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抽样技术与方法 (  2  学分  , 明德主楼 0307   )   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
课前交流 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.1  什么是抽样调查? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
比较数据来源 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.2 Sample Survey Definitions ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Comments ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Example labor force survey ? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.3 Types of Surveys & Sampling Methods non-probabilistic Quota sample : elements are chosen in the field  to meet   predetermined number  of cases in different categories (e.g. 40% men, 60% women) Expert sample : elements chosen on the basis of  informed  opinion that they are representative probabilistic Inferences about the underlying population cannot be made Probability of obtaining each sample can be computed, confidence intervals can be developed, bounds on sampling errors, etc. Simple Random Sampling Stratified Random Sampling Cluster Sampling Systematic Sampling
Probability sampling ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
The nature of a probability sample  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Probability sample ,[object Object]
Probability sample  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Probability sample ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Choosing a  sample design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Selecting a probability sample ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.4 Sampling frame ,[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling frame example ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling frame variations ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling frame example ,[object Object],[object Object]
Sampling frame problems ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.5  比较 ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.6 Survey process ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Survey design often requires  trade-offs to be made between different sources of error . ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.7 Total  survey design 案例: 调查北京市老年人的住房条件
Total  survey design ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
抽样方案设计   ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
1.8 Example:your sample design? ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]

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导论1

  • 1.
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
  • 7.
  • 8. 1.3 Types of Surveys & Sampling Methods non-probabilistic Quota sample : elements are chosen in the field to meet predetermined number of cases in different categories (e.g. 40% men, 60% women) Expert sample : elements chosen on the basis of informed opinion that they are representative probabilistic Inferences about the underlying population cannot be made Probability of obtaining each sample can be computed, confidence intervals can be developed, bounds on sampling errors, etc. Simple Random Sampling Stratified Random Sampling Cluster Sampling Systematic Sampling
  • 9.
  • 10.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14.
  • 15.
  • 16.
  • 17.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
  • 21.
  • 22.
  • 23.
  • 24. 1.7 Total survey design 案例: 调查北京市老年人的住房条件
  • 25.
  • 26.
  • 27.

Editor's Notes

  1. Difference between target population and sample population may arise and is problematic, under certain circumstances. Selection bias in trade analysis for example. Example of the poll in the US. If having a phone or not is a systematic process or a random process, then, the implications are different.
  2. Random NE haphazard Typically don’t enumerate samples, then inclusion probs Populations usually too big More likely to assign the elements selection probs and proceed from there
  3. Start on most difficult part of this class Essential to understand material in Ch2, especially early sections/this week’s lecs Possible to by chance select an unrep. sample using a stat design (e.g., SRS of class)
  4. Start on most difficult part of this class Essential to understand material in Ch2, especially early sections/this week’s lecs Possible to by chance select an unrep. sample using a stat design (e.g., SRS of class)
  5. SAMPLING FRAME EXAMPLE Target population = Ames households OU = household There is no list of households, but we can list out telephone numbers Frame = list of all possible (land line) telephone numbers in the Ames area SU = telephone number Frame includes non-working and business numbers that do not correspond to households Frame excludes households who have no land line phone
  6. What disinguishes SS from the rest of your statistics classes We usually start with a regression model or AOV model that assumes errors are normal (write these models and the error assumptions on the board) OLD NOTES Finite Infinite Land in US Yield of corn variety (inf. # conditions) People in CA Impact of chemical on pests Strata blocks Clusters split-plots Means Percentiles Randomization Model based, e.g., resids ~ normal (Model assisted)
  7. Sampling counties Sampling states, then counties
  8. SAMPLING FRAME EXAMPLE Target population = Ames households OU = household There is no list of households, but we can list out telephone numbers Frame = list of all possible (land line) telephone numbers in the Ames area SU = telephone number Frame includes non-working and business numbers that do not correspond to households Frame excludes households who have no land line phone