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Definitions
              Probability
Definitions
               Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Definitions
               Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
Definitions
               Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                      happening
Definitions
               Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                      happening
Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                           any one time.
Definitions
                Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
 Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                          happening
 Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                               any one time.
e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
Definitions
                Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
 Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                          happening
 Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                               any one time.
e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could
                                   possibly happen at any one time
Definitions
                Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
 Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                          happening
 Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                               any one time.
e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could
                                   possibly happen at any one time
e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three
Definitions
                 Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
 Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                          happening
 Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                               any one time.
e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could
                                   possibly happen at any one time
e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three
P E  : probability of E happening
Definitions
                  Probability
Probability:the chance of something happening
Sample Space:all possible outcomes
 Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of
                          happening
 Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at
                               any one time.
e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could
                                   possibly happen at any one time
e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three
P E  : probability of E happening
P E  : probability of E not happening
Probability Theory
Probability Theory
       0  P E   1
Probability Theory
                          0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
Probability Theory
                          0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
Probability Theory
                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                        n E 
             P E  
                        n S 
Probability Theory
                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                        n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
             P E  
                        n S 
Probability Theory
                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                        n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
             P E  
                        n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
Probability Theory
                                   0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                          n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
               P E  
                          n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
        (ii) total 7?
Probability Theory
                                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                                        n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                        P E  
                                        n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
        (ii) total 7?
1   1   2   1   3   1   4   1   5   1    6   1
1   2   2   2   3   2   4   2   5   2    6   2
1   3   2   3   3   3   4   3   5   3    6   3
1   4   2   4   3   4   4   4   5   4    6   4
1   5   2   5   3   5   4   5   5   5    6   5
1   6   2   6   3   6   4   6   5   6    6   6
Probability Theory
                                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                                        n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                        P E  
                                        n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
        (ii) total 7?
1   1   2   1   3   1   4   1   5   1    6   1
1   2   2   2   3   2   4   2   5   2    6   2
1   3   2   3   3   3   4   3   5   3    6   3
1   4   2   4   3   4   4   4   5   4    6   4
1   5   2   5   3   5   4   5   5   5    6   5
1   6   2   6   3   6   4   6   5   6    6   6
Probability Theory
                                                 0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                                        n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                        P E  
                                        n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
                                               2
        (ii) total 7?            i P 3 
 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1                      36
1   2   2   2   3   2   4   2   5   2    6   2
1   3   2   3   3   3   4   3   5   3    6   3
1   4   2   4   3   4   4   4   5   4    6   4
1   5   2   5   3   5   4   5   5   5    6   5
1   6   2   6   3   6   4   6   5   6    6   6
Probability Theory
                                    0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                           n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                P E  
                           n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
                                               2
        (ii) total 7?            i P 3 
 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1                      36
 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2                       1
 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
                                           
                                              18
1 4   2 4 3 4   4 4 5 4 6 4
1 5   2 5 3 5   4 5 5 5 6 5
1 6   2 6 3 6   4 6 5 6 6 6
Probability Theory
                                    0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                           n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                P E  
                           n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
                                               2
        (ii) total 7?            i P 3 
 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1                      36
 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2                       1
 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
                                           
                                              18
1 4   2 4 3 4   4 4 5 4 6 4
1 5   2 5 3 5   4 5 5 5 6 5
1 6   2 6 3 6   4 6 5 6 6 6
Probability Theory
                                    0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                           n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                P E  
                           n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
                                               2                 6
        (ii) total 7?            i P 3     ii P 7  
 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1                      36                36
 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2                       1
 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
                                           
                                              18
1 4   2 4 3 4   4 4 5 4 6 4
1 5   2 5 3 5   4 5 5 5 6 5
1 6   2 6 3 6   4 6 5 6 6 6
Probability Theory
                                    0  P E   1
P(E)=0: E never happens
P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
                           n E          n E  : the number of times E occurs
                P E  
                           n S          nS  : total number of possibilities
e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they;
        (i) total 3?
                                               2                 6
        (ii) total 7?            i P 3     ii P 7  
 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1                      36                36
 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2                       1                1
 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3
                                                             
                                              18                6
1 4   2 4 3 4   4 4 5 4 6 4
1 5   2 5 3 5   4 5 5 5 6 5
1 6   2 6 3 6   4 6 5 6 6 6
Complementary Events
Complementary Events


                   P E   1  P E 
Complementary Events


                         P E   1  P E 

e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3?
Complementary Events


                             P E   1  P E 

e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3?
   P 3  1  P1 or 2 
Complementary Events


                             P E   1  P E 

e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3?
   P 3  1  P1 or 2 
                 1
           1
                36
Complementary Events


                             P E   1  P E 

e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3?
   P 3  1  P1 or 2 
                 1
           1
                36
             35
          
             36
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

            P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

              P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 

e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular
     deck of playing cards?
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

              P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 

e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular
     deck of playing cards?
   PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts 
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

              P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 

e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular
     deck of playing cards?
   PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts 
                       4 13 1
                      
                      52 52 52
Non-Mutually Exclusive Events

              P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 

e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular
     deck of playing cards?
   PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts 
                       4 13 1
                      
                      52 52 52
                      16
                    
                      52
                       4
                    
                      13
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
 In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
numbers uppermost on the dice.
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
 In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
numbers uppermost on the dice.
    0X0=0    1X0=0     2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
    0X1=0    1X1=1     2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
    0X2=0    1X2=2     2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
    0X3=0    1X3=3     2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
    0X4=0    1X4=4     2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
    0X5=0    1X5=5     2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability
    of scoring zero on the
    first turn?
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability
    of scoring zero on the
    first turn?
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability
    of scoring zero on the
    first turn? 11
         P  0  
                    36
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability                  (ii) What is the probability of
    of scoring zero on the                        scoring 16 or more on the
    first turn? 11                                first turn?
         P  0  
                    36
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability                  (ii) What is the probability of
    of scoring zero on the                        scoring 16 or more on the
    first turn? 11                                first turn?
         P  0  
                    36
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability                  (ii) What is the probability of
    of scoring zero on the                        scoring 16 or more on the
    first turn? 11                                first turn?          4
         P  0                                          P 16  
                    36                                                36
2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c)
    In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked
    0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5.
   The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two
   numbers uppermost on the dice.
       0X0=0     1X0=0        2X0=0        3X0=0        4X0=0        5X0=0
       0X1=0     1X1=1        2X1=2        3X1=3        4X1=4        5X1=5
       0X2=0     1X2=2        2X2=4        3X2=6        4X2=8        5 X 2 = 10
       0X3=0     1X3=3        2X3=6        3X3=9        4 X 3 = 12   5 X 3 = 15
       0X4=0     1X4=4        2X4=8        3 X 4 = 12   4 X 4 = 16   5 X 4 = 20
       0X5=0     1X5=5        2 X 5 = 10   3 X 5 = 15   4 X 5 = 20   5 X 5 = 25

(i) What is the probability                  (ii) What is the probability of
    of scoring zero on the                        scoring 16 or more on the
    first turn? 11                                first turn?          4
         P  0                                          P 16  
                    36                                                36
                                                                      1
                                                                    
                                                                      9
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
     P 45  1  P 45
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
     P 45  1  P 45
              1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
     P 45  1  P 45
              1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25
                    2 1 1 2 1 1
              1     
                   36 36 36 36 36 36
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
     P 45  1  P 45
              1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25
                    2 1 1 2 1 1                      1291
              1                             
                   36 36 36 36 36 36                 1296
(iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first
      two turns is less than 45?
     P 45  1  P 45
              1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25
                    2 1 1 2 1 1                      1291
              1                             
                   36 36 36 36 36 36                 1296




                             Exercise 10A; odd

                             Exercise 10B; odd

                        Exercise 10C; odd (not 23)

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12X1 T09 01 definitions and theory (2010)

  • 1. Definitions Probability
  • 2. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening
  • 3. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes
  • 4. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening
  • 5. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time.
  • 6. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time. e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both
  • 7. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time. e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could possibly happen at any one time
  • 8. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time. e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could possibly happen at any one time e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three
  • 9. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time. e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could possibly happen at any one time e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three P E  : probability of E happening
  • 10. Definitions Probability Probability:the chance of something happening Sample Space:all possible outcomes Equally Likely Events:events which have an equal chance of happening Mutually Exclusive Events:only one possible outcome can occur at any one time. e.g. a coin can be either a head or a tail, not both Non-Mutually Exclusive Events:more than one outcome could possibly happen at any one time e.g. a number could be both even and a multiple of three P E  : probability of E happening P E  : probability of E not happening
  • 12. Probability Theory 0  P E   1
  • 13. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens
  • 14. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen
  • 15. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  P E   n S 
  • 16. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S 
  • 17. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities
  • 18. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? (ii) total 7?
  • 19. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? (ii) total 7? 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 20. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? (ii) total 7? 1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 21. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? 2 (ii) total 7? i P 3  1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 36 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 22. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? 2 (ii) total 7? i P 3  1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 36 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3  18 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 23. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? 2 (ii) total 7? i P 3  1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 36 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3  18 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 24. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? 2 6 (ii) total 7? i P 3  ii P 7   1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 36 36 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3  18 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 25. Probability Theory 0  P E   1 P(E)=0: E never happens P(E)=1: a certain event. E must happen n E  n E  : the number of times E occurs P E   n S  nS  : total number of possibilities e.g. A pair of dice are thrown. What is the probability that they; (i) total 3? 2 6 (ii) total 7? i P 3  ii P 7   1 1 2 1 3 1 4 1 5 1 6 1 36 36 1 2 2 2 3 2 4 2 5 2 6 2 1 1 1 3 2 3 3 3 4 3 5 3 6 3   18 6 1 4 2 4 3 4 4 4 5 4 6 4 1 5 2 5 3 5 4 5 5 5 6 5 1 6 2 6 3 6 4 6 5 6 6 6
  • 27. Complementary Events P E   1  P E 
  • 28. Complementary Events P E   1  P E  e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3?
  • 29. Complementary Events P E   1  P E  e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3? P 3  1  P1 or 2 
  • 30. Complementary Events P E   1  P E  e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3? P 3  1  P1 or 2  1  1 36
  • 31. Complementary Events P E   1  P E  e.g. What is the probability of totaling at least 3? P 3  1  P1 or 2  1  1 36 35  36
  • 33. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events P A  B   P A  P B   P AB 
  • 34. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events P A  B   P A  P B   P AB  e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular deck of playing cards?
  • 35. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events P A  B   P A  P B   P AB  e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular deck of playing cards? PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts 
  • 36. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events P A  B   P A  P B   P AB  e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular deck of playing cards? PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts  4 13 1    52 52 52
  • 37. Non-Mutually Exclusive Events P A  B   P A  P B   P AB  e.g. What is the chance of picking an Ace or a heart from a regular deck of playing cards? PAce or heart   PAce  Pheart   PAce of hearts  4 13 1    52 52 52 16  52 4  13
  • 38. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice.
  • 39. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25
  • 40. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability of scoring zero on the first turn?
  • 41. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability of scoring zero on the first turn?
  • 42. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability of scoring zero on the first turn? 11 P  0   36
  • 43. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability (ii) What is the probability of of scoring zero on the scoring 16 or more on the first turn? 11 first turn? P  0   36
  • 44. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability (ii) What is the probability of of scoring zero on the scoring 16 or more on the first turn? 11 first turn? P  0   36
  • 45. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability (ii) What is the probability of of scoring zero on the scoring 16 or more on the first turn? 11 first turn? 4 P  0   P 16   36 36
  • 46. 2004 Mathematics HSC Q6c) In a game, a turn involves rolling two dice, each with faces marked 0, 1, 2, 3, 4 and 5. The score for each turn is calculated by multiplying the two numbers uppermost on the dice. 0X0=0 1X0=0 2X0=0 3X0=0 4X0=0 5X0=0 0X1=0 1X1=1 2X1=2 3X1=3 4X1=4 5X1=5 0X2=0 1X2=2 2X2=4 3X2=6 4X2=8 5 X 2 = 10 0X3=0 1X3=3 2X3=6 3X3=9 4 X 3 = 12 5 X 3 = 15 0X4=0 1X4=4 2X4=8 3 X 4 = 12 4 X 4 = 16 5 X 4 = 20 0X5=0 1X5=5 2 X 5 = 10 3 X 5 = 15 4 X 5 = 20 5 X 5 = 25 (i) What is the probability (ii) What is the probability of of scoring zero on the scoring 16 or more on the first turn? 11 first turn? 4 P  0   P 16   36 36 1  9
  • 47. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45?
  • 48. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45? P 45  1  P 45
  • 49. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45? P 45  1  P 45  1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25
  • 50. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45? P 45  1  P 45  1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25 2 1 1 2 1 1  1      36 36 36 36 36 36
  • 51. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45? P 45  1  P 45  1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25 2 1 1 2 1 1 1291  1       36 36 36 36 36 36 1296
  • 52. (iii) What is the probability that the sum of the scores in the first two turns is less than 45? P 45  1  P 45  1  P20,25  P25,20   P25,25 2 1 1 2 1 1 1291  1       36 36 36 36 36 36 1296 Exercise 10A; odd Exercise 10B; odd Exercise 10C; odd (not 23)