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Sustaining Competitiveness Through
Business Model Transformation
Paul Brody
Global Industry Leader, Electronics




                                      !
Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag



Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation



Preparing for the Future




                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
Enterprises used to know how to do disruption.




 Ad copy © Wang Laboratories.                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
Once upon a time, IBM disrupted Apple.




                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
Lately, it’s consumers that have led the way, adopting mobile,
social and cloud services at an enormous pace.



     CONTENT              Seamlessly integrated across multiple devices



  APPLICATIONS



  CONNECTIVITY



     SERVICE



                                                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
The global leadership positions in the electronics industry
changed dramatically in just 10 years (1 of 2)

                                  Enterprise Market Value – November 2001!
                                         (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)!




Long before people waited in line for iPads, they waited in line for the new PlayStation 2
   Sources: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, and Thomson Reuters company financials and reports !        © 2012 IBM Corporation
The global leadership positions in the electronics industry
changed dramatically in just 10 years (2 of 2)

                                Enterprise Market Value – November 2011!
                                       (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)!




 We believe the same dramatic transformation is coming to B2B electronics markets
   Sources: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, and Thomson Reuters company financials and reports !      © 2012 IBM Corporation
Salesforce.com and Workday are great success stories, but the
market clearly doesn't believe Oracle and SAP are in danger

160!
       Enterprise Market Value – October 2012!
140!       (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)!


120!
100!
 80!
 60!
 40!
 20!
  0!
       NetSuite!            WorkDay!                    SFDC!      SAP!   Oracle!



                                                                            © 2012 IBM Corporation
In many ways, the B2B market bears out this sluggish rate of
 change.
 Case%Example:%Large%Energy%and%Industrial%Automa8on%Company

     Only half of the                                            …none of the data                                            …and technology is
   devices that can be                                           streamed is used                                            still sold as a product,
    connected are….                                                proactively…                                                    not a solution.

                                                                                                                                                5%!


                                                                                                                                       15%!




                                                                                                                                                      80%!
                                                                                                                              Products!
                                                                                                                              Services!
                                                                                                                              Solutions!

Percentage of the installed based                      Percentage of installed base in which                                    Revenue from bundled solutions
that can be connected to the                           analytics are applied to usage and                                       versus discrete product, service
Internet and the proportion that                       performance data to predict                                              sales
actually is being connected                            maintenance or other requirements
        Source: Data based on interviews with client executives. Numbers under 5 percent mean “unknown and thought to be very small” rather than 0.   © 2012 IBM Corporation
Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag



Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation



Preparing for the Future




                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
There are three critical barriers to the same rapid transformation in
the enterprise


 Relationship based sales



 Large, installed product base



 Complex purchasing process & capital expense


                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
Relationships are between people, not enterprises.




And these days, the person is in charge.

                                                     © 2012 IBM Corporation
Analytics and online marketplaces are making procurement
relationships ever more transparent

                                              •  Spend analytics provides new
                                                 insights into how to reduce
                                                 costs!
                 Online                       •  Online marketplaces are
               marketplaces                      standardizing terms and
                                                 making pricing transparent!
                                              •  Procurement systems make
   Spend                        Procurement      rogue spending difficult!
  analytics                       systems

                                              •  B2B relationship selling is
                                                 more difficult now!
                 Diminished                   •  Business cases that depend
                     B2B                         on capturing benefits are
                relationships                    easier to execute!
                                              •  Pricing and performance
                                                 differences across solutions
                                                 are more easily compared!

                                                                     © 2012 IBM Corporation
Incremental replacement of the installed base no longer drives
demand and valuation
By 2025, China is likely to be the biggest market in the world for several key industries!
Emerging markets buyers are focused on new growth, mature market buyers are more
focused on maintenance of existing systems



                                                                                Manufacturing


                                                                                Chemicals


                                                                                Petroleum


                                                                                Utilities


                                                                                Electronics




                                                                                     © 2012 IBM Corporation
Economics
of low
volume
production
are
changing
             © 2012 IBM Corporation
The shift from products to services is radically simplifying the
buying decision and creating compelling ROI




Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™!
                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
What happens when you combine these trends?
Enterprise Transformation at Consumer Speeds.




                                                                                                                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
 'Containers falling off the Rena', URL: http://www.nzhistory.net.nz/media/photo/containers-falling-rena, (Ministry for Culture and Heritage), updated 30-Aug-2012
Case Example: the entire market for printing services
transformed itself in 3 years between 2008 and 2011
               Huge Growth for Managed Print Services, 

        Represented by the Number of MPS Programs Announced!
 75%!
                                                                              •    Virtuous Cycle: Inflection point to
              = Number of new MPS programs!                                        rapid change: at 15 percent of the
              = MPS program growth!                                   58%!         market, a sudden takeoff in the
                                                               56%!                proportion of spending is shifting
                                                                        2!
                                                                11!
                                                                                   to managed print services
                                                       45%!
 50%!                                                                         •    Huge Value Proposition:
                                                        31!                        Compelling 30+ percent cost
                                                                                   reductions for customers, higher
                                                                                   margins for winning vendors

                                                                              •    Service Extension: Branching
 25%!                                                                              beyond copying into printers,
                                                                                   processes, and other IT
                                              14%!
                                                                                   infrastructure services
                                               10!
                         3%!          4%!                                     •    Winner Takes All: Transformation
        1%!    2%!
                          1!          1!                                           driving consolidation toward
  0%! 1!
                1!                                                                 larger vendors
     2004!     2005!     2006!    2007!       2008!   2009!   2010!   2011!
                 Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™!                           © 2012 IBM Corporation
The transition looks very similar to the that overtook the mobile
phone industry in it’s own transition to smart devices
In the consumer space, winners dominate profits. Will it be the same in the enterprise?

                          Profit shares of eight mobile phone companies
      100%!
                                                                                                       HTC!




                    SE!
       75%!
                                                                                                   Apple!




       50%!
                                                       LG!




       25%!                                                                                         RIM!


                                                                                                        Sam!

              © Asymco!                                                                   Nokia!
        0%!
         Q2/2007!     Q4/2007!   Q2/2008!   Q4/2008!     Q2/2009!   Q4/2009!   Q2/2010!    Q4/2010!     Q2/2011!   Q4/2011!
                                                                                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
Across B2B segments that have been transformed, the winner-take-
all model appears to be quite powerful


              99%                 Share of mobile device industry profits
                                  going to Apple and Samsung in 2011



                                 Web-site hosting share of the top three cloud
              96%                infrastructure providers in 2011: Amazon,
                                 Rackspace, and Linode                                       While not always as
                                                                                             stark as in B2C, the
                                                                                             winner-take-all nature
                                  Infrastructure share of top three mobile
              74%                 systems vendors in 2010: Huawei,
                                  Ericsson and NSN
                                                                                             of products-to-services
                                                                                             transformations leaves
                                                                                             the market
                                                                                             transformed in
                                                                                             relatively short order!
                                  Proportion of the managed print services

              52%                 business contracts taken by Xerox, HP, and
                                  Ricoh, the top three in 2010

     Source: Asymco, Gartner, MobileNews, DailyWireless, Jack of All Clouds, and IBM Research!
     Source: Photizo Group, 2011 MarketMetrics™!                                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
A shake-out in printing has been taking place for more than a decade




                                                           © 2012 IBM Corporation
Amidst all that destruction, a whole new ecosystem has risen up
to service the printing and imaging industry:


Ecosystem Growth and Technology Adoption, 2006, 2009, and 2012!
                                                                                                                   Professional
Number & Type of Enterprises Serving the Printing Ecosystem Market
                                                                                                                   services!
                                                                                                                   Resellers!
                                                                                                                   Infrastructure
                                                                                                                   providers!
                                                                                                                   OEMs!
                                                                                                                   Software!




             2006                                    2009                               2012

                                                                     Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™!
                                                                                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag



Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation



Preparing for the Future




                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
Key Conclusions: Electronics markets that are undergoing B2B
transformation exhibit three key characteristics


                                          •    20-40 percent annual savings and
       Transformation is                       elimination of CapEx have had biggest
       business-case driven                    impact!
                                          •    Analytics, platforms, and new services
                                               come after transformation!


                                          •    Change can happen in between 0.5 and 1.0
                Once started,                  product life cycles!

           2!   transformation is swift   • 
                                          • 
                                               Three years in managed print services!
                                               Five years in network equipment!




                Connected-device          •    Transformed markets show rapid
                                               consolidation of industry players!

           3!   markets are
                “winner-take-all”
                                          •    Profitability consolidation even stronger
                                               than market share!



                                                                             © 2012 IBM Corporation
Disruptive competitors have a history of re-framing the product and
objective, using technology to think outside-in
                                            Amazon Cloud!
                                                                        •    Competition thought of Amazon
                                                                             as a retailer that was out of its
                                                                             depth!
                                                                        •    Amazon sees itself as a
                                                                             technology company!


                                                                        Square!
                                                                        •    Competition thought it was selling
                                                                             transactions processing!
                                                                        •    Square is selling customer
                                                                             intimacy and analytics!



                                                                        Free.fr!
                                                                        •    Competition thought it was selling
                                                                             cable TV!
                                                                        •    Free is building a national fixed
                                                                             and mobile network!
                          Data Center image, Flickr Creative Commons!                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
For companies in B2B, the single strongest protection from
disruption is customer intimacy. How well do you know them?

The same piece                        …can be viewed from            …with different
of equipment…                         multiple value propositions:   transformation options:


                                      A commodity that’s costly      Reduce cost of ownership,
                                      to own and operate.            eliminate capital expense


                                      A key differentiator in the    Guarantee capacity, build
                                      overall solution               deep design partnership


                                      A failure-prone “weak link”    Sell uptime and results
                                      that causes down time          instead of the device


                                      One part of a larger set of    Expand to other markets to
                                      business issues                sell total solution
CNC image, Flickr Creative Commons!
                                                                                       © 2012 IBM Corporation
When market transformation accelerates, organizations should drive
transformation outside in, starting with client-facing work

In B2B, leaders have often started with the
client-focused value proposition and then
aligned their organizations to support it     •    Started with the cost-per-page value
                                                   proposition!
                                              •    Still completing the transformation to
Sales                                              a solutions and services organization

Service

SCM
                                              •    Created the Integrated Systems
R&D                                                Solution Company in 1991, the
                                                   predecessor to Global Services!
                                              •    ISSC became the world’s second-
                                                   largest IT services firm in it’s first
                                                   four years of operations!
                                              •    Alignment and integration of
Finance                                            Global Services followed!
                                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
We cannot predict the future… we can only prepare for it.



   Product-to-service transformation has been
   slower in B2B electronics than in consumer


   The traditional impediments to this
   transformation are now eroding quickly


   When transition does happen, it’s driven by a
   compelling business case, not just technology


   Products-to-services transitions, when they
   happen, are swift and “winner-take-all”


                                                            © 2012 IBM Corporation
Before the PC, before disruptions and the Internet and
everything, the IBM brand stood for one thing above all else




                                                               © 2012 IBM Corporation
Email          •  pbrody@us.ibm.com

Linked!In      •  Profile!:!hJp://www.linkedin.com/in/pbrody!

Reading!List   •  On!Delicious!:!hJp://www.delicious.com/prbrody!
               •  On!TwiJer:!#WorthReading
TwiJer!&!ADN   •  @pbrody!

Sina!Weibo     •  @pbrody!




                                                                    !

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B2B Transformation in the Electronics Industry

  • 1. Sustaining Competitiveness Through Business Model Transformation Paul Brody Global Industry Leader, Electronics !
  • 2. Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation Preparing for the Future © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 3. Enterprises used to know how to do disruption. Ad copy © Wang Laboratories. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 4. Once upon a time, IBM disrupted Apple. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 5. Lately, it’s consumers that have led the way, adopting mobile, social and cloud services at an enormous pace. CONTENT Seamlessly integrated across multiple devices APPLICATIONS CONNECTIVITY SERVICE © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 6. The global leadership positions in the electronics industry changed dramatically in just 10 years (1 of 2) Enterprise Market Value – November 2001! (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)! Long before people waited in line for iPads, they waited in line for the new PlayStation 2 Sources: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, and Thomson Reuters company financials and reports ! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 7. The global leadership positions in the electronics industry changed dramatically in just 10 years (2 of 2) Enterprise Market Value – November 2011! (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)! We believe the same dramatic transformation is coming to B2B electronics markets Sources: Yahoo Finance, Bloomberg, and Thomson Reuters company financials and reports ! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 8. Salesforce.com and Workday are great success stories, but the market clearly doesn't believe Oracle and SAP are in danger 160! Enterprise Market Value – October 2012! 140! (Market Capitalization, in Billions of U.S. dollars)! 120! 100! 80! 60! 40! 20! 0! NetSuite! WorkDay! SFDC! SAP! Oracle! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 9. In many ways, the B2B market bears out this sluggish rate of change. Case%Example:%Large%Energy%and%Industrial%Automa8on%Company Only half of the …none of the data …and technology is devices that can be streamed is used still sold as a product, connected are…. proactively… not a solution. 5%! 15%! 80%! Products! Services! Solutions! Percentage of the installed based Percentage of installed base in which Revenue from bundled solutions that can be connected to the analytics are applied to usage and versus discrete product, service Internet and the proportion that performance data to predict sales actually is being connected maintenance or other requirements Source: Data based on interviews with client executives. Numbers under 5 percent mean “unknown and thought to be very small” rather than 0. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 10. Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation Preparing for the Future © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 11. There are three critical barriers to the same rapid transformation in the enterprise Relationship based sales Large, installed product base Complex purchasing process & capital expense © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 12. Relationships are between people, not enterprises. And these days, the person is in charge. © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 13. Analytics and online marketplaces are making procurement relationships ever more transparent •  Spend analytics provides new insights into how to reduce costs! Online •  Online marketplaces are marketplaces standardizing terms and making pricing transparent! •  Procurement systems make Spend Procurement rogue spending difficult! analytics systems •  B2B relationship selling is more difficult now! Diminished •  Business cases that depend B2B on capturing benefits are relationships easier to execute! •  Pricing and performance differences across solutions are more easily compared! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 14. Incremental replacement of the installed base no longer drives demand and valuation By 2025, China is likely to be the biggest market in the world for several key industries! Emerging markets buyers are focused on new growth, mature market buyers are more focused on maintenance of existing systems Manufacturing Chemicals Petroleum Utilities Electronics © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 16. The shift from products to services is radically simplifying the buying decision and creating compelling ROI Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 17. What happens when you combine these trends? Enterprise Transformation at Consumer Speeds. © 2012 IBM Corporation 'Containers falling off the Rena', URL: http://www.nzhistory.net.nz/media/photo/containers-falling-rena, (Ministry for Culture and Heritage), updated 30-Aug-2012
  • 18. Case Example: the entire market for printing services transformed itself in 3 years between 2008 and 2011 Huge Growth for Managed Print Services, 
 Represented by the Number of MPS Programs Announced! 75%! •  Virtuous Cycle: Inflection point to = Number of new MPS programs! rapid change: at 15 percent of the = MPS program growth! 58%! market, a sudden takeoff in the 56%! proportion of spending is shifting 2! 11! to managed print services 45%! 50%! •  Huge Value Proposition: 31! Compelling 30+ percent cost reductions for customers, higher margins for winning vendors •  Service Extension: Branching 25%! beyond copying into printers, processes, and other IT 14%! infrastructure services 10! 3%! 4%! •  Winner Takes All: Transformation 1%! 2%! 1! 1! driving consolidation toward 0%! 1! 1! larger vendors 2004! 2005! 2006! 2007! 2008! 2009! 2010! 2011! Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 19. The transition looks very similar to the that overtook the mobile phone industry in it’s own transition to smart devices In the consumer space, winners dominate profits. Will it be the same in the enterprise? Profit shares of eight mobile phone companies 100%! HTC! SE! 75%! Apple! 50%! LG! 25%! RIM! Sam! © Asymco! Nokia! 0%! Q2/2007! Q4/2007! Q2/2008! Q4/2008! Q2/2009! Q4/2009! Q2/2010! Q4/2010! Q2/2011! Q4/2011! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 20. Across B2B segments that have been transformed, the winner-take- all model appears to be quite powerful 99% Share of mobile device industry profits going to Apple and Samsung in 2011 Web-site hosting share of the top three cloud 96% infrastructure providers in 2011: Amazon, Rackspace, and Linode While not always as stark as in B2C, the winner-take-all nature Infrastructure share of top three mobile 74% systems vendors in 2010: Huawei, Ericsson and NSN of products-to-services transformations leaves the market transformed in relatively short order! Proportion of the managed print services 52% business contracts taken by Xerox, HP, and Ricoh, the top three in 2010 Source: Asymco, Gartner, MobileNews, DailyWireless, Jack of All Clouds, and IBM Research! Source: Photizo Group, 2011 MarketMetrics™! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 21. A shake-out in printing has been taking place for more than a decade © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 22. Amidst all that destruction, a whole new ecosystem has risen up to service the printing and imaging industry: Ecosystem Growth and Technology Adoption, 2006, 2009, and 2012! Professional Number & Type of Enterprises Serving the Printing Ecosystem Market services! Resellers! Infrastructure providers! OEMs! Software! 2006 2009 2012 Source: Photizo Group, MPS Advisory Service, MarketWatch™! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 23. Consumers Lead Transformation, Enterprises Lag Eroding Obstacles to B2B Transformation Preparing for the Future © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 24. Key Conclusions: Electronics markets that are undergoing B2B transformation exhibit three key characteristics •  20-40 percent annual savings and Transformation is elimination of CapEx have had biggest business-case driven impact! •  Analytics, platforms, and new services come after transformation! •  Change can happen in between 0.5 and 1.0 Once started, product life cycles! 2! transformation is swift •  •  Three years in managed print services! Five years in network equipment! Connected-device •  Transformed markets show rapid consolidation of industry players! 3! markets are “winner-take-all” •  Profitability consolidation even stronger than market share! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 25. Disruptive competitors have a history of re-framing the product and objective, using technology to think outside-in Amazon Cloud! •  Competition thought of Amazon as a retailer that was out of its depth! •  Amazon sees itself as a technology company! Square! •  Competition thought it was selling transactions processing! •  Square is selling customer intimacy and analytics! Free.fr! •  Competition thought it was selling cable TV! •  Free is building a national fixed and mobile network! Data Center image, Flickr Creative Commons! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 26. For companies in B2B, the single strongest protection from disruption is customer intimacy. How well do you know them? The same piece …can be viewed from …with different of equipment… multiple value propositions: transformation options: A commodity that’s costly Reduce cost of ownership, to own and operate. eliminate capital expense A key differentiator in the Guarantee capacity, build overall solution deep design partnership A failure-prone “weak link” Sell uptime and results that causes down time instead of the device One part of a larger set of Expand to other markets to business issues sell total solution CNC image, Flickr Creative Commons! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 27. When market transformation accelerates, organizations should drive transformation outside in, starting with client-facing work In B2B, leaders have often started with the client-focused value proposition and then aligned their organizations to support it •  Started with the cost-per-page value proposition! •  Still completing the transformation to Sales a solutions and services organization Service SCM •  Created the Integrated Systems R&D Solution Company in 1991, the predecessor to Global Services! •  ISSC became the world’s second- largest IT services firm in it’s first four years of operations! •  Alignment and integration of Finance Global Services followed! © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 28. We cannot predict the future… we can only prepare for it. Product-to-service transformation has been slower in B2B electronics than in consumer The traditional impediments to this transformation are now eroding quickly When transition does happen, it’s driven by a compelling business case, not just technology Products-to-services transitions, when they happen, are swift and “winner-take-all” © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 29. Before the PC, before disruptions and the Internet and everything, the IBM brand stood for one thing above all else © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 30. Email •  pbrody@us.ibm.com Linked!In •  Profile!:!hJp://www.linkedin.com/in/pbrody! Reading!List •  On!Delicious!:!hJp://www.delicious.com/prbrody! •  On!TwiJer:!#WorthReading TwiJer!&!ADN •  @pbrody! Sina!Weibo •  @pbrody! !