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Daily Technical Outlook

                                                                                                                 28th November 2011

        Indices               Close       % Chg.      Mirroring the subdue set of global market cues; the domestic
 BSE SENSEX                  15695.43      -1.03      markets witnessed a negative opening.          However, the
 S&P CNX NIFTY                4710.05      -0.98      markets managed to move higher on back of short covering
 NIFTY DEC. FUT.              4710.95      -1.48      and selective buying support. But the overall trend remained
 India VIX                     29.12        4.18
                                                      range bound and lackluster. Increased selling pressure in the
                                                      afternoon trade saw the markets drift lower sharply. The
        S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels                markets once again failed to show any resilience. The
                   Level 1    Level 2     Level 3
                                                      markets ended the day with moderate losses to close near
                                                      the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were
Support             4563       4481        4387
                                                      Hindalco, Rel. Power, Maruti, Sterlite, Sesa Goa, SAIL, Hero
Resistance          4747       4987        5037
                                                      Motors, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel and HUL.
             Volume (Lacs Shares)                     Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst
                  25/11/11   24/11/11     % Chg.      lower volumes, indicating selling in frontline stocks. The
BSE                2067        2169        -4.70      global market set of cues are mix. The domestic markets
NSE                6292        8391        -25.02     are likely to witness a positive opening. The prevailing
Total              8359       10560        -20.84     technical negatives continued to weigh on the market
Source – BSE & NSE                                    sentiment as Nifty once again slipped below the crucial
                                                      4747 level. The Nifty continues to trade below its 50-day
              Turnover ( ` Crores)
                                                      SMA, which is a short term negative. The KST and MACD
                  25/11/11   24/11/11     % Chg.
                                                      are placed in the negative and also below their respective
BSE               2161.33     2012.91       7.37      averages warn of impending selling pressure. The Nifty
NSE               9939.56    12222.05      -18.68     continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50-
NSE F&O           85523.22   259284.55     -67.02     day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. All
Total             97624.11   273519.51     -64.31     these conditions would lead to further selling pressure
Source – BSE & NSE                                    especially at higher levels. However, the markets will
             Market Breadth (NSE)
                                                      witness occasional bouts of short covering and selective
                                                      buying support as the Stochastic and RSI are placed
Advances                        824
                                                      near the over sold zone and also placed above their
Declines                        630
                                                      respective averages. The ADX and +DI line are moving
Same                            73                    sideways, but –DI line is placed at 36.45 level. The
Total                          1527                   markets are poised crucially. If Nifty continues to trade
A/D Ratio                     1.31 : 1                below the 4747 level, then it could test the 4563 level. In
Source – NSE                                          the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the
      Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY                   global markets and crude prices as Rupee trades above
50 Day SMA                    5033.17
                                                      the 52.50 level against the dollar. The support levels for
                                         ◄Negative    Nifty are placed at 4563, 4481 and 4387. The Nifty faces
100 Day SMA                   5168.52
                                                      resistance at the 4747, 4987, 5037 and 5161.
200 Day SMA                   5355.11    ◄Negative

                                                                 Intra-day Resistance                        Intra-day Support
        Indices              Close         Pivot Point          R1       R2         R3                 S1           S2         S3
BSE SENSEX                     15695                 15744      15842      15989          16235         15597        15499         15254
S&P CNX NIFTY                    4710                 4723       4754        4798          4872          4680          4649         4575
NIFTY DEC. FUT.                  4711                 4726       4763        4816          4906          4674          4636         4546


Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net                   Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in


                                                               Keynote Capitals Ltd.
             th
            4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                             www.keynotecapitals.com
Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days)


                                                                                   Stop
                                                      Initiation      Stop         Loss                      Target
       Stock            Close          Action           Price        Loss *         (%)        Target         (%)          Remarks
Century Textiles          269.65      Sell Below          267.00       277.00         3.75       245.00          8.24
GSPL                       84.45      Sell Below           84.00        85.80         2.14        80.00          4.76
Hindalco                  113.50      Sell Below          112.50       115.00         2.22       107.00          4.89
* Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis.




                                                              Keynote Capitals Ltd.
            th
           4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                            www.keynotecapitals.com
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This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report
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solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal
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We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its
accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability
arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own
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for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment
grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying
charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not
match with a report on a company’s fundamentals.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a
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                                                           Keynote Capitals Ltd.
      th
     4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322
                                                         www.keynotecapitals.com

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Keynote technicals daily report for 281111

  • 1. Daily Technical Outlook 28th November 2011 Indices Close % Chg. Mirroring the subdue set of global market cues; the domestic BSE SENSEX 15695.43 -1.03 markets witnessed a negative opening. However, the S&P CNX NIFTY 4710.05 -0.98 markets managed to move higher on back of short covering NIFTY DEC. FUT. 4710.95 -1.48 and selective buying support. But the overall trend remained India VIX 29.12 4.18 range bound and lackluster. Increased selling pressure in the afternoon trade saw the markets drift lower sharply. The S&P CNX NIFTY Technical Levels markets once again failed to show any resilience. The Level 1 Level 2 Level 3 markets ended the day with moderate losses to close near the lows for the day. The top losers for the day were Support 4563 4481 4387 Hindalco, Rel. Power, Maruti, Sterlite, Sesa Goa, SAIL, Hero Resistance 4747 4987 5037 Motors, Tata Steel, Jindal Steel and HUL. Volume (Lacs Shares) Technically, the market breadth remained positive amidst 25/11/11 24/11/11 % Chg. lower volumes, indicating selling in frontline stocks. The BSE 2067 2169 -4.70 global market set of cues are mix. The domestic markets NSE 6292 8391 -25.02 are likely to witness a positive opening. The prevailing Total 8359 10560 -20.84 technical negatives continued to weigh on the market Source – BSE & NSE sentiment as Nifty once again slipped below the crucial 4747 level. The Nifty continues to trade below its 50-day Turnover ( ` Crores) SMA, which is a short term negative. The KST and MACD 25/11/11 24/11/11 % Chg. are placed in the negative and also below their respective BSE 2161.33 2012.91 7.37 averages warn of impending selling pressure. The Nifty NSE 9939.56 12222.05 -18.68 continues to trade below its 200-day SMA. Further the 50- NSE F&O 85523.22 259284.55 -67.02 day SMA remains placed below the 100-day SMA. All Total 97624.11 273519.51 -64.31 these conditions would lead to further selling pressure Source – BSE & NSE especially at higher levels. However, the markets will Market Breadth (NSE) witness occasional bouts of short covering and selective buying support as the Stochastic and RSI are placed Advances 824 near the over sold zone and also placed above their Declines 630 respective averages. The ADX and +DI line are moving Same 73 sideways, but –DI line is placed at 36.45 level. The Total 1527 markets are poised crucially. If Nifty continues to trade A/D Ratio 1.31 : 1 below the 4747 level, then it could test the 4563 level. In Source – NSE the meanwhile the markets would take cues from the Moving Averages S&P CNX NIFTY global markets and crude prices as Rupee trades above 50 Day SMA 5033.17 the 52.50 level against the dollar. The support levels for ◄Negative Nifty are placed at 4563, 4481 and 4387. The Nifty faces 100 Day SMA 5168.52 resistance at the 4747, 4987, 5037 and 5161. 200 Day SMA 5355.11 ◄Negative Intra-day Resistance Intra-day Support Indices Close Pivot Point R1 R2 R3 S1 S2 S3 BSE SENSEX 15695 15744 15842 15989 16235 15597 15499 15254 S&P CNX NIFTY 4710 4723 4754 4798 4872 4680 4649 4575 NIFTY DEC. FUT. 4711 4726 4763 4816 4906 4674 4636 4546 Sanjay Bhatia (AVP – Technicals), Email Id sanjay@keynotecapitals.net Yahoo Chat Id: keytechnicals@yahoo.in Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 2. Short Term Trading Ideas Based On Technical Analysis (5 - 7 Days) Stop Initiation Stop Loss Target Stock Close Action Price Loss * (%) Target (%) Remarks Century Textiles 269.65 Sell Below 267.00 277.00 3.75 245.00 8.24 GSPL 84.45 Sell Below 84.00 85.80 2.14 80.00 4.76 Hindalco 113.50 Sell Below 112.50 115.00 2.22 107.00 4.89 * Stop Losses are to be considered strictly on Closing basis. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com
  • 3. Disclaimer This document is not for public distribution and has been furnished to you solely for your information and must not be reproduced or redistributed to any other person. Persons into whose possession this document may come are required to observe these restrictions. This material is for the personal information of the authorized recipient, and we are not soliciting any action based upon it. This report is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security in any jurisdiction where such an offer or solicitation would be illegal. It is for the general information of clients of Keynote Capitals Ltd. It does not constitute a personal recommendation or take into account the particular investment objectives, financial situations, or needs of individual clients. We have reviewed the report, and in so far as it includes current or historical information, it is believed to be reliable though its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Neither Keynote Capitals Ltd., nor any person connected with it, accepts any liability arising from the use of this document. The recipients of this material should rely on their own investigations and take their own professional advice. Price and value of the investments referred to in this material may go up or down. Past performance is not a guide for future performance. Certain transactions -including those involving futures, options and other derivatives as well as non-investment grade securities - involve substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. Reports based on technical analysis centers on studying charts of a stock’s price movement and trading volume, as opposed to focusing on a company’s fundamentals and as such, may not match with a report on a company’s fundamentals. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. While we endeavor to update on a reasonable basis the information discussed in this material, there may be regulatory, compliance, or other reasons that prevent us from doing so. Prospective investors and others are cautioned that any forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. Our proprietary trading and investment businesses may make investment decisions that are inconsistent with the recommendations expressed herein. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees world wide may: (a) from time to time, have long or short positions in, and buy or sell the securities thereof, of company (ies) mentioned herein or (b) be engaged in any other transaction involving such securities and earn brokerage or other compensation or act as a market maker in the financial instruments of the company (ies) discussed herein or act as advisor or lender / borrower to such company (ies) or have other potential conflict of interest with respect to any recommendation and related information and opinions. The analyst for this report certifies that all of the views expressed in this report accurately reflect his or her personal views about the subject company or companies and its or their securities, and no part of his or her compensation was, is or will be, directly or indirectly related to specific recommendations or views expressed in this report. No part of this material may be duplicated in any form and/or redistributed without Keynote Capitals Ltd’s., prior written consent. Keynote Capitals Ltd. th 4 Floor, Balmer Lawrie Bldg., 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Fort, Mumbai, India – 400001. Tel: 3026 6000 / 2269 4322 www.keynotecapitals.com