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Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Learn. Solve. Succeed.
You are
Antifragility
Andrew Vermes
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Session agenda
2
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
NORTH
AMERICA
EUROPE
ASIA
AUSTRALIASOUTH AMERICA
OUR GLOBAL REACHOUR PEOPLE
AVERAGE
TENURE11yrs =
OUR EXPERTISE
EXPERIENCED
CONSULTANTS
THOUGHT
LEADERS
PROJECT
MANAGERS
SKILLED
TRAINERS
IT/CUSTOMER
SUPPORT
MANUFACTURING PROJECT
MANAGEMENT
LEADERSHIP
DEVELOPMENT
AUTOMOTIVE
KEPNER TREGOE
3
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
What’s this?
4
gömböc
Conceived by Vladimir Arnold,
made by Gábor Domokos and
Péter Várkonyi
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
gombóc
5
What is Antifragility?
6
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
• Rigid systems cannot learn
• Attempts at robustness can make us more vulnerable
• Not just taking hard knocks, but growing through them
• Genuine empowerment aids antifragility
• Small increments are less harmful AND more productive
Nassim Nicholas Taleb: “Fooled by Randomness”, “The Black
Swan”, “Antifragile: things that gain from disorder”
Antifragility…discussion points
7
• Strength and flexibility and agility
• Developing your mental and communication muscles
• Letting go of the safety net (sometimes)
Antifragility
8
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
antifragile
9
antifragile
So what?
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 11
Robust solutions can become unwieldy
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12
Instability can enable extreme performance
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13
Are we building rigidity?
Antifragile processes
• Please read your material
• Talk with your neighbour
• Describe what’s happening in process steps
• Draw a process map
• Choose which process step(s) to make more Agile
• Where do you want agility?
Case Study
15
• How do you react to stresses? (when the process appears not to work)
• How to introduce helpful stress to processes (smoke tests)
• What makes challenges helpful, rather than destructive
Making process more antifragile
16
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
17
Customer calls
for help
Call center agent
logs details
Call centre agent
schedules field
engineer
Fred remembers that Joe
is on vacation, and that
the customer prefers
dealing with Arlene
Fred finds that parts delivery is
7 days, which will make the
customer cross. He knows that
some engineers keep a small
stash in a cupboard downstairs,
and “liberates” one.
Call center agent
orders parts to
site
Incident example
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Process for antifragility
18
• Focus on the intention
• Encourage agility
• Add arrows only if
absolutely necessary
• Keep detailed records
(invisible learning is no
learning)
• Be ready to change it
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Learn. Solve. Succeed.
Build personal Antifragility
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
• Squat.
• Deadlift.
• Lunge.
• Push-up.
• Plank.
(exercises for runners)
Exercises for antifragility
21
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
• Questioning
• Listening
• Differentiation
• Evaluation
• Reflection
• Recognise your emotions
• Respond with curiosity
• Create some randomness
Exercises for antifragility
22
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
And finally
23
Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved.
Confidence under pressure.
Leaders in Problem Solving
twitter.com@ktclearthinking
facebook.com/KepnerTregoe
linkedin.com/company/kepner-tregoe
www.kepner-tregoe.com
avermes@kepner-tregoe.com
+44 7973 506628

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Andrew Vermes - You are antifragility

  • 1. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Learn. Solve. Succeed. You are Antifragility Andrew Vermes
  • 2. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Session agenda 2
  • 3. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. NORTH AMERICA EUROPE ASIA AUSTRALIASOUTH AMERICA OUR GLOBAL REACHOUR PEOPLE AVERAGE TENURE11yrs = OUR EXPERTISE EXPERIENCED CONSULTANTS THOUGHT LEADERS PROJECT MANAGERS SKILLED TRAINERS IT/CUSTOMER SUPPORT MANUFACTURING PROJECT MANAGEMENT LEADERSHIP DEVELOPMENT AUTOMOTIVE KEPNER TREGOE 3
  • 4. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. What’s this? 4 gömböc Conceived by Vladimir Arnold, made by Gábor Domokos and Péter Várkonyi
  • 5. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. gombóc 5
  • 7. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. • Rigid systems cannot learn • Attempts at robustness can make us more vulnerable • Not just taking hard knocks, but growing through them • Genuine empowerment aids antifragility • Small increments are less harmful AND more productive Nassim Nicholas Taleb: “Fooled by Randomness”, “The Black Swan”, “Antifragile: things that gain from disorder” Antifragility…discussion points 7
  • 8. • Strength and flexibility and agility • Developing your mental and communication muscles • Letting go of the safety net (sometimes) Antifragility 8
  • 9. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. antifragile 9 antifragile
  • 11. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 11 Robust solutions can become unwieldy
  • 12. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 12 Instability can enable extreme performance
  • 13. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 13 Are we building rigidity?
  • 15. • Please read your material • Talk with your neighbour • Describe what’s happening in process steps • Draw a process map • Choose which process step(s) to make more Agile • Where do you want agility? Case Study 15
  • 16. • How do you react to stresses? (when the process appears not to work) • How to introduce helpful stress to processes (smoke tests) • What makes challenges helpful, rather than destructive Making process more antifragile 16
  • 17. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. 17 Customer calls for help Call center agent logs details Call centre agent schedules field engineer Fred remembers that Joe is on vacation, and that the customer prefers dealing with Arlene Fred finds that parts delivery is 7 days, which will make the customer cross. He knows that some engineers keep a small stash in a cupboard downstairs, and “liberates” one. Call center agent orders parts to site Incident example
  • 18. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Process for antifragility 18 • Focus on the intention • Encourage agility • Add arrows only if absolutely necessary • Keep detailed records (invisible learning is no learning) • Be ready to change it
  • 19. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Learn. Solve. Succeed.
  • 21. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. • Squat. • Deadlift. • Lunge. • Push-up. • Plank. (exercises for runners) Exercises for antifragility 21
  • 22. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. • Questioning • Listening • Differentiation • Evaluation • Reflection • Recognise your emotions • Respond with curiosity • Create some randomness Exercises for antifragility 22
  • 23. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. And finally 23
  • 24. Copyright © 2017 Kepner-Tregoe, Inc. All Rights Reserved. Confidence under pressure.
  • 25. Leaders in Problem Solving twitter.com@ktclearthinking facebook.com/KepnerTregoe linkedin.com/company/kepner-tregoe www.kepner-tregoe.com avermes@kepner-tregoe.com +44 7973 506628