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State of the Wireless Industry
             Panel
                   Moderator
                Anne Weiler, iQmetrix

                    Panelists
          Scott Aronstein, Connectivity Source
                  Seamus McAteer, ITG
        Akbar Mohamed, Prime Communications
                Eric Stachowski, iQmetrix
7th Annual iQmetrix State of
    Wireless Industry Survey
               158 Respondents
State of Wireless Industry Highlights

! Optimistic about industry in general but less
  optimistic about own business
  !  % that plan to expand by 50% or greater has decreased
  !  Big box & carrier consolidation are threats to
     independent channel
State of Wireless Industry Highlights

!   Carriers are still biggest competition
!   Uncertainty about pending AT&T acquisition of
    T-Mobile as increasing threat
!   Optimism driven by growth of diverse devices
    and increased data traffic because of new uses
Most optimistic
Industry Overall                                                                      •    21-51 locations
                                                                                      •    Verizon dealers
                                                                                      •    Canadian dealers

Where do you see the Wireless Industry in 5 Years?
                                                                                      Most pessimistic
                                                                                      •    3-9 locations
70%
                                                                                      •    51+ locations
60%                                                                                   •    Sprint dealers
50%

40%

30%
                                                                                      Industry will slow down
20%
                                                                                      Stay the same
10%
                                                                                      Industry will grow
 0%
           2008              2009             2010             2011



Slightly more optimistic than 2011, in every segment at least 50% respondents predict growth of industry
Industry Overall                                Expectation
                                                of larger
                                                increases in
                         saw
             s s market                        the United
   US wirele             in                    States
               t decline
   8.2 percen 4 percent                        through 2014
                  .
   20 09 and a 2      .
                                               compared
    advan ce in 2010                           with 2010.

      Beginning in 2011, growth in average
      revenue per subscriber (ARPU) will
      become the principal driver of wireless
      spending for the first time.

            Source: TIA’s 2011 ICT Market Review & Forecast
Industry: Carriers
! Do you think carrier consolidation will have a
  positive or negative effect on the industry?
! Almost 40% predict positive outcome
Industry: Carriers
! 2/3 of Sprint respondents see negative impact
! “Less consumer choice”
! “More threat to my business”
Industry: Phones
 % of Expected Smartphone Sales 2012

45%
40%
35%                                                                         2010
30%
                                                                            2011
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
       < 40%      40% - 60%   60% - 75%    > 75%       > 90%



 Sprint, AT&T, and dealers >10 locations see biggest shift to Smartphones
Industry: Phones
! July 2011 smartphone audience reached 82.2 M, 35% of US
  market (comScore)
   !   October 2012 before smartphone sales overtake feature
       phone sales
! Google data shows 31% penetration (OurMobilePlanet)
   !   70% are first time buyers
! Sales of smartphones expected to exceed PCs in 2012
  (Morgan Stanley)
! Smartphone ownership expected to reach 43% of
  population by 2012
Consumers



            Industry: Innovation
             Who do you see as the
             source of innovation?



                                     ®
>80% of 21-50 locations

Your Business                                          are planning to grow

                                                       More Verizon dealers
                                                       plan to grow than Sprint,
                                                       T-Mobile, or AT&T
Where do you see your wireless business in 5 years?
                                                       T-Mobile dealers expect to
45%                                                    say the same or go out of
                                                       business
40%

35%
                                                      It will have increased to more than
30%                                                   double its current size
25%                                                   It will have increased up to double its
                                                      current size
20%                                                   It will remain the same size
15%
                                                      It will be smaller
10%

 5%                                                   I will have sold it or have gone out of
                                                      business
 0%
         2009           2010           2011
10 and above location

Your Business:                            dealers expanded most in
                                          2011


Expansion 2011                            Canadian dealers most
                                          stable

How have you expanded in the past year?   40% of T-Mobile
                                          respondents downsized in
35%                                       2011, 35% of Other (US
                                          Cellular, Cricket), 31% of
30%                                       Sprint

25%

                                              Downsize
20%
                                              Stay the same
15%
                                              Expanded by up to 10%
10%
                                              Expanded by up to 25%

5%                                            Expanded by up to 50%

0%
                                              Expanded by more than 50%
        2009         2010         2011
Your Business: Expansion 2012
What are your plans for expansion in the next year?
45%

40%

35%
                                                      Plans for downsizing
30%
                                                      No plans for expansion
25%
                                                      Expand by more than 50%
20%
                                                      Expand by up to 50%
15%
                                                      Expand by up to 25%
10%                                                   Expand by up to 10%
5%

0%
      2006   2007   2008   2009    2010   2011
Verizon dealers see significantly

Your Business:                                                                       lower challenge managing carrier
                                                                                     than rest of US & Canadian dealers


Challenges
                                                                                     1-2 locations face greater
                                                                                     economic uncertainty

                                                                                     21-50 locations have most difficult
                                                                                     time managing carrier relationships
What is the greatest challenge you face in the upcoming year?
                                                                                     10-20 locations see greater threat
                                                                                     from big box
35%

30%

25%

20%

15%

10%                                                                                               2010
5%                                                                                                2011
0%
       Continued     Carrier Relationship   Increased Big Box   Increased Product/
       Economic         Management             Competition      Service Complexity
       Uncertainty
Your Business:                                    Smaller businesses are
                                                  seeing a significantly
Competition                                       greater level of
                                                  competition

What is the level of competition in your          Verizon & AT&T, and “Big
                                                  3” Canadian dealers see
marketplace compared to last year?                more competition than
                                                  2010
60%

50%

40%

30%                                                 Far more competitive
                                                    Slightly more competitive
20%
                                                    Same
10%                                                 Slightly less competitive
                                                    Far less competitive
 0%
      2006    2007   2008   2009    2010   2011
Your Business: Competition
           Who do you feel is your biggest competitor?

Response                      2005   2006   2007   2008   2009   2010   2011
Your Carrier                   1      1      1      1      1      1      1

Other Carriers                 2      3      2      2      3      3      4

Big Box Retailers              3      2      3      3      2      2      2

Other Independent Retailers    4      4      4      4      4      4      5

Online Competition             -      -      -      -      -      -      3
Your Business: Investments
71% of respondents
are planning to
improve the in-
store experience in
the following ways:


40% of respondents
are planning to
expand/improve
B2B offerings.
Your Business: Investments
Do you currently use or plan to use the following in your store?

60%


50%

                                                                          Mobile Payment
40%
                                                                          Digital Signage

30%                                                                       Interactive Retail
                                                                          Location-Based Advertising
20%
                                                                          Tablets
                                                                          POS on Mobile Devices
10%


0%
      % Currently Use   % Plan to Use   % Interested   % Do Not Plan to
                                                             Use
2011 State of Wireless
            Industry Survey
Thank-you to all respondents and
Twitter voters
Looking forward to your responses in 2012
   •  Respondents get survey results
   •  Additional questions include churn, value-added
      services, commissioning, and more detail on the
      topics reviewed today
iQmetrix.com | 1.866.iQmetrix




       © 2011 iQmetrix. All right reserved. iQmetrix, the iQmetrix logo, RQ4 and other trademarks, service marks, and
designs referenced in this material are the exclusive property of iQmetrix Software Development Corp. and/or its subsidiaries.

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2011 State of Wireless Industry

  • 1. State of the Wireless Industry Panel Moderator Anne Weiler, iQmetrix Panelists Scott Aronstein, Connectivity Source Seamus McAteer, ITG Akbar Mohamed, Prime Communications Eric Stachowski, iQmetrix
  • 2. 7th Annual iQmetrix State of Wireless Industry Survey 158 Respondents
  • 3.
  • 4. State of Wireless Industry Highlights ! Optimistic about industry in general but less optimistic about own business !  % that plan to expand by 50% or greater has decreased !  Big box & carrier consolidation are threats to independent channel
  • 5. State of Wireless Industry Highlights ! Carriers are still biggest competition ! Uncertainty about pending AT&T acquisition of T-Mobile as increasing threat ! Optimism driven by growth of diverse devices and increased data traffic because of new uses
  • 6. Most optimistic Industry Overall •  21-51 locations •  Verizon dealers •  Canadian dealers Where do you see the Wireless Industry in 5 Years? Most pessimistic •  3-9 locations 70% •  51+ locations 60% •  Sprint dealers 50% 40% 30% Industry will slow down 20% Stay the same 10% Industry will grow 0% 2008 2009 2010 2011 Slightly more optimistic than 2011, in every segment at least 50% respondents predict growth of industry
  • 7. Industry Overall Expectation of larger increases in saw s s market the United US wirele in States t decline 8.2 percen 4 percent through 2014 . 20 09 and a 2 . compared advan ce in 2010 with 2010. Beginning in 2011, growth in average revenue per subscriber (ARPU) will become the principal driver of wireless spending for the first time. Source: TIA’s 2011 ICT Market Review & Forecast
  • 8. Industry: Carriers ! Do you think carrier consolidation will have a positive or negative effect on the industry? ! Almost 40% predict positive outcome
  • 9. Industry: Carriers ! 2/3 of Sprint respondents see negative impact ! “Less consumer choice” ! “More threat to my business”
  • 10. Industry: Phones % of Expected Smartphone Sales 2012 45% 40% 35% 2010 30% 2011 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% < 40% 40% - 60% 60% - 75% > 75% > 90% Sprint, AT&T, and dealers >10 locations see biggest shift to Smartphones
  • 11. Industry: Phones ! July 2011 smartphone audience reached 82.2 M, 35% of US market (comScore) !   October 2012 before smartphone sales overtake feature phone sales ! Google data shows 31% penetration (OurMobilePlanet) !   70% are first time buyers ! Sales of smartphones expected to exceed PCs in 2012 (Morgan Stanley) ! Smartphone ownership expected to reach 43% of population by 2012
  • 12. Consumers Industry: Innovation Who do you see as the source of innovation? ®
  • 13. >80% of 21-50 locations Your Business are planning to grow More Verizon dealers plan to grow than Sprint, T-Mobile, or AT&T Where do you see your wireless business in 5 years? T-Mobile dealers expect to 45% say the same or go out of business 40% 35% It will have increased to more than 30% double its current size 25% It will have increased up to double its current size 20% It will remain the same size 15% It will be smaller 10% 5% I will have sold it or have gone out of business 0% 2009 2010 2011
  • 14. 10 and above location Your Business: dealers expanded most in 2011 Expansion 2011 Canadian dealers most stable How have you expanded in the past year? 40% of T-Mobile respondents downsized in 35% 2011, 35% of Other (US Cellular, Cricket), 31% of 30% Sprint 25% Downsize 20% Stay the same 15% Expanded by up to 10% 10% Expanded by up to 25% 5% Expanded by up to 50% 0% Expanded by more than 50% 2009 2010 2011
  • 15. Your Business: Expansion 2012 What are your plans for expansion in the next year? 45% 40% 35% Plans for downsizing 30% No plans for expansion 25% Expand by more than 50% 20% Expand by up to 50% 15% Expand by up to 25% 10% Expand by up to 10% 5% 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 16. Verizon dealers see significantly Your Business: lower challenge managing carrier than rest of US & Canadian dealers Challenges 1-2 locations face greater economic uncertainty 21-50 locations have most difficult time managing carrier relationships What is the greatest challenge you face in the upcoming year? 10-20 locations see greater threat from big box 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 2010 5% 2011 0% Continued Carrier Relationship Increased Big Box Increased Product/ Economic Management Competition Service Complexity Uncertainty
  • 17. Your Business: Smaller businesses are seeing a significantly Competition greater level of competition What is the level of competition in your Verizon & AT&T, and “Big 3” Canadian dealers see marketplace compared to last year? more competition than 2010 60% 50% 40% 30% Far more competitive Slightly more competitive 20% Same 10% Slightly less competitive Far less competitive 0% 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
  • 18. Your Business: Competition Who do you feel is your biggest competitor? Response 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Your Carrier 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Other Carriers 2 3 2 2 3 3 4 Big Box Retailers 3 2 3 3 2 2 2 Other Independent Retailers 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 Online Competition - - - - - - 3
  • 19. Your Business: Investments 71% of respondents are planning to improve the in- store experience in the following ways: 40% of respondents are planning to expand/improve B2B offerings.
  • 20. Your Business: Investments Do you currently use or plan to use the following in your store? 60% 50% Mobile Payment 40% Digital Signage 30% Interactive Retail Location-Based Advertising 20% Tablets POS on Mobile Devices 10% 0% % Currently Use % Plan to Use % Interested % Do Not Plan to Use
  • 21. 2011 State of Wireless Industry Survey Thank-you to all respondents and Twitter voters Looking forward to your responses in 2012 •  Respondents get survey results •  Additional questions include churn, value-added services, commissioning, and more detail on the topics reviewed today
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