which is predicted (y in the regression straight-line
equation)
• Least squares criterion: used in regression analysis; guarantees that the
“best” straight-line slope and intercept will be calculated
6
Multiple Regression Analysis
• Multiple regression analysis uses the same concepts as bivariate regression
analysis but uses more than one independent variable.
• A general conceptual model identifies independent and dependent variables
and shows their basic relationships to one another.
7
Multiple Regression
Analysis Described
• Multiple regression means
that you have more than one
independent variable to predict
a single dependent variable.
• With multiple regression, the
regression plane is the shape of
the dependent variables.
8
Example of Multiple
Regression Page 384
• This multiple regression
equation means that we can
predict a consumer’s intention
to buy a Lexus level if you know
three variables:
• Attitude toward Lexus
• Friends’ negative comments
about Lexus
• Income level using a scale
with 10 income levels
9
Example of Multiple Regression Page 384
• Calculation of one buyer’s Lexus purchase intention using the multiple
regression equation:
• a = 2, b1 = 1, b2 = -.5, b3 = 1
• Attittude towards Lexus = 4 (x1)
• Attitude towards curent auto = 3 (x2)
• Income Level = 5 (x3)
• y (Intention to purchase a lexus) = 2 + (1)(4) -(.5)(3) + (1)(5) = 9.5
10
Example of Multiple Regression Page 386
11
Example of Multiple Regression
• Multiple regression is a powerful tool because it tells us the following:
• Which factors predict the dependent variable
• Which way (the sign) each factor influences the dependent variable
• How much (the size of bi) each factor influences it
12
Multiple R
• Multiple R, also called the
coefficient of determination,
is a measure of the strength of
the overall linear relationship in
multiple regression.
• It indicates how well the
independent variables can
predict the dependent variable.
• Multiple R ranges from 0 to +1
and represents the amount of
the dependent variable that is
“explained,” or accounted for,
by the combined independent
variables.
13
Multiple R
• Researchers convert the multiple R into a percentage: multiple R of .75
means that the regression findings will explain 75% of the dependent
variable.
14
Basic Assumptions
of Multiple Regression
• Independence assumption: the independent variables must be statistically
independent and uncorrelated with one another (the presence of strong
correlations among independent variables is called multicollinearity).
• Variance inflation factor (VIF): can be used to assess and eliminate
multicollinearity
• VIF is a statistical value that identifies what independent variable(s)
contribute to multicollinearity and should be removed.
• Any variable with VIF of greater than 10 should be removed.
15
Basic Assumptions in Multiple Regression
• The inclusion of each independent variable preserves the straight-line
assumptions of multiple regression analysis. This is sometimes known as
additivity because each new independent variable is added to the regression
equation.
16
Stepwise Multiple Regression
• Stepwise regression is useful when there are many independent variables
and a researcher wants to narrow the set down to a smaller number of
statistically significant variables.
• The one independent variable that is statistically significant and explains
the most variance is entered first into the multiple regression equation.
• Then, each statistically significant independent variable is added in order
of variance explained.
• All insignificant independent variables are excluded.
17
18
19
20
Three Warnings Regarding Multiple Regression
Analysis
• Regression is a statistical tool, not a cause-and-effect statement.
• Regression analysis should not be applied outside the boundaries of data
used to develop the regression model.
• Chapter 15 is simplified; regression analysis is complex and requires
additional study.
21

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Bmgt 311 chapter_15

  • 1. BMGT 311: Chapter 15 Understanding Regression Analysis Basics 1
  • 2. Learning Objectives • To understand the basic concept of prediction • To learn how marketing researchers use regression analysis • To learn how marketing researchers use bivariate regression analysis • To see how multiple regression differs from bivariate regression • Chapter 15 covers the basics of a very detailed subject matter • Chapter 15 is simplified; regression analysis is complex and requires additional study. 2
  • 3. 3
  • 4. Bivariate Linear Regression Analysis • Regression analysis is a predictive analysis technique in which one or more variables are used to predict the level of another by use of the straight- line formula. • Bivariate regression means only two variables are being analyzed, and researchers sometimes refer to this case as “simple regression.” 4
  • 5. Bivariate Linear Regression Analysis • With bivariate analysis, one variable is used to predict another variable. • The straight-line equation is the basis of regression analysis. 5
  • 6. Basic Regression Analysis Concepts • Independent variable: used to predict the independent variable (x in the regression straight-line equation) • Dependent variable: that which is predicted (y in the regression straight-line equation) • Least squares criterion: used in regression analysis; guarantees that the “best” straight-line slope and intercept will be calculated 6
  • 7. Multiple Regression Analysis • Multiple regression analysis uses the same concepts as bivariate regression analysis but uses more than one independent variable. • A general conceptual model identifies independent and dependent variables and shows their basic relationships to one another. 7
  • 8. Multiple Regression Analysis Described • Multiple regression means that you have more than one independent variable to predict a single dependent variable. • With multiple regression, the regression plane is the shape of the dependent variables. 8
  • 9. Example of Multiple Regression Page 384 • This multiple regression equation means that we can predict a consumer’s intention to buy a Lexus level if you know three variables: • Attitude toward Lexus • Friends’ negative comments about Lexus • Income level using a scale with 10 income levels 9
  • 10. Example of Multiple Regression Page 384 • Calculation of one buyer’s Lexus purchase intention using the multiple regression equation: • a = 2, b1 = 1, b2 = -.5, b3 = 1 • Attittude towards Lexus = 4 (x1) • Attitude towards curent auto = 3 (x2) • Income Level = 5 (x3) • y (Intention to purchase a lexus) = 2 + (1)(4) -(.5)(3) + (1)(5) = 9.5 10
  • 11. Example of Multiple Regression Page 386 11
  • 12. Example of Multiple Regression • Multiple regression is a powerful tool because it tells us the following: • Which factors predict the dependent variable • Which way (the sign) each factor influences the dependent variable • How much (the size of bi) each factor influences it 12
  • 13. Multiple R • Multiple R, also called the coefficient of determination, is a measure of the strength of the overall linear relationship in multiple regression. • It indicates how well the independent variables can predict the dependent variable. • Multiple R ranges from 0 to +1 and represents the amount of the dependent variable that is “explained,” or accounted for, by the combined independent variables. 13
  • 14. Multiple R • Researchers convert the multiple R into a percentage: multiple R of .75 means that the regression findings will explain 75% of the dependent variable. 14
  • 15. Basic Assumptions of Multiple Regression • Independence assumption: the independent variables must be statistically independent and uncorrelated with one another (the presence of strong correlations among independent variables is called multicollinearity). • Variance inflation factor (VIF): can be used to assess and eliminate multicollinearity • VIF is a statistical value that identifies what independent variable(s) contribute to multicollinearity and should be removed. • Any variable with VIF of greater than 10 should be removed. 15
  • 16. Basic Assumptions in Multiple Regression • The inclusion of each independent variable preserves the straight-line assumptions of multiple regression analysis. This is sometimes known as additivity because each new independent variable is added to the regression equation. 16
  • 17. Stepwise Multiple Regression • Stepwise regression is useful when there are many independent variables and a researcher wants to narrow the set down to a smaller number of statistically significant variables. • The one independent variable that is statistically significant and explains the most variance is entered first into the multiple regression equation. • Then, each statistically significant independent variable is added in order of variance explained. • All insignificant independent variables are excluded. 17
  • 18. 18
  • 19. 19
  • 20. 20
  • 21. Three Warnings Regarding Multiple Regression Analysis • Regression is a statistical tool, not a cause-and-effect statement. • Regression analysis should not be applied outside the boundaries of data used to develop the regression model. • Chapter 15 is simplified; regression analysis is complex and requires additional study. 21