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2022 Energy in Ireland Launch

This document summarizes an event held by SEAI (Sustainable Energy Authority of Ireland) to launch their 2022 Energy in Ireland report. It included presentations on past definitive annual energy data, provisional monthly energy data, energy modelling projections, price trends, and geographic energy mapping. The event provided an overview of Ireland's energy system, insights into annual and monthly energy trends, and the perspective of meeting future carbon budgets and renewable energy targets. Attendees could ask questions in a chat function that SEAI would respond to and potentially address in a Q&A session.

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www.seai.ie
14th of December 2022 Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report
• This is a 90 min event with 70 min presentations and 20 min for Q&A • Please use the chat function to ask any questions • SEAI’s Energy Stats Team will work to respond in the chat • We will put key questions from the chat to the panel in the Q&A session after our presentations • SEAI will publish a specific FAQ based on today’s chat questions • SEAI will make a recording of our presentations available online Welcome & Housekeeping 3 www.seai.ie
4 Perspective Insights, Urgency, and Action Jim Scheer – Head of Data & Insights Department Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
5 www.seai.ie Today’s Presentations Perspective Urgency & Action (5 min) Past Definitive Annual Data (20 min) Present Provisional Monthly Data (15 min) Projections Energy Modelling & Projections (10 min) Prices Price Trends and Supports (10 min) Place GIS and Energy Mapping (10 min)
Past Definitive Annual Insights Lee Carroll – Head of Energy Statistics Team Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022 6
SEAI’s National Energy Balance – Definitive Annual Data 7 www.seai.ie Agriculture 23 MtCO2e Approx. 3% Energy Related Industry 7 MtCO2e Approx. 60% Energy Related Electricity 10 MtCO2e Transport 12 MtCO2e Residential 7 MtCO2e Commercial 2 MtCO2e Approx. 100% Energy Related • Key input to EPA’s GHG inventory Carbon budgets and Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs)
SEAI’s National Energy Balance – Definitive Annual Data 8 www.seai.ie • Key input to EPA’s GHG inventory Carbon budgets and Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs) • Basis for EU reporting obligations against (binding) targets Renewable Energy Shares (RES) and Energy Efficiency (EED) RES Overall RES Electric RES Transport RES Heat Energy Efficiency Directive
SEAI’s National Energy Balance – Different Energy Lenses 9 www.seai.ie Mode Energy
10 www.seai.ie Indigenous Production Imports Exports Coal Peat Oil Gas Renewables NRW Totals 407 35,297 151,074 21,399 11,677 1,489 14,631 17,515 1,663 98,750 36,355 1,849 2,454 35 19,899 209 861 Interconnect Electricity Primary Energy Supply – The Where & What of Energy
11 www.seai.ie Oil 45.9% Gas 31.6% Renew. 11.9% Coal 6.6% Peat + NRW + Interconnect Electricity 3.9% 13,850 ktoe or 161 TWh Primary Energy Supply – What, and what has changed -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2020-2021 Changes in PES (ktoe) +3.6% +104% -8.0% -4.0% +5.8% -36.5%
Energy Transformations – Matching Supply to Demand 12 www.seai.ie Primary Supply Final Demand Electricity Natural Gas Heat Public Thermal Plants Peat Coal Natural Gas Peat Coal CHP Losses Wind + Solar + Hydro
Energy Transformations – Our generated electricity in 2021 13 www.seai.ie Gas 45.7% Wind 29.5% Coal 8.2% Oil 4.4% Biomass + RW + Peat + NRW + Other Renew. 5.2% NEI 4.8% Hydro 2.2% 2021 Electricity Generated 33.2 TWh -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 2020 to 2021 Changes in Electricity Generation (TWh) -6.7% -15.4% -64.6% +304% +273% +4.2%
14 www.seai.ie Gas 45.7% Wind 29.5% Coal 8.2% Oil 4.4% Biomass + RW + Peat + NRW + Other Renew. 5.2% NEI 4.8% Hydro 2.2% 2021 Electricity Generated 33.2 TWh Carbon Intensity of Electricity (gCO2 / kWh) 309 348 Coal Oil 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 gCO₂/kWh Gas Coal Peat Oil Wastes Non-Renewable Energy Transformations – Our generated electricity in 2021… 2022
Ireland’s Energy Demand – Who and What 15 www.seai.ie Transport Industry Commercial Services Residential Public Services Agriculture Fisheries Coal Peat Oil Nat. Gas Renewables NRW* Electricity Totals 2,209 4,155 3,066 1,281 513 232 19 89 329 1,004 199 54 534 3,950 17 178 10 185 180 1,270 595 85 751 106 210 22 943 120 126 19 249 183 50 19 Sector
Ireland’s Energy Demand in 2021 16 www.seai.ie Transport 36.2% Industry 19.2% Public Services 4.5% Comm. Services 11.2% Agri. & Fisheries 2.2% 11,480 ktoe or 133.5 TWh +1.7% +5.0% -4.1% +7.1% +2.1% Residential 26.8% -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2021-2021 Changes in Final Energy Demand (ktoe)
Ireland’s Energy Demand in 2021 17 www.seai.ie -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Total Final Energy Demand (%) -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%)
18 www.seai.ie 29% 37% 8% 7% 64% 57% - 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2005 2021 Mega-tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO₂e) Agriculture (excluding energy) Other non-energy Energy related +2.2 MtCO2e -10.7 MtCO2e National GHG emissions – Evolution
19 www.seai.ie • 1 × Binding emission reduction target of 51% by 2030 Relative to 2018 levels • 3 × Binding carbon budgets 295 MtCO2e between 2021-2025 200 MtCO2e between 2026-2030 151 MtCO2e between 2031-2035 • 7 × Binding sectoral emission ceilings (SECs) Agriculture Residential Other Transport Industry Electricity Commercial National GHG emissions – Carbon Budgets
Carbon Budgets – Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs) 20 www.seai.ie g
Sectoral Emission Ceilings – Guideline Trajectories and Results 21 www.seai.ie 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 Electricity (MtCO2e) Transport (MtCO2e) 40 20 54 37 Modified Guideline Modified Guideline
• REDI 2020 Renewable Energy Share (RES) targets and results • REDII 2030 Renewable Energy Share (RES) targets and results Formal verification of biomass sustainability for large-scale users Caps on countability of biofuels into RES-Transport (i.e. UCO and tallow) The “RED Shift” – New Directive, New Targets, New Rules 22 www.seai.ie RES Overall RES-E Electric RES-T Transport RES-H Heat
Overall Renewable Energy Share (RES-Overall) 23 www.seai.ie 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Targets 13.6% in 2021 under REDI 12.5% in 2021 under REDII 13.6% in 2020 under REDI
Overall Renewable Energy Share (RES-Overall) 24 www.seai.ie 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Targets 16% 34.1% 13.6% in 2020 under REDI 12.5% in 2021 under REDII
Renewable Energy Share in Electricity (RES-E) 25 www.seai.ie 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Target 38.1% in 2021 under REDI 80% Renewable under CAP 39.0% in 2020 under REDI 36.4% in 2021 under REDII
0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Target Renewable Energy Share in Transport (RES-T) 26 www.seai.ie 10.1% in 2020 under REDI 4.3% in 2021 under REDII 9.9% in 2021 under REDI Limits on Countability of Used Cooking Oils (UCOs) and Waste Animal Fats (Tallow) 14%
Energy Balance Timeline 27 www.seai.ie 2021 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply Data Energy Demand Data Energy Transform Data Energy Analysis of Data
Energy Balance Timeline – Good now vs. Perfect later 28 www.seai.ie • COVID Shocks • Price Shocks • 5 Year Carbon Budgets • 2-3 Year RES Milestones
29 Present Provisional Monthly Insights Cathal Ó Cléirigh – Energy Statistics Analyst Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
Electricity Generated 30 www.seai.ie May Gas Supplied Oil JODI Oil MOS Monthly Data Timelines – Good now vs. Perfect later • Monthly data on Electricity, Gas, and Oil is available in 1 to 2 months • Used by SEAI to satisfy regulatory compliance – international reporting • Sum of 12-monthly data-points is not the same as an annual data-point June Crude Oil June
Electricity Generated 31 www.seai.ie May Gas Supplied Oil JODI Oil MOS Monthly Data Timelines – Good now vs. Perfect later • Monthly data on Electricity, Gas, and Oil is available in 1 to 2 months • Used by SEAI to satisfy regulatory compliance – international reporting Scope of annual and monthly surveys is different Level of internal checks and cross-agency reconciliations is lower June Crude Oil June
32 www.seai.ie 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Heating Kerosene (TWh) Advantages over Annual Data – Seasonality
33 www.seai.ie 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Non-renewable Renewable Electricity Generation (TWh) 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Renewable Generation (TWh) Non-renewable Generation (TWh) Advantages over Annual Data – Seasonality
34 www.seai.ie 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Jet Kerosene (TWh) Summer Holidays New Year Holidays COVID Impacts Advantages over Annual Data – Seasonality & Shocks
35 www.seai.ie 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan-16 Jun-16 Nov-16 Apr-17 Sep-17 Feb-18 Jul-18 Dec-18 May-19 Oct-19 Mar-20 Aug-20 Jan-21 Jun-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Sep-22 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-16 Jun-16 Nov-16 Apr-17 Sep-17 Feb-18 Jul-18 Dec-18 May-19 Oct-19 Mar-20 Aug-20 Jan-21 Jun-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Sep-22 Motor Petrol (TWh) Road Diesel (TWh) Advantages over Annual Data – Trends and Shocks 2020 2021 2020 2021
36 www.seai.ie 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 Jan-15 Apr-15 Jul-15 Oct-15 Jan-16 Apr-16 Jul-16 Oct-16 Jan-17 Apr-17 Jul-17 Oct-17 Jan-18 Apr-18 Jul-18 Oct-18 Jan-19 Apr-19 Jul-19 Oct-19 Jan-20 Apr-20 Jul-20 Oct-20 Jan-21 Apr-21 Jul-21 Oct-21 Jan-22 Apr-22 Jul-22 Indigenous Imports Gas Supply (TWh) 91% 72% Advantages over Annual Data – Trends and Shocks
37 www.seai.ie But provisional monthly data is not definitive annual data Natural Gas 50% Wind 32% Coal 9% Oil 2% Peat 2% Wastes 2% Hydro 2% Combustible Renewables 1% Other (CHP etc) 0.04% Solar 0.01% Electricity Generated JAN-SEP 2022 • Only electricity exported to the grid - No transmission losses - No industry auto-generators - No residential solar-PV - Incomplete CHP coverage 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Renewable Generation (TWh)
38 www.seai.ie Correlate 9-month sums to 12-month sums 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Heating Kerosene (TWh) Non-renewable Electricity (TWh) Jet Kerosene (TWh) Renewable Electricity (TWh) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
39 www.seai.ie Correlate 9-month sums to 12-month sums 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Heating Kerosene (TWh) Non-renewable Electricity (TWh) Jet Kerosene (TWh) Renewable Electricity (TWh) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
40 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisional annual data” from monthly data -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-16 Jun-16 Nov-16 Apr-17 Sep-17 Feb-18 Jul-18 Dec-18 May-19 Oct-19 Mar-20 Aug-20 Jan-21 Jun-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Sep-22 Road Diesel (TWh) 2020 2021
41 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisional annual data” from monthly data -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Total Final Energy Demand (%) -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%)
42 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisional annual data” from monthly data 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 Electricity (MtCO2e) Transport (MtCO2e) 40 20 54 37 Modified Guideline Modified Guideline
Supplement Energy Balance Timeline 43 www.seai.ie See Section X.X.X in 2022 Energy in Ireland report 2021 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply 2021 Energy Demand 2021 Energy Transform 2021 Analysis of 2021 and 2022 Synthesised 2022 Data
Supplement Energy Balance Timeline 44 www.seai.ie See Section X.X.X in 2022 Energy in Ireland report 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply 2021 Energy Demand 2021 Energy Transform 2021 Analysis of 2021 and 2022 Synthesised 2022 Data • Energy emissions up 6% in 2022 • Transport energy up 18% in 2022 • 10.8 MtCO2 from Electricity in 2022 • 11.2 MtCO2 from Transport in 2022
45 Projections Energy Modelling and Projections Emma Lynch – Head of Energy Modelling Team Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
Projecting not Predicting 46 www.seai.ie 2021 2022 Out to 2030/2050 Back to 2001 NOW Definitive Past Provisional Present Projecting Future • Past: SEAI Stats Team • Present: SEAI Stats Team • Future(s): SEAI Modelling Team
SEAI functions related to modelling, established by Sustainable Energy Act, 2002 (S.6): Energy Modelling Purpose 47 www.seai.ie Purposes of SEAI Energy Modelling: Compilation, extraction and dissemination of information and projections relating to energy production and use. Provision of assistance in the co-ordination of activities carried out in the State related to sustainable energy. Simulate future energy supply and demand in Ireland Identify gaps to targets and policy priority areas Inform policy development Quantify effects of policy measures on overall trends Fulfil national and international reporting requirements
Alternative approaches to modelling future • Simulation – project outcomes from detailed scenarios • Optimization – solve for best outcome given objective and constraints • Target Achievement – force outcome by adjusting driving inputs Select approach for policy insights addressing specific questions • What is the anticipated impact of current Government Policies and Measures? • What targets might we hit / miss along the way? • Where are there policy gaps and how best to address them? Objectives of Projections 48 www.seai.ie
What makes an energy model useful? • Starting point reflects reality Historic actuals calibration, macroeconomic inputs, appropriate costs • Assumptions grounded in what's feasible Technology deployment, consumer uptake, economic limitations • Range of outcomes to assess sensitivity to new conditions Price sensitivities, scenario sets • Continuous iteration with latest data Assess performance, agile insights production, ex-post review Key Inputs to Modelling 49 www.seai.ie
National energy-economy model: • Combines sectoral energy models with macroeconomic baseline • Simulates consumer decision- making and measures uptake under alternative scenarios • Assesses combined impact of granular policies and measures on future energy supply, demand, and energy-related CO2 emissions National Energy Modelling Framework (NEMF) 50 www.seai.ie
Assess likelihood of achieving targets • Reporting, advanced sight of potential costs Provide context on challenge ahead • Gaps to domestic or EU targets under alternative conditions: prices, sets of policies • Modified trajectories to meet carbon budgets, sectoral emission ceilings Highlight additional policy needed to align to required trajectories • Assess impact of extensions to existing measures Review new potential pathways • Evaluate alternative investment / technology deployment scenarios (e.g., net-zero pathways as in National Heat Study) Applications of Modelling Outputs 51 www.seai.ie
National Energy Projections 2022 in progress, data release and reporting in early 2023 Current National Energy Projections 52 www.seai.ie • Previous projections available on SEAI Energy Data Portal • New dataset to be posted online early 2023 • Accompanying reporting extending Energy in Ireland conversation to 2030 and beyond
Prices Price Trends and Supports Mary Holland – Senior Energy Statistician Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022 53
Unprecedented Increases… 54 www.seai.ie
Unprecedented Increases… 55 www.seai.ie
Unprecedented Increases… but Unprecedented Supports 56 www.seai.ie 2022 2023 VAT Reduction €200 Credit €200 Credit €200 Credit €200 Credit TBESS Ukraine Enterprise Crisis Scheme
Unprecedented Increases… 57 www.seai.ie 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Jul 2007 Jan 2009 Jul 2010 Jan 2012 Jul 2013 Jan 2015 Jul 2016 Jan 2018 Jul 2019 Jan 2021 Jul 2022 Nominal Prices $/barrel Europe Brent Spot Price FOB ($/Barrel) 2021 2022
Unprecedented Increases… 58 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Cents / kWh Sterling Euro 2021 2022 Natural Gas System Average Prices (Actual Day UK Balancing Point)
SEAI’s Energy Price Surveys 59 www.seai.ie • Eurostat’s European Price Regulation survey (Bi)annual – Electricity and Gas – Rigorous Business and Homes split – Band Breakdown - European comparisons – Price Disaggregation • IEA’s Energy Price and Taxes surveys Quarterly – Electricity, Gas, Coal, and Oil Products – Simplified Business and Homes split • SEAI’s Fuel Cost Comparison sheets Quarterly – Electricity, Gas, Coal, Peat, Wood, and Oil Products
SEAI’s Energy Price Surveys 60 www.seai.ie • Price Reports • Summary Sheets • Comparison Tables • Price Trends on Web • Price Blogs • Animated Videos
Energy Prices not Unit Prices 61 www.seai.ie Effective Unit Price Cost of Energy Delivered Amount of Energy Delivered = • Standing charges not a rounding error → a considerable cost • Fall disproportionately heavily on low demand households Amount of Energy Delivered Unit Charge × Amount + Standing Charges + Taxes & Levies - Account Credits =
Overall Weighted Average – Electricity (business) 62 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average
Business Electricity Prices – Consumption Band Breakdown 63 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh IA IB IC ID IE IF
Overall Weighted Average – Gas (business) 64 www.seai.ie 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average EU Weighted
0.0 5.0 10.0 15.0 20.0 25.0 30.0 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average 2 Semester Average Weighted Average – Electricity (households) 65 www.seai.ie
Weighted Average – Gas (households) 66 www.seai.ie 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average 2 Semester Average
Home Electricity Energy & Supply Network Costs VAT Other Taxes 44 cent 33 cent 11 cent 12 cent
Energy & Supply Network Costs VAT Other Taxes 49 cent 32 cent 11 cent 8 cent Home Gas
69 Place GIS and Energy Mapping Niall Delany – Lead GIS Analyst Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
• Make energy data more granular in time • Get national data to people more quickly, so they can act • Make energy data more granular in space Policy Planning People GIS – Geographic Information Systems (Energy Mapping) 70 www.seai.ie Annual Quarterly Monthly National Regional Community
SEAI’s Energy Maps 71 www.seai.ie • Wind Atlas • Bioenergy Map • Geothermal Map • Heat Demand Map • Hydro Power Map • BER Map
Shaping Data to Support Local Authorities 72 www.seai.ie https://www.seai.ie/data-and-insights/seai-statistics/la-cap-dashboard/ • 31x LAs required to produce LA-CAPs → Local mitigation and adaptation • SEAI is collecting and shaping data specifically to support the LAs • Increase awareness of LA-level data availability • SEAI have been engaging with LAs on their data priorities through workshops
73 www.seai.ie Shaping Data for Sustainable Energy Communities (SECs) • New mapping resources for Sustainable Energy Communities • Data required to draw up Energy Master Plans and to track progress
74 www.seai.ie See the National Heat Study District Heating Report 2030 target of 2.7 TWh of District Heating per year SEAI GIS analysis used to identify high potential areas Generating New Data with GIS
75 www.seai.ie 2030 target of 2.7 TWh of District Heating per year Generating New Data with GIS
GIS Capacity at SEAI 76 www.seai.ie • GIS Team is expanding • GIS environment being enhanced (ArcGIS) Good for SEAI Good for collaborators (RDD) • LA-CAP dashboard in the Regional Development Monitor National Regional Community
Thanks for attending! The 2022 Energy in Ireland report is available at www.seai.ie

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2022 Energy in Ireland Launch

  • 1.
  • 2.
    14th of December2022 Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report
  • 3.
    • This isa 90 min event with 70 min presentations and 20 min for Q&A • Please use the chat function to ask any questions • SEAI’s Energy Stats Team will work to respond in the chat • We will put key questions from the chat to the panel in the Q&A session after our presentations • SEAI will publish a specific FAQ based on today’s chat questions • SEAI will make a recording of our presentations available online Welcome & Housekeeping 3 www.seai.ie
  • 4.
    4 Perspective Insights, Urgency, andAction Jim Scheer – Head of Data & Insights Department Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
  • 5.
    5 www.seai.ie Today’s Presentations PerspectiveUrgency & Action (5 min) Past Definitive Annual Data (20 min) Present Provisional Monthly Data (15 min) Projections Energy Modelling & Projections (10 min) Prices Price Trends and Supports (10 min) Place GIS and Energy Mapping (10 min)
  • 6.
    Past Definitive Annual Insights LeeCarroll – Head of Energy Statistics Team Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022 6
  • 7.
    SEAI’s National EnergyBalance – Definitive Annual Data 7 www.seai.ie Agriculture 23 MtCO2e Approx. 3% Energy Related Industry 7 MtCO2e Approx. 60% Energy Related Electricity 10 MtCO2e Transport 12 MtCO2e Residential 7 MtCO2e Commercial 2 MtCO2e Approx. 100% Energy Related • Key input to EPA’s GHG inventory Carbon budgets and Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs)
  • 8.
    SEAI’s National EnergyBalance – Definitive Annual Data 8 www.seai.ie • Key input to EPA’s GHG inventory Carbon budgets and Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs) • Basis for EU reporting obligations against (binding) targets Renewable Energy Shares (RES) and Energy Efficiency (EED) RES Overall RES Electric RES Transport RES Heat Energy Efficiency Directive
  • 9.
    SEAI’s National EnergyBalance – Different Energy Lenses 9 www.seai.ie Mode Energy
  • 10.
    10 www.seai.ie Indigenous Production Imports Exports Coal PeatOil Gas Renewables NRW Totals 407 35,297 151,074 21,399 11,677 1,489 14,631 17,515 1,663 98,750 36,355 1,849 2,454 35 19,899 209 861 Interconnect Electricity Primary Energy Supply – The Where & What of Energy
  • 11.
    11 www.seai.ie Oil 45.9% Gas 31.6% Renew. 11.9% Coal 6.6% Peat +NRW + Interconnect Electricity 3.9% 13,850 ktoe or 161 TWh Primary Energy Supply – What, and what has changed -300 -200 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 2020-2021 Changes in PES (ktoe) +3.6% +104% -8.0% -4.0% +5.8% -36.5%
  • 12.
    Energy Transformations –Matching Supply to Demand 12 www.seai.ie Primary Supply Final Demand Electricity Natural Gas Heat Public Thermal Plants Peat Coal Natural Gas Peat Coal CHP Losses Wind + Solar + Hydro
  • 13.
    Energy Transformations –Our generated electricity in 2021 13 www.seai.ie Gas 45.7% Wind 29.5% Coal 8.2% Oil 4.4% Biomass + RW + Peat + NRW + Other Renew. 5.2% NEI 4.8% Hydro 2.2% 2021 Electricity Generated 33.2 TWh -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 2020 to 2021 Changes in Electricity Generation (TWh) -6.7% -15.4% -64.6% +304% +273% +4.2%
  • 14.
    14 www.seai.ie Gas 45.7% Wind 29.5% Coal 8.2% Oil 4.4% Biomass +RW + Peat + NRW + Other Renew. 5.2% NEI 4.8% Hydro 2.2% 2021 Electricity Generated 33.2 TWh Carbon Intensity of Electricity (gCO2 / kWh) 309 348 Coal Oil 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 gCO₂/kWh Gas Coal Peat Oil Wastes Non-Renewable Energy Transformations – Our generated electricity in 2021… 2022
  • 15.
    Ireland’s Energy Demand– Who and What 15 www.seai.ie Transport Industry Commercial Services Residential Public Services Agriculture Fisheries Coal Peat Oil Nat. Gas Renewables NRW* Electricity Totals 2,209 4,155 3,066 1,281 513 232 19 89 329 1,004 199 54 534 3,950 17 178 10 185 180 1,270 595 85 751 106 210 22 943 120 126 19 249 183 50 19 Sector
  • 16.
    Ireland’s Energy Demandin 2021 16 www.seai.ie Transport 36.2% Industry 19.2% Public Services 4.5% Comm. Services 11.2% Agri. & Fisheries 2.2% 11,480 ktoe or 133.5 TWh +1.7% +5.0% -4.1% +7.1% +2.1% Residential 26.8% -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 2021-2021 Changes in Final Energy Demand (ktoe)
  • 17.
    Ireland’s Energy Demandin 2021 17 www.seai.ie -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Total Final Energy Demand (%) -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%)
  • 18.
    18 www.seai.ie 29% 37% 8% 7% 64% 57% - 1020 30 40 50 60 70 80 2005 2021 Mega-tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (MtCO₂e) Agriculture (excluding energy) Other non-energy Energy related +2.2 MtCO2e -10.7 MtCO2e National GHG emissions – Evolution
  • 19.
    19 www.seai.ie • 1× Binding emission reduction target of 51% by 2030 Relative to 2018 levels • 3 × Binding carbon budgets 295 MtCO2e between 2021-2025 200 MtCO2e between 2026-2030 151 MtCO2e between 2031-2035 • 7 × Binding sectoral emission ceilings (SECs) Agriculture Residential Other Transport Industry Electricity Commercial National GHG emissions – Carbon Budgets
  • 20.
    Carbon Budgets –Sectoral Emission Ceilings (SECs) 20 www.seai.ie g
  • 21.
    Sectoral Emission Ceilings– Guideline Trajectories and Results 21 www.seai.ie 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 Electricity (MtCO2e) Transport (MtCO2e) 40 20 54 37 Modified Guideline Modified Guideline
  • 22.
    • REDI 2020Renewable Energy Share (RES) targets and results • REDII 2030 Renewable Energy Share (RES) targets and results Formal verification of biomass sustainability for large-scale users Caps on countability of biofuels into RES-Transport (i.e. UCO and tallow) The “RED Shift” – New Directive, New Targets, New Rules 22 www.seai.ie RES Overall RES-E Electric RES-T Transport RES-H Heat
  • 23.
    Overall Renewable EnergyShare (RES-Overall) 23 www.seai.ie 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Targets 13.6% in 2021 under REDI 12.5% in 2021 under REDII 13.6% in 2020 under REDI
  • 24.
    Overall Renewable EnergyShare (RES-Overall) 24 www.seai.ie 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Targets 16% 34.1% 13.6% in 2020 under REDI 12.5% in 2021 under REDII
  • 25.
    Renewable Energy Sharein Electricity (RES-E) 25 www.seai.ie 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results (REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Target 38.1% in 2021 under REDI 80% Renewable under CAP 39.0% in 2020 under REDI 36.4% in 2021 under REDII
  • 26.
    0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results (REDI) Results(REDII) Delta (REDI less REDII) Target Renewable Energy Share in Transport (RES-T) 26 www.seai.ie 10.1% in 2020 under REDI 4.3% in 2021 under REDII 9.9% in 2021 under REDI Limits on Countability of Used Cooking Oils (UCOs) and Waste Animal Fats (Tallow) 14%
  • 27.
    Energy Balance Timeline 27www.seai.ie 2021 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply Data Energy Demand Data Energy Transform Data Energy Analysis of Data
  • 28.
    Energy Balance Timeline– Good now vs. Perfect later 28 www.seai.ie • COVID Shocks • Price Shocks • 5 Year Carbon Budgets • 2-3 Year RES Milestones
  • 29.
    29 Present Provisional Monthly Insights CathalÓ Cléirigh – Energy Statistics Analyst Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
  • 30.
    Electricity Generated 30 www.seai.ie May Gas Supplied Oil JODI Oil MOS Monthly DataTimelines – Good now vs. Perfect later • Monthly data on Electricity, Gas, and Oil is available in 1 to 2 months • Used by SEAI to satisfy regulatory compliance – international reporting • Sum of 12-monthly data-points is not the same as an annual data-point June Crude Oil June
  • 31.
    Electricity Generated 31 www.seai.ie May Gas Supplied Oil JODI Oil MOS Monthly DataTimelines – Good now vs. Perfect later • Monthly data on Electricity, Gas, and Oil is available in 1 to 2 months • Used by SEAI to satisfy regulatory compliance – international reporting Scope of annual and monthly surveys is different Level of internal checks and cross-agency reconciliations is lower June Crude Oil June
  • 32.
    32 www.seai.ie 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2016 20172018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Heating Kerosene (TWh) Advantages over Annual Data – Seasonality
  • 33.
    33 www.seai.ie 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 Jan-15 Jul-15 Jan-16 Jul-16 Jan-17 Jul-17 Jan-18 Jul-18 Jan-19 Jul-19 Jan-20 Jul-20 Jan-21 Jul-21 Jan-22 Jul-22 Non-renewable Renewable Electricity Generation(TWh) 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Renewable Generation (TWh) Non-renewable Generation (TWh) Advantages over Annual Data – Seasonality
  • 34.
  • 35.
  • 36.
  • 37.
    37 www.seai.ie But provisionalmonthly data is not definitive annual data Natural Gas 50% Wind 32% Coal 9% Oil 2% Peat 2% Wastes 2% Hydro 2% Combustible Renewables 1% Other (CHP etc) 0.04% Solar 0.01% Electricity Generated JAN-SEP 2022 • Only electricity exported to the grid - No transmission losses - No industry auto-generators - No residential solar-PV - Incomplete CHP coverage 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Renewable Generation (TWh)
  • 38.
    38 www.seai.ie Correlate 9-monthsums to 12-month sums 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Heating Kerosene (TWh) Non-renewable Electricity (TWh) Jet Kerosene (TWh) Renewable Electricity (TWh) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 39.
    39 www.seai.ie Correlate 9-monthsums to 12-month sums 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Heating Kerosene (TWh) Non-renewable Electricity (TWh) Jet Kerosene (TWh) Renewable Electricity (TWh) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
  • 40.
    40 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisionalannual data” from monthly data -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%) 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Jan-16 Jun-16 Nov-16 Apr-17 Sep-17 Feb-18 Jul-18 Dec-18 May-19 Oct-19 Mar-20 Aug-20 Jan-21 Jun-21 Nov-21 Apr-22 Sep-22 Road Diesel (TWh) 2020 2021
  • 41.
    41 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisionalannual data” from monthly data -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Total Final Energy Demand (%) -30% -25% -20% -15% -10% -5% 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Year-to-Year Changes in Transport Final Energy Demand (%)
  • 42.
    42 www.seai.ie Synthesizing “provisionalannual data” from monthly data 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 Results Budget 1 Budget 2 Electricity (MtCO2e) Transport (MtCO2e) 40 20 54 37 Modified Guideline Modified Guideline
  • 43.
    Supplement Energy BalanceTimeline 43 www.seai.ie See Section X.X.X in 2022 Energy in Ireland report 2021 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply 2021 Energy Demand 2021 Energy Transform 2021 Analysis of 2021 and 2022 Synthesised 2022 Data
  • 44.
    Supplement Energy BalanceTimeline 44 www.seai.ie See Section X.X.X in 2022 Energy in Ireland report 2022 Interim Balance (APR) Full Balance (SEP) EiI Report (DEC) Energy Supply 2021 Energy Demand 2021 Energy Transform 2021 Analysis of 2021 and 2022 Synthesised 2022 Data • Energy emissions up 6% in 2022 • Transport energy up 18% in 2022 • 10.8 MtCO2 from Electricity in 2022 • 11.2 MtCO2 from Transport in 2022
  • 45.
    45 Projections Energy Modelling andProjections Emma Lynch – Head of Energy Modelling Team Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
  • 46.
    Projecting not Predicting 46www.seai.ie 2021 2022 Out to 2030/2050 Back to 2001 NOW Definitive Past Provisional Present Projecting Future • Past: SEAI Stats Team • Present: SEAI Stats Team • Future(s): SEAI Modelling Team
  • 47.
    SEAI functions relatedto modelling, established by Sustainable Energy Act, 2002 (S.6): Energy Modelling Purpose 47 www.seai.ie Purposes of SEAI Energy Modelling: Compilation, extraction and dissemination of information and projections relating to energy production and use. Provision of assistance in the co-ordination of activities carried out in the State related to sustainable energy. Simulate future energy supply and demand in Ireland Identify gaps to targets and policy priority areas Inform policy development Quantify effects of policy measures on overall trends Fulfil national and international reporting requirements
  • 48.
    Alternative approaches tomodelling future • Simulation – project outcomes from detailed scenarios • Optimization – solve for best outcome given objective and constraints • Target Achievement – force outcome by adjusting driving inputs Select approach for policy insights addressing specific questions • What is the anticipated impact of current Government Policies and Measures? • What targets might we hit / miss along the way? • Where are there policy gaps and how best to address them? Objectives of Projections 48 www.seai.ie
  • 49.
    What makes anenergy model useful? • Starting point reflects reality Historic actuals calibration, macroeconomic inputs, appropriate costs • Assumptions grounded in what's feasible Technology deployment, consumer uptake, economic limitations • Range of outcomes to assess sensitivity to new conditions Price sensitivities, scenario sets • Continuous iteration with latest data Assess performance, agile insights production, ex-post review Key Inputs to Modelling 49 www.seai.ie
  • 50.
    National energy-economy model: •Combines sectoral energy models with macroeconomic baseline • Simulates consumer decision- making and measures uptake under alternative scenarios • Assesses combined impact of granular policies and measures on future energy supply, demand, and energy-related CO2 emissions National Energy Modelling Framework (NEMF) 50 www.seai.ie
  • 51.
    Assess likelihood ofachieving targets • Reporting, advanced sight of potential costs Provide context on challenge ahead • Gaps to domestic or EU targets under alternative conditions: prices, sets of policies • Modified trajectories to meet carbon budgets, sectoral emission ceilings Highlight additional policy needed to align to required trajectories • Assess impact of extensions to existing measures Review new potential pathways • Evaluate alternative investment / technology deployment scenarios (e.g., net-zero pathways as in National Heat Study) Applications of Modelling Outputs 51 www.seai.ie
  • 52.
    National Energy Projections2022 in progress, data release and reporting in early 2023 Current National Energy Projections 52 www.seai.ie • Previous projections available on SEAI Energy Data Portal • New dataset to be posted online early 2023 • Accompanying reporting extending Energy in Ireland conversation to 2030 and beyond
  • 53.
    Prices Price Trends andSupports Mary Holland – Senior Energy Statistician Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022 53
  • 54.
  • 55.
  • 56.
    Unprecedented Increases… butUnprecedented Supports 56 www.seai.ie 2022 2023 VAT Reduction €200 Credit €200 Credit €200 Credit €200 Credit TBESS Ukraine Enterprise Crisis Scheme
  • 57.
    Unprecedented Increases… 57 www.seai.ie 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Jul2007 Jan 2009 Jul 2010 Jan 2012 Jul 2013 Jan 2015 Jul 2016 Jan 2018 Jul 2019 Jan 2021 Jul 2022 Nominal Prices $/barrel Europe Brent Spot Price FOB ($/Barrel) 2021 2022
  • 58.
    Unprecedented Increases… 58 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 20092010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 Cents / kWh Sterling Euro 2021 2022 Natural Gas System Average Prices (Actual Day UK Balancing Point)
  • 59.
    SEAI’s Energy PriceSurveys 59 www.seai.ie • Eurostat’s European Price Regulation survey (Bi)annual – Electricity and Gas – Rigorous Business and Homes split – Band Breakdown - European comparisons – Price Disaggregation • IEA’s Energy Price and Taxes surveys Quarterly – Electricity, Gas, Coal, and Oil Products – Simplified Business and Homes split • SEAI’s Fuel Cost Comparison sheets Quarterly – Electricity, Gas, Coal, Peat, Wood, and Oil Products
  • 60.
    SEAI’s Energy PriceSurveys 60 www.seai.ie • Price Reports • Summary Sheets • Comparison Tables • Price Trends on Web • Price Blogs • Animated Videos
  • 61.
    Energy Prices notUnit Prices 61 www.seai.ie Effective Unit Price Cost of Energy Delivered Amount of Energy Delivered = • Standing charges not a rounding error → a considerable cost • Fall disproportionately heavily on low demand households Amount of Energy Delivered Unit Charge × Amount + Standing Charges + Taxes & Levies - Account Credits =
  • 62.
    Overall Weighted Average– Electricity (business) 62 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average
  • 63.
    Business Electricity Prices– Consumption Band Breakdown 63 www.seai.ie 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh IA IB IC ID IE IF
  • 64.
    Overall Weighted Average– Gas (business) 64 www.seai.ie 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average EU Weighted
  • 65.
  • 66.
    Weighted Average –Gas (households) 66 www.seai.ie 0.0 1.0 2.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 S2 2007 S2 2008 S2 2009 S2 2010 S2 2011 S2 2012 S2 2013 S2 2014 S2 2015 S2 2016 S2 2017 S2 2018 S2 2019 S2 2020 S2 2021 c/kWh Ireland Weighted Average 2 Semester Average
  • 67.
    Home Electricity Energy &Supply Network Costs VAT Other Taxes 44 cent 33 cent 11 cent 12 cent
  • 68.
    Energy & Supply NetworkCosts VAT Other Taxes 49 cent 32 cent 11 cent 8 cent Home Gas
  • 69.
    69 Place GIS and EnergyMapping Niall Delany – Lead GIS Analyst Launch of 2022 Energy in Ireland report 14th of December 2022
  • 70.
    • Make energydata more granular in time • Get national data to people more quickly, so they can act • Make energy data more granular in space Policy Planning People GIS – Geographic Information Systems (Energy Mapping) 70 www.seai.ie Annual Quarterly Monthly National Regional Community
  • 71.
    SEAI’s Energy Maps 71www.seai.ie • Wind Atlas • Bioenergy Map • Geothermal Map • Heat Demand Map • Hydro Power Map • BER Map
  • 72.
    Shaping Data toSupport Local Authorities 72 www.seai.ie https://www.seai.ie/data-and-insights/seai-statistics/la-cap-dashboard/ • 31x LAs required to produce LA-CAPs → Local mitigation and adaptation • SEAI is collecting and shaping data specifically to support the LAs • Increase awareness of LA-level data availability • SEAI have been engaging with LAs on their data priorities through workshops
  • 73.
    73 www.seai.ie Shaping Datafor Sustainable Energy Communities (SECs) • New mapping resources for Sustainable Energy Communities • Data required to draw up Energy Master Plans and to track progress
  • 74.
    74 www.seai.ie See theNational Heat Study District Heating Report 2030 target of 2.7 TWh of District Heating per year SEAI GIS analysis used to identify high potential areas Generating New Data with GIS
  • 75.
    75 www.seai.ie 2030 targetof 2.7 TWh of District Heating per year Generating New Data with GIS
  • 76.
    GIS Capacity atSEAI 76 www.seai.ie • GIS Team is expanding • GIS environment being enhanced (ArcGIS) Good for SEAI Good for collaborators (RDD) • LA-CAP dashboard in the Regional Development Monitor National Regional Community
  • 77.
    Thanks for attending! The2022 Energy in Ireland report is available at www.seai.ie